Author Topic: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?  (Read 70222 times)

Offline Soaring Habu

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Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« on: 11/09/2020 12:36 pm »
Unless I'm misinterpreting, NASA's overview of Orion:

https://www.nasa.gov/exploration/systems/orion/about/index.html

seems to indicate that Orion is intended for flights to Mars, or at least the vicinity of Mars, as well as to the Moon. I'm no expert on Mars missions, but from what I've read, a Mars mission would require a one-way journey of at least six to eight months, depending on the relative positions of the Earth and Mars at the time of launch.

Given Orion's Apollo-based design, I'm wondering how Orion will be able to carry sufficient oxygen, food, fuel etc. to support four (or even two) astronauts for such a period of time?
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Offline theprotobe

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #1 on: 11/09/2020 12:56 pm »
Unless I'm misinterpreting, NASA's overview of Orion:

https://www.nasa.gov/exploration/systems/orion/about/index.html

seems to indicate that Orion is intended for flights to Mars, or at least the vicinity of Mars, as well as to the Moon. I'm no expert on Mars missions, but from what I've read, a Mars mission would require a one-way journey of at least six to eight months, depending on the relative positions of the Earth and Mars at the time of launch.

Given Orion's Apollo-based design, I'm wondering how Orion will be able to carry sufficient oxygen, food, fuel etc. to support four (or even two) astronauts for such a period of time?
This isn't what they're going to do, AFAIK. NASA will most likely use a Mars Transit Vehicle (A mini space station). This would be assembled at Gateway with Orion, then it would set off for Mars.

Offline sdsds

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #2 on: 11/09/2020 01:10 pm »
Looking at the Mars Base Camp mission design, as just one example, might help clarify the role Orion is imagined to play. https://www.lockheedmartin.com/content/dam/lockheed-martin/eo/photo/webt/Mars-Base-Camp-2028.pdf

Note for example that for the return to Earth, the astronauts leaving the vicinity of Mars are put on a trajectory towards Earth that has them entering the atmosphere at 11.5 km/s. Orion would be taken along with the astronauts to Mars so they could use it to get safely home.

 
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Offline daedalus1

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #3 on: 11/09/2020 01:18 pm »
Looking at the Mars Base Camp mission design, as just one example, might help clarify the role Orion is imagined to play. https://www.lockheedmartin.com/content/dam/lockheed-martin/eo/photo/webt/Mars-Base-Camp-2028.pdf

Note for example that for the return to Earth, the astronauts leaving the vicinity of Mars are put on a trajectory towards Earth that has them entering the atmosphere at 11.5 km/s. Orion would be taken along with the astronauts to Mars so they could use it to get safely home.

Which is best?
1 to take a heavy capsule to Mars and back or
2 to just take enough fuel to decelerate the living quarters into Earth orbit and be picked up by a commercial crew vehicle.

Offline sdsds

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #4 on: 11/09/2020 02:52 pm »
just take enough fuel to decelerate the living quarters into Earth orbit

How much do you figure that would be?
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Online Robotbeat

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #5 on: 11/09/2020 04:55 pm »
Yes, if they improve it a bit by qualifying it for longer duration and keep it attached to a much larger Mars Transfer Vehicle.

Gateway is a lot like a Mars Transfer Vehicle except with a bit too small of a propulsion element. Double or quadruple the PPE, add another module or two for more space and supplies, and you’ll have a complete Mars Transfer Vehicle. (Probably need a chemical kick stage module to speed TMI and maybe capture at a high Mars orbit.)
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Online Robotbeat

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #6 on: 11/09/2020 04:56 pm »
Actually, all that’s REALLY needed to make Gateway into a Mars Transfer Vehicle, beyond the extra modules already planned, is a beefy chemical transfer stage using some sort of low boil-off or storable chemical propulsion.
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Offline Hauerg

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #7 on: 11/09/2020 05:22 pm »
Looking at the Mars Base Camp mission design, as just one example, might help clarify the role Orion is imagined to play. https://www.lockheedmartin.com/content/dam/lockheed-martin/eo/photo/webt/Mars-Base-Camp-2028.pdf

Note for example that for the return to Earth, the astronauts leaving the vicinity of Mars are put on a trajectory towards Earth that has them entering the atmosphere at 11.5 km/s. Orion would be taken along with the astronauts to Mars so they could use it to get safely home.
Such a sad mission architecture.

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #8 on: 11/09/2020 05:37 pm »
Actually, all that’s REALLY needed to make Gateway into a Mars Transfer Vehicle, beyond the extra modules already planned, is a beefy chemical transfer stage using some sort of low boil-off or storable chemical propulsion.

They already are planning a beefy chemical propulsion module with the HLS. If they are able to aggregate the listed gateway components (Orion, Dragon XL, iHAB, PPE, HLS, HALO, ESPRIT) like they currently plan to, they could probably mount a mars orbital mission with a smaller crew with minimal modifications to some of the components. I'm waiting on more data on each of the HLS providers and the down-select to confirm this. But gateway wouldn't be useable in lunar orbit for a few years and isn't the most efficient vehicle for the job.
« Last Edit: 11/09/2020 05:38 pm by ncb1397 »

Offline sdsds

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #9 on: 11/09/2020 05:40 pm »
Such a sad mission architecture.

I basically agree with this assessment. The architecture is built around a subservience to the rocket equation, and the notion that propulsion gets prohibitively expensive the "further out" you use it. (In this case the returning Orion is so "far" from its launch site that it has essentially zero propulsion budget remaining and relies on atmospheric braking to slow down.)

As many have opined, the solution to breaking the tyranny of the rocket equation is to produce propellant somewhere along the way. And the surface of Mars sure seems like a great place to do that!
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Offline freddo411

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #10 on: 11/09/2020 07:54 pm »
Unless I'm misinterpreting, NASA's overview of Orion:

https://www.nasa.gov/exploration/systems/orion/about/index.html

seems to indicate that Orion is intended for flights to Mars, or at least the vicinity of Mars, as well as to the Moon. I'm no expert on Mars missions, but from what I've read, a Mars mission would require a one-way journey of at least six to eight months, depending on the relative positions of the Earth and Mars at the time of launch.

Given Orion's Apollo-based design, I'm wondering how Orion will be able to carry sufficient oxygen, food, fuel etc. to support four (or even two) astronauts for such a period of time?


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Answer:   No

Exposition:
NASA maintains various, shall we say aspirational, Mars architecture designs that include Orion.    This is quite unwise.    The only thing that Orion can offer a Mars mission is a capsule for Earth reentry.   Absolutely everything else must be provided by other vehicles.

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #11 on: 11/10/2020 04:44 am »
Actually, all that’s REALLY needed to make Gateway into a Mars Transfer Vehicle, beyond the extra modules already planned, is a beefy chemical transfer stage using some sort of low boil-off or storable chemical propulsion.

