With Soyuz grounded for the foreseeable future, how much slack can SpaceX pick up with cargo Dragon?
Quote from: Eric Hedman on 11/28/2025 05:18 pmQuote from: DanClemmensen on 11/28/2025 04:58 pmQuote from: Tywin on 11/28/2025 04:26 pmQuote from: Vettedrmr on 11/28/2025 12:04 amI'm really glad that Dragon has demonstrated the ability to reboost ISS.Cygnus too.We know a Dragon at Harmony forward can apply axial force for reboost. I'm less certain about CMG desaturation, which requires applying the right kind of angular acceleration. Does anyone here know? My crude mental model says that a Dragon at harmony zenith can do it if ISS is oriented properly, but I do not trust my mental model.I suspect NASA will be doing some mathematical modeling very quickly to see what is possible.I suspect such contingency plans already exist.
Quote from: DanClemmensen on 11/28/2025 04:58 pmQuote from: Tywin on 11/28/2025 04:26 pmQuote from: Vettedrmr on 11/28/2025 12:04 amI'm really glad that Dragon has demonstrated the ability to reboost ISS.Cygnus too.We know a Dragon at Harmony forward can apply axial force for reboost. I'm less certain about CMG desaturation, which requires applying the right kind of angular acceleration. Does anyone here know? My crude mental model says that a Dragon at harmony zenith can do it if ISS is oriented properly, but I do not trust my mental model.I suspect NASA will be doing some mathematical modeling very quickly to see what is possible.
Quote from: Tywin on 11/28/2025 04:26 pmQuote from: Vettedrmr on 11/28/2025 12:04 amI'm really glad that Dragon has demonstrated the ability to reboost ISS.Cygnus too.We know a Dragon at Harmony forward can apply axial force for reboost. I'm less certain about CMG desaturation, which requires applying the right kind of angular acceleration. Does anyone here know? My crude mental model says that a Dragon at harmony zenith can do it if ISS is oriented properly, but I do not trust my mental model.
Quote from: Vettedrmr on 11/28/2025 12:04 amI'm really glad that Dragon has demonstrated the ability to reboost ISS.Cygnus too.
I'm really glad that Dragon has demonstrated the ability to reboost ISS.
Starliner is a complication. If it flies crew, the Dragon refurbishment team will have even more slack.
You might want to also ask about Cygnus, especially since they now have the new bigger XL version. Also the JAXA HTV.
It’s not a question of “surging” cargo missionsIt is a question of ISS orbit maintenance.If the Russians can’t reestablish Soyuz launch before their fuel on orbit runs out (How long will that be?) then Dragon (or Cygnus) would have to step in.At what pace can SpaceX launch Dragons, crew and cargo?If it’s, say, 4 per year, can the Boost Kit cover, or be expanded to cover, 3 months of reboosting?At the current density altitude that’s very close to 10 km per quarter or ~3.3 m/sec delta-V.For a 4,200 ton ISS, that’s ~3400 seconds of 400 N Draco firing time.With an Isp of 234 sec, where it burns ~0.78 kg/sec/Draco, that’s ~2,650 kg.Can the Boost Kit carry, or be expanded to carry, that much propellent?Will that kill the cargo capacity?Would that be allowed with astronauts?
This is where Boeing and Starliner could shine as a cargo vehicle beyond the next flight. Probably not, but it's good PR potential for them.
Is the prop load on a crew dragon sized for an ascent abort? If so, is there "excess" propulsion for ISS reboost available once the crew dragon is at e.g. Harmony FWD?
Quote from: sdsds on 11/29/2025 10:14 pmIs the prop load on a crew dragon sized for an ascent abort? If so, is there "excess" propulsion for ISS reboost available once the crew dragon is at e.g. Harmony FWD?I don't know. but here's a related question. I think the Crew Dragon trunk is usually empty. Would NASA certify the boost kit to be used on a Crew Dragon? It is already having its "uncrewed demo" on CRS-33.One big problem with Progress replacement it that Progress apparently carries propellant for the Russian RCS thrusters on the station that were supposed to handle attitude control and CMG desaturation, for normal operation and eventually for de-orbit. But I cannot find the references for this so maybe I'm wrong.
[...] I think the Crew Dragon trunk is usually empty. Would NASA certify the boost kit to be used on a Crew Dragon?
