SpaceX’s Falcon 9 is targeting the launch of 29 Starlink satellites to low-Earth orbit from Space Launch Complex 40 (SLC-40) at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida.A live webcast of this mission will begin about five minutes prior to liftoff, which you can watch here and on X @SpaceX. You can also watch the webcast on the X TV app.This will be the first flight for the first stage booster supporting this mission. Following stage separation, the first stage will land on the A Shortfall of Gravitas droneship, which will be stationed in the Atlantic Ocean.
Video Post:https://twitter.com/jswartzphoto/status/1991236321197646274QuoteJustin Swartz@jswartzphotoF9 first stage B1101 was lowered after its testing campaign to begin its journey to the east or west coasts. Will B1099 finally be up next after getting some extra hanger relaxation? Watch and see what’s next athttp://nsf.live/mcgregor
Justin Swartz@jswartzphotoF9 first stage B1101 was lowered after its testing campaign to begin its journey to the east or west coasts. Will B1099 finally be up next after getting some extra hanger relaxation? Watch and see what’s next athttp://nsf.live/mcgregor
Starlink G6-88 Pre-Launch Derived from a pre-launch Starlink-G6-88 state vector, provided by SpaceX. SupGP data is provided for the entire stack, as well as one for a single satellite.Launch: 2025-12-20 05:00:00 UTC.Deploy: 2025-12-20 06:05:02.280 UTC.Launch window: 2025-12-20 05:00:00 UTC to 2025-12-20 08:17:00 UTC.
Near-term not-Starlink launch schedule; UTC:✅️ NROL-77 (Dec 9, SLC-40, LZ-2)CSG-3 (Dec 28, SLC-4E, LZ-4)Pandora/Twilight (Jan 5, SLC-4E)Will there be another Starlink launch from Florida after Starlink 6-88 and before Christmas?Will there be a Starlink launch from SLC-4E after 15-13 and before CSG-3?Will there be a Starlink launch from SLC-4E after CSG-3 and before Pandora/Twilight?Christmas and New Year's Day holidays also come into play.
Starlink satellites s/n 35956 (2025-271N/66629) was launched as part of the Group 11-30 launch.https://twitter.com/Starlink/status/2001691802911289712QuoteOn December 17, Starlink experienced an anomaly on satellite 35956, resulting in loss of communications with the vehicle at 418 km. The anomaly led to venting of the propulsion tank, a rapid decay in semi-major axis by about 4 km, and the release of a small number of trackable low relative velocity objects. SpaceX is coordinating with the @USSpaceForce and @NASA to monitor the objects. The satellite is largely intact, tumbling, and will reenter the Earth’s atmosphere and fully demise within weeks. The satellite's current trajectory will place it below the @Space_Station, posing no risk to the orbiting lab or its crew. As the world’s largest satellite constellation operator, we are deeply committed to space safety. We take these events seriously. Our engineers are rapidly working to root cause and mitigate the source of the anomaly and are already in the process of deploying software to our vehicles that increases protections against this type of event.
On December 17, Starlink experienced an anomaly on satellite 35956, resulting in loss of communications with the vehicle at 418 km. The anomaly led to venting of the propulsion tank, a rapid decay in semi-major axis by about 4 km, and the release of a small number of trackable low relative velocity objects. SpaceX is coordinating with the @USSpaceForce and @NASA to monitor the objects. The satellite is largely intact, tumbling, and will reenter the Earth’s atmosphere and fully demise within weeks. The satellite's current trajectory will place it below the @Space_Station, posing no risk to the orbiting lab or its crew. As the world’s largest satellite constellation operator, we are deeply committed to space safety. We take these events seriously. Our engineers are rapidly working to root cause and mitigate the source of the anomaly and are already in the process of deploying software to our vehicles that increases protections against this type of event.
Big delay to after Christmas, probably because of the need to investigate this:Quote from: Galactic Penguin SST on 12/18/2025 03:41 pmStarlink satellites s/n 35956 (2025-271N/66629) was launched as part of the Group 11-30 launch.https://twitter.com/Starlink/status/2001691802911289712QuoteOn December 17, Starlink experienced an anomaly on satellite 35956, resulting in loss of communications with the vehicle at 418 km. The anomaly led to venting of the propulsion tank, a rapid decay in semi-major axis by about 4 km, and the release of a small number of trackable low relative velocity objects. SpaceX is coordinating with the @USSpaceForce and @NASA to monitor the objects. The satellite is largely intact, tumbling, and will reenter the Earth’s atmosphere and fully demise within weeks. The satellite's current trajectory will place it below the @Space_Station, posing no risk to the orbiting lab or its crew. As the world’s largest satellite constellation operator, we are deeply committed to space safety. We take these events seriously. Our engineers are rapidly working to root cause and mitigate the source of the anomaly and are already in the process of deploying software to our vehicles that increases protections against this type of event.
