Author Topic: Interstellar objects  (Read 90633 times)

Offline sstli2

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #60 on: 08/11/2025 01:25 pm »

Offline Don2

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #61 on: 08/11/2025 05:57 pm »
The public has heard all the UFO stuff before, and I don't see a run on tin foil hats right now.

The non-gravitational acceleration of Oumuamua was puzzling. It took months before somebody suggested the nitrogen ice explanation. That is still speculative. There have been no detections of nitrogen outgassing from Oumuamua or any other comet.

3I/Atlas is outgassing water, but not species like CN typically seen in other comets.
https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.04675

TESS claims to have observed it 55 days before it was discovered by ATLAS
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.02499

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.02777
This paper states:
"we detected no dis-cernible gas emission from canonical cometary species (CN, C3, C2, CO+, [OI])" ( I assume that the species they mention are breakdown products of carbon monoxide, carbon dioxide and hydrogen cyanide.)
 They go on to say, " the paradoxical situation of early onset coma without evidence of sublimation tracers, calls for other dust-liberating mechanisms that ancient ISOs may be subjected to at large heliocentric distances."

« Last Edit: 08/15/2025 06:34 pm by Don2 »

Offline Blackstar

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #62 on: 08/12/2025 08:06 pm »
It took months before somebody suggested the nitrogen ice explanation.

Some scientific questions take decades to answer. Look up the questions about the NICE model or the Late Heavy Bombardment.

Offline Comga

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #63 on: 08/13/2025 05:17 am »
Avi Loeb seems like a harmless crank, ..

Dr Loeb is neither a crank nor harmless.

He is a highly respected astronomer.  Even on the topic of “Unidentified Aerial Phenomena” his Project Galileo is a hypothesis neutral attempt to gain controlled open source observational data to examine.

On the other hand, in an age where Joe Rogan is looked to for explanations by millions and thousands are spouting off with unsupported conjectures, he is contributing to the distrust of science by waging a holy war of words against the well considered consensus.  No one is going to prevent him from speaking but we wish he would be more tempered.

Note that being a respected cosmologist doesn’t prevent him from making a fundamental mistake about astronomical imaging, and nothing prevents him from admitting his error.  In fact, nothing excuses his not admitting it and apologizing with similar volume to that of his erroneous, and snarky, comments.

Quote
I don't see a run on tin foil hats right now.
You don’t?
They are all the rage here in the US!

Quote
It took months before somebody suggested the nitrogen ice explanation.
But that is a rational natural explanation.  We have seen an enormous mass of nearly pure solid nitrogen and we know chunks are knocked off into space.
Have some patience
Edit:
Quote
"I trained 4 years to run 9 seconds and people give up when they don't see results in 2 months." —Usain Bolt. On this day in 2009, he set the world record for the 100m: 9.58 seconds, at the 2009 IAAF World Championships in Berlin. In 16 years, nobody has come close to breaking his mark.


Quote
There have been no detections of nitrogen outgassing from Oumuamua or any other comet.
There cannot be nitrogen on any periodic comet or one that has spent much time closer to the Sun than Saturn.  Plus nitrogen doesn’t have strong emission lines in the visible or near-infrared.  It is not clear that observations of 1I would have seen them.

And remember, it’s not aliens  ;)
« Last Edit: 08/14/2025 01:39 am by Comga »
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Offline Apollo22

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #64 on: 08/13/2025 10:34 am »
And remember, it’s not aliens  ;)



Somebody needs to re-do that meme with Loeb.


« Last Edit: 08/13/2025 10:42 am by Apollo22 »

Offline Star One

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #65 on: 08/13/2025 11:49 am »
Avi Loeb seems like a harmless crank, ..

Dr Loeb is neither a crank nor harmless.

He is a highly respected astronomer.  Even on the topic of “Unidentified Aerial Phenomena” his Project Galileo is a hypothesis neutral attempt to gain controlled open source observational data to examine.

On the other hand, in an age where Joe Rogan is looked to for explanations by millions and thousands are spouting off with unsupported conjectures, he is contributing to the distrust of science by waging a holy war of words against the well considered consensus.  No one is going to prevent him from speaking but we wish he would be more tempered.

Note that being a respected cosmologist doesn’t prevent him from making a fundamental mistake about astronomical imaging, and nothing prevents him from admitting his error.  In fact, nothing excuses his not admitting it and apologizing with similar volume to that of his erroneous, and snarky, comments.

Quote
I don't see a run on tin foil hats right now.
You don’t?
They are all the rage here in the US!

