Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread  (Read 507862 times)

Offline Shanuson

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1340 on: 08/23/2024 10:39 am »
Why is
Quote
2024-07-11*1935/-7   F9   1063-19   S   Starlink 9-3   LEO   ~16k   V-4E   9-354   -129   70
not marked with the partial(?) failure of the 2nd stage? At least a footnote? Or (PF) or just (F).
The other 2 missions (CRS-7 and AMOS-6) got something.

Quote
2024-07-11*1935/-7   F9   1063-19   S   Starlink 9-3 (F)   LEO   ~16k   V-4E   9-354   -129   70

Online zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1341 on: 08/28/2024 06:19 pm »
Launch constraint parameters, seeking confirmation or correction:

No launches until FAA and SpaceX investigation of B1062.23 failed landing is concluded to the satisfaction of all concerned.

Polaris Dawn must have favorable weather forecast for the end of mission splashdown.

Polaris Dawn launch NLT (~?) September 3 from LC-39A, or make way for Europa Clipper.

September 24 Crew-9 launch from SLC-40.
« Last Edit: 08/28/2024 06:29 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1342 on: 09/06/2024 11:21 pm »
I had to remove bolding in the table because it's done per cell and uses too many characters towards the post limit.  I may not be able to keep all of the current year launches in the first post much longer.

I tweaked the launch vehicle names for the current year to indicate when there is a Dragon.  I may swap the C and D designations.

Offline AC in NC

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1343 on: 09/07/2024 03:41 pm »
I had to remove bolding in the table because it's done per cell and uses too many characters towards the post limit.  I may not be able to keep all of the current year launches in the first post much longer.
Thanks for the explanation, and of course all your efforts.  My minor experience with maintaining such a table opened my eyes to how much work it is.

Noticed a nit in the Mission column:  Two x 9-367

2024-08-16  1156/-7   F9   1075-12   L   SpaceX Transporter-11   SSO   .   V-4E   9-365   -149   81
2024-08-20  0920/-4   F9   1085   S   Starlink 10-5   LEO   ~16k   C-40   9-366   -150   82
2024-08-28  0348/-4   F9   1062-23   S   Starlink 8-6   LEO   ~16k   C-40   9-367   -152   83
2024-08-31  0343/-4   F9   1069-18   S   Starlink 8-10   LEO   ~16k   C-40   9-368   -154   85
2024-08-31  0148/-7   F9   1081-9   S   Starlink 9-5   LEO   ~16k   V-4E   9-367   -155   84
2024-09-05  1133/-4   F9   1077-15   S   Starlink 8-11   LEO   ~16k   C-40   9-369   -158   86
2024-09-05*2020/-7   F9   1063-20   S   NROL-113   LEO   ~16k   V-4E   9-370   -   87

Online zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1344 on: 09/09/2024 06:40 pm »
LC-39A is open for Falcon 9 launch campaigns until 14 September, when preparations there for the Europa Clipper Falcon Heavy should begin.

Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use:

✅️ NROL-113 (Sep 6 Aug 30 3 5, SLC-4E)

✅️ Polaris Dawn (Sep 10 NET 4 NET 6 NET 7 NET 9, LC-39A)

✅️ AST SpaceMobile BlueBird Block 1 (Sep 12 early NET 13, SLC-40)

✅️ Galileo Flight 13 (Sep 17 early? NET 9 15 16, SLC-40)

✅️ Crew Dragon Crew-9 (Sep 28 24 25 26, SLC-40)

Hera (Oct 7, SLC-40)

Europa Clipper (Oct 10, LC-39A)

Koreasat 6A (late Oct NET Oct mid Oct NET 11, SLC-40)

Cargo Dragon SpX-31 (Oct 30 mid 16 late, LC-39A SLC-40)

SXM-9 (NET late? Oct NET 20, SLC-40)

Astranis Block 2 (NET late? Oct NET Sep, SLC-40?)

Transporter-12 (early Nov, SLC-4E)

Worldview Legion 5/6 (NET Nov 15 Q4, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Blue Ghost Mission 1 (Nov 16, LC-39A or SLC-40)

GSAT-20 / GSAT-N2 (Nov end of year, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Thuraya 4-NGS (Nov Q4, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Hakuto-R Mission 2 Resilience (Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Bandwagon-2 (Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Nusantara 5 (Lima) (Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Spainsat NG-I (Dec/Jan, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Fram2 (NET Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

O3b mPOWER 7/8 (Q4 late in year, LC-39A or SLC-40)

PRIME (IM-2) (Jan 1-5, LC-39A)

Cargo Dragon SpX-32 (NET late Feb Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

SDA T1TL-A (Q2 2025 after SDA T1TL-B end of year fall, SLC-4E)

NROL-69 (2025 NET Q4, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Edited through September and early October.

LC-39A availability for Falcon 9 launches becomes wide open after Europa Clipper and until the IM-2 launch campaign begins.

SLC-40 appears largely spoken-for through October.

