Total Members Voted: 513
Voting closed: 01/28/2018 10:13 pm
POLL added to the title.... I think it got moved already (on my phone so... )
SpaceX have had two failures in the last few years, so surprised by how optimistic everyone is here about the launch (current complete success vote is 85%). That said, I am feeling good about this one and am going with the majority.
The N1’s problem was not “30 engines” per se, but:A. Having 30 mostly untested engines, andB. Trying to control them with a computer reputed to be in the PDP-8 class.
I voted that it will make it to orbit. I think that is the more likely scenario, since otherwise SpaceX would not proceed with the launch.That said, though I think the odds are better than 50:50, they are not close to 100%.I'll have my fingers crossed for the entire flight...