Quote
It took months before somebody suggested the nitrogen ice explanation.
But that is a rational natural explanation.  We have seen an enormous mass of nearly pure solid nitrogen and we know chunks are knocked off into space.
Have some patience

Quote
There have been no detections of nitrogen outgassing from Oumuamua or any other comet.
There cannot be nitrogen on any periodic comet or one that has spent much time closer to the Sun than Saturn.  Plus nitrogen doesn’t have strong emission lines in the visible or near-infrared.  It is not clear that observations of 1I would have seen them.

And remember, it’s not aliens  ;)
As I said above I think he’s being loud as that appears to be the only way to be heard in the present circumstances.

Offline sstli2

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #66 on: 08/13/2025 12:12 pm »
And as I said above, there was nothing of value to be heard from him on this matter. His conjecture turned out to baseless, misleading, and wholly incorrect.

This is not how science works. Crying wolf so you get attention.

Another day, another commentary on the Loeb episode that once again does not paint him in a good light. This time by astrophysicist Hector Socas-Navarro: https://tinieblasyestrellas.blogspot.com/2025/08/3iatlas-cat-on-my-balcony.html?m=1

The consensus of the scientific community is clear with regard to this matter.

Offline Don2

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #67 on: 08/14/2025 07:32 am »
There cannot be nitrogen on any periodic comet or one that has spent much time closer to the Sun than Saturn.  Plus nitrogen doesn’t have strong emission lines in the visible or near-infrared.  It is not clear that observations of 1I would have seen them.

So if it is molecular nitrogen, is there anyway to detect that remotely or would a flyby be needed? I can't think of any cases of nitrogen being detected spectroscopically.

Another theory is that it is molecular hydrogen. There's a 21cm radio line. There is hydrogen-alpha emission. And I think hydrogen absorbs in the far ultra-violet. I don't know if any of those would work. It is also possible that 3I will never show any non-gravitational acceleration, so there won't be any point in looking for a cause.

Quote
On the other hand, in an age where Joe Rogan is looked to for explanations by millions and thousands are spouting off with unsupported conjectures, he is contributing to the distrust of science...

I think people look to Rogan for entertainment and affirmation. Many prefer comfortable fantasies to inconvenient truths. Then they gravitate to voices who tell them how right they are and how stupid and wrong people who disagree with them are. There are several businesses built on doing that. That is a difficult environment for science.


Offline Apollo22

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #68 on: 08/14/2025 02:56 pm »
Number of people who would have heard about 3I/ATLAS if Loeb had stayed silent: 𝐱
Number of people who have heard about 3I/ATLAS: 𝐤 × 𝐱
𝐤 >> 1

There is no point in making 3I/ATLAS "popular" if it means saying very stupid things about it. Put otherwise: there are already waaaay too much dumbarse conspirationists everywhere, without Avi Loeb churning his own conspiracy-like theories.
As a scientist, he has a responsability not fueling the conspiracy bonefire. Loeb theories can only fuels stupid UFO pseudo-science.
« Last Edit: 08/14/2025 02:58 pm by Apollo22 »

Offline sstli2

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #69 on: 08/14/2025 03:04 pm »
Optimizing for popularity and public awareness is not the mandate of scientists, but of politicians and policymakers.

Science operates by a certain set of principles. For example, the scientific method (create a hypothesis, test it, statistically prove it is correct), and scholarly discourse (question results, peer review them, and only establish them as truth once they are confirmed).

In today's episode of attention-seeking behavior, Avi Loeb introduces a scale, that he names after himself, to categorize interstellar objects by the likelihood they represent alien artifacts: https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.09167

He goes as far to suggest that the recent 3I/Atlas is a 4 on this so-called "Loeb scale", which, per his own assessment, is an "Anomaly Meeting Potential Technosignature Criteria":

Quote from: Anomaly Meeting Potential Technosignature Criteria
Non-gravitational acceleration exceeding cometary models. Spectral signatures absent in known asteroid taxonomy, including anomalous spectrum inconsistent with solar reflection. Albedo variations inconsistent with known materials. Deviation from Keplerian hyperbolic orbit inconsistent with outgassing models. Unusual shape inferred from lightcurve of reflected sunlight. Trajectory anomalously aligned with planetary orbital planes or selective inner planet targeting.


Offline matthewkantar

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #70 on: 08/15/2025 03:39 am »
Loeb is a scientist and also an educator. There's this theory in education that students will learn better if a subject attracts their attention and captures their interest. An introductory chemistry teacher uses the 'magic trick' of turning a clear liquid dubbed water into a red liquid dubbed wine and then magically turning it back into water again, all just by adding a few sprinkles of powder.

