Author Topic: SpaceX F9 : Starlink group 6-1 : CCSFS SLC-40 : 27 February 2023 (23:13 UTC) (Read 52532 times)

jackvancouver · « **Reply #40 on:** 02/22/2023 07:34 am »

Quote from: Alexphysics on 02/21/2023 04:52 pm

Quote from: kevin-rf on 02/21/2023 02:44 pm
Someone noted way up thread that the drone ship location was similar to 5.1. So most likely 43 degrees

The droneship location supports both 43º and 53º inclinations. Group 4 launches (53º) landed in the same area when they were doing southeast trajectories in early 2022. All that changes is how pronounced the second stage dogleg is.

So you're saying there's a chance of 53 degrees for us 49th parallel people?

Will be eagerly awaiting the Celestrak for this launch then.

GewoonLukas_ · « **Reply #41 on:** 02/22/2023 01:58 pm »

Inclination will be 43°:

Quote

LHA map for #Starlink Group 6-1 from CCSFS SLC-40 NET 23 Feb 18:37 UTC, altern. 24 Feb to 01 Mar based on NOTAM/NOTMARs. B1076.3 planned landing with estimated fairing recovery ~637km downrange. Final inclination 43°. S2 reentry area south of Cape Town. http://bit.ly/LHA-23

https://twitter.com/Raul74Cz/status/1628404812126597121

Ken the Bin · « **Reply #42 on:** 02/22/2023 04:58 pm »

L-1 weather forecast. 95% 'Go' for both February 23 and February 24. All Additional Risk Criteria are Low for both days.

gongora · « **Reply #43 on:** 02/23/2023 01:32 am »

https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1628581684898861059

Quote

Team is completing pre-flight checkouts and setting up for no earlier than Sunday, February 26 for launch of Starlink; launch of Crew-6, which has priority, is currently targeted for Monday, February 27

If weather and all other aspects of Crew-6 are go, we’ll stand down from Sunday’s launch attempt of Starlink

Galactic Penguin SST · « **Reply #44 on:** 02/23/2023 01:38 am »

Quote from: gongora on 02/23/2023 01:32 am

https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1628581684898861059
Quote
Team is completing pre-flight checkouts and setting up for no earlier than Sunday, February 26 for launch of Starlink; launch of Crew-6, which has priority, is currently targeted for Monday, February 27

If weather and all other aspects of Crew-6 are go, we’ll stand down from Sunday’s launch attempt of Starlink

While probably less likely, I do have a doubt if this is talking about 2-7 instead of 6-1 as neither were targeting the 26th per public sources (though 2-7 is from Vandenberg so I do think 6-1 is more likely, still I would like confirmation).

gongora · « **Reply #45 on:** 02/23/2023 01:39 am »

FAA:

SPACE OPERATION(S):
SPACEX STARLINK 6-1 (X1624), CCSFS, FLORIDA
PRIMARY:   02/26/23   1812-00011Z
BACK-UP:   TBD

SPACEX CREW-6 (X1511), CCSFS, FLORIDA
PRIMARY:   02/26/23   0702-0739Z
BACK-UP:   02/27/23   0639-0716Z
      02/28/23   0617-0654Z

Ken the Bin · « **Reply #46 on:** 02/23/2023 03:19 am »

Here's the cancel-and-replace NGA notice.

Quote from: NGA

230350Z FEB 23
NAVAREA IV 200/23(11,26).
WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
   261812Z TO 270011Z FEB, ALTERNATE 
   271837Z TO 280037Z, 281812Z FEB TO 010011Z MAR, 
   011837Z TO 020037Z, 021902Z TO 030011Z, 
   031837Z TO 040037Z AND 041902Z TO 050012Z MAR
   IN AREAS BOUND BY:
   A. 28-38.52N 080-37.35W, 28-37.00N 080-24.00W,
      28-27.00N 080-07.00W, 28-23.00N 080-09.00W,
      28-32.20N 080-33.75W.
   B. 26-11.00N 075-59.00W, 26-19.00N 075-56.00W,
      25-53.00N 074-29.00W, 25-30.00N 074-04.00W,
      25-10.00N 074-16.00W, 25-12.00N 074-47.00W.
2. CANCEL NAVAREA IV 183/23.
3. CANCEL THIS MSG 050112Z MAR 23.//

Ken the Bin · « **Reply #47 on:** 02/23/2023 07:47 pm »

New L-3 weather forecast. 95% 'Go' for both February 26 and February 27. All Additional Risk Criteria are Low for both days.

Note: What is supposed to be the Crew-6 weather forecast is actually yesterday's Starlink Group 6-1 L-1 forecast. 😠

Ken the Bin · « **Reply #48 on:** 02/24/2023 05:00 am »

Launch window is 18:36:30 to 19:15:00 UTC.

https://twitter.com/TSKelso/status/1628975158039023616

Quote from: T.S. Kelso

.
@SpaceX
has notified us that the launch window for the Group 6-1 launch is set for 2023-02-26 18:36:30 to 19:15:00 UTC. I am modifying my code to handle the non-instaneous launch window and modified format and will post SupGP data sometime later today (Feb 24 UTC).

