Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread  (Read 446143 times)

Offline Ben E

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 1139
  • Liked: 101
  • Likes Given: 11
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1300 on: 04/13/2024 05:01 am »
Do the life-leaders require recertification to go beyond 20 flights, or will they be recertified one mission at a time going forward?

Can we expect a >6month pause for B1062 etc., as we saw with B1058 and B1060 before they moved beyond 15 flights?

Offline zubenelgenubi

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 11522
  • Arc to Arcturus, then Spike to Spica
  • Sometimes it feels like Trantor in the time of Hari Seldon
  • Liked: 7651
  • Likes Given: 74693
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1301 on: 04/14/2024 11:57 pm »
Cross-post:
Some reusability stats for this launch (Bandwagon-1):
<snip>
Launchpad LC-39A turnaround time:
8 days 1 hour 24 minutes
(the previous launch from this pad was Eutelsat 36D on Mar 30, 2024 UTC).

...which is the 2nd best LC-39A turnaround time!
(the record is still 6 days 18 hours and 43 minutes between Starlink Group 6-42 and Eutelsat 36D launches in March, 2024).

FYI: median turnaround time for LC-39A is currently 19.39 days *
* – based on the last 30 launches.
Why is LC-39A turnaround time for "uncomplicated" Falcon 9 launch to Falcon 9 launch circa twice as long as the same at SLC-40?
Support your local planetarium! (COVID-panic and forward: Now more than ever.) My current avatar is saying "i wants to go uppies!" Yes, there are God-given rights. Do you wish to gainsay the Declaration of Independence?

Offline scaesare

  • Member
  • Posts: 43
  • Liked: 56
  • Likes Given: 97
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1302 on: 04/15/2024 03:20 pm »
Do the life-leaders require recertification to go beyond 20 flights, or will they be recertified one mission at a time going forward?

Can we expect a >6month pause for B1062 etc., as we saw with B1058 and B1060 before they moved beyond 15 flights?

I've seen it reported that SpaceX is now certifying boosters for up to 40 launches.

Online DanClemmensen

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 5696
  • Earth (currently)
  • Liked: 4458
  • Likes Given: 1855
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1303 on: 04/15/2024 03:22 pm »
Do the life-leaders require recertification to go beyond 20 flights, or will they be recertified one mission at a time going forward?

Can we expect a >6month pause for B1062 etc., as we saw with B1058 and B1060 before they moved beyond 15 flights?

I've seen it reported that SpaceX is now certifying boosters for up to 40 launches.
Reference, please?
« Last Edit: 04/15/2024 03:23 pm by DanClemmensen »

Offline zubenelgenubi

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 11522
  • Arc to Arcturus, then Spike to Spica
  • Sometimes it feels like Trantor in the time of Hari Seldon
  • Liked: 7651
  • Likes Given: 74693
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1304 on: 04/15/2024 03:25 pm »
"Missing" Starlink launch(es)

Starlink 6-50 has not yet been applied for in the FCC STA?

Are there any other skipped numbers in Groups 6, 7, or 8?

Edit: I performed a quick check and did not find any more.

Edit March 22
NSF Launch Roundup: SpaceX to land its 300th booster, NASA tests a solar sail, and China launches three more taikonauts, April 22, by Martin Smith
Quote
These Group 6 missions continue, at least for the time being, to launch in numerical order except the missing Group 6-50 mission which remains unscheduled at present.
« Last Edit: 04/24/2024 01:03 am by zubenelgenubi »
Support your local planetarium! (COVID-panic and forward: Now more than ever.) My current avatar is saying "i wants to go uppies!" Yes, there are God-given rights. Do you wish to gainsay the Declaration of Independence?

Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1305 on: 04/15/2024 03:26 pm »
Do the life-leaders require recertification to go beyond 20 flights, or will they be recertified one mission at a time going forward?

Can we expect a >6month pause for B1062 etc., as we saw with B1058 and B1060 before they moved beyond 15 flights?