They already are planning a beefy chemical propulsion module with the HLS. If they are able to aggregate the listed gateway components (Orion, Dragon XL, iHAB, PPE, HLS, HALO, ESPRIT) like they currently plan to, they could probably mount a mars orbital mission with a smaller crew with minimal modifications to some of the components. I'm waiting on more data on each of the HLS providers and the down-select to confirm this. But gateway wouldn't be useable in lunar orbit for a few years and isn't the most efficient vehicle for the job.
Yup. True that a lunar lander also makes a really powerful chemical transfer stage.
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Offline John Santos

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #12 on: 11/10/2020 05:15 am »
The original intent of the Gateway was to be a prototype for a Mars transfer vehicle.  It would have propulsion, power (the PPE), communications, habitation space, supply storage, docking and EVA ports, Earth return and command and control.  The last 3 would be provided by Orion.  It would be assembled in Lunar orbit, would be useful for staging moon landings, could be used almost as is for the Asteroid Redirect mission, could be used for a Mars flight dress rehearsal, and, with more and/or bigger PPE modules and a lander, could be used as a crewed Mars ship.

Orion by itself was never intended for a Mars mission  (or, under Constellation, even for a Moon mission.)  It was always a component of a much larger program.  For a Moon mission, it suffices for people to live in for the 3 or 4 days each way to the Moon.  The crew would live in the Altair moon lander for the duration of their stay on the Moon, about 2 weeks.  For a Mars or asteroid mission, it has always been just a temporary habitation for launch and re-entry.  Since it was loaded with computers, inertial guidance, navigation, comms and smart control panels, it would also (I think) have been the primary control center.

(I think by the time anything like this comes to fruition, the astronauts will be using oversized iPads with WiFi or other wireless connectivity, and will do most of the system control and monitoring from wherever they happen to be.  In the first Star Trek movie, they seem to have invented the Kindle, but the writers didn't realize they could download ALL the engineering documents and designs and schematics into one device, so they had separate tablets for each document.  They would hand them off to each other when someone needed the docs for the life support systems or long range scanners.)

Offline Soaring Habu

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #13 on: 11/10/2020 08:53 am »
Thanks for the interesting info everyone's provided! I'd been thinking myself that a Mars Transit Vehicle of some kind is needed for Mars missions, not just Orion. I'd also been thinking of how ISS is far larger than Orion, supports crews of up to six or seven people (I think that's the current crew size, but I could be wrong) for many months, but requires regular resupply from Earth. Obviously, a Mars Transfer Vehicle won't be able to be resupplied during its mission, so it would have to have a lot of space for consumables. I wouldn't be surprised if the astronauts would also have means of growing food and possibly producing oxygen and fuel on board.
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Offline Proponent

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #14 on: 11/10/2020 11:34 am »
Yes, if they improve it a bit by qualifying it for longer duration and keep it attached to a much larger Mars Transfer Vehicle.

Gateway is a lot like a Mars Transfer Vehicle except with a bit too small of a propulsion element. Double or quadruple the PPE, add another module or two for more space and supplies, and you’ll have a complete Mars Transfer Vehicle. (Probably need a chemical kick stage module to speed TMI and maybe capture at a high Mars orbit.)

And for a test flight before tackling a Mars mission, you could go to a near-Earth asteroid.  Didn't we hear that idea once before somewhere? :)

Offline brickmack

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #15 on: 11/10/2020 02:13 pm »
Such a sad mission architecture.

I basically agree with this assessment. The architecture is built around a subservience to the rocket equation, and the notion that propulsion gets prohibitively expensive the "further out" you use it. (In this case the returning Orion is so "far" from its launch site that it has essentially zero propulsion budget remaining and relies on atmospheric braking to slow down.)

As many have opined, the solution to breaking the tyranny of the rocket equation is to produce propellant somewhere along the way. And the surface of Mars sure seems like a great place to do that!

You misunderstand the MBC architecture in several ways.

1. Water delivery is intended only for the first few years, and is actually one of the key distinctions it offers over other architectures. Coupled with a reusable single-stage lander, this allows a single expedition to visit multiple points on the surface over the span of a few months, not being tied to a single base. ISRU can come later (and is inherently compatible with a hydrolox lander and transfer vehicle), but would force each landing site to be semi-permanent, with a large industrial setup and months stay time at minimum. MBC allows that to be deferred until an ideal permanent site can be selected, and once this transition is made, nothing changes for the existing reusable hardware other than adding the ISRU plant. Even the Water Delivery Vehicles are meant to be repurposed as permanent depot modules once ISRU is established

2. No, the returning Orion doesn't do a direct entry from a Mars-Earth interplanetary trajectory. The whole stack enters lunar orbit at the end of the mission, then Orion returns as normal. This allows most of the mission hardware to be reused. Carrying Orion along at all is... questionable, given you could just as well have Orion stay in lunar orbit to drop off and pick up the crew, but the idea is that it allows for more abort options (both on departure and return), and also allows Orion to be dual-use for visiting Phobos/Deimos

Offline Soaring Habu

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #16 on: 11/11/2020 08:47 am »
Such a sad mission architecture.

I basically agree with this assessment. The architecture is built around a subservience to the rocket equation, and the notion that propulsion gets prohibitively expensive the "further out" you use it. (In this case the returning Orion is so "far" from its launch site that it has essentially zero propulsion budget remaining and relies on atmospheric braking to slow down.)

As many have opined, the solution to breaking the tyranny of the rocket equation is to produce propellant somewhere along the way. And the surface of Mars sure seems like a great place to do that!

You misunderstand the MBC architecture in several ways.

1. Water delivery is intended only for the first few years, and is actually one of the key distinctions it offers over other architectures. Coupled with a reusable single-stage lander, this allows a single expedition to visit multiple points on the surface over the span of a few months, not being tied to a single base. ISRU can come later (and is inherently compatible with a hydrolox lander and transfer vehicle), but would force each landing site to be semi-permanent, with a large industrial setup and months stay time at minimum. MBC allows that to be deferred until an ideal permanent site can be selected, and once this transition is made, nothing changes for the existing reusable hardware other than adding the ISRU plant. Even the Water Delivery Vehicles are meant to be repurposed as permanent depot modules once ISRU is established

2. No, the returning Orion doesn't do a direct entry from a Mars-Earth interplanetary trajectory. The whole stack enters lunar orbit at the end of the mission, then Orion returns as normal. This allows most of the mission hardware to be reused. Carrying Orion along at all is... questionable, given you could just as well have Orion stay in lunar orbit to drop off and pick up the crew, but the idea is that it allows for more abort options (both on departure and return), and also allows Orion to be dual-use for visiting Phobos/Deimos
Bringing the Mars Transit Vehicle back to Earth orbit and parking it in Earth orbit between missions would also allow the hardware to be reused, and would allow easier access to the vehicle to carry out maintenance etc. between missions. Parking it in lunar orbit would avoid the need to escape from Earth's strong gravity though, and astronauts aboard the Lunar Gateway could do maintenance on the Mars Transit Vehicle (how long would crews spend aboard the Lunar Gateway?).
« Last Edit: 11/11/2020 08:48 am by Disco747 »
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Offline Ben the Space Brit

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #17 on: 12/01/2020 08:48 am »
I imagine that the best 'parking spot' for the MTV would be one of the EML halo orbits. Hence Gateway - I think that NASA's forward planning for Mars is already assuming that they won't take an Orion all the way to Mars and back.
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Offline jadebenn

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #18 on: 12/01/2020 10:28 am »
I imagine that the best 'parking spot' for the MTV would be one of the EML halo orbits. Hence Gateway - I think that NASA's forward planning for Mars is already assuming that they won't take an Orion all the way to Mars and back.
Yes, most of the architectures I've seen lately use NRHO (that's because SLS can't really do payload to LEO and NASA assumes SLS - let's not rehash this argument please) and have Orion serve pretty much solely as a crew transfer vehicle.

