Author Topic: FAILURE: Space One KAIROS LV second launch - December 18, 2024 (02:00 UTC)  (Read 37743 times)

Offline Galactic Penguin SST

The NET December 14 launch date is reported by various Japanese media outlets including NHK: https://www3.nhk.or.jp/kansai-news/20241008/2000088175.html
No official announcements just yet.

Per Space One's CEO back in August, this Flight 2 will apparently carry a 50 kg micro-satellite + 4 3U cubesats, details are still TBD. Target orbit will be 500 km altitude SSO with the upper stage planned to be de-orbited after end of mission.

https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1827614678085988400

https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1827615229091705162

« Last Edit: 12/16/2024 03:25 am by Galactic Penguin SST »
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

The December 14 launch date is now officially confirmed, with a 02:00-02:20 UTC launch window.
https://www.ihi.co.jp/all_news/2024/aeroengine_space_defense/1201076_13682.html
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Offline TheKutKu

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Some pictures of the Second model of Kairos LV from a Japanese TV documentary.

https://x.com/mageshiman1025/status/1865651531506499635

Offline Galactic Penguin SST

I managed to get a list of 4 of the 5 planned payloads here: https://note.com/celestial_worlds/n/n56bdbbfb6c28

* TATARA-1 (TerraSpace Inc., Kyotanabe, Japan; https://terraspace.jp; ~50 kg) - hosting various technology demonstrations, including a laser reflector in cooperation with JAXA and their own made cubesat deployers, 2 x 3U & 1 x 6U (apparently without using real satellites)

* SC-Sat1 (Space Cubics, Sapporo, Japan; https://spacecubics.com/english; 3U cubesat) - testing of self-built spacecraft on-board computer board

* PARUS-T1A (Taiwan Space Agency/Pyras Technology; apparently related to "8U CubeSat Constellation - Remote Sensing and Communication" project listed in https://www.tasa.org.tw/en-US/missions/detail/43eec19f-e76f-4b85-b8c7-ea6d7474fa6c; 3U cubesat) - testing of remote sensing and communication payloads; similar cubesat PARUS-T1 is apparently going up also soon NET mid-January, probably on SpaceX Falcon 9/Transporter 12

* ISHIKI (Hiroo Gakuen high school, Tokyo, Japan; 3U cubesat)

* 1 unidentified 3U cubesat

The mission timeline for this launch towards 500 km SSO is as follows:

* T+02:28 1st stage separation
* T+02:55 Fairing separation
* T+04:40 2nd stage separation
* T+07:50 3rd stage separation
* T+53:35-T+54:01 Payload separation
« Last Edit: 12/10/2024 04:01 am by Galactic Penguin SST »
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Space One reported today they are still tracking for a December 14 launch with a 02:00:00 UTC T-0.
https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1867044001876168957
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Offline Tywin

https://twitter.com/Kosmograd_Info/status/1867044529066610830

Quote from: Google translate
Space One provided us with images of the satellite mounted on the Kairos Rocket No. 2.
The topmost satellite is Terraspace's "TATARA-1." The four long, black boxes below it are microsatellite release mechanisms, each housing a 3U CubeSat.

Provided by Space One
« Last Edit: 12/13/2024 09:11 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Official live stream:

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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Space One reported today they are still tracking for a December 14 launch with a 02:00:00 UTC T-0.
https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1867044001876168957

And still on track as of this minute:

https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1867689909848617093
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Offline Int.RocketLaunches

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https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1867732255009124682
Quote from: Google translate
[Space One 12/14 9:38 announcement]
・The second GO/NG decision was made, and the launch was GO. ・Launch time was 11:00:00 a.m.

The next announcement will be made on December 14, 2024 at around 10:53 a.m. with the "final GO/NG decision"
#nvslive #KAIROS #kairosF2
« Last Edit: 12/14/2024 12:06 am by zubenelgenubi »

Offline Galactic Penguin SST

« Last Edit: 12/14/2024 12:51 am by Galactic Penguin SST »
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1867779707695247772

Scrub was due to excessive high altitude (10 km) winds.

https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1867780078605922373

A 24 hours recycle is apparently possible with the decision to be made in the next few hours.
« Last Edit: 12/14/2024 02:59 am by Galactic Penguin SST »
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1867779707695247772

Scrub was due to excessive high altitude (10 km) winds.

https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1867780078605922373

A 24 hours recycle is apparently possible with the decision to be made in the next few hours.

