Author Topic: HLS Option B and the Sustaining Lunar Development Phase (Appendix P)  (Read 385572 times)

Offline Robotbeat

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Depot is in an earth orbit (EO). As another poster pointed out, neither NASA nor SpaceX has actually specified this orbit, hence "depot EO".
On the contrary, if they refuel in a higher orbit, much less propellant will be needed, which could reduce the number of tankers overall. Depends on the details. But it definitely wouldn’t require 40.
« Last Edit: 03/30/2022 11:16 pm by Robotbeat »
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Offline TrevorMonty

https://twitter.com/wapodavenport/status/1509230067918032896?t=P4HEqq6ldnxsgTXBapprcg&s=19

National Team may not be dead. NG and LM still haven't decided whether to go it alone or with other companies.

One advantage of pairing with Blue is use of New Glenn. Still best to hedge their bets and base design on use of Vulcan with NG as alternative LV.

If NG and LM go it alone likely to be hydrolox fuelled solution with few engine options available to them, BE3, Be7 and RL10.

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« Last Edit: 03/30/2022 10:09 pm by TrevorMonty »

Offline yg1968

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« Last Edit: 03/30/2022 10:41 pm by yg1968 »

Offline yg1968

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I am not sure why NG couldn't have its own proposal and also be part of the National Team.
« Last Edit: 03/30/2022 10:46 pm by yg1968 »

Offline sdsds

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Another example: same masses and specific impulse, but as high depot orbit as you can:
• Depot orbit is a high elliptic orbit with perigee in LEO and apogee somewhere around the Moon.  3.2 km/s Δv to reach from LEO, and 430 m/s Δv from NRHO.

Is it right to think that (circular) LEO has advantages totally unrelated to Δv ? If a launch can't be conducted during one opportunity, the next opportunity is coming around pretty soon. That's less true for elliptical orbits.

And if you're choosing a more energetic depot orbit like an ellipse, would it make sense to synchronize with the Moon's orbit around Earth? There are Earth-Moon Cycler orbits, for example.
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Offline Zed_Noir

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I am not sure why NG couldn't have its own proposal and also be part of the National Team.
Maybe not enough allocated resources (my guess mostly people) to do both.

Offline TheRadicalModerate

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The HLS Starship is not practically capable of aerobraking into LEO when returning from the Moon; with no heat-shield it would need so many passes that it would probably take a year before it is down to a circular LEO.

I simulated this once (pretty low-fi and without any way to validate the model), and didn't appear to be that bad if all you're doing is delivering the LSS (empty) back to LEO.  Starting from a 140 x 385,000 km orbit, if the first pass can kill only 25m/s, it'll get back to roughly LEO in about 140 passes, which is about 60 days.  Note that the apogee and period drop very quickly.  It's a big heat pulse, about 15kW/m˛, but it's only for about 100 seconds, which I think works OK for 304 stainless.  (The math on that was very shaky.)  However, I have no idea what you'd need to do for attitude control during the pass.  It could easily be that the attitude prop would be just as large as simply inserting directly into LEO propulsively.  Also, any insulation or even paint is literally going to be toast. 

I don't disagree that if you're delivering a crew back to LEO, some TPS might make sense, even if it's only to do aerobraking instead of EDL.  But there are a couple of hefty caveats to that:

1) NASA has to be comfy with crew-certifying aerobraking.  I'd guess that if they're comfy with that, it's not gonna be long before they're comfy with direct EDL.  Meanwhile, propulsive insertion of a no-TPS LSS into LEO really isn't that bad.

2) You're pretty sensitive to dry mass with this.  If the TPS is too heavy, the propulsive LEO insertion starts to look pretty good.  I haven't figured this out, but hauling around an extra 20t-30t of TPS and elonerons all the way through the LEO-LS-NRHO-LEO/ES conops adds up.

