Author Topic: SpaceX F9 : Starlink group 6-90 : CCSFS SLC-40 : 11 December 2025 (22:01 UTC)  (Read 6714 times)

Offline Galactic Penguin SST

Thread for the Starlink Group 6-90 launch.

Launch 11 December 2025, at 22:01:20 UTC (5:01 pm EST), from CCSFS SLC-40, on booster 1083-16. The first stage successfully landed aboard A Shortfall Of Gravitas.

Payload 29 Starlink V2.0 Mini satellites, to a 43.00 degrees inclination orbit on a southeastern trajectory.  Initial orbit 262 km x 274 km.

Please use the Starlink Discussion Thread for all general discussion on Starlink.

Check the Starlink Index Thread for links to more Starlink information.



L2 SpaceX: https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?board=60.0
« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 09:13 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline Galactic Penguin SST

From https://www.fly.faa.gov/adv/adv_spt:

SPACEX STARTLINK 6-90, CAPE CANAVERAL SFS, FL
PRIMARY:   12/11/25   1859Z-2342Z
BACKUP:   12/12/25   1833Z-2316Z
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https://www.spacex.com/launches/sl-6-90

Quote
SpaceX’s Falcon 9 is targeting the launch of 29 Starlink satellites to low-Earth orbit from Space Launch Complex 40 (SLC-40) at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida.

A live webcast of this mission will begin about five minutes prior to liftoff, which you can watch here and on X @SpaceX. You can also watch the webcast on the X TV app.

This will be the 16th flight for the first stage booster supporting this mission, which previously launched Crew-8, Polaris Dawn, CRS-31, Astranis: From One to Many, IM-2, Commercial GTO-1, and nine Starlink missions. Following stage separation, the first stage will land on the A Shortfall of Gravitas droneship, which will be stationed in the Atlantic Ocean.
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Offline zubenelgenubi

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https://celestrak.org/NORAD/elements/supplemental/
Supplemental GP Element Sets
Current as of 2025 Dec 09 01:59:18 UTC (Day 343)
Quote
Starlink G6-90 Pre-Launch   
Derived from a pre-launch Starlink-G6-90 state vector, provided by SpaceX. SupGP data is provided for the entire stack, as well as one for a single satellite.
Launch: 2025-12-11 18:59:00 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 20:04:01.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 18:59:00 UTC to 2025-12-11 22:59:00 UTC.

https://celestrak.org/NORAD/elements/supplemental/table.php?FILE=starlink-g6-90&FORMAT=tle
Pre-Launch Derived Orbit:
262 km x 274 km x 43.00 deg
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PDF of online press kit.
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https://celestrak.org/NORAD/elements/supplemental/
Supplemental GP Element Sets
Current as of 2025 Dec 10 20:47:10 UTC (Day 344)
Quote
Starlink G6-90 Pre-Launch   
Derived from a pre-launch Starlink-G6-90 state vector, provided by SpaceX. SupGP data is provided for the entire stack, as well as one for a single satellite.

Launch: 2025-12-11 19:20:40 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 20:25:41.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 19:20:40 UTC to 2025-12-11 19:27:49 UTC.


Backup Launch Opportunity #1   
Launch: 2025-12-11 19:42:10 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 20:47:11.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 19:42:10 UTC to 2025-12-11 19:42:19 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #2   
Launch: 2025-12-11 19:42:30 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 20:47:31.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 19:42:30 UTC to 2025-12-11 19:43:09 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #3   
Launch: 2025-12-11 19:43:10 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 20:48:11.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 19:43:10 UTC to 2025-12-11 19:44:59 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #4   
Launch: 2025-12-11 19:54:00 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 20:59:01.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 19:54:00 UTC to 2025-12-11 19:57:29 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #5   
Launch: 2025-12-11 19:57:30 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:02:31.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 19:57:30 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:01:59 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #6   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:02:20 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:07:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:02:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:03:59 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #7   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:04:00 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:09:01.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:04:00 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:09:49 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #8   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:22:30 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:27:31.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:22:30 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:26:09 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #9   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:26:10 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:31:11.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:26:10 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:27:29 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #10   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:27:30 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:32:31.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:27:30 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:30:49 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #11   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:55:50 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 22:00:51.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:55:50 UTC to 2025-12-11 21:03:39 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #12   
Launch: 2025-12-11 21:11:00 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 22:16:01.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 21:11:00 UTC to 2025-12-11 21:21:49 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #13   
Launch: 2025-12-11 21:28:40 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 22:33:41.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 21:28:40 UTC to 2025-12-11 21:37:29 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #14   
Launch: 2025-12-11 21:37:30 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 22:42:31.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 21:37:30 UTC to 2025-12-11 21:37:49 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #15   
Launch: 2025-12-11 21:38:20 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 22:43:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 21:38:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 21:38:49 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #16   
Launch: 2025-12-11 21:39:00 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 22:44:01.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 21:39:00 UTC to 2025-12-11 21:42:59 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #17   
Launch: 2025-12-11 21:43:00 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 22:48:01.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 21:43:00 UTC to 2025-12-11 21:45:49 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #18   
Launch: 2025-12-11 21:59:20 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 23:04:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 21:59:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 22:03:49 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #19   
Launch: 2025-12-11 22:03:50 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 23:08:51.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 22:03:50 UTC to 2025-12-11 22:04:49 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #20   
Launch: 2025-12-11 22:30:40 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 23:35:41.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 22:30:40 UTC to 2025-12-11 22:34:39 UTC.
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https://x.com/bluemoondance74/status/1998944785764356233
Quote
UPDATE: The T-0 for @SpaceX’s Falcon 9  - Starlink 6-90 launch on THURS, Dec 11, has moved to 3:26pm ET* (2026 UTC).

