Quote from: RotoSequence on 01/18/2018 08:58 pmSpecific impulse doesn't matter as much when each impulse releases more energy than an entire rocket.For the kind of money such a programme would cost it has to offer a serious increase in Isp. NTR is estimated to cost 10s of $Bn for a 2x increase over chemical Isp. Orion would be much more expensive give the safety precautions needed throughout the whole design, build and operating of the system.
Specific impulse doesn't matter as much when each impulse releases more energy than an entire rocket.
Specific impulse still matters tremendously.
Quote from: docmordrid on 01/19/2018 09:29 amAn important slide wrt the thread title,What's important for commercial missions is price of Kilopower units. If they cost $100m, no way in heck it will be affordable. Even $10 million is a lot for just 10kW of power.
An important slide wrt the thread title,
Quote from: Robotbeat on 01/19/2018 01:22 pmQuote from: docmordrid on 01/19/2018 09:29 amAn important slide wrt the thread title,What's important for commercial missions is price of Kilopower units. If they cost $100m, no way in heck it will be affordable. Even $10 million is a lot for just 10kW of power.Especially since many apps will require tens of mega-Watts... $10billion is laughable from commercial perspective.
SpaceX or any other commercial company will not be able to afford a buy from NASA. Anything. Ever.
I haven't heard anything about Elon looking at nuclear power in space, either fission power systems or nuclear propulsion, but it would make a lot of sense to. If you want NASA's take on the question of whether to do solar or fission, you can find it here: https://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20160011275.pdf
Shotwell on @SpaceX work on nuclear propulsion: "We're actually trying to get hold of some nuclear material - it's hard, by the way"
Quote from: BeyondNERVA on 01/20/2018 02:12 pmI haven't heard anything about Elon looking at nuclear power in space, either fission power systems or nuclear propulsion, but it would make a lot of sense to. If you want NASA's take on the question of whether to do solar or fission, you can find it here: https://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20160011275.pdfWe have a quote from Gwynne Shotwell during her talk at MIT from last September:https://twitter.com/charlottelowey/status/913145922976190464?s=17QuoteShotwell on @SpaceX work on nuclear propulsion: "We're actually trying to get hold of some nuclear material - it's hard, by the way"
So we’re looking, actually, at like electric propulsion for the satellites, and we’re talking to people about nuclear-thermal, you know, the NASA centers are working on nuclear; it’s just prohibitively expensive to test because you can’t; it’s not like the 60s, like when you can just let fission products fly out of your rocket into the desert. You’ve now got to scrub it and clean it and capture it, which is super-expensive. I don’t think SpaceX could really afford to develop that rocket ourselves. If NASA ever gets turned on to develop those test stands, we’d probably want to jump in on that. You can just about double the performance of a rocket to Mars compared to a really-good, like a Raptor system, a chemical system, with fission; nuclear fission. Theoretically, fusion may be ten times better, and antimatter maybe a thousand times better, but I think those are certainly not going to happen in my lifetime. Maybe in your lifetimes.
It’s much better to use nuclear, fission reactor, it gets, you know, more compact; you actually get more; you get more power out per pound of reactor than you do out of solar cells, so it’s more mass-efficient. So if you’re taking it to Mars, it’s more efficient to ship reactors than it is to ship solar; it’s just that nobody’s really developed a space reactor yet. We’re working with NASA on that, and hopefully they’ll get funding to develop that. They’ve got a program called kilopower going that’s like, ten thousand watts, a 10 kilowatt reactor. We need a megawatt, but you know, you need to start somewhere.
For Lunar polar ISRU operations, even single 1KW reactor plus batteries maybe all that is needed to keep equipment warm and alive few days a month without sunlight.Production would be suspended during these dark periods.
Low cost lunar and asteriod source fuel could eliminate need for nuclear propulsion. Especially for earth Mars trips.
The development cost of nuclear would pay for lot ISRU operations.
While ISRU fuel can compete against SEPs, ISRU needs large scale solar power systems that are part of SEP development.
There's talk of converting the core to low enriched uranium, with no insurmountable problems seen, there's just a lot that's different about this reactor, and the design particulars of nuclear spacecraft in general and this reactor in specific meant that the high security costs associated with HEU could be minimized. Basically, you take a 55%-74% mass hit on the full system if you do that, although there are areas that could possibly be optimized on the system. A recent paper by Dave Poston and Patrick McClure looks at it: https://fas.org/nuke/space/leu-reactor.pdf
If this design were to be commercialized (and it may be, BWXT could certainly handle it as a commercial provider - and they've got good connections at every point in the US nuclear supply chain), then it would probably be the LEU variant... but that will require a re-test of the core. Depending on how regulations are changed over the next few years (largely driven by advanced terrestrial designs, but space reactors will benefit as well), that could be either a very inexpensive test or virtually impossible to squeak through. Hopefully it's the former, and this team has done wonders on a shoestring and pocket change budget.