Nope, it's not (pure) water and it's definitely not wine. Nor is 3I/ATLAS aliens. The students quickly realize those liquids aren't water and wine and yet the trick captures their attention long enough for a little knowledge to maybe get in. Participants in this forum aren't the learners inhabiting the social media venue where Loeb is performing this pedagogical trick. That doesn't mean one of those learners whose attention is captured by imaginary aliens won't one day become an astrophysicist doing important work on interstellar objects. We all start somewhere.

So we should expect Loeb to tell the public his schtick was a trick for our own good and the cannonade of bologna was in our pedagogical interest? Cue the Jeopardy music.

Offline jebbo

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #71 on: 08/15/2025 07:10 am »
Can we please stop discussing Loeb. It is adding zero value to the thread.

--- Tony

Offline MickQ

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #72 on: 08/15/2025 09:25 am »
Can we please stop discussing Loeb. It is adding zero value to the thread.

--- Tony

DITTO  !!

Online catdlr

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #73 on: 08/15/2025 02:32 pm »
Yeah, and I suggest that people voluntarily go back and delete their comments about Loeb and clean up this thread. Make it much more focused on the topic. I did that a week ago.

Blackstar,  if they don't let me know with what string of posts and I'll do that for you.
PSA #3:  Paywall? View this video on how-to temporary Disable Java-Script: youtu.be/KvBv16tw-UM
A golden rule from Chris B:  "focus on what is being said, not disparage people who say it."

Offline Star One

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #74 on: 08/23/2025 07:09 pm »
He held off making the video as he doesn’t like making videos about people. Especially as he’s a colleague with many, many papers. He’s going to look at the substance of Loeb’s claims  and go through them.

The Interstellar Object 3I/ATLAS, Avi Loeb and Aliens:


Online Eric Hedman

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #75 on: 08/24/2025 06:08 am »
He held off making the video as he doesn’t like making videos about people. Especially as he’s a colleague with many, many papers. He’s going to look at the substance of Loeb’s claims  and go through them.

The Interstellar Object 3I/ATLAS, Avi Loeb and Aliens:


My only comment is Wow!

Offline bolun

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #76 on: 08/26/2025 05:21 pm »
NASA’s New SPHEREx Mission Observes Interstellar Comet

August 25, 2025

NASA’s SPHEREx (Spectro-Photometer for the History of the Universe, Epoch of Reionization and Ices Explorer) observed interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS Aug. 7 to Aug. 15. The SPHEREx team has been analyzing insights from this data, and a research note is available online. The agency’s SPHEREx is one of NASA’s space telescopes observing this comet, together providing more information about its size, physical properties, and chemical makeup. For example, NASA’s Webb and Hubble space telescopes also recently observed the comet. While the comet poses no threat to Earth, NASA’s space telescopes help support the agency’s ongoing mission to find, track, and better understand solar system objects.

https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/3iatlas/2025/08/25/nasas-new-spherex-mission-observes-interstellar-comet

Credits: NASA/SPHEREx

Offline bolun

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #77 on: 08/26/2025 05:24 pm »
NASA’s Webb Space Telescope Observes Interstellar Comet

August 25, 2025

NASA’s James Webb Space Telescope observed interstellar comet 3I/ATLAS Aug. 6, with its Near-Infrared Spectrograph instrument. The research team has been analyzing insights from Webb’s data, and a preprint is available online. Webb is one of NASA’s space telescopes observing this comet, together providing more information about its size, physical properties, and chemical makeup. For example, NASA’s Hubble Space Telescope and the recently launched SPHEREx mission have also observed the comet. While the comet poses no threat to Earth, NASA’s space telescopes help support the agency’s ongoing mission to find, track, and better understand solar system objects.

https://science.nasa.gov/blogs/3iatlas/2025/08/25/nasas-webb-space-telescope-observes-interstellar-comet

Credit: NASA/James Webb Space Telescope

Offline bolun

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #78 on: 08/26/2025 05:30 pm »
JWST detection of a carbon dioxide dominated gas coma surrounding interstellar object 3I/ATLAS

Quote
Preprint of our article submitted to ApJ Letters on 2025-08-25, describing the first results from our JWST NIRSpec campaign for 3I/ATLAS, at an inbound heliocentric distance of 3.32 au.

https://zenodo.org/records/16941949
« Last Edit: 08/26/2025 05:32 pm by bolun »

Offline bolun

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Re: Interstellar objects
« Reply #79 on: 08/26/2025 05:48 pm »
SPHEREx Discovery of Strong Water Ice Absorption and an Extended Carbon Dioxide Coma in 3I/ATLAS

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2508.15469

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