Backup Launch Opportunity #9   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:26:10 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:31:11.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:26:10 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:27:29 UTC.
« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 02:31 am by catdlr »
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Celestrak revision; same launch time:
https://celestrak.org/NORAD/elements/supplemental/
Supplemental GP Element Sets
Current as of 2025 Dec 11 04:46:42 UTC (Day 345)
Quote
Starlink G6-90 Pre-Launch   
Derived from a pre-launch Starlink-G6-90 state vector, provided by SpaceX. SupGP data is provided for the entire stack, as well as one for a single satellite.

Launch: 2025-12-11 18:59:00 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 20:04:01.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 18:59:00 UTC to 2025-12-11 19:00:19 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #1   
Launch: 2025-12-11 19:00:20 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 20:05:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 19:00:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 19:00:59 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #2   
Launch: 2025-12-11 19:41:20 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 20:46:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 19:41:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 19:43:09 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #3   
Launch: 2025-12-11 19:43:10 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 20:48:11.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 19:43:10 UTC to 2025-12-11 19:44:09 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #4   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:00:30 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:05:31.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:00:30 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:01:59 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #5   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:02:20 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:07:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:02:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:10:49 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #6   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:23:20 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:28:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:23:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:24:09 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #7   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:24:40 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:29:41.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:24:40 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:26:09 UTC.

⟹ Backup Launch Opportunity #8   
Launch: 2025-12-11 20:26:10 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 21:31:11.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 20:26:10 UTC to 2025-12-11 20:34:59 UTC.


Backup Launch Opportunity #9   
Launch: 2025-12-11 21:11:40 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 22:16:41.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 21:11:40 UTC to 2025-12-11 21:20:59 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #10   
Launch: 2025-12-11 21:41:00 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 22:46:01.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 21:41:00 UTC to 2025-12-11 21:45:09 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #11   
Launch: 2025-12-11 22:01:20 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 23:06:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 22:01:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 22:05:59 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #12   
Launch: 2025-12-11 22:06:00 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 23:11:01.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 22:06:00 UTC to 2025-12-11 22:08:19 UTC.

Backup Launch Opportunity #13   
Launch: 2025-12-11 22:49:50 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 23:54:51.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 22:49:50 UTC to 2025-12-11 22:57:09 UTC.
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Here is a consolidated post of available video links for this launch:

SpaceX's direct live broadcast on
Website: https://www.spacex.com/launches/sl-6-90
 Twitter:  https://x.com/i/broadcasts/1kvJpMaYAAPxE

NSF Live Coverage:  https://youtube.com/watch?v=kWZPbondAD8

SpaceX Re-broadcast alternatives on YouTube:
Space Affairs:  https://youtube.com/watch?v=IQlPxsDAoi0

Replay supplied by The Space Devs (15 min after the broadcast end):  https://youtube.com/@thespacedevs/videos

Summary Video provided by SciNews (15 min after the broadcast ends):  https://youtube.com/@SciNewsRo/videos

Post Launch Extras:

CelesTrak has ephemeris-based SupGP data: https://celestrak.org/NORAD/elements/supplemental/
Max-Qproductions by Pete Carstens: https://www.youtube.com/@maxqproductions1
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T-55 min NSF Coverage has started
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Booster launch stats
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Launch Hazard Zones
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Launch Weather
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Launch Timeline.  Go/No-Go decision coming up at the start of propellant loading.
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Count Down in a HOLD  (for a short time - has resumed)
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Countdown has been adjusted to a later period.