There are much larger variants of this reactor, which I look at briefly at the end of my KRUSTY rundown, called MegaPower. This is a Defense Nuclear Security Agency program, so you don't hear much about it, but it's rated up to 40 MWe, with a Brayton (?) PCS. My bet, though, is on a reworked version of the Fission Surface Power reactor, which is the next size class up from Kilopower, at 10 kWe - 1 MWe. It was the first fission system in this design series that proposed the Stirling PCS that I've seen developed to any degree, but it also had a very complex heat rejection system that ate the project's incredibly skimpy budget. The design is basically solid, though, and could be reworked to overcome the problems that were seen during the development: https://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20110007114.pdf
Quote from: jpo234 on 01/20/2018 06:29 pmQuote from: BeyondNERVA on 01/20/2018 02:12 pmI haven't heard anything about Elon looking at nuclear power in space, either fission power systems or nuclear propulsion, but it would make a lot of sense to. If you want NASA's take on the question of whether to do solar or fission, you can find it here: https://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/20160011275.pdfWe have a quote from Gwynne Shotwell during her talk at MIT from last September:https://twitter.com/charlottelowey/status/913145922976190464?s=17QuoteShotwell on @SpaceX work on nuclear propulsion: "We're actually trying to get hold of some nuclear material - it's hard, by the way" And we have a few quotes from the Tom Mueller Skype interview (https://zlsadesign.com/post/tom-mueller-interview-2017-05-02-transcription)QuoteSo we’re looking, actually, at like electric propulsion for the satellites, and we’re talking to people about nuclear-thermal, you know, the NASA centers are working on nuclear; it’s just prohibitively expensive to test because you can’t; it’s not like the 60s, like when you can just let fission products fly out of your rocket into the desert. You’ve now got to scrub it and clean it and capture it, which is super-expensive. I don’t think SpaceX could really afford to develop that rocket ourselves. If NASA ever gets turned on to develop those test stands, we’d probably want to jump in on that. You can just about double the performance of a rocket to Mars compared to a really-good, like a Raptor system, a chemical system, with fission; nuclear fission. Theoretically, fusion may be ten times better, and antimatter maybe a thousand times better, but I think those are certainly not going to happen in my lifetime. Maybe in your lifetimes. QuoteIt’s much better to use nuclear, fission reactor, it gets, you know, more compact; you actually get more; you get more power out per pound of reactor than you do out of solar cells, so it’s more mass-efficient. So if you’re taking it to Mars, it’s more efficient to ship reactors than it is to ship solar; it’s just that nobody’s really developed a space reactor yet. We’re working with NASA on that, and hopefully they’ll get funding to develop that. They’ve got a program called kilopower going that’s like, ten thousand watts, a 10 kilowatt reactor. We need a megawatt, but you know, you need to start somewhere.
Low cost lunar and asteriod source fuel could eliminate need for nuclear propulsion. Especially for earth Mars trips. The development cost of nuclear would pay for lot ISRU operations.While ISRU fuel can compete against SEPs, ISRU needs large scale solar power systems that are part of SEP development.
Quote from: BeyondNERVA on 01/20/2018 02:12 pmThere's talk of converting the core to low enriched uranium, with no insurmountable problems seen, there's just a lot that's different about this reactor, and the design particulars of nuclear spacecraft in general and this reactor in specific meant that the high security costs associated with HEU could be minimized. Basically, you take a 55%-74% mass hit on the full system if you do that, although there are areas that could possibly be optimized on the system. A recent paper by Dave Poston and Patrick McClure looks at it: https://fas.org/nuke/space/leu-reactor.pdfThat looks like a version of the Kilopwer architecture with LEU
AFAIK BWXT is nothing to do with Kilopower, however it is much closer to the idea of "beyond NERVA," being an LEU NTR project, rather than an NEP (where I'm using the "P" for power, rather than propulsion).
Aside from being more compact I thought HEU was easier for the DoE to procure, as it had quite a lot in stockpile from decommissioned nuclear weapons? It was (essentially) free.
Nuclear, even more so than space launch, seems obsessed with pedigree, the (traceable) history of a development. So if Kilopwer can scale up with roughly the same materials and structure that's going to be viewed as the "less risky" option. IIRC the increasing power output from the larger versions is mostly due to insertion of heat pipes inside the block, as opposed to just on the periphery.
WRT the Kilopower ground tests and the initial presentation I noted a 200c temperature drop due to poor conduction between two parts of the design.
