Forgive me if this isn’t the right forum for the topic, also tried to do a search and didn’t see any threads on this.Basically, a huge sticking point in the Artemis program seems to be criticism of HLS needing to refuel in LEO, both spacex and BO have proposals to this effect. But what if this was only a one time cost. A reusable lander, that moves between the lunar surface and lunar gateway would only need to be flown out once. And if the logistics of mining lunar ice, separating out the Os from the Hs and using that as rocket fuel, can be worked out, all the better.It seems like a no-brainer to me if there’s going to be any sort of sustained presence on the moon. But it doesn’t look like NASA is actively making such a lander a priority. Is this because they think it’s too hard? Does the politics of getting some boots on the moon ASAP make this a low priority?
Forgive me if this isn’t the right forum for the topic, also tried to do a search and didn’t see any threads on this...........
Reuse usually only beats expendable if you have a relatively high flight rate. Artemis lunar landers will only be used less than once per year so expendable may actually be cheaper.
...Basically, a huge sticking point in the Artemis program seems to be criticism of HLS needing to refuel in LEO, both spacex and BO have proposals to this effect.
It seems like a no-brainer to me if there’s going to be any sort of sustained presence on the moon. But it doesn’t look like NASA is actively making such a lander a priority. Is this because they think it’s too hard? Does the politics of getting some boots on the moon ASAP make this a low priority?
However if you ascribe to the philosophy that the Artemis program was created, at least in part, in order to give the disposable SLS and Orion hardware systems something to do, then it becomes clearer to see that the Artemis goals don't really lean into the possibilities of how in-space refueling can lower the overall cost of moving mass & people in space, and actually allow for more than one mission per year.NASA gives lip service to making space exploration more affordable, yet their latest Mars architecture completely ignores reusable space transportation systems, and focuses only on disposable ones.
Quote from: Coastal Ron on 01/13/2024 08:04 pmHowever if you ascribe to the philosophy that the Artemis program was created, at least in part, in order to give the disposable SLS and Orion hardware systems something to do, then it becomes clearer to see that the Artemis goals don't really lean into the possibilities of how in-space refueling can lower the overall cost of moving mass & people in space, and actually allow for more than one mission per year.NASA gives lip service to making space exploration more affordable, yet their latest Mars architecture completely ignores reusable space transportation systems, and focuses only on disposable ones.Artemis wasn't created to give SLS and Orion something to do.
Artemis was created in order to return to the Moon on a long term and sustained basis and in that process, it inherited SLS and Orion.
Artemis wasn't created to give SLS and Orion something to do. Artemis was created in order to return to the Moon on a long term and sustained basis and in that process, it inherited SLS and Orion.
Quote from: yg1968 on 01/13/2024 08:20 pmArtemis wasn't created to give SLS and Orion something to do. Artemis was created in order to return to the Moon on a long term and sustained basis and in that process, it inherited SLS and Orion. If Artemis was intended to be long-term and sustained, then it wouldn’t be stuck with Orion/SLS.
Which means that NASA PR is telling a lie when it says that it wants to create a "sustainable" exploration program, because cost is not part of what NASA is allowed to control.
Like I said Artemis inherited SLS and Orion, not using them wasn't option as Bridenstine found out with his exchanges with Senator Shelby.
NASA can control costs for certain Artemis programs by creating services-fixed price contracts but SLS and Orion costs are harder to control because that model isn't followed.
Quote from: Coastal Ron on 01/13/2024 08:36 pmWhich means that NASA PR is telling a lie when it says that it wants to create a "sustainable" exploration program, because cost is not part of what NASA is allowed to control.NASA is essentially forced by Congress to use SLS and Orion.
Quote from: yg1968 on 01/13/2024 11:18 pmQuote from: Coastal Ron on 01/13/2024 08:36 pmWhich means that NASA PR is telling a lie when it says that it wants to create a "sustainable" exploration program, because cost is not part of what NASA is allowed to control.NASA is essentially forced by Congress to use SLS and Orion.Which everyone knows (or should know).QuoteNASA can control costs for certain Artemis programs by creating services-fixed price contracts but SLS and Orion costs are harder to control because that model isn't followed.Which is why NASA's PR is lying about NASA creating a "sustainable" exploration program, since they know that the SLS+Orion make it impossible for Artemis missions to be "sustainable".
Basically, a huge sticking point in the Artemis program seems to be criticism of HLS needing to refuel in LEO, both spacex and BO have proposals to this effect.
But what if this was only a one time cost. A reusable lander, that moves between the lunar surface and lunar gateway would only need to be flown out once. And if the logistics of mining lunar ice, separating out the Os from the Hs and using that as rocket fuel, can be worked out, all the better.