I've seen it reported that SpaceX is now certifying boosters for up to 40 launches.
Reference, please?
https://arstechnica.com/space/2024/01/elon-musks-recent-all-hands-meeting-at-spacex-was-full-of-interesting-news/
Quote
“We’ve done a 19th re-flight," Musk said. "We’re now qualifying Falcon 9 to be able to do 40 flights, and we’re aiming for maybe as much as 150 flights this year."

Offline zubenelgenubi

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 11522
  • Arc to Arcturus, then Spike to Spica
  • Sometimes it feels like Trantor in the time of Hari Seldon
  • Liked: 7651
  • Likes Given: 74693
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1306 on: 04/17/2024 02:36 am »
I'm curious what Starlink group SpaceX will choose to launch from Florida after 6-53.

Start in with group 7?

If so, starting with Starlink 7-28, which had the earliest NET launch date of the Florida group 7's?

Will the Florida group 8 launches start after Starlink 8-3 launches from Vandenberg?  Or overlap 8-2 and 8-3?

Will they interleave groups 7 and 8?

And, of course, there's the offshore Exuma Island first stage landing option for group 7. 🏝
« Last Edit: 04/17/2024 03:39 am by zubenelgenubi »
Support your local planetarium! (COVID-panic and forward: Now more than ever.) My current avatar is saying "i wants to go uppies!" Yes, there are God-given rights. Do you wish to gainsay the Declaration of Independence?

Offline zubenelgenubi

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 11522
  • Arc to Arcturus, then Spike to Spica
  • Sometimes it feels like Trantor in the time of Hari Seldon
  • Liked: 7651
  • Likes Given: 74693
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1307 on: 04/20/2024 02:05 pm »
I'm curious what Starlink group SpaceX will choose to launch from Florida after 6-53.
Starlink 6-54

How many more Group 6 launches does SpaceX need to fill the shell?
Support your local planetarium! (COVID-panic and forward: Now more than ever.) My current avatar is saying "i wants to go uppies!" Yes, there are God-given rights. Do you wish to gainsay the Declaration of Independence?

Online gongora

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10293
  • US
  • Liked: 14085
  • Likes Given: 6019
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1308 on: 04/26/2024 01:48 am »
https://ispace-us.com/2024/04/ispace-u-s-announces-official-launch-of-data-relay-service-enabled-by-two-relay-satellites/
Quote
DENVER, Colo. – ispace technologies U.S., inc. (ispace-U.S.), an American lunar exploration company, today announced the official launch of a new data relay service enabled by two relay satellites that are expected to be deployed during ispace-U.S.’s Mission 3 scheduled in 2026. The launch service is expected to be provided by SpaceX.

"expected to be provided" sounds like they haven't signed the contract yet

Online Comga

  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 6483
  • Liked: 4593
  • Likes Given: 5226
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1309 on: 04/27/2024 04:35 pm »
It’s a good day for the manifest.
At this moment SpaceXNow has FIVE launches with dates and times on their list, all within the next 6 1/2 days.
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Online gongora

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10293
  • US
  • Liked: 14085
  • Likes Given: 6019
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1310 on: 05/02/2024 01:43 pm »
Could the east coast set up a situation similar to the west coast?
1.  Keep the ASDSs in the gulf, nearby landing zones
2.  Unload them in Bahamas or somewhere with a significant port
3.  Load them onto a barge horizontally and send them back to Florida

Discussion on this topic was already taking place in https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=60404.0, please continue it there.