Offline Soaring Habu

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #19 on: 12/04/2020 09:45 am »
I imagine that the best 'parking spot' for the MTV would be one of the EML halo orbits. Hence Gateway - I think that NASA's forward planning for Mars is already assuming that they won't take an Orion all the way to Mars and back.
Yes, most of the architectures I've seen lately use NRHO (that's because SLS can't really do payload to LEO and NASA assumes SLS - let's not rehash this argument please) and have Orion serve pretty much solely as a crew transfer vehicle.

I've always thought of Orion as being a crew transfer vehicle only myself, and I don't recall ever reading or hearing anything about SLS being used to launch anything other than Orion. I certainly don't want to rehash any arguments on the matter, either.  :)
« Last Edit: 12/04/2020 09:46 am by Disco747 »
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Offline MATTBLAK

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #20 on: 12/04/2020 10:00 am »
As far as I'm aware; the only Mars Mission Design Reference Mission from the 'Constellation Canon' that was given serious consideration was DRM 5.0; where the Orion was a combination 'Taxi', Command & Control Module and Earth Return vehicle. This is portrayed in this DRM concept video. The Orion would have to become a 'Block III' or IV version to survive about two years in space.

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Offline pochimax

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #21 on: 12/04/2020 12:19 pm »
I imagine that the best 'parking spot' for the MTV would be one of the EML halo orbits. Hence Gateway - I think that NASA's forward planning for Mars is already assuming that they won't take an Orion all the way to Mars and back.
Yes, most of the architectures I've seen lately use NRHO (that's because SLS can't really do payload to LEO and NASA assumes SLS - let's not rehash this argument please) and have Orion serve pretty much solely as a crew transfer vehicle.

Yes, one example.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/308007278_Commercial_Options_for_Hybrid_ChemicalElectric_Propulsion_Transportation_System_to_Support_Mars_Exploration

See this Figure for conops. It needs 2 Orion per flight to Mars.

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Christopher_Jones49/publication/308007278/figure/fig1/AS:789972357505024@1565355495271/Mars-Hybrid-Crew-Mission-Concept-of-Operation-4.png

Offline the_other_Doug

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #22 on: 12/05/2020 07:55 pm »
ISTR that MSFC was working on a transit hab for Mars flights that was the same diameter as the EUS, giving the Mars crews both enough room to stay sane, and also to pack up to three years' worth of food and water for four people.  The teensy mini-hab NASA wants to go with for the lunar gateway, if used for Mars, will likely not be conducive to a sane crew upon Mars arrival.  But that's not a problem, since you'd need five or more Cygni just to store the food and water needed for the mission anyway, so by using the lunar gateway as a pathfinder to develop your Mars transit hab, one of its stated goals, you're ensuring the crew won't get there alive anyway...
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Offline AnnK

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #23 on: 12/15/2020 12:09 am »
Why can not the Orion and other vehicles get launched by a Falcon Heavy? Assemble in Earth orbit and then head towards Mars? It would sure save billions of dollars. For the price of a single SLS launch, get 40 Falcon heavy launches. Perhaps have no second stage like Skylab. Just some thoughts from an aviation engineer.
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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #24 on: 12/15/2020 04:28 am »
Why can not the Orion and other vehicles get launched by a Falcon Heavy? Assemble in Earth orbit and then head towards Mars? It would sure save billions of dollars. For the price of a single SLS launch, get 40 Falcon heavy launches. Perhaps have no second stage like Skylab. Just some thoughts from an aviation engineer.
These are as much political decisions as they are technical.  Politics often wins.

Offline Nomadd

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #25 on: 12/15/2020 04:39 am »
Why can not the Orion and other vehicles get launched by a Falcon Heavy? Assemble in Earth orbit and then head towards Mars? It would sure save billions of dollars. For the price of a single SLS launch, get 40 Falcon heavy launches. Perhaps have no second stage like Skylab. Just some thoughts from an aviation engineer.
Skylab wouldn't have gotten very far without a 2nd stage. It replaced the 3rd stage.
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Offline Proponent

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #26 on: 12/15/2020 01:05 pm »
Why can not the Orion and other vehicles get launched by a Falcon Heavy? Assemble in Earth orbit and then head towards Mars? It would sure save billions of dollars. For the price of a single SLS launch, get 40 Falcon heavy launches. Perhaps have no second stage like Skylab. Just some thoughts from an aviation engineer.
These are as much political decisions as they are technical.  Politics often wins.

Politics, indeed.  Recall that, faced with yet another SLS delay, in early 2019 Bridenstine proposed flying EM-1 (now known as Artemis 1) on something other than SLS.  There did not seem to be any fundamental reason it couldn't be done, but significant work would have been needed.  You can read all about it in these two interesting threads:

    NASA Launch Services Program outlines the alternative launcher review for EM-1 and
    NASA Considering Flying EM-1 With Commercial Launchers .

It was to be just for EM-1, with SLS being used for subsequent missions, but Sen. Shelby was very strongly opposed anyway.

Offline Staticalliam7

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #27 on: 01/22/2021 12:16 am »
Unless I'm misinterpreting, NASA's overview of Orion:

https://www.nasa.gov/exploration/systems/orion/about/index.html

seems to indicate that Orion is intended for flights to Mars, or at least the vicinity of Mars, as well as to the Moon. I'm no expert on Mars missions, but from what I've read, a Mars mission would require a one-way journey of at least six to eight months, depending on the relative positions of the Earth and Mars at the time of launch.

Given Orion's Apollo-based design, I'm wondering how Orion will be able to carry sufficient oxygen, food, fuel etc. to support four (or even two) astronauts for such a period of time?
Also, I think anyone would go insane if they were stuck in Orion, which is probably pretty small even for 4 day missions.
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Offline Staticalliam7

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #28 on: 01/22/2021 12:29 am »
Why can not the Orion and other vehicles get launched by a Falcon Heavy? Assemble in Earth orbit and then head towards Mars? It would sure save billions of dollars. For the price of a single SLS launch, get 40 Falcon heavy launches. Perhaps have no second stage like Skylab. Just some thoughts from an aviation engineer.
Falcon Heavy isn't powerful enough. Not sure the exact lunar orbit capacity, but I sent SpaceX an email to find out.
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Offline Dalhousie

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #29 on: 01/24/2021 03:23 am »
Unless I'm misinterpreting, NASA's overview of Orion:

https://www.nasa.gov/exploration/systems/orion/about/index.html

seems to indicate that Orion is intended for flights to Mars, or at least the vicinity of Mars, as well as to the Moon. I'm no expert on Mars missions, but from what I've read, a Mars mission would require a one-way journey of at least six to eight months, depending on the relative positions of the Earth and Mars at the time of launch.

Given Orion's Apollo-based design, I'm wondering how Orion will be able to carry sufficient oxygen, food, fuel etc. to support four (or even two) astronauts for such a period of time?
Also, I think anyone would go insane if they were stuck in Orion, which is probably pretty small even for 4 day missions.