Quote from: Coastal Ron on 01/14/2024 11:25 pmQuote from: yg1968 on 01/13/2024 11:18 pmNASA can control costs for certain Artemis programs by creating services-fixed price contracts but SLS and Orion costs are harder to control because that model isn't followed.Which is why NASA's PR is lying about NASA creating a "sustainable" exploration program, since they know that the SLS+Orion make it impossible for Artemis missions to be "sustainable".Sustainable just means that it continues over a long period of time, it doesn't necessarily mean cheap.
Quote from: yg1968 on 01/13/2024 11:18 pmNASA can control costs for certain Artemis programs by creating services-fixed price contracts but SLS and Orion costs are harder to control because that model isn't followed.Which is why NASA's PR is lying about NASA creating a "sustainable" exploration program, since they know that the SLS+Orion make it impossible for Artemis missions to be "sustainable".
In any event, if SLS and Orion with HLS transports 4 astronauts per year to the surface of the Moon and crewed Starship carries private lunar missions with private citizens and other governments as customers, you might be able to have a permanently occupied lunar base as Elon Musk suggested in his SpaceX press conference of last week.
Getting NASA to use the cargo versions of HLS-Starship and of the Blue Moon lander to stock pile enough cargo to the Moon would be helpful in that respect.
As to the thread topic, the current Starship HLS and eventual Blue Moon landers will provide NASA with far more capabilities than NASA will be able to use if they have to use the SLS+Orion to send humans into space.
Quote from: Coastal Ron on 01/15/2024 05:38 amAs to the thread topic, the current Starship HLS and eventual Blue Moon landers will provide NASA with far more capabilities than NASA will be able to use if they have to use the SLS+Orion to send humans into space.Not quite true. Only true if they are also prohibited from using a "backup" alternative to SLS+Orion. They can keep using SLS+Orion at the lowest cadence Congress will tolerate, and use the "backup" to actually perform real missions.
Quote from: DanClemmensen on 01/15/2024 02:36 pmQuote from: Coastal Ron on 01/15/2024 05:38 amAs to the thread topic, the current Starship HLS and eventual Blue Moon landers will provide NASA with far more capabilities than NASA will be able to use if they have to use the SLS+Orion to send humans into space.Not quite true. Only true if they are also prohibited from using a "backup" alternative to SLS+Orion. They can keep using SLS+Orion at the lowest cadence Congress will tolerate, and use the "backup" to actually perform real missions.There is no evidence that Congress would fund NASA to create a second crew transportation system.There is plenty of evidence that Congress is perfectly happy with the once a year mission cadence the SLS+Orion support.So sure, while it may make sense to us to add more ways to move humans to the Moon, NASA is not funded to do that today, or the foreseeable future. Which is why I stated what I did above, that the current Starship HLS and Blue Moon landers provide far more capabilities than what NASA will need for the Artemis program.
Quote from: Coastal Ron on 01/15/2024 05:47 pmThere is no evidence that Congress would fund NASA to create a second crew transportation system.There is plenty of evidence that Congress is perfectly happy with the once a year mission cadence the SLS+Orion support.So sure, while it may make sense to us to add more ways to move humans to the Moon, NASA is not funded to do that today, or the foreseeable future. Which is why I stated what I did above, that the current Starship HLS and Blue Moon landers provide far more capabilities than what NASA will need for the Artemis program.SLS+Orion does not appear to have a once-a-year cadence.
There is no evidence that Congress would fund NASA to create a second crew transportation system.There is plenty of evidence that Congress is perfectly happy with the once a year mission cadence the SLS+Orion support.So sure, while it may make sense to us to add more ways to move humans to the Moon, NASA is not funded to do that today, or the foreseeable future. Which is why I stated what I did above, that the current Starship HLS and Blue Moon landers provide far more capabilities than what NASA will need for the Artemis program.
NASA would not need to pay to develop a second system: it would be a service.
SpaceX can provide that service using hardware that has already been designed and is already needed prior to Artemis III. Use another instance of Starship HLS as an LEO-NHRO-LEO crew transport, and use Crew Dragon for Earth to LEO and back to Earth. The actual lander meets the transport in NRHO, just as it does for SLS+Orion.