Offline zubenelgenubi

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 11522
  • Arc to Arcturus, then Spike to Spica
  • Sometimes it feels like Trantor in the time of Hari Seldon
  • Liked: 7651
  • Likes Given: 74693
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1311 on: 05/07/2024 06:16 pm »
Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; also noting LC-39A use:

✅️ Starlink 6-56 (May 8, LC-39A)

NROL-146 (May 22 19 21, SLC-4E)

Starlink 6-63 (May 23, LC-39A)

EarthCARE (May 28 late May, SLC-4E)

GOES-U (Jun 25, LC-39A)

NROL-69 (NET Jun? Q2, SLC-40)

GSAT-20 / GSAT-N2 (Jun? Q2, presumably SLC-40)

Turksat 6A (Jul 8, presumably SLC-40)

Astranis Block 2 (midyear, SLC-40)

Nusantara Lima (5) (midyear, presumably SLC-40)

Arctic Satellite Broadband Mission (late Jul/early Aug, SLC-4E)

Crew Dragon Crew-9 (mid Aug, LC-39A)

Polaris Dawn (summer, SLC-40 LC-39A?)

Astra 1P / SES-24 (summer, presumably SLC-40)

AST SpaceMobile BlueBird Block 1 (Q3, presumably SLC-40)

Edited through May
« Last Edit: 05/20/2024 08:05 pm by zubenelgenubi »
Support your local planetarium! (COVID-panic and forward: Now more than ever.) My current avatar is saying "i wants to go uppies!" Yes, there are God-given rights. Do you wish to gainsay the Declaration of Independence?

Online gongora

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10293
  • US
  • Liked: 14085
  • Likes Given: 6019
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1312 on: 05/07/2024 07:09 pm »
I'm guessing SXM-9 will end up being on Falcon 9, it's still on schedule for NET October.

Offline GewoonLukas_

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 1416
  • Lukas C. H.
  • Netherlands
  • Liked: 3398
  • Likes Given: 1728
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1313 on: 05/07/2024 07:24 pm »
I'm guessing SXM-9 will end up being on Falcon 9, it's still on schedule for NET October.

Yeah most certaintly. It's the same situation as with Eutelsat 36D. What's your source for it being NET October?
Lukas C. H. • Hobbyist Mission Patch Artist 🎨 • May the force be with you my friend, Ad Astra Per Aspera ✨️

Online gongora

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 10293
  • US
  • Liked: 14085
  • Likes Given: 6019
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1314 on: 05/07/2024 07:46 pm »
SAT-STA-20240506-00093
Quote
Sirius XM Radio Inc. (“Sirius XM”) respectfully requests space and earth station special temporary authority (“STA”) to conduct in-orbit testing (“IOT”) and drift of its SXM-9 satellite digital audio radio service (“SDARS”) spacecraft for a period of 90 days commencing 14 days after the launch of SXM-9, which is currently scheduled for no earlier than October 1, 2024. Specifically, Sirius XM seeks authority to: (1) perform telemetry, tracking, and command (“TT&C”) to position SXM-9 at the IOT location, 88.0° W.L. +/- 0.1 degrees; (2) conduct IOT to confirm the satellite’s performance in the SDARS band at 2320-2345 MHz and the adjacent Wireless Communications Service spectrum at 2315-2320 MHz (“WCS C Block”) and 2345-2350 MHz (“WCS D Block”); and (3) perform TT&C to drift the satellite to its regular orbital location, 85.15° W.L. +/- 0.1 degrees, once IOT is complete.

Offline StraumliBlight

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 377
  • UK
  • Liked: 708
  • Likes Given: 43
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1315 on: 05/12/2024 05:16 pm »
TASA to launch six satellites from 2026

Quote
TASA Director-General Wu Jong-shinn (吳宗信) said the agency plans to launch the first low Earth orbit satellite in 2026 using a SpaceX rocket and the second one in 2028.

Quote
The launch of the six low Earth orbit satellites, known as project “Beyond 5G (B5G),” would only be the beginning, Wu Tsung-tsong said.

Probably as a rideshare:

Quote
The satellite’s “experimental payload 1” is planned to be 1m3 and weigh 360kg to 400kg

Offline StraumliBlight

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 377
  • UK
  • Liked: 708
  • Likes Given: 43
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1316 on: 05/12/2024 08:12 pm »
The Falcon Heavy launch of GPS IIIF-1 is NET October 1st, 2026 according to the DoD 2025 Budget Estimates [March 2024].

