Total Members Voted: 149
Voting closed: 01/01/2017 01:29 am
IMO the Falcon Heavy will fly shortly after the first Falcon 9 Block 5.
Does this mean that FH will have to be re-designed to be compatible with F9B5?
Actual hardware is a good sign, but I still think we're a year or two away. Hopefully only a year, then Red Dragon in 2018 is a real possibility.
If FH doesn't fly in 2017 then Red Dragon 2018 isn't going to happen either; it's launch window is April to May (Wikipedia). My vote: Yes.
BumpWith Koreasat scheduled for late October on 39A and 60 days needed for renovations at 39A for Heavy, it seems less likely 2017 will happen. Would a new poll be in order?
Recent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.
Quote from: guckyfan on 10/02/2017 10:51 amRecent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.How about now?
Quote from: intrepidpursuit on 10/25/2017 07:49 pmQuote from: guckyfan on 10/02/2017 10:51 amRecent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.How about now?No change. I still don't count it out.
Quote from: guckyfan on 10/30/2017 05:35 amQuote from: intrepidpursuit on 10/25/2017 07:49 pmQuote from: guckyfan on 10/02/2017 10:51 amRecent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.How about now?No change. I still don't count it out.With 4/6 of the holddowns installed on the TEL and all the Heavy cores in the barn, it's still possible.
Quote from: envy887 on 10/30/2017 07:54 pmQuote from: guckyfan on 10/30/2017 05:35 amQuote from: intrepidpursuit on 10/25/2017 07:49 pmQuote from: guckyfan on 10/02/2017 10:51 amRecent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.How about now?No change. I still don't count it out.With 4/6 of the holddowns installed on the TEL and all the Heavy cores in the barn, it's still possible.Photos from the rollout for KoreaSat-5 show more holddowns, and suggest that they are all installed.That said, I would change my vote from yes to no. While I am not as pessimistic as some, like QG, Heavy now seems much less than a year away. Highly likely for early 2018, IMO
So 75% of voters in the poll backed the wrong horse.