Quote from: DanClemmensen on 01/15/2024 06:01 pmSpaceX can provide that service using hardware that has already been designed and is already needed prior to Artemis III. Use another instance of Starship HLS as an LEO-NHRO-LEO crew transport, and use Crew Dragon for Earth to LEO and back to Earth. The actual lander meets the transport in NRHO, just as it does for SLS+Orion.The only missing piece not developed or in development is a way to dock two Starship together to transport crew although it's possible the final docking design of the depot and HLS will help with this.Edit: Dragon 2 has certainly shown us SpaceX can develop capabilities beyond NASA requirements regardless of whether people consider it "LEGO engineering".
Quote from: Negan on 01/15/2024 10:47 pmQuote from: DanClemmensen on 01/15/2024 06:01 pmSpaceX can provide that service using hardware that has already been designed and is already needed prior to Artemis III. Use another instance of Starship HLS as an LEO-NHRO-LEO crew transport, and use Crew Dragon for Earth to LEO and back to Earth. The actual lander meets the transport in NRHO, just as it does for SLS+Orion.The only missing piece not developed or in development is a way to dock two Starship together to transport crew although it's possible the final docking design of the depot and HLS will help with this.Edit: Dragon 2 has certainly shown us SpaceX can develop capabilities beyond NASA requirements regardless of whether people consider it "LEGO engineering".Starship HLS will almost certainly have an active/passive IDSS docking port on its nose. Two active/passive ports can dock to each other. The reason Starship HLS needs to be active/passive is that it (probably) needs the ability to dock to the active-only IDSS port on Orion, and it also needs the ability to dock to the passive-only IDSS port on Gateway.
Quote from: DanClemmensen on 01/16/2024 12:13 amQuote from: Negan on 01/15/2024 10:47 pmQuote from: DanClemmensen on 01/15/2024 06:01 pmSpaceX can provide that service using hardware that has already been designed and is already needed prior to Artemis III. Use another instance of Starship HLS as an LEO-NHRO-LEO crew transport, and use Crew Dragon for Earth to LEO and back to Earth. The actual lander meets the transport in NRHO, just as it does for SLS+Orion.The only missing piece not developed or in development is a way to dock two Starship together to transport crew although it's possible the final docking design of the depot and HLS will help with this.Edit: Dragon 2 has certainly shown us SpaceX can develop capabilities beyond NASA requirements regardless of whether people consider it "LEGO engineering".Starship HLS will almost certainly have an active/passive IDSS docking port on its nose. Two active/passive ports can dock to each other. The reason Starship HLS needs to be active/passive is that it (probably) needs the ability to dock to the active-only IDSS port on Orion, and it also needs the ability to dock to the passive-only IDSS port on Gateway.From my limited understanding, the mass properties of having two Starships dock might make the current HLS IDSS docking development to Orion and the Gateway inadequate, but I hope that ends up not being the case.
What changed is that back in 2010 Congress authorized the building of the SLS & Orion, and then in 2017 President Trump wanted some grand event to happen by the end of his potential 2nd term in office, so the return to Moon program was created. Congress and the Trump Administration did not care about the cost to return to the Moon, and the actual cost is being ignored by Congress.Why does this matter? Because it means that the Artemis program, as currently constituted, relies on the largess of Congress, and it requires Congress to not ask hard questions about the cost of the Artemis effort.That is NOT sustainable, that is just lucky so far. But luck can change, as we saw with the Constellation program.
Just about every Artemis program that was created under the Trump Administration was a service fixed-cost/public private partnership showing that the Trump Administration did indeed care about costs. The decision to use SLS and Orion wasn't made under the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration had started from a clean slate, I suspect that the HLV and BLEO spacecraft would have been another public-private partnership/fixed price service program.
In terms of setting an ambitious goal for the second term of a presidency (the goal of landing on the Moon in 2024), I think that is a good idea.
Quote from: Coastal Ron on 01/15/2024 05:38 amWhat changed is that back in 2010 Congress authorized the building of the SLS & Orion, and then in 2017 President Trump wanted some grand event to happen by the end of his potential 2nd term in office, so the return to Moon program was created. Congress and the Trump Administration did not care about the cost to return to the Moon, and the actual cost is being ignored by Congress.Why does this matter? Because it means that the Artemis program, as currently constituted, relies on the largess of Congress, and it requires Congress to not ask hard questions about the cost of the Artemis effort.That is NOT sustainable, that is just lucky so far. But luck can change, as we saw with the Constellation program.Just about every Artemis program that was created under the Trump Administration was a service fixed-cost/public private partnership showing that the Trump Administration did indeed care about costs.
The decision to use SLS and Orion wasn't made under the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration had started from a clean slate, I suspect that the HLV and BLEO spacecraft would have been another public-private partnership/fixed price service program.
Ideally, all Presidents (or the Vice President in the case of the Trump Administration) should try to set such an ambitious goal.
