Unless they can pull out a low-cost SDLV option to keep them all funded, between now and then.I wonder where they might find one of those...
Yes. That is the plan. "We" are behind all of it. ... We "can't let Shuttle go", clearly want everything else to fail and see the only way to ever get things done is sabatage everything else and make sure the "Republicans" do our bidding. Or else. <evil laugh>
Quote from: Pheogh on 12/09/2010 09:42 pmSomeone might want to inform Marshall of that, if there is any substance to the beef Utah as with what is going on, it seems they didn't get the message the first time?They didn't. They still refuse to let go of the RSRMV. PWR refuse to let go of J-2X, even though they would actually earn more with human rating of RL-10 and SSME-e. And MSFC still has a strong contingent of "bigger than Saturn-V" Griffinites.It is MHO, but I'm fairly sure they're about to price themselves out of contention.Space-X say they can do a similar performance vehicle for a quarter of the money. And they're riding a tide of success right now. However powerful the AL/FL/LA/TX contingent is in Congress, they are ultimately outnumbered by the other 46 states and Space-X can play the deficit reduction card with all of them.This could turn into a very bitter fight. And ATK, PWR, Boeing and Lockheed could potentially be left (5+ years from now) holding little more in their hands but their family jewels.This is ultimately going to boil down to affordability. Minimum 130 ton SDLV is *NOT* an affordable option. Reality will catch up sooner or later, and with the CxP debacle fresh in memory, this will lead to a repeat failure on NASA's part. Not good Ross.
Someone might want to inform Marshall of that, if there is any substance to the beef Utah as with what is going on, it seems they didn't get the message the first time?
Quote from: kraisee on 12/09/2010 10:18 pmQuote from: Pheogh on 12/09/2010 09:42 pmSomeone might want to inform Marshall of that, if there is any substance to the beef Utah as with what is going on, it seems they didn't get the message the first time?They didn't. They still refuse to let go of the RSRMV. PWR refuse to let go of J-2X, even though they would actually earn more with human rating of RL-10 and SSME-e. And MSFC still has a strong contingent of "bigger than Saturn-V" Griffinites.It is MHO, but I'm fairly sure they're about to price themselves out of contention.Space-X say they can do a similar performance vehicle for a quarter of the money. And they're riding a tide of success right now. However powerful the AL/FL/LA/TX contingent is in Congress, they are ultimately outnumbered by the other 46 states and Space-X can play the deficit reduction card with all of them.This could turn into a very bitter fight. And ATK, PWR, Boeing and Lockheed could potentially be left (5+ years from now) holding little more in their hands but their family jewels.This is ultimately going to boil down to affordability. Minimum 130 ton SDLV is *NOT* an affordable option. Reality will catch up sooner or later, and with the CxP debacle fresh in memory, this will lead to a repeat failure on NASA's part. Not good Ross.Sounds like our President might at that point want to cancel all of NASA's human spaceflight capabilities and assets... Oh wait a sec, deja vu anyone? Cheers!
Quote from: Lars_J on 12/09/2010 09:34 pmQuote from: JohnFornaro on 12/09/2010 03:14 pmOn the plus side, with SpaceX's success, maybe it is thought that SLS can start out somewhat larger than originally planned.Unfortunately the larger SLS gets, the more expensive it gets. Which means ... increased risk of cancellation before 1st flight.Someone might want to inform Marshall ... it seems they didn't get the message the first time?
Quote from: JohnFornaro on 12/09/2010 03:14 pmOn the plus side, with SpaceX's success, maybe it is thought that SLS can start out somewhat larger than originally planned.Unfortunately the larger SLS gets, the more expensive it gets. Which means ... increased risk of cancellation before 1st flight.
On the plus side, with SpaceX's success, maybe it is thought that SLS can start out somewhat larger than originally planned.
I wonder where they might find one of those...
Yes. That is the plan. "We" are behind all of it. ...
Actually, I think a 130 ton (118 t) HLV is a good option, provided that the mission is to return to the Moon to stay followed by flights to the asteroids and Mars.
You could still potentially design a rocket that is flexible enough to fly without them for smaller missions, if necessary.I agree, it's not the way I'd do it, but it still gives *some* flexibility.