21 m3 pressurised volume.  Almost twice Starliner, more than twice Dragon 2 or Soyuz, over three times Apollo CM. Fine for lunar missions or Earth return from a MTV
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Offline rakaydos

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #30 on: 01/25/2021 02:27 pm »
Why can not the Orion and other vehicles get launched by a Falcon Heavy? Assemble in Earth orbit and then head towards Mars? It would sure save billions of dollars. For the price of a single SLS launch, get 40 Falcon heavy launches. Perhaps have no second stage like Skylab. Just some thoughts from an aviation engineer.
Falcon Heavy isn't powerful enough. Not sure the exact lunar orbit capacity, but I sent SpaceX an email to find out.
I thought I remember some older calculations that suggested a falcon heavy upper stage with nothing but a docking adaptor as payload, could dock with an Orion in LEO, and have enough juice left over for TLI.

Offline Coastal Ron

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #31 on: 01/25/2021 03:02 pm »
The simple answer to this question is NO, as currently designed the Orion MPCV is NOT meant to be capable of reaching Mars.

The simple reason is that the current Orion MPCV design is oriented towards supporting missions to our Moon, with up to 21 days of active crew time plus 6 months quiescent spacecraft life. A Mars mission would last at least two years.

And sure, you could re-designate the Orion MPCV has a lifeboat on a Mars mission, but think about it, what happens if you jump into that lifeboat months into the mission? You're not going to last long, are you? And there is no way to resupply the Orion MPCV as designed today, so in reality it can't serve as a lifeboat on a Mars mission.

Which means you're only hauling all that mass along on a two year Mars mission so that you can use it for the last days of the mission - landing on Earth. But as I recall the current Orion MPCV heat shield is not rated for return from Mars, and the weight of the capsule could be too heavy in any case.

Could the currently designed Orion MPCV be massively redesigned to allow it to go to Mars? Sure, but then it wouldn't be the Orion anymore, it would be something very different, and it would be called something else.

Instead of trying to slather lipstick on this pig, we should just focus on building true space-only, fully reusable, space transportation that can go from Low Earth Orbit to destinations far away, and then return to Low Earth Orbit where passengers and cargo can transfer to the existing Commercial Crew vehicles for return to Earth. A much more simple architecture that is easy to upgrade.
If we don't continuously lower the cost to access space, how are we ever going to afford to expand humanity out into space?

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #32 on: 01/25/2021 04:40 pm »

The simple reason is that the current Orion MPCV design is oriented towards supporting missions to our Moon, with up to 21 days of active crew time plus 6 months quiescent spacecraft life. A Mars mission would last at least two years.


That is largely a limit on the service module O2 supply. Two tanks holding 33 kg each with astronauts breathing at .84 kg per day gives you...

(33 kg per tank * 2 tanks)/(.84 kg/day * 4 astronauts) ≈ 20

There is potentially another day or two of air in the cabin that isn't in the tanks at launch time.

Adding more O2 is potentially a relatively trivial matter. Replacing the 275 bar tanks with 800 bar tanks (equivalent to consumer available hydrogen fuel cell vehicle tanks) would increase O2 supply by a factor of  2.9 increasing crew air to ~61 days while not increasing footprint.

Read up on the EDO project for the Shuttle:

Quote
The Extended Duration Orbiter Cryogenic kit (EDO-pallet or CRYO) was a 15-foot-diameter (4.6 m) equipment assembly which attached vertically to the payload bay rear bulkhead of an orbiter, and allowed the orbiter to support a flight of up to 16 days duration.[1] The equipment included cryogenic tanks, associated control panels, and avionics equipment. Although Atlantis was partially upgraded to accommodate the EDO, only Columbia and Endeavour actually flew with the pallet. The pallet made its debut on STS-50, and was lost on STS-107.[4]

Initially, NASA considered adding a second EDO pallet to Endeavour, placed in front of the first, for a total of thirteen tank sets, that would have allowed an orbiter to remain in space for 28 days, but managers decided against it when the International Space Station assembly began, and instead removed the EDO capability from the orbiter, to reduce its weight and allow it to carry more cargo to the ISS.[1][5]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extended_Duration_Orbiter

Offline Staticalliam7

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #33 on: 01/25/2021 04:47 pm »

The simple reason is that the current Orion MPCV design is oriented towards supporting missions to our Moon, with up to 21 days of active crew time plus 6 months quiescent spacecraft life. A Mars mission would last at least two years.


That is largely a limit on the service module O2 supply. Two tanks holding 33 kg each with astronauts breathing at .84 kg per day gives you...

(33 kg per tank * 2 tanks)/(.84 kg/day * 4 astronauts) ≈ 20

There is potentially another day or two of air in the cabin that isn't in the tanks at launch time.

Adding more O2 is potentially a relatively trivial matter. Replacing the 275 bar tanks with 800 bar tanks (equivalent to consumer available hydrogen fuel cell vehicle tanks) would increase O2 supply by a factor of  2.9 increasing crew air to ~61 days while not increasing footprint.

Read up on the EDO project for the Shuttle:

Quote
The Extended Duration Orbiter Cryogenic kit (EDO-pallet or CRYO) was a 15-foot-diameter (4.6 m) equipment assembly which attached vertically to the payload bay rear bulkhead of an orbiter, and allowed the orbiter to support a flight of up to 16 days duration.[1] The equipment included cryogenic tanks, associated control panels, and avionics equipment. Although Atlantis was partially upgraded to accommodate the EDO, only Columbia and Endeavour actually flew with the pallet. The pallet made its debut on STS-50, and was lost on STS-107.[4]

Initially, NASA considered adding a second EDO pallet to Endeavour, placed in front of the first, for a total of thirteen tank sets, that would have allowed an orbiter to remain in space for 28 days, but managers decided against it when the International Space Station assembly began, and instead removed the EDO capability from the orbiter, to reduce its weight and allow it to carry more cargo to the ISS.[1][5]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extended_Duration_Orbiter
I read somewhere that the ISS's solar panels actually produce water that can be used for oxygen, is this possible for a smaller  vehicle, or does it require bulky, heavy equipment?
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Offline Coastal Ron

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #34 on: 01/25/2021 05:13 pm »

The simple reason is that the current Orion MPCV design is oriented towards supporting missions to our Moon, with up to 21 days of active crew time plus 6 months quiescent spacecraft life. A Mars mission would last at least two years.


That is largely a limit on the service module O2 supply...

Adding more O2 is potentially a relatively trivial matter. Replacing the 275 bar tanks with 800 bar tanks (equivalent to consumer available hydrogen fuel cell vehicle tanks) would increase O2 supply by a factor of  2.9 increasing crew air to ~61 days while not increasing footprint.

OK, now the crew in the cramped capsule can survive 61 days of a 780 day trip. I'm not sure you're solving the basic problem here - there is no use for an Orion spacecraft on a Mars journey until you get really close to Earth, in which case you've been hauling this massive weight around the solar system for little ROI.

The "Orion MPCV" as currently designed is for traveling to the Moon. Period. If the want to scavenge the Orion MPCV design for usable parts for a Mars vehicle, great, but it won't be called the "Orion MPCV" anymore, will it?

Plus, why keep trying to put lipstick on this pig. For the same amount of effort you can likely just design a new space-only fully-reusable spacecraft that can be used to go to Mars.
If we don't continuously lower the cost to access space, how are we ever going to afford to expand humanity out into space?

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #35 on: 01/25/2021 05:54 pm »

The "Orion MPCV" as currently designed is for traveling to the Moon. Period. If the want to scavenge the Orion MPCV design for usable parts for a Mars vehicle, great, but it won't be called the "Orion MPCV" anymore, will it?