SLC-4E is generally wide open for Starlink launches through the end of the year.  The exception would be the expected SDA launches.
« Last Edit: 10/24/2024 09:47 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Online StraumliBlight

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1345 on: 09/10/2024 12:52 am »
The GPS IIIF-1 launch (previously NET October 2026) is likely delayed. [Sep 9]

Quote
As of April 2024, the program reported it was investigating four mission data unit technical issues. The program’s efforts to resolve these technical challenges resulted in revisions to the program’s projected satellite deliveries. These revisions delayed the first two satellites by an average of 10 months and the remaining eight satellites under contract by an average of 17 months. The first delivery of a GPS IIIF satellite, previously projected for February 2026, is now slated for November 2026.

Quote
This baseline schedule established the earliest delivery date for the first GPS IIIF satellite as January 2028, while the latest delivery date for the satellite was established as July 2028 (this schedule was then accelerated, as discussed below). Using Space Force data, we found that if GPS IIIF satellites deliver at even the earliest date and each satellite launches 6 months after delivery, the constellation’s probability of providing 24 operational M-code-capable satellites will fall short of a 95 percent confidence level from early 2028 through late 2032.16 If satellite deliveries begin at the tail end of the range in July 2028 and each satellite launches 6 months after delivery, the constellation’s probability of providing 24 operational M-code-capable satellites will fall short of a 95 percent confidence level from early 2028 through early 2033.

Online catdlr

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Online zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1347 on: 10/08/2024 08:15 pm »
LC-39A availability for Falcon 9 launches becomes wide open after Europa Clipper and until the IM-2 launch campaign begins.

SLC-40 appears largely spoken-for through October.

SLC-4E is generally wide open for Starlink launches through the end of the year.  The exception would be the expected SDA launches.

As of this posting, all Falcon 9 launches are on hold due to the Sep 28 Crew-9 second stage re-entry burn anomaly, EXCEPT for Earth escape trajectories (Hera and Europa Clipper).

Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use; UTC:

✅️ Hera (Oct 7, SLC-40)

✅️ Europa Clipper (Oct 14 10 12 13, LC-39A)

✅️ NROL-167 (Oct 24 NET late Oct, SLC-4E)

Cargo Dragon SpX-31 (Nov 5 Oct 30 Nov 2 early Nov, LC-39A)

Koreasat 6A (early Nov late Oct NET Oct 30, SLC-40)

Transporter-12 (early Nov, SLC-4E)

Astranis Block 2 (NET Nov 12 NET late? Oct, LC-39A or SLC-40?)

Worldview Legion 5/6 (NET Nov 15, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Blue Ghost Mission 1 (Nov 16, LC-39A or SLC-40)

SXM-9 (NET Nov 24 NET late? Oct NET Oct 15 NET Nov, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Thuraya 4-NGS (NET Nov 25 Nov, LC-39A or SLC-40)

GSAT-20 / GSAT-N2 (Nov, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Optus-X (NET Nov NET Nov 4, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Bandwagon-2 (Dec wk 3/4 Dec ~Dec 3, LC-39A? or SLC-40)

Hakuto-R Mission 2 Resilience (Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Nusantara 5 (Lima) (Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Spainsat NG-I (Dec/Jan, LC-39A or SLC-40)

O3b mPOWER 7/8 (Q4, LC-39A or SLC-40)

PRIME (IM-2) (Jan 1-5, LC-39A)

Fram2 (NET Mar Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Edited through October
« Last Edit: 11/01/2024 04:10 am by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline AC in NC

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1348 on: 10/13/2024 11:31 pm »
Any thoughts of capturing the successful SH catch in the OFT-5 "Return" column?  Wasn't expecting a lonely "X" there.  ;)

Online gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1349 on: 10/13/2024 11:42 pm »
Any thoughts of capturing the successful SH catch in the OFT-5 "Return" column?  Wasn't expecting a lonely "X" there.  ;)

I was in a hurry, forgot to look at that column when I copy/pasted the last flight

Offline wannamoonbase

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1350 on: 10/24/2024 07:20 pm »
Do we really not see another Falcon Heavy until next September?

My gosh, that is a major bummer.

I wonder if Superheavy will have more flights than FH by that time?
Starship, Vulcan and Ariane 6 have all reached orbit.  New Glenn, well we are waiting!

Offline GewoonLukas_

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1351 on: 10/24/2024 07:24 pm »
Do we really not see another Falcon Heavy until next September?

My gosh, that is a major bummer.

I wonder if Superheavy will have more flights than FH by that time?

In a Europa Clipper press conference, a SpaceX representative said there are 3 "cormmercial" Falcon Heavy's scheduled to launch next year. 1 of those is Griffin Mission One, the other 2 are unclear (could be USSF-75 & USSF-70, although are those "commercial"? Otherwise there are 2 missions that we currently do not know of).
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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1352 on: 10/24/2024 07:33 pm »
Viasat could be one?