Quote
Given the limitations of not having a heat-shield, I am pretty certain that the HLS Starship will only be used for shuttling between NRHO (or maybe EML1 or EML2) and the lunar surface; it will never return to LEO.  For any other lunar missions, I suggest using a Starship with a heat-shield, so it can aerobrake, and even land back on Earth.

If you have to refuel in NRHO, it's actually cheaper by several hundred tonnes of prop (lifted to LEO) to refuel the LSS so it can return propulsively to LEO than it is to refuel it to do NRHO-LS-NRHO over and over.  NRHO-LEOpropulsive is roughly 3670m/s of delta-v, while NRHO-LS-NRHO is 5670m/s.  Refueling halfway through a mission obviously comes with some fairly hefty risk if you're trying to return a crew to LEO, but if all you're doing is returning an empty LSS, this seems like a no-brainer--even if NASA insists on staging the crew from NRHO.

Minimum prop cost is almost certainly going to be to completely fuel in LEO, then boost to the lowest-apogee HEEO that will allow you to return to whatever you're certified for (LEO propulsive, aerobrake into LEO, or direct EDL), and then top off the tank.  However, HEEO has numerous problems:

1) Radiation.  You'll be diving through the Van Allen Belts over and over, especially if you miss an insertion window.  This isn't a huge problem if you're just putting the LSS back into NRHO so that some other transit vehicle can deliver crew, but if you're staging the crew from LEO, it's a fairly big deal.

2) Weird rendezvous windows.  As your HEEO energy goes up, the orbital period goes up.  I guess you'd probably engineer the HEEO so it's some fundamental harmonic of the LEO tanker's orbit, but I'll also point out that RPOD in this kind of orbit is new technology.  It should be be doable, but AFAIK it hasn't been done so far.  (Of course, nobody's done RPODs in NRHO yet, either...)

3) Bad contingencies.  Your argument of perigee and inclination for a lunar departure are pretty specific, and it costs a lot of delta-v (multiple hundreds of m/s) to change them if you miss your window.

Offline TheRadicalModerate

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Depot is in an earth orbit (EO). As another poster pointed out, neither NASA nor SpaceX has actually specified this orbit, hence "depot EO".

While they might not have specified the exact orbit, it is fairly obvious that it is some kind of LEO.  Remember the fourteen tanker launches mentioned in the GAO decision last summer?  If it had been in high orbit, it would be more like fourty tankers!  (Hint: you want to lift the dry mass of the numerous tankers to as low-energy orbits as possible, so the lower depot orbit, the better (while staying out of the atmosphere).)

It's not nearly that bad.  You don't send each lift tanker to high orbit.  You do the same thing with a single "high orbit tanker", which is just a lift tanker that happens to get refueled in LEO, that you do with the LSS in the first place: dock with a depot in LEO (400x400ish), take on enough prop to fill the LSS in the high orbit, meet it there, refuel it, and return direct to EDL.

NOTE:  When I plugged this in and assumed an LSS that needed to get back to a propulsive LEO, it doesn't work, even with the LSS's tanks stretched to 1500t (which I'm pretty sure needs to happen no matter what).  But it works fine from a prop consumption standpoint if it's a more-or-less vanilla Starship that's just doing LEO-refuel-HEEO-refuel-LS-ESviaDirectEDL.  However, see my comment above for the reasons why HEEO can be awkward.

Offline VSECOTSPE

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No real news here, but LM and NG are public about the fact that they’re examining their options on HLS:

https://spacenews.com/northrop-grumman-weighing-options-for-new-artemis-lunar-lander-competition/

Offline yg1968

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Offline yg1968

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No real news here, but LM and NG are public about the fact that they’re examining their options on HLS:

https://spacenews.com/northrop-grumman-weighing-options-for-new-artemis-lunar-lander-competition/

Despite their press releases saying that they are exploring their options, I suspect that it's the other way around, it's actually Blue that is exploring its options. With their releases, NG and LM sound like they are threatening to submit their own proposals if Blue doesn't take them as partners.
« Last Edit: 03/31/2022 09:49 pm by yg1968 »

Offline TheRadicalModerate

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I'm still trying to figure out how to think about this.  ISTM that there are more-or-less five general approaches:

1) Launch wet components on CLVs that can put 12t-15t into TLI, then assemble them.  This was the National Team approach to Option A.