Quote from: Galactic Penguin SST on 12/18/2025 03:43 pmBig delay to after Christmas, probably because of the need to investigate this:Quote from: Galactic Penguin SST on 12/18/2025 03:41 pmStarlink satellites s/n 35956 (2025-271N/66629) was launched as part of the Group 11-30 launch.https://twitter.com/Starlink/status/2001691802911289712QuoteOn December 17, Starlink experienced an anomaly on satellite 35956, resulting in loss of communications with the vehicle at 418 km. The anomaly led to venting of the propulsion tank, a rapid decay in semi-major axis by about 4 km, and the release of a small number of trackable low relative velocity objects. SpaceX is coordinating with the @USSpaceForce and @NASA to monitor the objects. The satellite is largely intact, tumbling, and will reenter the Earth’s atmosphere and fully demise within weeks. The satellite's current trajectory will place it below the @Space_Station, posing no risk to the orbiting lab or its crew. As the world’s largest satellite constellation operator, we are deeply committed to space safety. We take these events seriously. Our engineers are rapidly working to root cause and mitigate the source of the anomaly and are already in the process of deploying software to our vehicles that increases protections against this type of event.How many such events have occurred so far? It there have been (roughly) 10,000 Starlink satellite-years, we have one event every 10,000 satellite-years, and if the constellation reaches 40,000 in steady state, we guesstimate roughly four per year (pending further data). Are we in Kessler cascade territory yet?
I agree. It's going to happen. At 40K (eventually), attrition should be predictable due to equipment failures, debris impacts, and old age. As for the Kessley, I don't want to think about that; it's like drinking sour cider.
And it looks like the Starlink satellite failure investigations will continue through the New Year as this launch is pushed into 2026, NET January 3:
Primary Launch Day 28 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 29 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 30 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 31 DEC 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 01 JAN 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 02 JAN 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 03 JAN 0159Z-0249Z
Quote from: Galactic Penguin SST on 12/19/2025 06:26 pmAnd it looks like the Starlink satellite failure investigations will continue through the New Year as this launch is pushed into 2026, NET January 3:https://www.cadenaois.org/vpublic_anspdetail.jsp?view=15QuotePrimary Launch Day 28 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 29 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 30 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 31 DEC 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 01 JAN 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 02 JAN 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 03 JAN 0159Z-0249ZHowever, further change at https://www.spacex.com/launches/sl-6-88Launch:TBD
Quote from: zubenelgenubi on 12/19/2025 10:35 pmQuote from: Galactic Penguin SST on 12/19/2025 06:26 pmAnd it looks like the Starlink satellite failure investigations will continue through the New Year as this launch is pushed into 2026, NET January 3:https://www.cadenaois.org/vpublic_anspdetail.jsp?view=15QuotePrimary Launch Day 28 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 29 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 30 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 31 DEC 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 01 JAN 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 02 JAN 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 03 JAN 0159Z-0249Z<snip>It looks like there's an error in the database - the time you listed above is for the CSG-3 launch (you can click into its entry and the whole section is the same).
Quote from: Galactic Penguin SST on 12/19/2025 06:26 pmAnd it looks like the Starlink satellite failure investigations will continue through the New Year as this launch is pushed into 2026, NET January 3:https://www.cadenaois.org/vpublic_anspdetail.jsp?view=15QuotePrimary Launch Day 28 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 29 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 30 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 31 DEC 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 01 JAN 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 02 JAN 0159Z-0249ZBackup Launch Day 03 JAN 0159Z-0249Z<snip>
Primary Launch Day 28 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 29 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 30 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 31 DEC 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 01 JAN 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 02 JAN 0159Z-0304ZBackup Launch Day 03 JAN 0159Z-0304Z
https://www.launchphotography.com/Launch_Viewing_Guide.htmlQuoteUPDATED DECEMBER 21, 2025...FALCON 9The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch a Starlink batch from pad 40 on January 3. Upcoming launches include more Starlink batches. A Falcon 9 will launch BlueBird 7 for AST SpaceMobile from pad 40 on January TBD.
UPDATED DECEMBER 21, 2025...FALCON 9The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch a Starlink batch from pad 40 on January 3. Upcoming launches include more Starlink batches. A Falcon 9 will launch BlueBird 7 for AST SpaceMobile from pad 40 on January TBD.
The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch a Starlink batch from pad 40 on January 3 at 12:00-3:17 a.m. EST.
NOTAM #: A4678/25Issue Date UTC: 12/23/2025 1608Start Date UTC: 01/03/2026 0657End Date UTC: 01/10/2026 0429Q) FAJO/QWMLW/IV/BO/W/000/999/4211S02447E999A) FAJO B) 2601030657 C) 2601100429D) 03, 04 AND 05 JAN 0657-1121, 07 JAN 0040-0547, 08 JAN 0014-0521, 08-09 JAN 2348-0455, 09-10 JAN 2322-0429E) AREA BOUNDED BY (4256S 00224W, 4045S 00221W, 3210S 05700E, 3515S 05700E): SPACEX STARLINK 6-88 STAGE 2 ROCKET REENTRY TAKING PLACE.APPLICABLE AIRSPACE DOWNGRADED TO CLASS G.F) SFC G) UNL