Confirmed they are re-trying tomorrow:

https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1867815017439277156
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

* PARUS-T1A (Taiwan Space Agency/Pyras Technology; apparently related to "8U CubeSat Constellation - Remote Sensing and Communication" project listed in https://www.tasa.org.tw/en-US/missions/detail/43eec19f-e76f-4b85-b8c7-ea6d7474fa6c; 3U cubesat) - testing of remote sensing and communication payloads; similar cubesat PARUS-T1 is apparently going up also soon NET mid-January, probably on SpaceX Falcon 9/Transporter 12

Some clarification from TASA about PARUS-T1A: the cubesat is actually built in-house and will serve as a prototype platform for hoisting various domestic company/organization technological demonstrations, as well as some satellite communication tests.

Source (in Chinese): https://www.facebook.com/100064906441054/posts/986003436906529/?mibextid=wwXIfr&rdid=ZZNtmFgZZz6FEUdF#
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

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Offline Mark McCombs

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Looks like a scrub.
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Scrub reason is "same as yesterday's", i.e. high altitude winds.
Next launch attempt will be decided NET tomorrow. (edit: NET December 18, see below)

https://twitter.com/Kosmograd_Info/status/1868117542461636771

https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1868129821269897536
« Last Edit: 12/15/2024 05:30 am by Galactic Penguin SST »
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Stream for attempt 3:

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Offline jcm

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Launch occurred at 0200 UTC
No problems in at least the initial ascent...
-----------------------------

Jonathan McDowell
http://planet4589.org

Offline Mark McCombs

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Tough break.  Looked good to start though.  Progress.
Couldn't tell how close they were to staging or, if that was the problem.
« Last Edit: 12/18/2024 01:06 am by Mark McCombs »
"Are you sure you want to go to Red Alert, Sir? It does mean changing the bulb." - Kryten
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Offline russianhalo117

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Tough break.  Looked good to start though.  Progress.
Towards the end of the first stage burn the launcher was listing to one side while travelling straight. At burnout orientation control was lost.

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Tough break.  Looked good to start though.  Progress.
Towards the end of the first stage burn the launcher was listing to one side while travelling straight. At burnout orientation control was lost.

Figured it was closed to staging.
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Offline Asteroza

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So, possible gradual TVC failure, or if the recent Epsilon second stage test fires are any indication, a burnthru incident perhaps?

The spiral exhaust pattern, was that before or after staging?

Offline russianhalo117

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So, possible gradual TVC failure, or if the recent Epsilon second stage test fires are any indication, a burnthru incident perhaps?

The spiral exhaust pattern, was that before or after staging?
Burnout into coast phase the programmed staging time was never reached before the flight was terminated. The launcher appears to use the sounding rocket method of burn and coast with lower stages jettisoned upon upper stage activation and ignition.

Potentially TVC was exhausted around burnout with Upper stages not having been handed over control by the flight computer at that time.

Maybe a burn through by the way it flew straight with a controlled list until near/around the scheduled burnout time.
« Last Edit: 12/18/2024 01:25 am by russianhalo117 »

Offline Asteroza

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So, possible gradual TVC failure, or if the recent Epsilon second stage test fires are any indication, a burnthru incident perhaps?

The spiral exhaust pattern, was that before or after staging?
Burnout into coast phase the programmed staging time was never reached before the flight was terminated. The launcher appears to use the sounding rocket method of burn and coast with lower stages jettisoned upon upper stage activation and ignition.

Potentially TVC was exhausted around burnout with Upper stages not having been handed over control by the flight computer at that time.

Maybe a burn through by the way it flew straight with a controlled list until near/around the scheduled burnout time.

I thought this was an electric TVC system though...

Offline russianhalo117

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So, possible gradual TVC failure, or if the recent Epsilon second stage test fires are any indication, a burnthru incident perhaps?

The spiral exhaust pattern, was that before or after staging?
Burnout into coast phase the programmed staging time was never reached before the flight was terminated. The launcher appears to use the sounding rocket method of burn and coast with lower stages jettisoned upon upper stage activation and ignition.

Potentially TVC was exhausted around burnout with Upper stages not having been handed over control by the flight computer at that time.

Maybe a burn through by the way it flew straight with a controlled list until near/around the scheduled burnout time.