I don't know? What did we call the Block II Apollo CSM? What did we call the Shuttle with EDO modifications (and after they were removed?). What do we call the ISS when Nauka is launched? What did we call the Orion MPCV with the unitary heatshield design rather than block design?


The simple reason is that the current Orion MPCV design is oriented towards supporting missions to our Moon, with up to 21 days of active crew time plus 6 months quiescent spacecraft life. A Mars mission would last at least two years.


That is largely a limit on the service module O2 supply. Two tanks holding 33 kg each with astronauts breathing at .84 kg per day gives you...

(33 kg per tank * 2 tanks)/(.84 kg/day * 4 astronauts) ≈ 20

There is potentially another day or two of air in the cabin that isn't in the tanks at launch time.

Adding more O2 is potentially a relatively trivial matter. Replacing the 275 bar tanks with 800 bar tanks (equivalent to consumer available hydrogen fuel cell vehicle tanks) would increase O2 supply by a factor of  2.9 increasing crew air to ~61 days while not increasing footprint.

Read up on the EDO project for the Shuttle:

Quote
The Extended Duration Orbiter Cryogenic kit (EDO-pallet or CRYO) was a 15-foot-diameter (4.6 m) equipment assembly which attached vertically to the payload bay rear bulkhead of an orbiter, and allowed the orbiter to support a flight of up to 16 days duration.[1] The equipment included cryogenic tanks, associated control panels, and avionics equipment. Although Atlantis was partially upgraded to accommodate the EDO, only Columbia and Endeavour actually flew with the pallet. The pallet made its debut on STS-50, and was lost on STS-107.[4]

Initially, NASA considered adding a second EDO pallet to Endeavour, placed in front of the first, for a total of thirteen tank sets, that would have allowed an orbiter to remain in space for 28 days, but managers decided against it when the International Space Station assembly began, and instead removed the EDO capability from the orbiter, to reduce its weight and allow it to carry more cargo to the ISS.[1][5]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extended_Duration_Orbiter
I read somewhere that the ISS's solar panels actually produce water that can be used for oxygen, is this possible for a smaller  vehicle, or does it require bulky, heavy equipment?

They take water shipped from the ground and produce hydrogen and oxygen. Hydrogen and CO2 is also combined to generate methane and oxygen. The methane is dumped overboard. At mars distance, the Orion solar array wings would produce about half of the rated 11.2 kw or ~5 kw. To produce 3.5 kg of oxygen would take on the order of 35 kwh of electricity. So, about 7 hours of each 24 hour period or 30% of the power output would have to go to electrolyzing water if you store your oxygen as water (worst case scenario). But the main advantage of storing as water is density and the density in terms of O2 content of liquid water is not much better than 800 bar oxygen.  It then comes down to a risk calculation. What is the risk of the 800 bar tank rupturing? And what is the risk of your O2 generator breaking down?

Quote
OK, now the crew in the cramped capsule can survive 61 days of a 780 day trip. I'm not sure you're solving the basic problem here - there is no use for an Orion spacecraft on a Mars journey until you get really close to Earth, in which case you've been hauling this massive weight around the solar system for little ROI.

I thought this was just a lifeboat? So, the duration would not be 780 days but the earth to mars or mars to earth transfer time. Anyways, you could replace the two N2 tanks with oxygen tanks and go to low pressure environment like Apollo. That would double your O2 supply again.
« Last Edit: 01/25/2021 06:05 pm by ncb1397 »

Offline the_other_Doug

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #36 on: 01/25/2021 06:33 pm »
A few points, here, if I may... :)

The lifeboat concept is more, I think, for certain situations where your transit hab module loses pressure or electrical redundancy.  I doubt you'd be talking about casting away from all of the supplies and consumables needed to get home alive and then try holding your breath inside the Orion.  Rather, you might have to rig data and air lines from the tanks in the hab into the Orion and live in it.  Or, in a less broad interpretation of lifeboat, use Orion's systems to provide supplemental redundancy for some hab systems.

Obviously, without a completely different, and much larger/heavier, service module, Orion cannot all by itself come back from anywhere significantly into a trans-Mars trajectory.  And in any event would require a logistics module of some kind to carry the food and spare parts you'd need to get home alive.  I don't think any design reference mission is suggesting anything different.

That said, if NASA cheaps out like they have and flies basically a Cygnus module as their transit hab, more than half of its volume filled with food and consumables storage, you ain't giving a 4-person crew with normal personal space needs enough space to stay sane for more than a month or so in the first place.  If you hand-pick your crews for their ability to get along, and not suffer from lack of personal space, they can probably manage in an Orion capsule's interior for several months as well as they could in that maybe a net of 1.5 times that volume -- enough room for one, maybe two people at a time to stretch out a bit, and that's it.

Orion is big enough, and the hab concepts they're likely to spring for if the lunar gateway is any indication, are small enough, that you're wrong in thinking of it as an Apollo connected to a Skylab, or a Soyuz connected to a Salyut.  It's more like an Apollo docked with a LM, flying for months and months with just the total living volume of the two spacecraft.  You'd need to use the Orion internal volume if your "hab" won't fit your crew all at the same time... ;)
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Offline Zed_Noir

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #37 on: 01/25/2021 08:03 pm »
The only way that the Orion capsule goes to Mars with crew is by using a Moonship (Starship variant) or something that big as the "service module" and transit habitat.  :)

Offline Coastal Ron

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #38 on: 01/25/2021 08:39 pm »
A few points, here, if I may... :)

The lifeboat concept is more, I think, for certain situations where your transit hab module loses pressure or electrical redundancy.  I doubt you'd be talking about casting away from all of the supplies and consumables needed to get home alive and then try holding your breath inside the Orion.  Rather, you might have to rig data and air lines from the tanks in the hab into the Orion and live in it.  Or, in a less broad interpretation of lifeboat, use Orion's systems to provide supplemental redundancy for some hab systems.

NSF tends to be populated with lots of people that are engineering biased, and not enough that focus on the business case for doing something.

For instance, could the Orion MPCV as designed today be modified with taxpayer money to allow it to travel to Mars? Sure. It's just a hunk of hardware, and given enough time and money it could be modified into anything. It could be modified to replace the ISS if we wanted, just as an example of extreme silliness.

The real question though is whether there is a use case for modifying the Orion MPCV, or whether it makes sense to just design a vehicle from the ground up to satisfy the need to send humans to Mars and back.

As an example, do we need a vehicle with a heatshield in order to go to Mars? And if so why? And what would be the alternatives?

If we assume that we're not doing a direct launch to Mars from the surface of Earth, and instead we are assembling our "fleet" somewhere in Earth or lunar orbit, then maybe this Mars vehicle doesn't need a heatshield for the end of it's journey, since the end of the journey will just end back where it started - in Earth or lunar orbit.

And if we are sending more than one vehicle to Mars at the same time, ala the Nina, the Pinta, and the Santa Maria (the fleet Columbus had), then each of those vehicles is the lifeboat for the others. So no need for a vehicle that only performs one function.

So pull out a clean sheet of paper, or start a new file, and list what is actually needed for this trip to Mars. And only after listing out the requirements should you start looking around to see what existing hardware you can use to satisfy that need. And if you do that, I am pretty sure the Orion MPCV will not satisfy any need for leaving Earth-local space.
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Offline ncb1397

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #39 on: 01/26/2021 02:58 am »
So, here is my operational concept for an Orion flight to mars orbit and back.

