Total Members Voted: 320
Voting closed: 01/19/2017 06:46 pm
well the median is 14 and the mean 14,4 pm 4,3 (when averaging the 21+ options out), i'd call that not too bad for "guessing"
they will have no more than 4 launches, which is within standard deviation (don't take this too serious)
I am going to have 42 choices in the next poll,
After how many years in a row of overoptimistic averages, who can blame us for undershooting.I am going to have 42 choices in the next poll, the values 0-40 (41 choices) plus "over 40"
Twenty launches a year, is not a crazy number at all. We expect that to occur without any miracles.
With 3 for sure scheduled launches in the remaining of the year Koreasat, CRS, and Iridium #4, just 2 more and the 20 value would be reached. But the two still listed for 2017 is FH Demo and Hispasat. The likeliness for those two launching 2017 is falling but still have yet to move out of 2017 so they could still happen.
Quote from: oldAtlas_Eguy on 10/15/2017 12:15 amWith 3 for sure scheduled launches in the remaining of the year Koreasat, CRS, and Iridium #4, just 2 more and the 20 value would be reached. But the two still listed for 2017 is FH Demo and Hispasat. The likeliness for those two launching 2017 is falling but still have yet to move out of 2017 so they could still happen.They also have that mysterious mission up their sleeve, don't forget
.....2) percentage of 2018 flights that go on 'flight proven" cores... (should discuss block size... 5% blocks?... 0.5.10,15,) or what makes sense)To me, this makes the most sense... as 2 relates to 1 in many ways...