It appears due to recent US-Ukraine shenanigans, europe is waking up to the need for a non-US centric system of similar capability, possibly beyond IRIS2. Is this enough of a tailwind to get OneWeb up to a new level? Will it perhaps provide some anchor customer needs for new european launchers?
Quote from: Asteroza on 03/04/2025 12:05 amIt appears due to recent US-Ukraine shenanigans, europe is waking up to the need for a non-US centric system of similar capability, possibly beyond IRIS2. Is this enough of a tailwind to get OneWeb up to a new level? Will it perhaps provide some anchor customer needs for new european launchers?The problem with OneWeb & Europe is that the UK Government holds a significant portion (a "Golden Share" IIRC) of OneWeb, and the UK has declared itself to be proudly Not Part of Europe through Brexit. This puts OneWeb and the EU in a difficult spot, since the EU definitely wants an independent European system, but OneWeb isn't considered European enough.That is of course only a political problem, but there don't seem to be too many political solutions a.t.m.: * The Brits could undo Brexit, but that seems extraordinarily unlikely * The EU Commission could declare OneWeb to be "European enough", but that would involve too many Eurocrats & EU politicians 'swallowing a dead rat' to make that IMO a likely outcome * Some sort of compromise, for example maybe the UK could rejoin ESA or some such, that could allow enough political wriggle room to allow practicality to overcome principle.It's complicated
Quote from: Kiwi53 on 03/05/2025 01:18 amQuote from: Asteroza on 03/04/2025 12:05 amIt appears due to recent US-Ukraine shenanigans, europe is waking up to the need for a non-US centric system of similar capability, possibly beyond IRIS2. Is this enough of a tailwind to get OneWeb up to a new level? Will it perhaps provide some anchor customer needs for new european launchers?The problem with OneWeb & Europe is that the UK Government holds a significant portion (a "Golden Share" IIRC) of OneWeb, and the UK has declared itself to be proudly Not Part of Europe through Brexit. This puts OneWeb and the EU in a difficult spot, since the EU definitely wants an independent European system, but OneWeb isn't considered European enough.That is of course only a political problem, but there don't seem to be too many political solutions a.t.m.: * The Brits could undo Brexit, but that seems extraordinarily unlikely * The EU Commission could declare OneWeb to be "European enough", but that would involve too many Eurocrats & EU politicians 'swallowing a dead rat' to make that IMO a likely outcome * Some sort of compromise, for example maybe the UK could rejoin ESA or some such, that could allow enough political wriggle room to allow practicality to overcome principle.It's complicatedI agree, just noting that the UK is still an ESA member state. ESA is not an agency nor under the jurisdiction of the EU.
* The EU Commission could declare OneWeb to be "European enough", but that would involve too many Eurocrats & EU politicians 'swallowing a dead rat' to make that IMO a likely outcome