It's looking more and more probable that Milton will bring half a foot of rain (or more) Tuesday-Wednesday next week. Make preparations if you are in the probable path and there's anything you can actually do to prepare.
Oceangoing vessels greater than 500 GT ITC, including oceangoing tugs and barges greater than 500 GT ITC, already in port or arriving during PORT CONDITION X-RAY shall continue with preparations and safely depart the port before the setting of PORT CONDITION ZULU.
Data from both Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that Milton has strengthened to a category 4 hurricane. The maximum sustained winds are estimated to be 150 mph (240 km/h). Milton is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Data from the aircraft also indicate that the minimum pressure has fallen to 940 mb (27.76 inches).
Cape Kennedy, the VAB cannot withstand winds over about 140-150 mph. The metal covering will begin to peal off. This may be a big one, but it is coming from the west and has to cross Florida to get to Cape Kennedy.
Seems the latest forecast is much worse - most of the Florida peninsula being under Hurricane warning.
ISS overflight of Hurricane Milton (Cat. 5) https://youtube.com/watch?v=oeoeTUXH0GY
If you look at the linked image, you can see why Tampa Bay could get a huge surge, especially if timing with the tides and location end up as a worst case. All that purple on-shore flow will push water up into the bay and that will combine with the low pressure to make a large increase in sea level.https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hwrf/2024100806/hwrf_mslp_wind_14L_18.png
Perhaps more importantly, wind speed probability charts show >50% chance of >50 kt winds and >80% chance of tropical storm force winds there.
I'm about halfway between coasts and expect to be in the bulls eye Wednesday evening to early Thursday. Seems like a cat2 or strong cat1 by then. Should be interesting here, but hopefully less interesting by the time it .reaches the space coast.
According to the National Hurricane Center Milton is back to a Cat 5.
In addition to the thousands (>10k) of Starlink kits we are delivering in response to Hurricane Helene, the @Starlink team and @TMobile activated our Direct to Cell satellites to provide emergency alerts for all phones and carriers of those in affected areas. The @FCC has also rapidly approved emergency special temporary authority for coverage in Florida ahead of Hurricane Milton. We have now enabled basic texting (SMS) for those on T-Mobile phones in hurricane affected areas. Text messages have already been sent and received. You can text loved ones, text 911 and continue to receive emergency alerts. If a phone connects to a Starlink satellite, it will have 1 to 2 bars of signal and show "T-Mobile SpaceX" in the network name. Users may have to manually retry text messages if they don't go through at first, as this is being delivered on a best-effort basis. The service works best outdoors, and occasionally works indoors near a window.
The current prediction is that the hurricane patch will drop slightly south of the Cape.
The NHC has just issued their 11am #Milton advisory
Timelapse of Hurricane Milton filmed from space around 80 minutes ago as it surged towards Florida with maximum speeds of 160mph. Captured by our 4K cameras on the ISS09 October 2024
Hurricane Milton: I resurrected an old infographic of mine and thought I would share it so folks could understand the science of nature's fury. In my part of the world, we call them cyclones, they may spin the other way but their paths can be equally destructive. God bless and be safe.
12PM #Milton Position update: Have multiple ways to receive weather warnings throughout the event. Visit http://hurricanes.gov for the latest
1:54 AM | A rare and historic event is unfolding across parts of east central Florida. Preparations should be near completion! The tornado and flooding rainfall threat are rapidly increasing this afternoon well ahead of landfall on the Florida west coast.
1PM EDT #Milton Position update: Tropical-storm-force winds are just offshore the west coast of Florida. Now is the time to stay inside and away from windows.
#Milton is the fastest Atlantic hurricane to intensify from a Tropical Depression to a Category 5 Hurricane, taking just over 48 hours. This animation shows Milton as it intensified, with the heaviest rains (red) concentrated near the center. https://go.nasa.gov/3zUHi7Z
2:48 PM | All red-highlighted areas on this map are under a Tornado WARNING. As you can see, this is a large portion of east central Florida. Please have multiple ways to receive warnings and seek shelter if a warning is issued for your location!
Quote2:48 PM | All red-highlighted areas on this map are under a Tornado WARNING. As you can see, this is a large portion of east central Florida. Please have multiple ways to receive warnings and seek shelter if a warning is issued for your location!
It’s time to shelter-in-place from #Milton. Tropical-storm force winds, flooding rains, and tornadoes are spreading inland across FL. Unless a life-threatening situation arises, stay indoors and follow updates.
Big tornado wrecking havoc on southwest Florida. Fort Myers and north fort Myers specifically.
Kennedy has entered HURCON I ahead of Hurricane #Milton's approach.The center is now closed, with the exception of essential emergency response personnel and Ride Out Team members.For more updates, continue to check our Operating Status: https://go.nasa.gov/4h0t06A
Those tornado warnings are right along where a lot of space coast employees live. I hope they are safe.
Parts of Brevard County are currently experiencing winds and rain from Hurricane Milton.At this time, you should be finished with preparations. Now is the time to stay inside your chosen shelter and wait out the storm.
Quote from: catdlr on 10/09/2024 06:53 pmQuote2:48 PM | All red-highlighted areas on this map are under a Tornado WARNING. As you can see, this is a large portion of east central Florida. Please have multiple ways to receive warnings and seek shelter if a warning is issued for your location!For those of you who are not familiar with the NWS nomenclature, a tornado WARNING means that an actual tornado has been sighted. This is not just a general caution. This is also why the map shows a bunch of specific areas. The whole much larger area is under a tornado WATCH.
All of Brevard County is currently under a Tornado Watch, and parts of Brevard are under a Tornado Warning as Hurricane Milton impacts Florida.We want to remind our residents and visitors of the difference between a watch and warning.
Storm drains at the KSC Press Site are already full and starting to flood into the parking lot... nsf.live/spacecoast
This is bad....Tropicana Field was turned into a hurricane shelter with thousands of beds. The hurricane ripped the roof off of it. Looks like the structure is okay just the fabric is gone. I hope everyone is okay.
Milton moving off. So far, all of our people we’ve been able to contact are ok. The Base is still closed, so limited info on the facilities. Fingers crossed.
.@NASAKennedy is still closed, but the worst is over! The Ride Out Team just decided it is safe to go out for an initial assessment of the Center.
Cape Canaveral Space Force Station is now in RECON 2 in response to Hurricane Milton. This means that the initial damage assessment& safety hazard mitigation are complete. The HRT and APPOINTED mission essential personnel are beginning to restore critical infrastructure.
ONLY APPOINTED mission essential personnel will have access to enter Cape Canaveral Space Force Station at this time.CCSFS currently does not have potable water. All personnel reporting to the installation are advised to bring their own water source.
Jeez - go look at the track in post 2 of this thread from four days ago. This storm followed that exact track.Isn't it really unusual to predict the track so accurately so far out?
Quote from: Lee Jay on 10/10/2024 06:57 pmJeez - go look at the track in post 2 of this thread from four days ago. This storm followed that exact track.Isn't it really unusual to predict the track so accurately so far out?I think they've been pretty accurate this year. Debby and Helene were both very close to the track forecast days earlier.