-two launches of SLS Block 1B/2 vehicles. Block 1B gets between 31.6 t and 34.3 t to the Mars C3 of ~10 km^2/sec^2.
-each SLS launch carries an Orion crew capsule with 2 crew each. The two orions will dock during trans-mars transits. They may or may not undock during mars orbit insertion and mars departure burns. They of course undock prior to earth re-entry.
-departure is Nov-29-2028, earth return is Sep-19-2031, duration is 1025 days.
-Orion gas delivery system contains 4 O2 tanks rather than 2/3 O2 tanks and 1/2 N2 tanks.
-O2 tanks are 550 bar(double baseline) holding 66 kg of O2 each or 264 kg.
-280 kg of water is stored in the ESM (baseline capacity)
-an additional 2.7 t(2.7 cubic meter) water tank is constructed in each Orion (see diagrams for rough geometry.
-In addition, a urine processor, solid oxide electrolyzer unit similar to Mars 2020 Moxie (but an order of magnitude higher capacity), water electrolyzer and improved bathroom/waste management system is installed in each Orion replacing where two of the seats would be in the baseline Orion
-Mars insertion delta-v is 854 m/s, Mars departure delta-v is 519 m/s, total delta-v required to be provided by Orions is 1.37 km/s.

O2 requirements are 1024 days * 4 astronauts * .84 kg/day = 3.44 t
 -each Orion carries .264 t in the ESM gas delivery system (.528 t total)
 -each Orion carries 2.98 t of water (5.96 t total). ~89% of the water content is O2 or 5.3 t. Water is recycled through the urine processor and then electrolyzed. Hydrogen is vented.
 -The solid oxide electrolyzer recovers half of O2 content in CO2 as recycled O2, giving margin.

water requirements are 1024 days * 4 astronauts * 1.5 kg or 1.5 liters/day = 6.144 t
 -each Orion carries 2.98 t of water in integral containers(5.96 t total).
 -an additional 184 kg is carried as logistics in Orion logistics boxes.

food requirements 1024 days * 4 astronauts * 1 kg/day = 4.096 t
 -each Orion carries ~2 t each

Baseline Orion masses: 25,848 kg
 + 132 kg gas due to higher capacity tanks
 + 100 kg gas tank mass
 + 2700 kg in water in water tanks
 + 300 kg internal water tank dry mass and support structure
 + 170 kg SOXE (10x Moxie)
 + 400 kg electrolyzer
 - 50 kg reduced seat mass
 +400 kg improved bathroom
 +2000 kg dehydrated food

Mass estimate: 32 t compared to a Block 1B estimated capacity of 31.6 - 34 t (c3=10 km^2/sec^2, slightly higher than baseline trajectory of 8.2 km^2/sec^2) and Block 2 estimate of 37.6 t.

Orion Total delta-v capability: 316*9.8*ln(32,000 kg/23,400 kg) = 969 m/s.

There is a 400 m/s delta-v shortfall with the existing Orion propellant tanks because of the added mass (Orion without the upgrades would be a lot closer). Pretty amazing how close it is to closing though. A few possible solutions...

-Space station in mars orbit pre-stocked with supplies and/or fuel
-reduction of logistics (but how?)
-increased fuel in ESM (this almost definately pushes it into the Block 2 category).
-dump waste before mars orbit insertion/trans earth injection
-account for gas venting/dumps.

edit: So, fixing a few issues with the architecture. The service module needs stretched propellant tanks by about 2.5 feet to carry an extra 3-4 t of propellant. Logistics (water, food, etc.) gets moved to a USA carried logistics module with 2 Orion compatible docking ports. This module needs to mass under 2 t. One of these is ejected prior to mars orbit insertion, the other one is ejected prior to trans earth injection. This allows for trash disposal every 1 year and moves most of the water, food, etc. out of Orion on launch. Total mass to trans mars injection ends up at 37-38 t (Block 2 territory). Block 2 might need to be sized slightly bigger to fit this mission. So, to wrap up...

Crew Module - heat shield upgrade, improved bathroom module, improved ECLSS
Service Module - higher pressure O2 tanks, stretched propellant tanks.
-Orion Cargo Module (OCM) - this is new, ~3 meter diameter and 3 meter length, must mass under 2000 kg. Could be Cygnus derived.
« Last Edit: 02/01/2021 05:27 pm by ncb1397 »

Offline dolphin5588

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #40 on: 06/08/2021 01:49 am »
Human beings need space for the sake of space. It would be like going on a two year trip with three friends in a very small campervan without being able to leave the cabin and move around much. Highly confined useful volume will bring about very real psychological and sociological issues which cannot be ignored. Granted, I don't profess to know the magic number for per capita cubic meters.

[zubenelgenubi: Attach image files. Do not embed them.]
« Last Edit: 06/08/2021 07:16 am by zubenelgenubi »

Offline JohnFornaro

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #41 on: 06/27/2021 01:46 pm »
Such a sad mission architecture.

I basically agree with this assessment. The architecture is built around a [1] subservience to the rocket equation, and the notion that propulsion gets prohibitively expensive the "further out" you use it. (In this case the returning Orion is so "far" from its launch site that it has essentially zero propulsion budget remaining [2] and relies on atmospheric braking [3] to slow down.)

As many have opined, the solution to breaking the tyranny [4] of the rocket equation is to produce propellant somewhere along the way. And the surface of Mars sure seems like a great place to do that!

[1] "Subservience" is the wrong word.  Perhaps it is also thought that human life is in subservience to breathing oxygen?  The rocket equation just is what it is.

[2]  Prsumably, they would bring enough propellant along with them, in order to get back home.

[3]  That's a feature, not a bug.  don't add difficulty to the task for no reason.

[4]  You realize that putting prop depots here and there along the way isn't "breaking" any "tyranny".  It's a part of prudent design.
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Offline Jim

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #42 on: 06/28/2021 01:43 am »

The simple reason is that the current Orion MPCV design is oriented towards supporting missions to our Moon, with up to 21 days of active crew time plus 6 months quiescent spacecraft life. A Mars mission would last at least two years.


That is largely a limit on the service module O2 supply...

Adding more O2 is potentially a relatively trivial matter. Replacing the 275 bar tanks with 800 bar tanks (equivalent to consumer available hydrogen fuel cell vehicle tanks) would increase O2 supply by a factor of  2.9 increasing crew air to ~61 days while not increasing footprint.

OK, now the crew in the cramped capsule can survive 61 days of a 780 day trip. I'm not sure you're solving the basic problem here - there is no use for an Orion spacecraft on a Mars journey until you get really close to Earth, in which case you've been hauling this massive weight around the solar system for little ROI.

The "Orion MPCV" as currently designed is for traveling to the Moon. Period. If the want to scavenge the Orion MPCV design for usable parts for a Mars vehicle, great, but it won't be called the "Orion MPCV" anymore, will it?

Plus, why keep trying to put lipstick on this pig. For the same amount of effort you can likely just design a new space-only fully-reusable spacecraft that can be used to go to Mars.

Wrong, Wrong, Wrong!!!.  Why do people keep posting this.

The designs/CONOPs/DRMs for the CEV/MPCV were never to house crew for the cruise to and from Mars.  It was never the intent.