2) Launch one big dry component on a CLV, then launch an indeterminate number of refueling missions, based on what you can get.  If you have something that's 15t dry (inert mass, crew module, ground-installed deployable payload), then 5700m/s of methalox @ Isp=360s is 60.4t of prop.  Note:  A tanker Starship can be a refueling mission with low risk.  If one fails, just launch another one.  Or you can beat your head against the wall and launch four CLV's worth of prop.

3) Some combination of #1 and #2.  I suspect that variations on this will be what the Nat Team members are looking at for App. P, all while eyeing each other warily.  (It's kind of a three-way Prisoner's Dilemma!)

4) Commit to deploying your HLS via Starship.  Launch something really heavy dry, fuel it in LEO as part of the Starship refueling process, then let Starship take it wet to NRHO.  Note that, post-fueling, wet mass can significantly exceed 150t.  You can make an HLS that probably exceeds LSS in many ways by doing this, but your transit is fate-shared with Starship.

5) Be SpaceX and use the LSS.  Not-so-secretly plot when you're going officially call SLS/Orion stupid and start staging from LEO instead of cislunar.

Offline yg1968

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« Last Edit: 03/31/2022 07:54 pm by yg1968 »

Offline yg1968

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The announcement:

Quote from: NASA
Through Artemis missions, NASA is preparing to return humans to the Moon, including the first woman and first person of color, for long-term scientific discovery and exploration. In its work toward a regular cadence of astronaut Moon landings, the agency is pursuing two paths for sustainable lunar lander development and demonstration.

One calls for additional work under an existing contract with SpaceX, and another invites other U.S. companies to provide new lander development and demonstration missions from lunar orbit to the surface of the Moon. Combined, these efforts will pave the way for multiple companies to provide recurring Moon landing services for Artemis astronauts using the Gateway as the crew staging vehicle in lunar orbit.

NASA’s existing contract with SpaceX includes both a crewed and uncrewed lunar landing demonstration as part of the Artemis III mission, marking humanity’s first return to the Moon in more than 50 years. The agency will exercise an option under this contract asking the company to evolve its current Artemis III Starship Human Landing System design to meet the NASA’s sustainable requirements at the Moon and conduct another crewed demonstration landing.

Separately, under a new draft solicitation released March 31, NextSTEP2 Appendix P, Human Landing System Sustaining Lunar Development, NASA has provided requirements for new companies interested in developing and demonstrating additional astronaut Moon landers. Companies selected under this contract will be required to perform one uncrewed and one crewed demonstration landing. NASA will certify any lander system prior to the crewed demonstration missions ensuring overall astronaut safety and mission success.

“This approach bolsters industry readiness and competition and creates a strong plan for establishing a long-term lunar presence under Artemis with regular crewed landings,” said Lisa Watson-Morgan, program manager for the Human Landing System Program at NASA’s Marshall Space Flight Center in Huntsville, Alabama. “NASA is committed to maintaining a flexible and resilient lunar exploration plan that will promote competition going into the future.”

Together, these concurrent sustaining lander development efforts will meet NASA’s needs for recurring, long-term access to the lunar surface, such as the ability to dock with Gateway for crew transfer, accommodate an increased crew size, and deliver more mass to the surface.

NASA will host a virtual Appendix P industry day April 4 to present an overview of the solicitation and to provide companies an opportunity to ask clarifying questions and provide comments. Once these have been reviewed, the agency plans to issue the final solicitation this summer.

As NASA makes strides to return humans to the lunar surface under Artemis, this approach allows the agency to expedite partnerships with U.S. industry to increase the competitive pool of capable providers ahead of the solicitation for recurring lunar lander transportation services for Artemis astronauts.