You can take the view that Bridenstine was a Trump appointee so the Trump Administration gets the credit. But I like to give credit where credit is most due. I think that’s with Bridenstine in this case.
It is a good idea when accompanied by the budget increases and/or policy/program changes necessary to make it happen. See Apollo and the budget Webb laid in. See the VSE and the sand chart budget and the program reforms we laid in (before Griffin reversed them).I don’t recall any budget changes accompanying the Trump White House 2028 to 2024 acceleration. Logically, there should have been. Pursuing the same goal with less time means you have to spend more earlier. The alternative is to change how the goal is being pursued. Bridenstine did the best he could with what he had, but again, there was no top cover from the Trump White House when Bridenstine ran into Shelby or any direction from the Trump White House in favor of reform.
Delusional dates waste money, and they don't make anything go faster.
There is a difference between informed ambition, and uninformed ambition. The Trump Administration never did a bottoms-up assessment of the return-to-Moon effort before they announced the 2024 date, and didn't bother to do one after they announced the date either. That is just gross mismanagement - unless you like being lied to...
I am OK with giving most of the credit to Bridenstine. But I do think that Pence's 2024 goal gave a sense of urgency to the Artemis program. I am not sure that the HLS program would have been created in 2019 if it wasn't the accelerated goal. As you said yourself before, the 2024 goal gave Artemis a needed kick in the pants.There was an addendum to the FY20 Budget a few months after Pence announced Artemis in 2019. However, most of the plus up came in the FY21 Budget which had a fairly large HLS budget ($3.3B).
Quote from: yg1968 on 01/16/2024 10:40 pmI am OK with giving most of the credit to Bridenstine. But I do think that Pence's 2024 goal gave a sense of urgency to the Artemis program. I am not sure that the HLS program would have been created in 2019 if it wasn't the accelerated goal. As you said yourself before, the 2024 goal gave Artemis a needed kick in the pants.There was an addendum to the FY20 Budget a few months after Pence announced Artemis in 2019. However, most of the plus up came in the FY21 Budget which had a fairly large HLS budget ($3.3B).No doubt, the 2024 goal focused Bridenstine. But there were probably ways to focus Bridenstine without setting a goal that the program was going to be judged against down the line, especially when the Trump White House would request the necessary budget increases late and kick the can to the Biden Administration to lobby for them. Again, par for the course for the last several Administrations. NASA HSF is a visible but low priority. Each White House basically takes one shot at fixing it then abandons the agency to its own devices. But maybe Bridenstine just needed a come-to-Jesus meeting with Pence instead of Pace setting a poorly coordinated and funded goal in policy.FWIW...
Quote from: Coastal Ron on 01/16/2024 09:39 pmDelusional dates waste money, and they don't make anything go faster.A number of Artemis programs are fixed prices, so setting up unrealistic dates doesn't actually cost anything.
Having said that, had they kept the more realistic 2028 date for the first lunar landing, Congress would have taken even more time to fund HLS and the first lunar landing probably wouldn't have been until 2032.
QuoteThere is a difference between informed ambition, and uninformed ambition. The Trump Administration never did a bottoms-up assessment of the return-to-Moon effort before they announced the 2024 date, and didn't bother to do one after they announced the date either. That is just gross mismanagement - unless you like being lied to... The big piece for the 2024 landing was the funding of the lander.
NASA found out what the price for HLS would be when it received the HLS proposals in 2019.
In the FY21 Budget, NASA had anticipated spending almost $21.3B on HLS. Fortunately, SpaceX lowered the price for HLS by asking for a much more reasonable $3B for the development of its lander and Blue ended up asking for a similar price for its lander.
What an "interesting" statement.Didn't you just point out on a different thread that NASA has the ability to punish contractors that don't make contract dates? So you seem to be OK with punishing contractors for not making contract dates that were fake to begin with, right? So now you are admitting that the Trump Administration was lying to Congress about the 2024 date?At any point does honesty and reality come into play with NASA?
What do you mean? NASA has spent $50B on the SLS and Orion programs so far.
In 2019 NASA asked for proposals, and in 2020 NASA awarded $967M in "study contracts" to Blue Origin, SpaceX and Dynetics to begin the design process for lunar landers, but how much each company would bid would not be known until the Human Landing System, Option A contract was bid and accepted in 2021. So NASA didn't know how much each of the proposals would cost until 2021.
