Total Members Voted: 42
Voting closed: 01/31/2020 01:27 pm
Officially, Artemis 1 is scheduled to fly in June. While NASA Administrator Bridenstine has expressed doubt about that timing, he has said no new date will be set until the new Associate Administrator for Human Exploration and Operations, Doug Loverro, has a chance to review the program.
That article is nearly a year old!!!! The current Artemis-1 targeted launch date is November 2020. NASA is still trying to work towards that date, though it is far more likely to launch early in 2021. "John Honeycutt, NASA SLS program manager, says at the ASEB meeting that while a new associate administrator for human exploration and operations will set a formal launch date for Artemis 1, his team is still working “aggressively” towards a November 2020 launch date."https://twitter.com/jeff_foust/status/1177317195921186816/The actual launch date will primarily depend on how well the Green Run testing and launch pad dress rehearsals go this spring / summer.
Berger's plot is from 2018, and it was already quite confusing then - if the X axis is the real date, why is the blue line not perfectly linear (I assume some years were omitted, but without clarification it's really messy to understand)?
Updated history, including Foust's tweet highlighted by whitelancer64.
You have your data off for at least the last point or 2. That Nov. 2020 plan was true as of late 2019 (2019.75 for that tweet, though I believe that had been the date for a while before that.) As of that point, There would have been just over a year left before launch, not 2 years (Looks to me like bad x data causing an incorrect calculation). You probably should check the other data points as well.
Seems my vote of Q1 was too optimistic.
When we get the core stage, hopefully in the late summer/early fallish time frame, from Stennis to Kennedy we’ll be flowing the vehicle thru KSC and integrating for launch hopefully in the mid-’21 time frame, mid-to-late ’21 time frame.