For more information about this procurement and industry day details, visit:

https://www.nasa.gov/nextstep/humanlander4

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/nasa-invites-us-industry-to-build-additional-astronaut-moon-landers
« Last Edit: 03/31/2022 06:54 pm by yg1968 »

Offline yg1968

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Some of the highlights of the Appendix P BAA:

Quote from: page 1 of the Appendix P BAA
DRAFT Broad Agency Announcement NNH19ZCQ001K_APPENDIX-P-SLD
Issued: [TBD: Summer 2022]
Proposals Due: [TBD: 60 days after final solicitation issued]

Quote from: page 4
The purpose of this solicitation is to request proposals from industry for selection and award for the rapid development and demonstration of a Sustainable Human Landing System (HLS) from a second provider, delivering humans to the lunar surface in a subsequent Artemis mission, and with the goal of doing so by July 2027. Additionally, NASA plans to leverage crewed lander development activities to procure and certify the design of landers capable of human-class cargo delivery.

Quote from: page 5
In accordance with the instructions set forth below in this Broad Agency Announcement (BAA), NASA will determine whether to award Options (see Table 1 below). It is NASA’s intent to transition between the Base period and subsequent Option periods without any break in contractor performance. The decision to award Options (formally authorize work initiation) rests solely with the Government, and no guarantee is made that an option will be awarded even though the contract will cite a value for the effort.

While NASA reserves the right to change its HLS acquisition strategy at any time, NASA is currently planning to award the Base CLIN for a single contractor, pending availability of funds; and either at initial award or later, exercise Options for that contractor. Proposals shall include a firm-fixed-price (FFP) for the Option periods.

Quote from: page 7
Note that while SLD [sustainable lunar development] includes HDL [human-class delivery lander] CLINs through DCR, performing a mission to deliver Human-class Cargo to the lunar surface will be procured separately via a future acquisition.


Quote from: page 8
1.3.4 Sustaining Lunar Transportation (SLT) Services

Following successful crewed lunar demonstrations performed pursuant to this contract, NASA intends to separately procure transportation between Gateway and the lunar surface as commercial space transportation services. NASA estimates that it will require such services approximately once per year for a period of ten years.

Quote from: page 8
While NASA intends to exclude SpaceX from being a prime Contractor under the SLD procurement, SpaceX may otherwise participate (e.g., as a launch provider) on another Offeror’s team.

The contract will have a base period (CLINs 1 & 2) through PDR and options for the development of the second lander after PDR (see the attached table). There is optional CLINs for the development of a human-class cargo delivery lander (HDL).
« Last Edit: 04/01/2022 12:36 pm by yg1968 »

Offline TheRadicalModerate

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One other thing that's lurking in the requirement for either Appendix P or Option B to dock at the Gateway:  Option A LSS must be a passive IDSS implementation, because Orion is active only.  Presumably, Gateway will also be passive only, so the docking ring has to be active.  So LSS has to change its docking architecture to implement Option B.

The obvious thing for LSS to do is to implement the IDSS active-active option (which, AIUI, is really an active soft-capture ring that's latched in the retracted position and has three additional passive capture latches on it), but so far there aren't any active-active implementations with any flight heritage.  Presumably, the Option B/App. P uncrewed test flight would provide a live test for this, but does anybody know how much ground testing and certification hassle is required for such a docking system?
As I understand it, the Option A HLS must implement both the active mode and the passive mode, because it must be able to dock with the Gateway if it is available and it must be able to dock with Orion if Gateway is not available. NASA had already announced that Gateway was optional some time ago.