Assuming NASA didn't allow any of the contract bidding information to lead out, the part of NASA that was doing the federal budget process really had no idea what it would take, since all they had was old NASA studies to go by.More importantly though, SpaceX did not "lowered the price". NASA had no clue how much it would cost to develop a lander, so stop assuming NASA requested a reasonable amount from Congress. As it happens, SpaceX was able to leverage years of self-funded work on the Starship program to bid what they did.If anything the lack of accuracy in NASA's budget forecasts should be questioned...And let's keep in mind that while V.P. Pence announced the return-to-Moon program in 2017, and set a date of by the end of 2024, NASA didn't award a contract for an actual Moon lander until 2021, or more than 50% of the way through the amount of time NASA had to meet the original 2024 date.Does that seem like the fake 2024 need date for landing on the Moon was doing a good job in motivating NASA to meet that date?
NASA asked the HLS providers if they could make the 2024 date and the providers said that they could. The Blue protest created a delay and so did the delay of Starship's IFT-1 IFT-2 test flights. These things were hard to predict at the time.
Why are landers almost always designed/depicted with the cargo sitting atop the propulsion and tankage ??
I suppose this thread is as good as any to pose a question.Why are landers almost always designed/depicted with the cargo sitting atop the propulsion and tankage ?? Is there any technical or engineering reason for this ??IMO this configuration will always necessitate the inclusion of a crane or davit of some kind and therefore introducing some level of instability when lifting weighty cargo down the side of the craft, especially in the case of Starship.Would it not be better to have the cargo, whatever it be, attached underneath a framework that holds the engines, tanks, avionics and everything else ?? This way the cargo is placed directly on the ground.Think Thunderbird 2 touching down, releasing a pod and flying off.
Quote from: MickQ on 05/13/2024 06:44 amI suppose this thread is as good as any to pose a question.Why are landers almost always designed/depicted with the cargo sitting atop the propulsion and tankage ?? Is there any technical or engineering reason for this ??IMO this configuration will always necessitate the inclusion of a crane or davit of some kind and therefore introducing some level of instability when lifting weighty cargo down the side of the craft, especially in the case of Starship.Would it not be better to have the cargo, whatever it be, attached underneath a framework that holds the engines, tanks, avionics and everything else ?? This way the cargo is placed directly on the ground.Think Thunderbird 2 touching down, releasing a pod and flying off.This doesn't really work. Putting aside top heavy concerns (engines and fuel are very heavy), the engines need to fire down, which means they cannot be firing into the cargo. Its not different than why are wheels on the bottom of cars? The wheels need to push off the ground. Engines need to push prop out the bottom of the rocket.
Yes. Skycrane is part way to what I’m thinking of.Obviously you would not have the engines firing down on to the top of the cargo but have the cargo positioned in between the engines. In the final 50 or so meters of the descent the engines start to gimbal outwards to blow most debris away from the lander.At touchdown either the engines shut down or the cargo pod is released and the lander returns directly to orbit for re use. Another advantage of this configuration would be that if a problem occurs during descent, such as an engine out, the cargo can be dropped and the lander aborts to orbit.
I suppose this thread is as good as any to pose a question....Would it not be better to have the cargo, whatever it be, attached underneath a framework that holds the engines, tanks, avionics and everything else ?? This way the cargo is placed directly on the ground.Think Thunderbird 2 touching down, releasing a pod and flying off.
ALPACA is basically the closest configuration to what I’m thinking of. The difference being that the payload section ( payload meaning hab module, rover, cargo pod etc ) is quickly and easily detachable from the rest of the lander. At touchdown the lander’s legs adjust to place the payload on the ground. The attachment mechanism unlocks and the lander then returns to orbit for refueling and another load.
Quote from: deadman1204 on 05/13/2024 06:58 pmQuote from: MickQ on 05/13/2024 06:44 amI suppose this thread is as good as any to pose a question.Why are landers almost always designed/depicted with the cargo sitting atop the propulsion and tankage ?? Is there any technical or engineering reason for this ??IMO this configuration will always necessitate the inclusion of a crane or davit of some kind and therefore introducing some level of instability when lifting weighty cargo down the side of the craft, especially in the case of Starship.Would it not be better to have the cargo, whatever it be, attached underneath a framework that holds the engines, tanks, avionics and everything else ?? This way the cargo is placed directly on the ground.Think Thunderbird 2 touching down, releasing a pod and flying off.This doesn't really work. Putting aside top heavy concerns (engines and fuel are very heavy), the engines need to fire down, which means they cannot be firing into the cargo. Its not different than why are wheels on the bottom of cars? The wheels need to push off the ground. Engines need to push prop out the bottom of the rocket.Seems the JPL Sky Crane did a good job with having the propulsion above the cargo.