FutureSpaceTourist · « **Reply #49 on:** 02/24/2023 03:31 pm »

L-2 launch weather forecast still at 95% GO and additional risk criteria all low

FutureSpaceTourist · « **Reply #50 on:** 02/24/2023 08:21 pm »

https://twitter.com/tskelso/status/1629225233952669696

Quote

CelesTrak has pre-launch SupGP data for the #Starlink Group 6-1 launch set for 2023-02-26 between 18:36:30 UTC and 19:15:00 UTC. Deployment of 21 Gen 2 satellites is set for 64.8 minutes after launch (19:41:15.660 UTC). Data can be found at: https://celestrak.org/NORAD/elements/supplemental/table.php?FILE=starlink-g6-1

gongora · « **Reply #51 on:** 02/24/2023 10:08 pm »

NOTMAR shows a delay to the 27th (h/t to Alex)

Quote

242205Z FEB 23
NAVAREA IV 207/23(11,26).
WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
271837Z TO 280037Z FEB, ALTERNATE
281812Z FEB TO 010011Z MAR,
011837Z TO 020037Z MAR,
021902Z TO 030011Z MAR,
031837Z TO 040037Z MAR,
041902Z TO 050012Z MAR
IN AREAS BOUND BY:
A. 28-38.52N 080-37.35W, 28-37.00N 080-24.00W,
28-27.00N 080-07.00W, 28-23.00N 080-09.00W,
28-32.20N 080-33.75W.
B. 26-11.00N 075-59.00W, 26-19.00N 075-56.00W,
25-53.00N 074-29.00W, 25-30.00N 074-04.00W,
25-10.00N 074-16.00W, 25-12.00N 074-47.00W.
2. CANCEL NAVAREA IV 183/23.
3. CANCEL THIS MSG 050112Z MAR 23.

TJL · « **Reply #52 on:** 02/24/2023 10:32 pm »

Are there now 3 Falcon 9 launches scheduled for Monday, February 27?

jackvancouver · « **Reply #53 on:** 02/24/2023 11:07 pm »

Well, looks like will be waiting for just a while longer for 53 degree inclination Starlink V2s.

Galactic Penguin SST · « **Reply #54 on:** 02/25/2023 01:53 am »

I now wonder if this really is planned for the 27th given Starlink 2-7 on West Coast has been confirmed for launch less than an hour after this, but this one hasn’t.

On the other hand Crew-6 launching half a day earlier shouldn’t be an issue (4-29 launched 7 hours after Crew-5).

Ken the Bin · « **Reply #55 on:** 02/25/2023 07:36 pm »

A new NGA Rocket Launching notice, but it is NOT a cancel-and-replace. (Note that the notice that gongora posted above was screwy itself in that it canceled NAVAREA IV 183/23 instead of NAVAREA 200/23. NAVAREA 200/23 had already canceled 183/23.) So at this point there are actually three Rocket Launching notices in effect for this launch. 😵

This one has slightly different coordinates for location A from the one that gongora posted.

Quote from: NGA

251706Z FEB 23
NAVAREA IV 208/23(11, 26).
WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
   271837Z TO 280037Z FEB 23, ALTERNATE
   281812Z TO 010011Z MAR, 011837Z TO 020037Z,
   021902Z TO 030011Z, 031837Z TO 040037Z, 
   041902Z TO 050012Z MAR 
   IN AREAS BOUND BY:
   A. 28-38.31N 080-37.21W, 28-37.00N 080-24.00W,
      28-27.00N 080-07.00W, 28-23.00N 080-09.00W,
      28-32.10N 080-33.45W.
   B. 26-11.00N 075-59.00W, 26-19.00N 075-56.00W,
      25-53.00N 074-29.00W, 25-30.00N 074-04.00W,
      25-10.00N 074-16.00W, 25-12.00N 074-47.00W.
2.  CANCEL THIS MSG 050112Z MAR 23.

SpaceFinnOriginal · « **Reply #56 on:** 02/25/2023 08:10 pm »

Quote from: Ken the Bin on 02/25/2023 07:36 pm

A new NGA Rocket Launching notice, but it is NOT a cancel-and-replace. (Note that the notice that gongora posted above was screwy itself in that it canceled NAVAREA IV 183/23 instead of NAVAREA 200/23. NAVAREA 200/23 had already canceled 183/23.) So at this point there are actually three Rocket Launching notices in effect for this launch. 😵

This one has slightly different coordinates for location A from the one that gongora posted.

Quote from: NGA
251706Z FEB 23
NAVAREA IV 208/23(11, 26).
WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
   271837Z TO 280037Z FEB 23, ALTERNATE
   281812Z TO 010011Z MAR, 011837Z TO 020037Z,
   021902Z TO 030011Z, 031837Z TO 040037Z, 
   041902Z TO 050012Z MAR 
   IN AREAS BOUND BY:
   A. 28-38.31N 080-37.21W, 28-37.00N 080-24.00W,
      28-27.00N 080-07.00W, 28-23.00N 080-09.00W,
      28-32.10N 080-33.45W.
   B. 26-11.00N 075-59.00W, 26-19.00N 075-56.00W,
      25-53.00N 074-29.00W, 25-30.00N 074-04.00W,
      25-10.00N 074-16.00W, 25-12.00N 074-47.00W.
2.  CANCEL THIS MSG 050112Z MAR 23.

Triple launch on the same day - can SpaceX handle this?

alugobi · « **Reply #57 on:** 02/25/2023 08:50 pm »

Crew is the 26th local, the 27th UTC time. The two Starlinks are Monday on opposite coasts. The Vandenberg launch will likely be weather delayed.

FutureSpaceTourist · « **Reply #58 on:** 02/26/2023 07:40 am »

Also worth noting that, unlike Crew-6 launch, no updated launch weather forecast was issued on Saturday (25th) by the 45th for this launch. Should have been a new L-2 forecast if this launch was firm for Monday.

FutureSpaceTourist · « **Reply #59 on:** 02/26/2023 02:45 pm »

Now have an L-1 launch weather forecast, 95% GO with all additional risk criteria low