Its job is to launch crew to the MTV, fly with the MTV as a backup control center and as a safe haven and to return the crew to earth from the distance of the moon upon returning from Mars.


Offline woods170

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #43 on: 06/28/2021 07:34 am »
Wrong, Wrong, Wrong!!!.  Why do people keep posting this?

The designs/CONOPs/DRMs for the CEV/MPCV were never to house crew for the cruise to and from Mars.  It was never the intent.

Its job is to launch crew to the MTV, fly with the MTV as a backup control center and as a safe haven and to return the crew to earth from the distance of the moon upon returning from Mars.



Yes. This!

All other applications are wishful thinking. I fully agree with Jim. Why do you people keep coming up with applications for, and uses of Orion, for which it was NOT designed?

The question that started this thread is: "Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?"
The answer is: Yes, but not on its own. It can reach Mars ONLY as a 'hibernating' addendum to the Mars Transfer Vehicle.

Everything else is people having fantasies that are not rooted in reality.
« Last Edit: 06/28/2021 07:35 am by woods170 »

Offline testguy

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #44 on: 06/29/2021 12:10 am »
So, here is my operational concept for an Orion flight to mars orbit and back.

-two launches of SLS Block 1B/2 vehicles. Block 1B gets between 31.6 t and 34.3 t to the Mars C3 of ~10 km^2/sec^2.
-each SLS launch carries an Orion crew capsule with 2 crew each. The two orions will dock during trans-mars transits. They may or may not undock during mars orbit insertion and mars departure burns. They of course undock prior to earth re-entry.
-departure is Nov-29-2028, earth return is Sep-19-2031, duration is 1025 days.
-Orion gas delivery system contains 4 O2 tanks rather than 2/3 O2 tanks and 1/2 N2 tanks.
-O2 tanks are 550 bar(double baseline) holding 66 kg of O2 each or 264 kg.
-280 kg of water is stored in the ESM (baseline capacity)
-an additional 2.7 t(2.7 cubic meter) water tank is constructed in each Orion (see diagrams for rough geometry.
-In addition, a urine processor, solid oxide electrolyzer unit similar to Mars 2020 Moxie (but an order of magnitude higher capacity), water electrolyzer and improved bathroom/waste management system is installed in each Orion replacing where two of the seats would be in the baseline Orion
-Mars insertion delta-v is 854 m/s, Mars departure delta-v is 519 m/s, total delta-v required to be provided by Orions is 1.37 km/s.

O2 requirements are 1024 days * 4 astronauts * .84 kg/day = 3.44 t
 -each Orion carries .264 t in the ESM gas delivery system (.528 t total)
 -each Orion carries 2.98 t of water (5.96 t total). ~89% of the water content is O2 or 5.3 t. Water is recycled through the urine processor and then electrolyzed. Hydrogen is vented.
 -The solid oxide electrolyzer recovers half of O2 content in CO2 as recycled O2, giving margin.

water requirements are 1024 days * 4 astronauts * 1.5 kg or 1.5 liters/day = 6.144 t
 -each Orion carries 2.98 t of water in integral containers(5.96 t total).
 -an additional 184 kg is carried as logistics in Orion logistics boxes.

food requirements 1024 days * 4 astronauts * 1 kg/day = 4.096 t
 -each Orion carries ~2 t each

Baseline Orion masses: 25,848 kg
 + 132 kg gas due to higher capacity tanks
 + 100 kg gas tank mass
 + 2700 kg in water in water tanks
 + 300 kg internal water tank dry mass and support structure
 + 170 kg SOXE (10x Moxie)
 + 400 kg electrolyzer
 - 50 kg reduced seat mass
 +400 kg improved bathroom
 +2000 kg dehydrated food

Mass estimate: 32 t compared to a Block 1B estimated capacity of 31.6 - 34 t (c3=10 km^2/sec^2, slightly higher than baseline trajectory of 8.2 km^2/sec^2) and Block 2 estimate of 37.6 t.

Orion Total delta-v capability: 316*9.8*ln(32,000 kg/23,400 kg) = 969 m/s.

There is a 400 m/s delta-v shortfall with the existing Orion propellant tanks because of the added mass (Orion without the upgrades would be a lot closer). Pretty amazing how close it is to closing though. A few possible solutions...

-Space station in mars orbit pre-stocked with supplies and/or fuel
-reduction of logistics (but how?)
-increased fuel in ESM (this almost definately pushes it into the Block 2 category).
-dump waste before mars orbit insertion/trans earth injection
-account for gas venting/dumps.

edit: So, fixing a few issues with the architecture. The service module needs stretched propellant tanks by about 2.5 feet to carry an extra 3-4 t of propellant. Logistics (water, food, etc.) gets moved to a USA carried logistics module with 2 Orion compatible docking ports. This module needs to mass under 2 t. One of these is ejected prior to mars orbit insertion, the other one is ejected prior to trans earth injection. This allows for trash disposal every 1 year and moves most of the water, food, etc. out of Orion on launch. Total mass to trans mars injection ends up at 37-38 t (Block 2 territory). Block 2 might need to be sized slightly bigger to fit this mission. So, to wrap up...

Crew Module - heat shield upgrade, improved bathroom module, improved ECLSS
Service Module - higher pressure O2 tanks, stretched propellant tanks.
-Orion Cargo Module (OCM) - this is new, ~3 meter diameter and 3 meter length, must mass under 2000 kg. Could be Cygnus derived.

I got to admit that I haven’t followed Orion very closely.  But here are a couple of thoughts to add to the conversation.
1.  I thought Orion was a dual gas system (oxygen & nitrogen).  Rather than pure oxygen which can breathe at a lower cabin pressure.  The down side of pure oxygen is the fire potential.  Let’s remember Apollo 1 and not go down that road a second time.
2.  I  Was in an Orion mock up at either the cape or Huntsville a few years back.  What surprised me was how roomy it was.  That is not to say I would like to spend more than 21 days in it.

Offline spacenut

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #45 on: 06/29/2021 01:25 am »
I don't think Orion is going to Mars by itself.  NASA would probably use a mother ship for it to dock with, then have a Mars lander also docked with the mother ship. 

I think Orion was only designed to get to the moon and dock with a moon lander or a moon station like Artemis station. 

Offline Jorge

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #46 on: 06/29/2021 01:36 am »
I don't think Orion is going to Mars by itself.  NASA would probably use a mother ship for it to dock with, then have a Mars lander also docked with the mother ship. 

I think Orion was only designed to get to the moon and dock with a moon lander or a moon station like Artemis station. 

There's no "think" or "probably" about it. Orion's role in a Mars mission was *always* to dock with a Mars Transfer Vehicle at the start of the mission, and to undock and return the crew to Earth at the end. Every single NASA DRM since the ESAS report has been based on that. Just like Jim and woods170 have already said.

This is not the first thread on this forum to propose this strawman about Orion going to Mars by itself. It's absolute nonsense and it needs to stop.

Offline Khadgars

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #47 on: 06/29/2021 01:42 am »
I don't think Orion is going to Mars by itself.  NASA would probably use a mother ship for it to dock with, then have a Mars lander also docked with the mother ship. 

I think Orion was only designed to get to the moon and dock with a moon lander or a moon station like Artemis station. 