Quote from: pathfinder_01 on 12/10/2010 01:44 amWhat an evil plan....I was hoping the Ombama adminstration would restrart CXP and use the technology to build lunar reeducation camps for the republicans....<Evil laugh>That is the downside to having congress have so much control of NASA. They can create bad policy.Discounting the minor detail that there is no such thing as the Ombama administration, the current policy is very much bipartison and quite acceptable for a multitude of reasons. So if there were such "re-education camps" I suppose you could not include just one party.
What an evil plan....I was hoping the Ombama adminstration would restrart CXP and use the technology to build lunar reeducation camps for the republicans....<Evil laugh>That is the downside to having congress have so much control of NASA. They can create bad policy.
Discounting the minor detail that there is no such thing as "bipartison", I find the current spectacle of politicians designing NASA launch vehicles to insure their states get a cut of the action revolting and disheartening. Doubly so since they apparently have no regard to the affordability or sustainability of said vehicle which to top everything off has no mission and no payloads.We're well past the point where sarcasm is in order, we ought to be outraged.
Quote from: Periander on 12/10/2010 06:38 pmDiscounting the minor detail that there is no such thing as "bipartison", I find the current spectacle of politicians designing NASA launch vehicles to insure their states get a cut of the action revolting and disheartening. Doubly so since they apparently have no regard to the affordability or sustainability of said vehicle which to top everything off has no mission and no payloads.We're well past the point where sarcasm is in order, we ought to be outraged.Oops, did have a spelling mistake. Thanks for pointing that out! Sarcasm and humor I think can be kind of fun now and then, especially when one does not take posts so seriously. Don’t you?I mean, after all, I have been accused of (paraphrasing because I don't obviously remember the exact quotes) having a "narrow vision of space exploration", a "fat-cat only concerned about protecting my government-provided job", "sucking off the government-welfare state", "unable and afraid to compete", "making a well above average and more than necessary salary" (people who say this would be forced to shut up if they knew the truth) and generally not understanding this or that and the list could go on and on. Of course none of it is true, and is totally inconsequential to me in the grand scheme, but sarcasm can come naturally at times. Why have I been told this by some people? I think part of the answer is because I work on the Space Shuttle Program and argue certain misconceptions that some just like to post as if they were facts when I know quite different. Is it perfect? No, of course it isn’t. Could it all be more efficient? Yes!! But it is a program that is unlikely to be duplicated in the near-term. Most importantly, it is the program that fundamentally built the majority of ISS, which is the immediate cornerstone for much "commercial" (the more appropriate term is "public/private relationship" or something like that) activity and incentive.Why else could these things have been said? True, I have made it known I did not believe Shuttle should be retired until another resupply chain was verified as being able to replace some of the orbiter capability. Would it have taken long and resulted in "years" to the manifest? Highly unlikely, and I am on several records saying such, but it would have ensured ISS was exactly what it was intended to be making the business case for this public/private partnership that much stronger. Was it to "protect my job"? Hardly…..What else could have been behind these comments? I made it known I believed a SDLV was a viable choice for an HLV (and actually believe an HLV could be useful). Others are welcome to disagree but I gave reasons why I believed, if there was going to be an HLV, a shuttle-derived made sense to me. A SDLV is not STS in either function or cost but that is a point often overlooked. Yes, it has SRBs, and at least in my opinion, it seems "fashionable" by many on here right now that anything with those is immediately subject to scorn. Did I ever say anything else could not be used? No, of course I didn’t.Could anything else lead to some of these comments? Oh yeah! I questioned the root and practicality of the original FY2011 proposal. I thought elements of it were good, investing in the "commercial" sector for example, but did not embrace the whole 2011 package totally. Why? Well, I questioned the "how" it was to be implemented a lot and I truly believed the timing of it would cause a net loss to a lot of valuable experience across what is now CxP and STS where that experience is certainly transferrable to future applications, government or commercial. Of course, that is throughout several threads and I seriously was commenting on what I believed would provide the best health for this knowledge base, wherever it ended up being located, for those who want to stick around in this industry. So with all that, sarcasm is good every now and then, especially when others