Quote from: DanClemmensen on 11/29/2025 10:36 pm[...] I think the Crew Dragon trunk is usually empty. Would NASA certify the boost kit to be used on a Crew Dragon?I think during an ascent abort Crew Dragon takes the trunk along for the ride, maybe for aerodynamic reasons. So the added mass of boost kit propellant counts against the total allowable mass of Dragon in the abort scenario. (Unless somehow the boost kit were tied into the abort mode logic so its thrusters could help Dragon get away from the launch vehicle. I'm sure they could introduce that change without inadvertently adding any other new behavior, but....)
Quote from: sdsds on 11/30/2025 02:20 amQuote from: DanClemmensen on 11/29/2025 10:36 pm[...] I think the Crew Dragon trunk is usually empty. Would NASA certify the boost kit to be used on a Crew Dragon?I think during an ascent abort Crew Dragon takes the trunk along for the ride, maybe for aerodynamic reasons. So the added mass of boost kit propellant counts against the total allowable mass of Dragon in the abort scenario. (Unless somehow the boost kit were tied into the abort mode logic so its thrusters could help Dragon get away from the launch vehicle. I'm sure they could introduce that change without inadvertently adding any other new behavior, but....)The Trunk carries the conformal solar arrays and Dragon’s thermal radiator.Burning the abort propellants with the Boost Kit would require plumbing them through the actuated “Claw” that reaches around Dragon’s heat shield to carry the coolant and electrical power to and from the Trunk. This would be difficult, to say the least, as it was sized for its current role.
roll control is the issue and not reboost
Absence of Progress and its fuel seems to be a more pressing issue than crew rotation. F9 could easily fit a fully loaded Progress in its fairing. The problems to adapt it for US launch would seem to be more political than technical. More likely though if the service platform cannot be fixed easily, Progress flies from the Soyuz carrier rocket pads at Plesetsk or Vostochny with GSE modifications. Crew Soyuz waits until the 31/6 pad is repaired.
Quote from: Helodriver on 11/30/2025 05:38 amAbsence of Progress and its fuel seems to be a more pressing issue than crew rotation. F9 could easily fit a fully loaded Progress in its fairing. The problems to adapt it for US launch would seem to be more political than technical. More likely though if the service platform cannot be fixed easily, Progress flies from the Soyuz carrier rocket pads at Plesetsk or Vostochny with GSE modifications. Crew Soyuz waits until the 31/6 pad is repaired. Plesetsk is too far north in latitude to match the ISS's orbit, Vostochny is just 30 km too high to do the same, and Progress doesn't have cross-range capability. Plesetsk was designed to launch military spy satellites in polar orbits; Vostok was intended primarily for communication satellites.
Vostochny is just 30 km too high to [match the ISS's orbit], and Progress doesn't have cross-range capability.
I still believe reboosting is the biggest challenge without Progress.And neither Dragon with the demonstrated Boost Kit or Starliner with its Service Module LES has enough impulse.
The Joint Commission wants a secondary deorbit capability in case something goes awry with the USDV. The contingency plan is using two Russian Progress cargo vehicles and the Russian segment itself to dispose of the ISS. That requires ensuring the propellant tanks on the Russian segment are full. Cabana said they reviewed a plan to have the tanks on the Zvezda Service Module and Zarya Functional Cargo Block (FGB) “sufficiently filled by 2028,”
Quote from: Comga on 11/30/2025 04:51 amI still believe reboosting is the biggest challenge without Progress.And neither Dragon with the demonstrated Boost Kit or Starliner with its Service Module LES has enough impulse.Progress's Refuelling Module likely fits inside Dragon's trunk. If a docking probe with fuel lines and a grapple fixture were installed, then Canadarm could retrieve it and refuel Zarya.
Quote from: StraumliBlight on 11/30/2025 11:33 pmQuote from: Comga on 11/30/2025 04:51 amI still believe reboosting is the biggest challenge without Progress.And neither Dragon with the demonstrated Boost Kit or Starliner with its Service Module LES has enough impulse.Progress's Refuelling Module likely fits inside Dragon's trunk. If a docking probe with fuel lines and a grapple fixture were installed, then Canadarm could retrieve it and refuel Zarya.no, it requires docking on the Russian segment.
A kluge for use on the ground is a lot safer and easier to develop, test and certify than one for orbit.By the time the suggested orbiting kluges could be worked up, the damaged launch pad will have been made usable somehow.
SpaceX has shown that the forward hatch of their Crew Dragon 2 can be replaced with a dome (Inspiration 4, Fran2) or a 'porch' (Polaris Dawn). Would it be possible to replace the docking interface of one of the Crew and one of the Cargo Dragons to dock to the Russian side?
How about Progress on Falcon 9?