This paper is now 20 years old, so the engine isn't exactly what we would try to build today, but the general concept is still just as valid.https://ntrs.nasa.gov/archive/nasa/casi.ntrs.nasa.gov/19950005290.pdf
You're correct, but they also offer U-Mo fuel, of various types, and are able to do the same tooling and machining as Y12, who made this fuel element. Y12 is not a commercial enterprise, and the government can't sell anything, they need a commercial partner. BWXT is the logical choice. They already make all of the DOE's experimental fuel elements, most of the FEs for research reactors in the US, and fabricate, supply, and dispose of most (all?) of the US Navy's nuclear fuel as well. I can't think of anyone else even remotely as qualified...
Absolutely. Y12 has unique procedures in regards to accountability of material (for good reason), which make HEU basically free in the overall operating budget (absolutely absurd...). This isn't an option for a commercial company, like SpaceX in the OP, who are stuck with LEU as long as they want to be an American company (or federal policy on that changes).
Not quite, the core also increases in size, which has a much bigger effect than you would think. a 200 MWt core and a 2000 MWt core of the same basic geometry are only marginally different in size. Nuclear scales UP very fast, but you tend to have a hard limit on DOWN fairly quickly... basically Flattop, which was the reactor used for DUFF.
Quote from: john smith 19 on 01/21/2018 12:50 amWRT the Kilopower ground tests and the initial presentation I noted a 200c temperature drop due to poor conduction between two parts of the design. Yeah, this was expected. Basically, it wasn't worth the money to re-tool, they'd just do conceptual work for the next iteration (which may or may not be a flight article). It's not a nuclear component, so GRC can do what they need to in order to fix the problem.
And a belated welcome to the forum.
They do sound like one of those outfits that's quietly been building their skills, and their relationship with the DoE.
For people used to conventional (LEU) reactor design these units are very small, but given you've not near minimum surface area and near maximum enrichment the only options left would be going fully enriched (100% U235), moving to a sphere (which looks a PITA to make and extract heat from) or a better reflector material(s). But I don't what is a better reflector, given this is a fast spectrum, rather than a thermal spectrum reactor.
BTW as I noted earlier large Stirlings are in commercial use for Diesel electric submarine propulsion. It's not done in the US, and it's not something you can get hold of easily, but it's certainly in the known SoA.
They helped build, and decommission, the USS Nautilus. IIRC they're one of the first commercial nuclear companies. They're also one of the more discrete, which has been appreciated during the anti-nuclear hullaboo of the last 40 years.
You're never going to want 100% enriched 235, it's an expensive and finicky pain in the butt that makes pretty much everyone nervous, and gives most people the heebie jeebies, for a reason. Having it be at 85+% is largely a holdover of working with fuel element geometries and critical assembly geometries that were originally designed for HEU, and are belatedly having LEU shoehorned into them.
I'm currently digging my way through documentation on the NCPS (Nuclear Cryogenic Propulsion Stage), which is one example of what I'm talking about. It started as a 95% enriched 235U, and is now currently being reduced to <20%, using CERMET fuels (https://beyondnerva.wordpress.com/2018/01/19/leu-ntp-part-two-cermet-fuel-nasas-path-to-nuclear-thermal-propulsion/). However, due to thermal constraints, propellant flow considerations, and the need to maintain a similar fuel element architecture in order to ensure the balance of the various elements and neutronic behaviors was correct in the reactor, the same ANL-2000 fuel element has been used throughout the program. Made out of different materials, with different enrichment, but the same fuel element nonetheless. This fundamentally limits the flexibility of the system, but at the same time this element has been tested in-reactor, and has data available that is unavailable on any other fuel element besides the graphite composite legacy NERVA fuel elements.
It should be relatively easy to work in a positive breeding ratio for the reactor, which would allow for the "useless" 238U can be bred into 239Pu, and then fissioned, without taking a significant mass hit... as long as you're willing to redesign your reactor from the ground up, including your fuel elements. Until 5-10 years ago, that idea was a non-starter. Combining discrete enough modeling for a full-flow expander cycle rocket engine, coupled with the same for a very high temperature gas cooled reactor, is still enough to give me the willies, but it's possible now, which is new. It doesn't replace testing, but hopefully KRUSTY will be that camel's nose in the tent that doesn't get the riding crop taken to it...
I expect we'll see lots of nifty things come down the pipeline in the next few years.
BeO is a good reflector in pretty much any spectrum. There are other options, and some quite interesting metamaterial options that have started peeking over the horizon, but those are still years away from an in-core test on the benchtop level.
Very true. I guess I forgot to include the word "nuclear" in there...
Don't underestimate that data, given the (historically) eyewatering cost of qualifying an element.
That's why I thought (if possible) a shared element between NTR and NEP would be a very good investment. Not optimal in performance, but cheaper than 2 separate qualifications and good enough to get the job done.
"Metamaterials?" That sounds very exotic for a reflector, or a moderator. TBH for commercial projects I've always thought the best way to go would be natural Uranium. But that's tough.