Now T-2hr 13 min
« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 06:49 pm by catdlr »
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Updated launch opportunity:

Backup Launch Opportunity #11   
Launch: 2025-12-11 22:01:20 UTC.    5:01:20 PM ET
Deploy: 2025-12-11 23:06:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 22:01:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 22:05:59 UTC.
« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 06:53 pm by catdlr »
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Updated launch opportunity:

Backup Launch Opportunity #11   
Launch: 2025-12-11 22:01:20 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 23:06:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 22:01:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 22:05:59 UTC.

Quite a delay.
SECO confirmed. Nominal orbit insertion.

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Updated launch opportunity:

Backup Launch Opportunity #11   
Launch: 2025-12-11 22:01:20 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 23:06:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 22:01:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 22:05:59 UTC.

Quite a delay.

Discussion (rumor):  This was the most rapid turnaround for this pad by 7 hours (actual).  (Rumor)It's possible that they were pushing to hard and there may have been some items that needed attention.
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Updated launch opportunity:

Backup Launch Opportunity #11   
Launch: 2025-12-11 22:01:20 UTC.
Deploy: 2025-12-11 23:06:21.800 UTC.
Launch window: 2025-12-11 22:01:20 UTC to 2025-12-11 22:05:59 UTC.

Quite a delay.

Discussion (rumor):  This was the most rapid turnaround for this pad by 7 hours (actual).  (Rumor)It's possible that they were pushing to hard and there may have been some items that needed attention.

Reality vs ambition.

SpaceX wants to shave off as many hours as possible, but it comes at a price.
SECO confirmed. Nominal orbit insertion.

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Resuming our coverage:

Current Weather
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T-20 min, Big vent has started, indicating the fuel lines are being chilled down before LOX loading.
« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 08:43 pm by catdlr »
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POV Weather Constraints notice is very good
« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 08:46 pm by catdlr »
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T-10 min  Launch Trajectory
« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 08:52 pm by catdlr »
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« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 08:55 pm by catdlr »
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Transporter Erector retraction started
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Stage 1 LOX Load Complete
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Stage 2 LOX Load Complete
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GSE closeout
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F9 On Startup
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FD - go for launch
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« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 09:14 pm by catdlr »
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Climb Out
MAX-Q
« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 09:22 pm by catdlr »
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MECO, Stage Separation, grid fin deployment


https://twitter.com/SpaceIntel101/status/1999241017435029522
« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 09:34 pm by catdlr »
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Fairing Separation
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Booster Apogee
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Entry Burn
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« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 09:16 pm by catdlr »
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SECO,
Nominal (Parking) Orbit Insertion callout,
End broadcast
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Payload for record
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All posts updated with images and Twitter post, awaiting a slew of Professional posts soon.
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Launch and Landing Highlight Video

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Full rebroadcast in 4K

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https://twitter.com/Dillonshrop06/status/1999257395839606884

Quote
Dillon
@Dillonshrop06
🚨Following the Successful Launch of Starlink 6-90 from Florida, much of the Middle-South USA region will have a chance to witness the De-orbit sequence 

Times ↓
Venting Start     2132:00 UTC
Venting End      2335:30 UTC
SDe-Orbit Burn 2335:35 UTC 

What To Expect ↓ A fuzzy "orb-like" appearance propagating from Northwest to Southeast across the sky prior to a "puff of smoke" often appearing as a smoke ring advancing the 2nd Stage 

Who Is Eligible To View ↓  The interactive Event Map highlights the region where you can view the event at >5 degrees above the horizon 

🗒️ It is possible for areas slightly outside the shaded area to view this event if atmospheric conditions absolutely permit it 

Event Map🔗→https://bit.ly/45JI59x
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https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1999254583240196200

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SpaceX
@SpaceX

Deployment of 29 @Starlink satellites confirmed
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https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1999259429477450169

Quote
SpaceX
@SpaceX
Falcon 9 launches 29 @Starlink satellites from Florida
« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 10:35 pm by catdlr »
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SFN SpaceX breaks launch pad turnaround record with flight of Falcon 9 rocket from Cape Canaveral, December 11, Will Robinson-Smith
Quote
Liftoff from pad 40 at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station occurred shortly before sunset at 5:01 p.m. EST (2201 UTC). The liftoff broke the pad turnaround record for SpaceX, following close on the heels of the NROL-77 mission, two days, two hours, 44 minutes and 55 seconds earlier. The previous record of two days seven hour 29 minutes and 10 seconds was set back in October.
« Last Edit: 12/11/2025 11:02 pm by zubenelgenubi »
Support your local planetarium! (COVID-panic and forward: Now more than ever.) My current avatar is saying "i wants to go uppies!" Yes, there are God-given rights. Do you wish to gainsay the Declaration of Independence?