Quote
GPS IIIF SVs 11 - 12 are in development and expected Available for Launch dates in FY27.

Malik Musawwir, VP of Navigation Systems at Lockheed Martin Space gave an update on April 23rd:

Quote
Space Vehicle 11 (SV11) marks the beginning of the GPS IIIF series, with satellites numbered 11 through 32 comprising this next phase of the GPS program. Lockheed Martin has already started manufacturing its IIIF satellites, with numbers 11 through 20 in active production.

Quote
Given the “single line flow” nature of ATLO, Musawwir estimates 2026 for completion of the first GPS IIIF spacecraft.
« Last Edit: 05/12/2024 08:16 pm by StraumliBlight »

Offline StraumliBlight

  • Full Member
  • ***
  • Posts: 377
  • UK
  • Liked: 708
  • Likes Given: 43
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1317 on: 05/13/2024 12:20 pm »
NASA selects UF mission to better track the Earth’s water and ice

Quote
The mission, titled "GRATTIS" (Gravitational Reference Advanced Technology Test in Space), was selected among 15 proposals in a national competition, while one other was categorized as selectable for funding, according to NASA.

Quote
Over the next few years, the team led by principal investigator John Conklin, Ph.D., a professor in the Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, will focus on finalizing the sensor technology and integrating it into the spacecraft. The launch is anticipated to occur around 2027 aboard a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket, with subsequent operations managed by UF's mission operations team.

EDIT: SpaceNews update

Quote
GRATTIS will use an Aries spacecraft bus provided by Apex Space and will launch on a SpaceX Transporter rideshare mission no earlier than October 2026.
« Last Edit: 05/14/2024 12:06 pm by StraumliBlight »

Offline tbellman

  • Full Member
  • ****
  • Posts: 654
  • Sweden
  • Liked: 968
  • Likes Given: 1
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1318 on: 05/13/2024 02:03 pm »
NASA selects UF mission to better track the Earth’s water and ice

Quote
The mission, titled "GRATTIS" (Gravitational Reference Advanced Technology Test in Space), was selected among 15 proposals in a national competition, while one other was categorized as selectable for funding, according to NASA.

In Swedish, the word "grattis" means "congratulations".  It seems unlikely that this is a coincidence, but I don't know what the connection is.  Perhaps there's just someone from Sweden who works on this mission.

Anyway, grattis till John Conklin och Universitetet i Florida. :)

Offline zubenelgenubi

  • Global Moderator
  • Senior Member
  • *****
  • Posts: 11522
  • Arc to Arcturus, then Spike to Spica
  • Sometimes it feels like Trantor in the time of Hari Seldon
  • Liked: 7651
  • Likes Given: 74693
Re: SpaceX Manifest Discussion Thread
« Reply #1319 on: 05/13/2024 05:03 pm »
Cross-post:
With JRTI drydocked in Freeport, I deduce ASOG will serve [Starlink 6-59].

For the duration of the drydocking, ASOG turnaround will gate the Florida launch cadence.

I also wonder if LC-39A is now occupied in preparation for the GOES-U launch (NET June 25), and that all Florida Falcon 9 launches from now into July will be from SLC-40.
« Last Edit: 05/13/2024 05:07 pm by zubenelgenubi »
Support your local planetarium! (COVID-panic and forward: Now more than ever.) My current avatar is saying "i wants to go uppies!" Yes, there are God-given rights. Do you wish to gainsay the Declaration of Independence?

Tags:
 

Advertisement NovaTech
Advertisement Northrop Grumman
Advertisement
Advertisement Margaritaville Beach Resort South Padre Island
Advertisement Brady Kenniston
Advertisement NextSpaceflight
Advertisement Nathan Barker Photography
1