There's no "think" or "probably" about it. Orion's role in a Mars mission was *always* to dock with a Mars Transfer Vehicle at the start of the mission, and to undock and return the crew to Earth at the end. Every single NASA DRM since the ESAS report has been based on that. Just like Jim and woods170 have already said.

This is not the first thread on this forum to propose this strawman about Orion going to Mars by itself. It's absolute nonsense and it needs to stop.

While I agree NASA's own DRM are as Jim and the rest have suggested, this very forum has conjured many outlandish ideas.  I don't why one would react so negatively about simply entertaining the idea.

I mean, go over to SS threads.  Apparently it will replace all commercial aviation and all launch vehicles and not a single eye has been batted  ;D
Evil triumphs when good men do nothing - Thomas Jefferson

Offline Coastal Ron

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #48 on: 06/29/2021 01:53 am »
Any unbiased review of the capabilities of the Orion shows that it is only usable in Earth-local space. Hauling it to Mars makes no sense, and the Orion is easily replaced by a fully reusable space-only transportation system, which we need anyways if we want to expand humanity out into space.

...
I mean, go over to SS threads.  Apparently it will replace all commercial aviation and all launch vehicles and not a single eye has been batted  ;D

Go to any major NSF topic and there are threads with edge-case topics, like this one. Just because most of us ignore them doesn't mean we endorse them...  ::)
If we don't continuously lower the cost to access space, how are we ever going to afford to expand humanity out into space?

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #49 on: 06/29/2021 02:37 am »
There is an equation here....

https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/20120009534/downloads/20120009534.pdf

The equation presented on slide 3 is...

4.8827*ln(crewed duration in days) ‐ 3.9113

plugging in crew duration of 1024 days...

4.8827*ln(1024) ‐ 3.9113 = 29.9 m^3/crew member. 4 crew members would therefore be 119.6.

This is intended as habitable volume, but historically there have been different levels(optimal to tolerable). The architecture presented above has about 20 cubic meters of pressurized volume in each Orion and maybe 20-30 cubic meters in each cargo module. As such, the pressurized volume is comparable to the target habitable volume. Of course, at the end of mission for the return to earth, both cargo modules are gone leaving just 40 cubic meters of pressurized volume for the return trip (10 cubic meters pressurized volume and 4.5 cubic meters habitable volume per astronaut). But other projects have proposed similar numbers (~100 crew size in ~1000 cubic meters...10 cubic meters of pressurized volume per occupant), and people seem to accept that.

I admit, there are problems with the architecture, but I think they could be solved with just "gateway at Mars". That solves a lot of the mass constraints, psychological issues, etc. You no longer have to brake your return and Mars orbit supplies into Mars orbit using the Orion service module leaving more fuel to hold onto the 1 or both cargo modules, etc.

But it is purely academic. A what if scenario of what can be done on a relatively shoe-string budget and improvisation (somewhat to the detriment of crew comfort).

As far as the pure O2 environment, every successful manned BEO flight has used a pure O2 environment post launch. I don't see an issue with it. Just transition to pure O2 low pressure post launch and things should be fine.
« Last Edit: 06/30/2021 05:51 pm by ncb1397 »

Offline RoadWithoutEnd

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #50 on: 06/29/2021 03:24 am »
It's capable of being used as one component of an architecture for Mars if its ECLSS and rad hardening are adequate, but that's a far cry from being adequate for a Mars mission in general.

It would be much simpler to upgrade Soyuz for a cislunar mission than to upgrade Orion for Mars.  And even that's never happened in half a century, so the odds are long.
Walk the road without end, and all tomorrows unfold like music.

Offline Proponent

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #51 on: 06/29/2021 12:35 pm »
As far as the pure O2 environment, every successful manned BEO flight has used a pure O2 environment post launch. I don't see an issue with it. Just transition to pure O2 low pressure post launch and things should be fine.

Every flight of more than two weeks' duration has used a mix-gas atmosphere, because of pure oxygen's toxicity.

Offline JohnFornaro

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #52 on: 06/29/2021 03:34 pm »
Any unbiased review of the capabilities of the Orion shows that it is only usable in Earth-local space. Hauling it to Mars makes no sense, and the Orion is easily replaced by a fully reusable space-only transportation system, which we need anyways if we want to expand humanity out into space.

...
I mean, go over to SS threads.  Apparently it will replace all commercial aviation and all launch vehicles and not a single eye has been batted  ;D

Go to any major NSF topic and there are threads with edge-case topics, like this one. Just because most of us ignore them doesn't mean we endorse them...  ::)

And I'll just add that no discussion at all could be possible if no side tracks could take place.
Sometimes I just flat out don't get it.

Offline ncb1397

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #53 on: 06/30/2021 01:20 am »
As far as the pure O2 environment, every successful manned BEO flight has used a pure O2 environment post launch. I don't see an issue with it. Just transition to pure O2 low pressure post launch and things should be fine.

Every flight of more than two weeks' duration has used a mix-gas atmosphere, because of pure oxygen's toxicity.

So, would skylab's mixture of 26% nitrogen at 5 psi work? Or because this was only done for up to ~3 months, there is still a problem for longer duration missions? That would still allow for a lighter cargo module. You would still have to carry nitrogen or some other inert gas, but not as much. It is still highly debateable what the long term effects of low pressure oxygen is. There was basically no discernable effects at 2 weeks. If I wasn't clear, this would be a low pressure environment and so typical oxygen toxicity at elevated partial pressures shouldn't really apply. But do you have a study suggesting long term exposure past 2 weeks is a problem, or is it just a question mark that we can't rule out at this point?

Offline laszlo

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #54 on: 06/30/2021 12:26 pm »

(I think by the time anything like this comes to fruition, the astronauts will be using oversized iPads with WiFi or other wireless connectivity, and will do most of the system control and monitoring from wherever they happen to be.  In the first Star Trek movie, they seem to have invented the Kindle, but the writers didn't realize they could download ALL the engineering documents and designs and schematics into one device, so they had separate tablets for each document.  They would hand them off to each other when someone needed the docs for the life support systems or long range scanners.)

Once again the writers correctly anticipated the future - the DRM (Digital Rights Management) system only allowed the document to be viewed on one specific device unless Starfleet paid Amazon an additional licensing fee.

Offline Proponent

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Re: Is Orion really capable of reaching Mars?
« Reply #55 on: 07/01/2021 05:09 pm »
Every flight of more than two weeks' duration has used a mix-gas atmosphere, because of pure oxygen's toxicity.

So, would skylab's mixture of 26% nitrogen at 5 psi work? Or because this was only done for up to ~3 months, there is still a problem for longer duration missions?

I don't know.

Quote
That would still allow for a lighter cargo module. You would still have to carry nitrogen or some other inert gas, but not as much. It is still highly debateable what the long term effects of low pressure oxygen is. There was basically no discernable effects at 2 weeks. If I wasn't clear, this would be a low pressure environment and so typical oxygen toxicity at elevated partial pressures shouldn't really apply. But do you have a study suggesting long term exposure past 2 weeks is a problem, or is it just a question mark that we can't rule out at this point?

Again, I don't know.  The fact, though, that from the Shuttle onward everybody has gone with a mixed-gas atmosphere at 1 bar suggests to me that the experts think the advantages of lower pressures are not worth the cost.  The trades would be different for longer missions, of course, but even the Mars-bound Starship is, I presume, follows the trend.

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