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« Last Edit: 12/12/2025 01:41 am by catdlr »
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Fairing:  (these really have a history)

https://x.com/_rykllan/status/1999311282420482364
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So, the 2-hour wait wasn't caused by rushing the LV to the Pad or missing something. The "optimal deployment t-zero" criteria caused the delay.

https://twitter.com/TurkeyBeaver/status/1999320947283624438

Quote
Kiko Dontchev

@TurkeyBeaver
#161

Congrats to the @SpaceX Falcon pad and final integration team for setting a new launch to launch record!!! 50 hours and 44 minutes from the NROL-77 launch to SL6-90 at Pad 40.

The rocket was actually ready to fly at roughly 40 hours, but we needed to wait for the optimal deployment t-zero. Love seeing us continue to improve on our speed, efficiency, safety and reliability!

We once thought it was crazy town to launch from the same pad in two days. Now it feels crazy not to be launching from the same pad multiple times a day. 🚀🚀🚀

Physics is the only constraint. Everything else is just an engineering challenge waiting to be solved.
« Last Edit: 12/12/2025 02:50 am by catdlr »
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So, the 2-hour wait wasn't caused by rushing the LV to the Pad or missing something. The "optimal deployment t-zero" criteria caused the delay.
Quote
Kiko Dontchev
Congrats to the @SpaceX Falcon pad and final integration team for setting a new launch to launch record!!! 50 hours and 44 minutes from the NROL-77 launch to SL6-90 at Pad 40.

The rocket was actually ready to fly at roughly 40 hours, but we needed to wait for the optimal deployment t-zero. Love seeing us continue to improve on our speed, efficiency, safety and reliability!

We once thought it was crazy town to launch from the same pad in two days. Now it feels crazy not to be launching from the same pad multiple times a day. 🚀🚀🚀

Physics is the only constraint. Everything else is just an engineering challenge waiting to be solved.

I replied to that post on X with an assumption that waiting for the optimal payload deployment may have been the cause of more than half of Starlink launch slips.

Weather and ground issues have definitely played a factor in Starlink launch slips, but now I feel that percentage is less than waiting for the optimal payload deployment.
« Last Edit: 12/12/2025 03:26 am by ChrisC »
SECO confirmed. Nominal orbit insertion.

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So, the 2-hour wait wasn't caused by rushing the LV to the Pad or missing something. The "optimal deployment t-zero" criteria caused the delay.

https://x.com/TurkeyBeaver/status/1999320947283624438

Quote
Kiko Dontchev

@TurkeyBeaver
#161

Congrats to the @SpaceX Falcon pad and final integration team for setting a new launch to launch record!!! 50 hours and 44 minutes from the NROL-77 launch to SL6-90 at Pad 40.

The rocket was actually ready to fly at roughly 40 hours, but we needed to wait for the optimal deployment t-zero. Love seeing us continue to improve on our speed, efficiency, safety and reliability!

We once thought it was crazy town to launch from the same pad in two days. Now it feels crazy not to be launching from the same pad multiple times a day. 🚀🚀🚀

Physics is the only constraint. Everything else is just an engineering challenge waiting to be solved.

I replied to that post on X with an assumption that waiting for the optimal payload deployment may have been the cause of more than half of Starlink launch slips.

Weather and ground issues have definitely played a factor in Starlink launch slips, but now I feel that percentage is less than waiting for the optimal payload deployment.

I agree with you. But my personal impression is that launch slips during the Window due to "optimal payload deployment" were due to Collision Avoidance, and they had to find an opportunity that allowed safe passage to orbit.  These Starlink launches always have a dozen or more opportunities, more than any other launches. I was always wondering why so many are available.  Now we know.
« Last Edit: 12/12/2025 03:08 am by catdlr »
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So, the 2-hour wait wasn't caused by rushing the LV to the Pad or missing something. The "optimal deployment t-zero" criteria caused the delay.

https://x.com/TurkeyBeaver/status/1999320947283624438

Quote
Kiko Dontchev

@TurkeyBeaver
#161

Congrats to the @SpaceX Falcon pad and final integration team for setting a new launch to launch record!!! 50 hours and 44 minutes from the NROL-77 launch to SL6-90 at Pad 40.

