Quote from: geza on 02/08/2023 03:39 amThe 20 years have passed. Now we are waiting for the first orbital test flight of Starship, the vessel that is supposed to take humanity to Mars. Not bad .Some delay was expected from the very beginning. In 2017 Musk suggested that the first cargo mission would fly to Mars in '22, followed by the first crew in '24. It does not happening. Most recently he predicted '29 for the latter. Still, not bad .However, expecting 2043 for the first boots on the surface would mean a complete failure for the Starship project, as we know it.Musk's initial schedule for the first cargo and crewed missions to Mars was rather far-fetched, and the fact that waste and inefficiency dogged the Starship program as soon as the first suborbital prototypes of Starship were built and tested probably convinced Musk to revise his tentative timetable for using Starship to flying humans to Mars.
The 20 years have passed. Now we are waiting for the first orbital test flight of Starship, the vessel that is supposed to take humanity to Mars. Not bad .Some delay was expected from the very beginning. In 2017 Musk suggested that the first cargo mission would fly to Mars in '22, followed by the first crew in '24. It does not happening. Most recently he predicted '29 for the latter. Still, not bad .However, expecting 2043 for the first boots on the surface would mean a complete failure for the Starship project, as we know it.
Quote from: Vahe231991 on 02/09/2023 12:41 amQuote from: geza on 02/08/2023 03:39 amThe 20 years have passed. Now we are waiting for the first orbital test flight of Starship, the vessel that is supposed to take humanity to Mars. Not bad .Some delay was expected from the very beginning. In 2017 Musk suggested that the first cargo mission would fly to Mars in '22, followed by the first crew in '24. It does not happening. Most recently he predicted '29 for the latter. Still, not bad .However, expecting 2043 for the first boots on the surface would mean a complete failure for the Starship project, as we know it.Musk's initial schedule for the first cargo and crewed missions to Mars was rather far-fetched, and the fact that waste and inefficiency dogged the Starship program as soon as the first suborbital prototypes of Starship were built and tested probably convinced Musk to revise his tentative timetable for using Starship to flying humans to Mars.Paywalled & most likely a clickbaity article (imo any space article written other than Eric Berger, Michael Sheetz, Christian Davenport, Jeff Foust, Spaceflightnow, NSF, Irene Klotz, should be ignored)(And yes, see Shotwell remark above)