Poll

Will the CFT Starliner land safely?

Yes, Butch & Suni could have ridden it down with no problems
42 (68.9%)
Yes, but occupants would have been uncomfortable
3 (4.9%)
Yes, but occupants would have landed off-target
3 (4.9%)
No, occupants would have been seriously injured
0 (0%)
Some combination of 2, 3 & 4
10 (16.4%)
No, capsule will be lost at some point in the return
3 (4.9%)

Total Members Voted: 61

Voting closed: 09/07/2024 11:32 am


Author Topic: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6  (Read 1207499 times)

Offline sstli2

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2400 on: 12/23/2025 10:39 pm »
I gave my opinion on this many months and many pages ago. It's not really costing NASA much to keep this going. Boeing is the one really taking the financial hit. And if they can't get it done after another test flight, they'll leave on their own volition, no need to force them out.

Some here are concerned with sending messages or punishing bad contractors or other performative nonsense. Trust me, not one prospective NASA contractor is looking at this situation and all of the circumstances around it - the cost overruns, the massive negative publicity, the drain on engineering resources - and saying gee, I wish that was me.

As I've mentioned before, we've long been in the situation where only a single contractor is routinely fulfilling these firm-fixed price contracts on-time, cheaply, and with quality. The solution isn't to funnel everything to that one contractor and call it a day. The solution is to encourage more entrants to take the risk so that others may achieve that success. And working with a deficient contractor by modifying their contract and extending them opportunities to perform is a great way to encourage that by signaling that they won't be out there on their own just waiting to fail.

Offline edkyle99

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2401 on: 02/13/2026 01:47 pm »
The GEM 63XL failure on V005 seems to me a significant problem for Starliner in the long term.  Atlas 5 uses different boosters, I know, but I can't see approval for Starliner on Vulcan anytime soon, if ever.

 - Ed Kyle

Online DanClemmensen

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2402 on: 02/13/2026 02:09 pm »
The GEM 63XL failure on V005 seems to me a significant problem for Starliner in the long term.  Atlas 5 uses different boosters, I know, but I can't see approval for Starliner on Vulcan anytime soon, if ever.

 - Ed Kyle
The Starliner program has many problems. I think Crew certification for Vulcan is very far down the list. Crew certification for Starliner is at the top of the list. Starliner has seen four launch campaigns: OFT-1, 2021 OFT-2 attempt, OFT-2, and CFT. Only one was successful. During the pre-Crew-12 press conference, Steve Stich said that NASA and Boeing have not yet completed the testing of the mitigations of the faults found during the CFT.

Vulcan has a better record, and Vulcan at least has a paying customer contracted for 38 launches. This should be enough to develop the statistics needed for crew certification. Yes, Vulcan is currently grounded for maybe up to 10 months, but ULA intends to get to a launch rate of 2 per month or maybe more. This would develop the needed flight history before the last Atlas Starliner flight.

Offline woods170

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2403 on: 02/13/2026 07:44 pm »
The GEM 63XL failure on V005 seems to me a significant problem for Starliner in the long term.  Atlas 5 uses different boosters, I know, but I can't see approval for Starliner on Vulcan anytime soon, if ever.

 - Ed Kyle

Honest question Ed, what makes you think that Boeing is even interested in flying Starliner on Vulcan?

NASA isn't interested in Starliner in the post-ISS era. And there is no queue of commercial parties interested in flying on Starliner either. From a Boeing perspective it would make no sense to qualify a theoretical Starliner-Vulcan combination.

Online StraumliBlight

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2404 on: 02/13/2026 07:56 pm »
Honest question Ed, what makes you think that Boeing is even interested in flying Starliner on Vulcan?

NASA isn't interested in Starliner in the post-ISS era. And there is no queue of commercial parties interested in flying on Starliner either. From a Boeing perspective it would make no sense to qualify a theoretical Starliner-Vulcan combination.

ULA seemed interested.



Quote
[25:40] Jim Bridenstine: "I think there are things that can and should be commercialized and I know you feel the same way with how we do Commercial Crew to the International Space Station. We're excited about Vulcan being certified for that eventually."

Offline ugordan

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2405 on: 02/13/2026 10:15 pm »
The GEM 63XL failure on V005 seems to me a significant problem for Starliner in the long term.  Atlas 5 uses different boosters, I know, but I can't see approval for Starliner on Vulcan anytime soon, if ever.

 - Ed Kyle

Honest question Ed, what makes you think that Boeing is even interested in flying Starliner on Vulcan?

NASA isn't interested in Starliner in the post-ISS era. And there is no queue of commercial parties interested in flying on Starliner either. From a Boeing perspective it would make no sense to qualify a theoretical Starliner-Vulcan combination.

Especially after today.

As if Starliner didn't have enough trouble on its own, marrying it to a new vehicle which was supposed to be The Next Best Thing after Atlas, but turned out to be not *quite* that, yet.

No one's gonna be scrambling to fly on Starliner these days if they can get on a Dragon instead, barring some catastrophe with the latter - and even then, the (by now established) heritage of that system would make return to flight be comparable to the venerable Soyuz.

Starliner has nothing of that. Neither does Vulcan.