More info on this from the solicitation:

Quote
The integrated lander will provide a docking mechanism, either integrated with the vehicle or as part of an Active-Active Docking Adapter (AADA) which will be compatible with Gateway’s passive docking mechanism. In addition, for Gateway missions, the integrated lander must have the ability to dock to Orion in a contingency case for in-flight crew rescue, which requires a docking mechanism compatible with Orion’s active docking mechanism. The HLS lander may require an Active-Active Docking Adapter (AADA) or an androgynous docking adapter for docking to Gateway. This docking adapter may be disposed of at end of mission if a subsequent HLS mission does not require its use (this will be a NASA decision).

So, as usual, I had (and still have) a terminology confusion.  Presumably, "androgynous docking adapter" means a single integrated adapter that can fill both active and passive roles.  (Wow, I can't wait until the Language Police find this stuff.)  So an AADA must be a separate component that consists of two bi-directional passive interfaces that can glue two active systems together.

Aaaaaaand now I'm confused again.

We have three different docking sequences that have to be accommodated:

1) HDL (Human-class Delivery Lander---aaaaarrrrrgh!  Just pick a bunch of acronyms and live with them!) arrives at the Gateway.  No matter what it does for self-assembly and/or refueling, the crew module has to dock with the passive Gateway IDA, so it must have an active, extended soft capture ring.  So it can't have an AADA between it and the Gateway at this point.

2) On nominal ascent from the lunar surface, the HDL has to dock actively with the Gateway again.  Good news!  No different from the assembly-phase.

3) On off-nominal ascent, the HDL has to dock passively with the Orion.  Now you need the AADA.  But there's no way to have it in place, because the nominal docking sequence requires an active interface to do the docking.  How does it get mounted so it can be used?  I can only think of three possibilities, and they're all stupid at different levels:

a) The HDL has two separate docking ports, one with an active IDA and one with a passive.  Leaving aside the fact that this is ridiculously heavy, you wouldn't need an AADA in this scenario.

b) The Orion is going to undock from the Gateway, mosey over to an AADA stowed somewhere on its exterior surface, dock with it, pull it off the Gateway, and then go do the RPOD with the HDL.  Given that a bunch of the off-nominal failure modes that require direct Orion-HDL docking have to do with the Gateway losing attitude control, this appears to be as ridiculous as case #a.

c) The AADA is actually not really passive on both ends, but instead has a dumb passive end that's hooked to the the HDL, and a fully androgynous end that can be either active or passive as needed.  But then it's not really an AADA any more, is it?  And if you have this technology, why didn't you just build it into your HDL in the first place?

Unless I'm missing something or fundamentally misunderstanding the nature of an AADA, it sounds more like whoever the wrote the requirement hadn't thought it all the way through.  Seems to me that the real requirement is that winning HDLs will have to implement full androgyny.  More explicitly:

1) The HDL IDA implementation must have a soft capture ring that works as the active system.

2) That IDA must implement the full set of androgynous latches on the soft capture ring in case it has to be used in passive mode.

3) I assume that also means that the soft capture ring must have a way to be latched in place in its fully retracted position so that Orion's soft capture ring can lunge, latch, and retract to bring the system to hard dock.

Does this sound... right?

Offline yg1968

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The Conops documentation is pretty interesting (attached). The Statement of Work is also interesting.
« Last Edit: 08/24/2022 02:53 am by yg1968 »

Offline yg1968

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From the second CONOPS document posted above (these missions would be a separate acquisition but there is bonus points for having that capability in the Appendix P award).
« Last Edit: 03/31/2022 08:04 pm by yg1968 »

Offline yg1968

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From the same CONOPS document:
« Last Edit: 03/31/2022 07:55 pm by yg1968 »

Offline Reynold

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One other thing that's lurking in the requirement for either Appendix P or Option B to dock at the Gateway:  Option A LSS must be a passive IDSS implementation, because Orion is active only.  Presumably, Gateway will also be passive only, so the docking ring has to be active.  So LSS has to change its docking architecture to implement Option B.