Quote from: Space Pete on 12/05/2025 07:11 amHow about Progress on Falcon 9?How about Progress on ZhuQue-3? JiuQuan is not much further from Russia than Baikonur
Quote from: AmigaClone on 12/11/2025 01:48 amSpaceX has shown that the forward hatch of their Crew Dragon 2 can be replaced with a dome (Inspiration 4, Fran2) or a 'porch' (Polaris Dawn). Would it be possible to replace the docking interface of one of the Crew and one of the Cargo Dragons to dock to the Russian side?Probably not, but why would that be needed?Dock to Node 2 Forward and turn the ISS around.That's how the Boost Kit is being used, IIUIC.Edit: Even if they did manage to dock to the Russian docking interface, they couldn't transfer propellant to the Russian side.
Still have the roll control problem.
Quote from: Jim on 12/11/2025 04:47 pmStill have the roll control problem.You refer to desaturation of the CMGs, which is usually done by firing the thrusters on Progress?
Why?
No, roll control of the station itself. The CMGs can only provide pitch and yaw control not roll control hence the need of the roll control thrusters on the MLM.
Quote from: DaveS on 12/12/2025 10:48 amNo, roll control of the station itself. The CMGs can only provide pitch and yaw control not roll control hence the need of the roll control thrusters on the MLM.Is there a reference for that, by any chance? I had assumed CMGs give you 3-axis control (until they're saturated, of course), and my Google-fu is not turning up anything about roll control being different from pitch/yaw.
Quote from: Yellowstone10 on 12/12/2025 03:07 pmQuote from: DaveS on 12/12/2025 10:48 amNo, roll control of the station itself. The CMGs can only provide pitch and yaw control not roll control hence the need of the roll control thrusters on the MLM.Is there a reference for that, by any chance? I had assumed CMGs give you 3-axis control (until they're saturated, of course), and my Google-fu is not turning up anything about roll control being different from pitch/yaw.Desaturation is required on all axis. Due to the length of the truss and the short lever arms of thrusters on the SM or Progress docked axially to the SM, it takes a lot of propellant to desaturate roll. Progress and other modules with thrusters that are docked orthogonally to the SM can provide more effective roll desaturation.
From a pure physics standpoint, you would have tiny little thrusters at the extreme ends of the truss for roll control? Another set out there would work well for yaw, but handling yaw while doing boost works well so yaw control from the truss is not needed.
Quote from: DanClemmensen on 12/12/2025 09:51 pmFrom a pure physics standpoint, you would have tiny little thrusters at the extreme ends of the truss for roll control? Another set out there would work well for yaw, but handling yaw while doing boost works well so yaw control from the truss is not needed.And who is going to design, build and qualify them?
A Dragon variant will deorbit the ISS when the time comes.
Yep, that's why I said "from a pure physics standpoint". It's almost certainly not practical to add them at this point. I only posted this to see if I understood the physics correctly. It's easy to say that they could just strap a Starlink Ion thruster and a COPV full of Argon onto the truss ends
Of course, Crew Dragons are sometimes docked radially, and not having used their LES, have “a lot of propellant”. Are they plumbed to also feed it to the ACS Dracos?
Quote from: DanClemmensen on 12/13/2025 02:28 amYep, that's why I said "from a pure physics standpoint". It's almost certainly not practical to add them at this point. I only posted this to see if I understood the physics correctly. It's easy to say that they could just strap a Starlink Ion thruster and a COPV full of Argon onto the truss ends Need more thrust than that
Quote from: Comga on 12/11/2025 01:34 pmA Dragon variant will deorbit the ISS when the time comes.The Dragon-derived vehicle will give about one half of the dV needed to deorbit the ISS. The other half should be given by Russian Segment (Progress engines and Zvezda engines burning Progress-delivered propellant).
Quote from: Comga on 12/13/2025 03:06 amOf course, Crew Dragons are sometimes docked radially, and not having used their LES, have “a lot of propellant”. Are they plumbed to also feed it to the ACS Dracos?Their thruster alignments are not proper for that role
Here's a question: Is there any way to refuel the current Progress on orbit via external methods?I doubt Dextre can reach with Canadarm 2, but perhaps there are alternative methods that can be considered?
