I can confirm this is Group 2-3 as gongora pointed out. 2-2 is flying from Florida
Not a big surprise, but I appreciate them reaching the same conclusions as us.(This is beyond the Florida Starlink launch confirmed for December 1.)SFN, SpaceX is about to break its own annual launch record, dated November 17QuoteThe schedule in December could have room for two more Starlink launches — one from California and one from Florida. But SpaceX typically does not reveal schedules for its Starlink missions until weeks, or even days, before the launch date.
The schedule in December could have room for two more Starlink launches — one from California and one from Florida. But SpaceX typically does not reveal schedules for its Starlink missions until weeks, or even days, before the launch date.
2021 Launched:№ – Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)December 18 late summer? NET Aug Sept NET Oct mid 17 TBD NET Nov NET Dec NET 17 17 - Starlink 4-4 2-2 2-3 (x52 x51) (flight 33? 31 TBD/high-inclination flight 2) [v1.5 L4? v2.0 L2 L-TBD] - Falcon 9-132 127? TBD 134? (1051.11? 1051.11? 1049.11? S) - Vandenberg SLC-4E - 12:41:40 ~15:30 ~17:00 17:34 TBD ~08:30 to 14:10 ~08:40 to 14:10 09:46:20 09:24:40 or(mid-inclination Starlink: launch 20-22 minutes earlier/day)2022 Scheduled:№ – Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)NET mid January NET Sept 2021 Oct 2021 NET Nov 2021 NET Dec 2021 - Starlink TBD 2-3 2-TBD (x51?) (flight TBD/polar flight 1? high-inclination flight 3) [v1.5 TBD v2.0 L3 L-TBD] - Falcon 9 (1051.12? 1063.4? S) - Vandenberg SLC-4EFebruary NET Jun 2021/NLT Dec 2021 NET 2022 Feb ~Feb 2 - NROL-87 - Falcon 9 (1063.4? L?) - Vandenberg SLC-4ETBD NET May 2021 late 2021 NET Dec 2021 NET Jan 31, 2022 late Jan - ALS mission 1: Carbonite 4 (CBNT 4), GENESIS-G & J, QUBIK-3/4/5/6, Sapling-1, Spinnaker 3 - Firefly Alpha (FLTA002) - Vandenberg SLC-2WChanges on November 19th, 2020Changes on December 23, 2020Changes on March 2ndChanges on May 17thChanges on May 26thChanges on May 27thChanges on May 28thChanges on June 15thChanges on June 29thChanges on July 23rdChanges on July 27thChanges on August 15thChanges on August 24thChanges on August 29thChanges on September 1stChanges on September 7thChanges on September 11thChanges on October 6thChanges on October 12thChanges on October 13thChanges on October 14thChanges on October 22ndChanges on November 3rdChanges on November 5thChanges on November 24thChanges on December 3rdChanges on December 9thChanges on December 10thChanges on December 12thChanges on December 14thChanges on December 15thChanges on December 16thChanges on December 17thChanges on December 18thChanges on December 30thChanges on January 10thzubenelgenubi
Will there be a Static Fire before the Starlink 2-3 Starlink 2-2 launch from Vandenberg?[First stage] is 1051.11.If it's yet another booster [not 1049 nor 1063], transported from elsewhere, then I expect [a Static Fire] to ensure its proper function after said transport.Edit: 1051 arrived at VSFB circa September 1.I could be wrong about a static fire as a SpaceX SOP after cross-country road transport.
I wonder when this will launch--limiting parameter is turning around the recovery fleet after DART, or turning around the launch complex?
Quote from: zubenelgenubi on 11/24/2021 05:57 amI wonder when this will launch--limiting parameter is turning around the recovery fleet after DART, or turning around the launch complex?SpaceX's fastest SLC-4E turnaround is 36 days, so the NET for this launch without setting a new record is already December 30th! If everything is relatively normal (i.e. no surprise trip to Mexico), recovery fleet turnaround should take no more than a week or two. I'd put the realistic NET firmly in the last full week of December.
SpaceX is expected to launch an average of one Starlink mission per month from Vandenberg over the next year
These two NOTMARs seems to be for this launch - the closure areas and timing seems right for Starlink’s orbit:
NextSpaceFlighthttps://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?search=SpaceXreports launch time 08:24UTC
Quote from: crandles57 on 12/13/2021 12:12 pmNextSpaceFlighthttps://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?search=SpaceXreports launch time 08:24UTCSince I was the one who set it…it’s a NET time based on the marine space closure zones I posted, and the actual time should be some hours later given the window set is 6 hours long.
Quote from: Galactic Penguin SST on 12/13/2021 12:14 pmQuote from: crandles57 on 12/13/2021 12:12 pmNextSpaceFlighthttps://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?search=SpaceXreports launch time 08:24UTCSince I was the one who set it…it’s a NET time based on the marine space closure zones I posted, and the actual time should be some hours later given the window set is 6 hours long.When in the window set exactly? I'm trying to look at other NOTAMs listed for previous launches in order to determine a trend between them.
Quote from: ZachS09 on 12/13/2021 12:54 pmQuote from: Galactic Penguin SST on 12/13/2021 12:14 pmQuote from: crandles57 on 12/13/2021 12:12 pmNextSpaceFlighthttps://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?search=SpaceXreports launch time 08:24UTCSince I was the one who set it…it’s a NET time based on the marine space closure zones I posted, and the actual time should be some hours later given the window set is 6 hours long.When in the window set exactly? I'm trying to look at other NOTAMs listed for previous launches in order to determine a trend between them.Good luck with that. I've been trying for a long time. The amount of time from the beginning of the hazard window to the targeted launch time can vary from zero minutes up to 1.5 hours. And it's not necessarily consistent even for the same kind of launch from the same launch pad. Edit: To clarify, I'm referring to NGA marine hazard notices (NOTMARs), not NOTAMs.
BOLO (Be On the LookOut) for a possible SF (Static Fire).(I know, the geography makes it much more difficult than at Canaveral.)
0839 to 1414 UTC Daily starting December 17 and ending December 21.
Quote from: Ken the Bin on 12/13/2021 01:23 pmQuote from: ZachS09 on 12/13/2021 12:54 pmQuote from: Galactic Penguin SST on 12/13/2021 12:14 pmQuote from: crandles57 on 12/13/2021 12:12 pmNextSpaceFlighthttps://nextspaceflight.com/launches/?search=SpaceXreports launch time 08:24UTCSince I was the one who set it…it’s a NET time based on the marine space closure zones I posted, and the actual time should be some hours later given the window set is 6 hours long.When in the window set exactly? I'm trying to look at other NOTAMs listed for previous launches in order to determine a trend between them.Good luck with that. I've been trying for a long time. The amount of time from the beginning of the hazard window to the targeted launch time can vary from zero minutes up to 1.5 hours. And it's not necessarily consistent even for the same kind of launch from the same launch pad. Edit: To clarify, I'm referring to NGA marine hazard notices (NOTMARs), not NOTAMs.Also, let's remember that although NOTMARS and NOTAMS are multi-hour, the launch window for Starlink missions are unique, so SpaceX only has one launch opportunity and that makes guessing the launch time and minute a bit more difficult.
There could be two or more launch windows within the NOTAM/NOTMARS temporal boundaries.This early in the process of filling the polar orbital planes (polar flight 2), one argument of perigee could be as useful as another?