The obvious thing for LSS to do is to implement the IDSS active-active option (which, AIUI, is really an active soft-capture ring that's latched in the retracted position and has three additional passive capture latches on it), but so far there aren't any active-active implementations with any flight heritage.  Presumably, the Option B/App. P uncrewed test flight would provide a live test for this, but does anybody know how much ground testing and certification hassle is required for such a docking system?
As I understand it, the Option A HLS must implement both the active mode and the passive mode, because it must be able to dock with the Gateway if it is available and it must be able to dock with Orion if Gateway is not available. NASA had already announced that Gateway was optional some time ago.

More info on this from the solicitation:

Quote
The integrated lander will provide a docking mechanism, either integrated with the vehicle or as part of an Active-Active Docking Adapter (AADA) which will be compatible with Gateway’s passive docking mechanism. In addition, for Gateway missions, the integrated lander must have the ability to dock to Orion in a contingency case for in-flight crew rescue, which requires a docking mechanism compatible with Orion’s active docking mechanism. The HLS lander may require an Active-Active Docking Adapter (AADA) or an androgynous docking adapter for docking to Gateway. This docking adapter may be disposed of at end of mission if a subsequent HLS mission does not require its use (this will be a NASA decision).

So, as usual, I had (and still have) a terminology confusion.  Presumably, "androgynous docking adapter" means a single integrated adapter that can fill both active and passive roles.  (Wow, I can't wait until the Language Police find this stuff.)  So an AADA must be a separate component that consists of two bi-directional passive interfaces that can glue two active systems together.

Aaaaaaand now I'm confused again.

We have three different docking sequences that have to be accommodated:

1) HDL (Human-class Delivery Lander---aaaaarrrrrgh!  Just pick a bunch of acronyms and live with them!) arrives at the Gateway.  No matter what it does for self-assembly and/or refueling, the crew module has to dock with the passive Gateway IDA, so it must have an active, extended soft capture ring.  So it can't have an AADA between it and the Gateway at this point.

2) On nominal ascent from the lunar surface, the HDL has to dock actively with the Gateway again.  Good news!  No different from the assembly-phase.

3) On off-nominal ascent, the HDL has to dock passively with the Orion.  Now you need the AADA.  But there's no way to have it in place, because the nominal docking sequence requires an active interface to do the docking.  How does it get mounted so it can be used?  I can only think of three possibilities, and they're all stupid at different levels:

a) The HDL has two separate docking ports, one with an active IDA and one with a passive.  Leaving aside the fact that this is ridiculously heavy, you wouldn't need an AADA in this scenario.

b) The Orion is going to undock from the Gateway, mosey over to an AADA stowed somewhere on its exterior surface, dock with it, pull it off the Gateway, and then go do the RPOD with the HDL.  Given that a bunch of the off-nominal failure modes that require direct Orion-HDL docking have to do with the Gateway losing attitude control, this appears to be as ridiculous as case #a.

c) The AADA is actually not really passive on both ends, but instead has a dumb passive end that's hooked to the the HDL, and a fully androgynous end that can be either active or passive as needed.  But then it's not really an AADA any more, is it?  And if you have this technology, why didn't you just build it into your HDL in the first place?

Unless I'm missing something or fundamentally misunderstanding the nature of an AADA, it sounds more like whoever the wrote the requirement hadn't thought it all the way through.  Seems to me that the real requirement is that winning HDLs will have to implement full androgyny.  More explicitly:

1) The HDL IDA implementation must have a soft capture ring that works as the active system.

2) That IDA must implement the full set of androgynous latches on the soft capture ring in case it has to be used in passive mode.

3) I assume that also means that the soft capture ring must have a way to be latched in place in its fully retracted position so that Orion's soft capture ring can lunge, latch, and retract to bring the system to hard dock.

Does this sound... right?

It sounds like either someone needs to build and test full androgynous IDA docking systems, which AFAK has not been done, or build a really large ship with multiple docking ports, something, say, 9 meters in diameter so it can accomodate that, and maybe throw in a couple of extras in case you want to dock to the Chinese station or something. . . :)

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