Online StraumliBlight

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2406 on: 02/19/2026 05:27 pm »
Bloomberg: NASA Puts Starliner Mishap in Same Class as Shuttle Tragedies [Feb 19, paywalled]

Quote
The agency labeled the mission a “Type A” mishap in a scathing report, expected to be released as soon as Thursday, that delves into what happened during the Boeing Co. Starliner’s first crewed flight. The fates of Barry “Butch” Wilmore and Sunita “Suni” Williams captured the world’s attention as NASA frantically tried to decide how to bring them back from the International Space Station.

The 300-plus page report is fiercely critical of both NASA’s bureaucracy and Boeing, laying blame on one of the corporate pioneers of US space missions, according to a copy seen by Bloomberg News. Faulty engineering, inadequate oversight and general mistrust between the parties helped turn a weeklong mission into a physical and mental ordeal for Wilmore and Williams that lasted much longer.

[...]

Investigators make 61 formal recommendations for what NASA and Boeing can do to prevent similar mistakes in the future. Congress will be briefed on the probe, which was conducted by agency employees and outside experts.

[...]

The mission “revealed critical vulnerabilities in the Starliner’s propulsion system, NASA’s oversight model, and the broader culture of commercial human spaceflight,” according to the report. Lessons from the mishap “must be institutionalized to ensure that safety is never compromised in pursuit of schedule or cost.”

Online mn

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2407 on: 02/19/2026 05:40 pm »
Bloomberg: NASA Puts Starliner Mishap in Same Class as Shuttle Tragedies [Feb 19, paywalled]

Quote
The agency labeled the mission a “Type A” mishap in a scathing report, expected to be released as soon as Thursday, that delves into what happened during the Boeing Co. Starliner’s first crewed flight. The fates of Barry “Butch” Wilmore and Sunita “Suni” Williams captured the world’s attention as NASA frantically tried to decide how to bring them back from the International Space Station.

The 300-plus page report is fiercely critical of both NASA’s bureaucracy and Boeing, laying blame on one of the corporate pioneers of US space missions, according to a copy seen by Bloomberg News. Faulty engineering, inadequate oversight and general mistrust between the parties helped turn a weeklong mission into a physical and mental ordeal for Wilmore and Williams that lasted much longer.

[...]

Investigators make 61 formal recommendations for what NASA and Boeing can do to prevent similar mistakes in the future. Congress will be briefed on the probe, which was conducted by agency employees and outside experts.

[...]

The mission “revealed critical vulnerabilities in the Starliner’s propulsion system, NASA’s oversight model, and the broader culture of commercial human spaceflight,” according to the report. Lessons from the mishap “must be institutionalized to ensure that safety is never compromised in pursuit of schedule or cost.”

So perfect excuse for those in congress that want to cancel all commercial NASA contracting...

Offline Targeteer

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2408 on: 02/19/2026 06:03 pm »
The opening statement from the Administrator is not looking good for NASA leadership...
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Online catdlr

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2409 on: 02/19/2026 06:07 pm »
Quote
NSF - NASASpaceflight.com
@NASASpaceflight
This is the leadership we all hoped for and are now receiving at NASA.

https://x.com/NASASpaceflight/status/2024560722282426811
PSA #3:  Paywall? View this video on how-to temporary Disable Java-Script: youtu.be/KvBv16tw-UM
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Offline Targeteer

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2410 on: 02/19/2026 06:09 pm »
Schedule pressure reared it's ugly head, again...
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Offline Targeteer

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2411 on: 02/19/2026 06:10 pm »
Mishap was not declared due to priority of Starliner reputation
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Online catdlr

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2412 on: 02/19/2026 06:11 pm »
Schedule pressure reared it's ugly head, again...

Maybe saving us from another Challenger incident, being proactive?
PSA #3:  Paywall? View this video on how-to temporary Disable Java-Script: youtu.be/KvBv16tw-UM
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Offline Targeteer

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2413 on: 02/19/2026 06:11 pm »
NASA will not fly crew on Starliner until numerous actions occur
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Offline Targeteer

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2414 on: 02/19/2026 06:12 pm »
NASA "leadership" is being eviscerated
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Offline Targeteer

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2415 on: 02/19/2026 06:15 pm »
will not fly Starliner again until technical issues are identified and solved
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Offline Targeteer

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2416 on: 02/19/2026 06:15 pm »
NASA leadership prioritized having two crewed vehicles over safety--ouch
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Offline Targeteer

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2417 on: 02/19/2026 06:17 pm »
Prior Administrator culpable in leadership failure--double ouch
Best quote heard during an inspection, "I was unaware that I was the only one who was aware."

Online catdlr

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2418 on: 02/19/2026 06:17 pm »
Quote
NSF - NASASpaceflight.com
@NASASpaceflight
·
5m
Over to Boeing to call it a day on Starliner?
Eric Berger
@SciGuySpace
·
2m
I don't know yet.

https://twitter.com/SciGuySpace/status/2024563052620767633
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Offline cplchanb

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Re: Boeing's Starliner (CST-100) - Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #2419 on: 02/19/2026 06:20 pm »
Boeing has once again been roasted alive to the public.
seems that they havnt learned at all since their 737 Max disaster.

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