The rocket was actually ready to fly at roughly 40 hours, but we needed to wait for the optimal deployment t-zero. Love seeing us continue to improve on our speed, efficiency, safety and reliability!

We once thought it was crazy town to launch from the same pad in two days. Now it feels crazy not to be launching from the same pad multiple times a day. 🚀🚀🚀

Physics is the only constraint. Everything else is just an engineering challenge waiting to be solved.

I replied to that post on X with an assumption that waiting for the optimal payload deployment may have been the cause of more than half of Starlink launch slips.

Weather and ground issues have definitely played a factor in Starlink launch slips, but now I feel that percentage is less than waiting for the optimal payload deployment.

I agree with you. But my personal impression is that launch slips during the Window due to "optimal payload deployment" were due to Collision Avoidance, and they had to find an opportunity that allowed safe passage to orbit.  These Starlink launches always have a dozen or more opportunities, more than any other launches. I was always wondering why so many are available.  Now we know.

Collision avoidance in regards to other Starlinks in orbit, which is ironic.
SECO confirmed. Nominal orbit insertion.

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Collision avoidance in regards to other Starlinks in orbit, which is ironic.
Since Starlinks comprise more than half the satellites in orbit, we would expect them to create more than half of the collision avoidance problem. At least SpaceX intends to move to bigger satellites, which provide much more bandwidth without needing more satellites. I suspect they max out at about 40,000 satellites, but bandwidth will continue to increase as the satellites are replaced.

It gets a lot worse as additional constellations are launched.

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Collision avoidance in regards to other Starlinks in orbit, which is ironic.
Since Starlinks comprise more than half the satellites in orbit, we would expect them to create more than half of the collision avoidance problem. At least SpaceX intends to move to bigger satellites, which provide much more bandwidth without needing more satellites. I suspect they max out at about 40,000 satellites, but bandwidth will continue to increase as the satellites are replaced.

It gets a lot worse as additional constellations are launched.

Here is a good example of this:


https://twitter.com/michaelnicollsx/status/1999630601046097947
Quote
Michael Nicolls

@michaelnicollsx
When satellite operators do not share ephemeris for their satellites, dangerously close approaches can occur in space.   A few days ago, 9 satellites were deployed from a launch from the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center in Northwestern China.  As far as we know, no coordination or deconfliction with existing satellites operating in space was performed, resulting in a 200 meter close approach between one of the deployed satellites and STARLINK-6079 (56120) at 560 km altitude.   Most of the risk of operating in space comes from the lack of coordination between satellite operators - this needs to change.
4:01 PM · Dec 12, 2025

https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1999684950669611143

Quote
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
Looks like 56120 and 67001 came close around 0642:04 UTC Dec 12, 1600 km SW of Baja, based on the TLEs. We don't know which sat of the 9 launched by LJ-1 is the one the US is tracking as 67001.
@michaelnicollsx
« Last Edit: 12/13/2025 04:29 am by catdlr »
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Follow-up posts:


https://twitter.com/planet4589/status/1999806402450362796

Quote
Jonathan McDowell
@planet4589
The response  by @cas_space which seems reasonable. Launch coordination can't account for satellite positions two days after launch. SpaceX's normal position is "we avoid automatically using the TLEs". So is the real problem that the TLEs don't come out soon enough?

Response from China

https://twitter.com/cas_space/status/1999747246771032181

Quote
CAS Space
@cas_space
If confirmed, this incident occurred nearly 48 hours after payload separation, by which time the launch mission had long concluded. CAS Space will coordinate with satellite operators to proceed. This calls for re-establishing collaborations between the two New Space ecosystems.

Quote
Our team is currently in contact for more details. All CAS Space launches select their launch windows using the ground-based space awareness system to avoid collisions with known satellites/debris. This is a mandatory procedure. We will work on identifying the exact details and provide assistance as the LSP.



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The impact of so many Starlink satellites in space is impressive at 10K by February 2026.

Source of image:  https://satellitemap.space/


https://twitter.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1999565838802723174

Quote
Sawyer Merritt
@SawyerMerritt
·
Dec 12
SpaceX is on track to surpass 10,000 @Starlink satellites in orbit by February 2026.

Starlink V3 will be 20kW and launched at scale around Q4 next year:
• Gigabit connectivity
• Will add 60 Tera-bits-per-second of downlink capacity to the Starlink network
• 20X the capacity
« Last Edit: 12/13/2025 10:11 pm by catdlr »
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Max-Qproductions by Pete Carstens

SpaceX Falcon 9 Starlink 6-90 12/11/25

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