Quote from: JBF on 10/08/2012 05:31 pmHeh nice doom and gloom scenario you have here. The most likely reason for no information is that they want to be able to present all the facts.I wasn't saying the mission was a total failure, just that it could turn out to be a total failure. I'm really relieved the GNC door rumour was wrong, and I hope the Orbcomm one is too. The mission could still turn out to be a total success, though one with a very worrying anomaly. However, even now for all we know it could still end in total failure. Let's not count our Dragons before they hatch.
Heh nice doom and gloom scenario you have here. The most likely reason for no information is that they want to be able to present all the facts.
Quote from: Kabloona on 10/08/2012 06:01 pm"the fairing ruptured...due to the engine pressure release..." so they already know it wasn't aero loads that broke the fairing loose, it was "engine pressure release," which I'm not sure how to interpret...a turbopump self-destructing, or "engine pressure release" sounds synonymous to "explosion" to me. Maybe it wasn't a catastrophic explosion, but it definitely went out with a bang.
"the fairing ruptured...due to the engine pressure release..." so they already know it wasn't aero loads that broke the fairing loose, it was "engine pressure release," which I'm not sure how to interpret...a turbopump self-destructing, or
I don't understand the talk about the Orbicom satellite being in the wrong orbit. Wasn't it in Dragon's trunk? If Dragon reached the correct orbit, then so must have Orbicom. I remember seen an animation that showed the satellite in the trunk and not on the second stage. Does anybody know?
Should we start a new thread full of apologies for those who guaranteed there was an explosion? Or just sweep that under the rug?
Do we know now that the GNC door rumour is wrong?
If it is just a case of single engine failure, then the 1 in 40 engine failure rate compares well with most launchers. The arguments over the benefits of multiple engines have been discussed a lot here and are about to be settled.
Quote from: Kabloona on 10/08/2012 06:01 pm"the fairing ruptured...due to the engine pressure release..." so they already know it wasn't aero loads that broke the fairing loose, it was "engine pressure release," which I'm not sure how to interpret...a turbopump self-destructing, or "engine pressure release" sounds synonymous to "explosion" to me. Maybe it wasn't a catastrophic explosion, but it definitely went out with a bang.Think about it, if you were SpaceX, would you want to say that one of your engines "exploded"?
So was the satellite deployment a failure? I heard it was miles off of the orbit its supposed to be on!
Quote from: titanmiller on 10/08/2012 06:06 pmQuote from: Kabloona on 10/08/2012 06:01 pm"the fairing ruptured...due to the engine pressure release..." so they already know it wasn't aero loads that broke the fairing loose, it was "engine pressure release," which I'm not sure how to interpret...a turbopump self-destructing, or "engine pressure release" sounds synonymous to "explosion" to me. Maybe it wasn't a catastrophic explosion, but it definitely went out with a bang.Think about it, if you were SpaceX, would you want to say that one of your engines "exploded"? It's just a way to spin the words I guess. Technically the engine didn't explode. Instead something ruptured, possibly between the turbo pump and the engine thrust chamber, causing a pressure release that had the strength of a small explosion. This pressure release caused a pressure increase in the engine housing which ultimately resulted in the faring being blown to bits. Where you draw the line between a pressure release capable of causing structural damage and an explosion is a matter of semantics I guess
Quote from: Go4TLI on 10/08/2012 05:13 pmThe fact that the vehicle continued to orbit is indeed a good thing. The appearance of a possible engine explosion is not a good thing and I concur with Jim they got "lucky". I'm not sure just yet what I think I'm seeing in the video. It might just be an engine shutdown, which if you go back and look at the older Merlin 1C static test videos has a certain violence of its own. This happened at altitude, which can enhance plume effects, etc. On the other hand, fragments of something are visible after the shutdown. These might be structural, but are just as likely to be ice or insulation.Hopefully SpaceX will be able to fill in the blanks. - Ed Kyle
The fact that the vehicle continued to orbit is indeed a good thing. The appearance of a possible engine explosion is not a good thing and I concur with Jim they got "lucky".
Our review indicates that the fairing that protects the engine from aerodynamic loads ruptured due to the engine pressure release
Quote from: edkyle99 on 10/08/2012 05:33 pmQuote from: Go4TLI on 10/08/2012 05:13 pmThe fact that the vehicle continued to orbit is indeed a good thing. The appearance of a possible engine explosion is not a good thing and I concur with Jim they got "lucky". I'm not sure just yet what I think I'm seeing in the video. It might just be an engine shutdown, which if you go back and look at the older Merlin 1C static test videos has a certain violence of its own. This happened at altitude, which can enhance plume effects, etc. On the other hand, fragments of something are visible after the shutdown. These might be structural, but are just as likely to be ice or insulation.Hopefully SpaceX will be able to fill in the blanks. - Ed KyleWhat we need is a time line of events compared to the video.At what time was the anomaly detected? At what time did shut down occur?Was this before, after, or during the observed debris?Since the vehicle was at near max-Q I am still not convinced what we are seeing is not the aero forces ripping the engine (or nozzle) off as it shut down. A Nozzle is to a degree pressurized stabilized, just as the Atlas Balloon tank was. You shutdown the engine and you loose that stabilization and the aero forces could collapse then rip it off. Also, the structure is designed to have the engine pushing on it. The mount might not be strong enough at max-Q to support the drag from an engine that has shutdown.Have not seen anyone note that they extended the first stage burn, this means they managed to shutoff the propellant flow to the engine. If the valves had left with the engine best case they would have run out of propellants at the nominal time. So what ever happened, happened down stream of the valves. That is good.
QuoteOur review indicates that the fairing that protects the engine from aerodynamic loads ruptured due to the engine pressure releaseCould it mean that the loss of the thrust plume from engine 1 changed the flow/pressure gradient over the fairing?
I'm not so sure about semantics.A Gas Line "Rupture" is when gas flows out of it's containment vessel. A Gas Line "Explosion" is when the gas is ignited...and well...much more kinetic energy is released and much more damage is done.
Quote from: Arceus12345 on 10/08/2012 06:17 pmSo was the satellite deployment a failure? I heard it was miles off of the orbit its supposed to be on! This has not been confirmed. It's also not been confirmed whether they hit Santa Clause on the way up, or if the North Koreans shot engine 1 out .Just wait, everything will be updated, NASA nor Aerospace companies run at the Space Forum Tempo. I am sure we will have official confirmation by SpaceX or Orbcomm by Tuesday.
For those who don't approve the use of the term "explosion" we may have a new acronym: EPR - Engine Pressure Release.