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1353 on: 10/24/2024 09:58 pm »
In a Europa Clipper press conference, a SpaceX representative said there are 3 "cormmercial" Falcon Heavy's scheduled to launch next year.

Do you have a link to the press conference?

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1354 on: 10/24/2024 10:04 pm »
In a Europa Clipper press conference, a SpaceX representative said there are 3 "cormmercial" Falcon Heavy's scheduled to launch next year.

Do you have a link to the press conference?

https://www.youtube.com/live/oEU4WEpVSlU?si=9O_AGSTeXs85W0fR&t=3000
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Online zubenelgenubi

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1355 on: 10/29/2024 04:54 am »
LC-39A availability for Falcon 9 launches becomes wide open after SpX-31 and until the IM-2 launch campaign begins.

SLC-4E is generally wide open for Starlink launches through the end of the year.  The exception would be the expected SDA/NROL launches.

Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use; UTC:

✅️ Cargo Dragon SpX-31 (Nov 5, LC-39A)

✅️ Koreasat 6A (NET Nov 11 early Nov, LC-39A SLC-40)

✅️ Optus X (NET Nov 17 NET Nov, LC-39A or SLC-40)

✅️ GSAT-20 / GSAT-N2 (Nov 18 Nov 17 NET 23 19, SLC-40 or LC-39A)

✅️ Starlink 6-76 (Nov 27 26, LC-39A)

✅️ NROL-126 (Nov 30, SLC-4E)

SXM-9 (Dec 5 Nov 24 NET Nov 28 early Dec NET 2 2 early Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

O3b mPOWER 7/8 (NET Dec 12 Q4 early Dec mid Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Astranis Block 2 (NET Dec 16 NET Nov 12 NET Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Thuraya 4-NGS (NET Dec 19 NET Nov 25 NET Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

GPS III-10 (mid? Dec early Dec, SLC-40 or LC-39A)

NROL-149 (NET mid? Dec, SLC-4E)

Bandwagon-2 (NET Dec 29 Dec wk 3/4, SLC-4E LC-39A? or SLC-40)

Nusantara 5 (Lima) (Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Transporter-12 (NET Jan 15 early Nov NET mid? Nov, SLC-4E)

Blue Ghost Mission 1 (mid Jan Nov 16 Dec 16 Jan, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Hakuto-R Mission 2 Resilience (Jan Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Spainsat NG-I (end of Jan/beginning of Feb Dec/Jan, LC-39A or SLC-40)

PRIME (IM-2) (Feb Jan 1-5, LC-39A)

Worldview Legion 5/6 (early 2025 NET Nov 15 NET Nov NET Dec, LC-39A or SLC-40)

Updated through November
« Last Edit: 11/30/2024 04:49 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Online StraumliBlight

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1356 on: 11/08/2024 04:51 pm »
Lumen Orbit's Lumen-1 cubesat launching on Bandwagon-4 (1019-EX-CN-2024) [Nov 8]

Quote
The Lumen-1 mission is a demonstrator satellite mission in support of Lumen Orbit’s goal of building an in-orbit data center for earth observation satellites and other users. Lumen-1 is Lumen Orbit’s first satellite and will demonstrate a new type of satellite service. Following these demonstrations, Lumen-1 will passively deorbit within 6 months due to its VLEO operational orbit with no debris casualty risk.

The Lumen-1 experimental spacecraft will be launched on a SpaceX Falcon 9 rideshare and inserted into a 45 +/- 1.1 degree inclination orbit with a perigee and apogee of 515 km +/- 25 km.

Quote
Launch Window Dates: 31st May - 15th October 2025
Lumen-1 Launch Configuration: Smallsat measuring 39 x 39 x 60 cm
Total spacecraft mass at launch, including all propellants and fluids: ~49.74 kg

https://twitter.com/LumenOrbit/status/1760641303044391260

Quote
Very excited to announce the launch @lumenorbit with founders @johnstonphil, @Ezrafeilden, and @AdiOltean! 😃 We are building a massive cloud compute and relay satellite constellation, with our first launch in May next year! 🛰️🛸🚀
« Last Edit: 11/08/2024 04:56 pm by StraumliBlight »

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1357 on: 11/18/2024 09:40 pm »
https://twitter.com/turkeybeaver/status/1858641077323887008

Quote
21 launches remain on the manifest in 2024 with 43 days to go

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1358 on: 11/22/2024 07:25 pm »
Is "RRT-1" a new mission in the launch manifest? (2196-EX-ST-2024)

Quote
This STA is intended to cover pre-launch testing on the RRT-1 mission. Tests involve fairing re-rad operations at Pad 40 at Cape Canaveral AFS or Pad 39A at Kennedy Space Center. This STA is not for flight.

Pre-launch checkout of TTC links for commercial payload mission, including operation of the fairing re-rad system, prior to flight.

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1359 on: 11/22/2024 07:29 pm »
Is "RRT-1" a new mission in the launch manifest?

I can't tell if it's new or just another name for a payload we already know

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