While there is a hiatus in Progress and Soyuz launches, be it 4 months, a year, or the remaining life of the ISS, NASA and its “western” partners can maintain the ISS themselves, using what they have, which is mostly from SpaceX.No NASA logoed Progress on Chinese launchers No Rube GoldbergNo Lego RocketsNo fantasy hardware needed
Quote from: Comga on 12/14/2025 04:13 amWhile there is a hiatus in Progress and Soyuz launches, be it 4 months, a year, or the remaining life of the ISS, NASA and its “western” partners can maintain the ISS themselves, using what they have, which is mostly from SpaceX.No NASA logoed Progress on Chinese launchers No Rube GoldbergNo Lego RocketsNo fantasy hardware neededUsing purely existing or equipment in development before 1 November 2025 the long-term crew for the ISS would be reduced to 4 when the newest Soyuz has to return.Avoiding that situation was the primary reason I suggested perhaps investigating what it would take to modify a Dragon to dock on the Russian side.Using certain docking ports on the Russian side would also make the idea of trying to use a Dragon to control the roll slightly less difficult.
Quote from: AmigaClone on 12/14/2025 05:36 amQuote from: Comga on 12/14/2025 04:13 amWhile there is a hiatus in Progress and Soyuz launches, be it 4 months, a year, or the remaining life of the ISS, NASA and its “western” partners can maintain the ISS themselves, using what they have, which is mostly from SpaceX.No NASA logoed Progress on Chinese launchers No Rube GoldbergNo Lego RocketsNo fantasy hardware neededUsing purely existing or equipment in development before 1 November 2025 the long-term crew for the ISS would be reduced to 4 when the newest Soyuz has to return.Avoiding that situation was the primary reason I suggested perhaps investigating what it would take to modify a Dragon to dock on the Russian side.Using certain docking ports on the Russian side would also make the idea of trying to use a Dragon to control the roll slightly less difficult.Are the Russian ports APAS-95? If so, NASA has an existing design for the IDA, which can be attached to an APAS-95 port to turn it into an IDS port. The two US IDSS docks use IDAs. There are a number of major issues to resolve to actually use this approach, so it is probably infeasible.
Quote from: DanClemmensen on 12/14/2025 05:45 amAre the Russian ports APAS-95? If so, NASA has an existing design for the IDA, which can be attached to an APAS-95 port to turn it into an IDS port. The two US IDSS docks use IDAs. There are a number of major issues to resolve to actually use this approach, so it is probably infeasible.https://www.russianspaceweb.com/docking.html
Are the Russian ports APAS-95? If so, NASA has an existing design for the IDA, which can be attached to an APAS-95 port to turn it into an IDS port. The two US IDSS docks use IDAs. There are a number of major issues to resolve to actually use this approach, so it is probably infeasible.
Quote from: russianhalo117 on 12/14/2025 12:16 pmQuote from: DanClemmensen on 12/14/2025 05:45 amAre the Russian ports APAS-95? If so, NASA has an existing design for the IDA, which can be attached to an APAS-95 port to turn it into an IDS port. The two US IDSS docks use IDAs. There are a number of major issues to resolve to actually use this approach, so it is probably infeasible.https://www.russianspaceweb.com/docking.htmlThanks for that excellent link. However, that page is quite dense, and I cannot figure out from it exactly how the four current VV docks on the Russian segment are configured. It appears that they are NOT APAS-95, but what are they?
but what are they?
“should”
Quote from: Comga on 12/14/2025 04:13 am“should”We are speaking of ISS deorbit. The plan is to make (approximately) half of the deorbit burn with RS, and the other half with the SpaceX deorbit vehicle.
There are only 2 more CRS2 cargo Dragons on contract (CRS-34 & -35) which have reportedly been accelerated to May and August. Ahead of CRS-33, it was stated that CRS-33 was the only planned boost trunk. In addition, 1 of the 2 missions is supposed to carry the final set of iROSA arrays which I believe is on CRS-34. Given that, I don't think there will be another boost trunk in the near term. I'd say its more likely that Cygnus fulfills this need in the near-term and I think Starliner-1 would likely demo it as well since it was a planned capability.
Quote from: AndrewM on 12/31/2025 04:23 pmThere are only 2 more CRS2 cargo Dragons on contract (CRS-34 & -35) which have reportedly been accelerated to May and August. Ahead of CRS-33, it was stated that CRS-33 was the only planned boost trunk. In addition, 1 of the 2 missions is supposed to carry the final set of iROSA arrays which I believe is on CRS-34. Given that, I don't think there will be another boost trunk in the near term. I'd say its more likely that Cygnus fulfills this need in the near-term and I think Starliner-1 would likely demo it as well since it was a planned capability.How much boost can Starliner provide? While docked to Harmony Forward it's in the right place, and its thrusters are pointing in the right direction. Total available fuel is a question. The other question is sustained thruster endurance. CRS-33 just completed a 19-minute boost. Can Starliner thruster sustain a long boost? we know there were thermal issues on CFT and we know NASA and Boeing have made modifications, so this may be a really good way to test the results.