I thought this was an electric TVC system though...
TVC battery could have been used up due to extreme demand. Post launch conference is coming up soon in two hours or so of this posting so they might release some preliminary information.
« Last Edit: 12/18/2024 01:32 am by russianhalo117 »

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Launch (Failure) Highlight video:

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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

You can see from this independent angle of the launch that attitude control seems to be lost at around T+1:30. I'm not sure that's right after 1st stage burn out but it's plausible:

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Offline russianhalo117

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Offline Asteroza

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Looks like the press conference started


Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Key points from the press conference, or as much as I could have made it out from others’ notes: (see e.g. https://x.com/ohnuki_tsuyoshi/status/1869255776017190933 and https://x.com/nvslive/status/1869255988135825751)

* A Thrust Vector Control (TVC) failure occurred on the first stage motor nozzle at T+1:20, before 1st stage burnout (~T+1:30)

* 1st stage separation (T+2:21), 2nd stage ignition (T+2:22) & fairing separation (T+2:48) did occur.

* FTS was activated at T+3:07 after the vehicle strayed off course towards the west, at about 100 km altitude. Maximum altitude reached was 110.7 km.

* 1st stage SRM burn itself was normal.

* Space One themselves have set some “stage goals” for the KAIROS flight test(s), this time completing up to Stage 3 (fairing separation).
« Last Edit: 12/18/2024 07:43 am by Galactic Penguin SST »
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Offline Satori

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Did anyone get the name of the fifth satellite on board?

Offline StraumliBlight

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Did anyone get the name of the fifth satellite on board?

Second Kairos launch fails

Quote
This launch was carrying five small satellites from the Taiwan Space Agency and Japanese companies Lagrapo, Space Cubics and Terra Space, as well as a customer that Space One said wished to remain anonymous.

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So the TVC failed on the 1st, but it seems it was the 2nd stage that went off course?

(If it was already off course after the TVC failure, wouldn't the FTS have triggered then?)

Offline edkyle99

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So the TVC failed on the 1st, but it seems it was the 2nd stage that went off course?

(If it was already off course after the TVC failure, wouldn't the FTS have triggered then?)
Vehicle was spiraling during the 52 second coast between first stage burnout and second stage ignition, but was probably close to planned velocity and direction at that point because the issue only appeared during the final seconds of the first stage burn.  When Stage 2 ignited, the rocket may still have been spiraling, magnifying the disparity.  (Also, of course, the velocity loss would be magnified as time passed.)  I'm not sure how the vehicle is controlled during coast, but the spiral did not appear to be being damped out.

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/19/2024 12:08 am by edkyle99 »

Offline sandha

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Quote
* FTS was activated at T+3:07 after the vehicle strayed off course towards the west, at about 100 km altitude. Maximum altitude reached was 110.7 km.

It's my impression that the Flight Termination System is automatic (seems to recall something to this effect during the earlier March llaunch attempt). Is this still true on the second launch? Also, regarding the quoted 110.7 km figure, I wonder if this was the altitude at which flight termination occurred or does it include altitude gained post-termination due to residual upward velocity and recorded by the instruments?

Offline Asteroza

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There was an interesting comment elsewhere of possible ejecta at T+33secs. If people have access to high rez videos from multiple angles, can anyone confirm? There seems to rumors of nozzle damage as well, which fits with the TVC being overworked (and finally giving up) hypothesis...

Offline Steven Pietrobon

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I didn't see anything abnormal at T+33 s.

Burnout at T+1 minutes 30 seconds.

The rocket still seems to be burning at T+1 minute and 33 seconds, with the rocket body at nearly 90 degrees to the flight path!
Akin's Laws of Spacecraft Design #1:  Engineering is done with numbers.  Analysis without numbers is only an opinion.

Offline erikkulu

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Did anyone get the name of the fifth satellite on board?

The fifth satellite could be NARIT Cube-1 (NARIT-Cube1) from Thailand by National Astronomical Research Institute, based on Spaceth.co post on Facebook https://www.facebook.com/share/p/14vzk8BP2x/ and article https://spaceth.co/narit-exhibition-with-tcp/.

They had a paper at this years IAC conference but the launcher does not seem to be mentioned https://iafastro.directory/iac/archive/browse/IAC-24/B4/IP/86542/.
« Last Edit: 12/28/2024 06:44 am by erikkulu »

Offline Galactic Penguin SST

I forgot to post this when it happened, but during a local event near the launch site on August 31, Space One representatives have reported that this launch failed after the 1st stage Solid Rocket Motor nozzle's Thrust Vectoring Control system’s pitch sensor started sending erroneous signals. This will be fixed for the next launch with new sensors and some re-design to electrical wire harness locations etc.

https://twitter.com/nvslive/status/1962039859025199539
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