accuse others without any real merit. I mean, for example, where is your proof that politicians are "designing" launch vehicles? Do you honestly believe they were running calculations, simulations, etc? Of course they aren’t, especially since NASA believes they can "evaluate the trade space" and multiple study contracts have been issued to companies that are not involved in STS. Let’s explore your comment further. Do you have any proof that NASA or the government "have no regard to the affordability or sustainability"? Notes on L2 would seem to indicate otherwise. Clearly CxP was a bit of a disaster but no contracts have been issued for SLS showing this, no accounts have been robbed for SLS, etc. Let’s also discuss "mission and payloads". If the SLS becomes EELV-derived, or even from SpaceX, will payloads and missions suddenly appear instantaneously? Nope. And frankly, the suggestion and assumption that the cost of DDT&E, etc will be cheaper with one of them, allowing for all this money to be freed up, is not known because the exact requirements, how it will be managed and the contracting mechanism for all of these and others are unknown. It "levels the playing field" to a certain extent with all these options. Presumably, those options are being evaluated and perhaps we will know something more concrete soon. Finally, it is completely illogical to assume that congress will not be interested in their states "getting a cut of the action". Fact is that is part of the reason they are there. Not a perfect system but better than others. I also ask that if EELV becomes SLS, will Colorado's representation be lumped into this category? If SpaceX gets SLS, what about California's representation? With respect to "commercial", there will be others out to protect their "cut of the action". You can already see this with Virginia's reps. It's not a "bad thing", it simply is what it is. So, I hear what you are saying in the most basic sense, but sarcasm is fine and if one is to be outraged we should make sure we apply that outrage equally and legitimately. In the end, I don't care anymore. I just want to see some positive steps forward, decisions made to finally leave Earth and personally know when I become unemployed for sure and finish the STS Program in a manner it deserves. Sorry for the lengthy post, have a good weekend everyone.
Maybe some loudly complaining folks don't really want to see America and other nations building bases on the Moon and mining Lunar resources.
The Direct Team came up with a great plan to get us back to the Moon. The President didn't. Congress is trying.
1. As to, "the current spectacle of politicians designing NASA launch vehicles to insure their states get a cut of the action revolting and disheartening", it is far more likely that Congressional debate and action will produce a far more workable space policy than would the President's clearly expressed desire to throw out the window the SSME, Orion, and NASA's experienced launch crews and network of human spaceflight contractors. 2. Jim's continued defense of the President's dismantling attempt and lack of leadership for NASA's LEO and BLEO Orion replacement spacecraft for the Space Shuttles is quite strange. Some folks are happy with the hidden motives and politics of various presidents and their strange nonfunctional leadership provided to NASA, but unhappy about Congressional discussions that are aimed at gettiing NASA a functional and nationally supported SLS to take humans back to the Moon... That is a bit of contradiction. Or maybe it isn't. Maybe some loudly complaining folks don't really want to see America and other nations building bases on the Moon and mining Lunar resources.
Congress is trying. And it's humorous to watch.
Quote from: HappyMartian on 12/11/2010 10:02 amMaybe some loudly complaining folks don't really want to see America and other nations building bases on the Moon and mining Lunar resources.Or maybe what you're defending is a fantasy, the pursuit of which will leave NASA's HSF efforts in an even worse state than they're already in, because NASA will inevitably be asked, yet again like it has been for 40 years, to achieve a goal which it doesn't have the resources for. Due to interlinked political, economic and engineering difficulties, that show no signs of improving at all, NASA hasn't even managed to develop a replacement for their LEO crew and cargo capabilities, despite years of trying. Yet people expect them to succeed in planning and executing BEO activities from the get go, when there are no signs that any of the issues that have plagued the agency over decades will be resolved. Maybe the "loudly complaining folks" are of the persuasion that this grandiose vision, that congress is supposedly pushing, will end in tears like so many other projects.Also, before Obama's administration, the US was following a more exclusionary space policy. So as much as you hate it, you have the administration to thank for changing the National Space Policy of the USA to include more international cooperation, which seems to be a recurring theme throughout your posts.QuoteThe Direct Team came up with a great plan to get us back to the Moon. The President didn't. Congress is trying.And it's humorous to watch.