Quote from: pilottim on 10/24/2024 08:08 pmThere is neither a commercial market nor a scientific market for responsive launch.Things that cost time almost always cost money too so commercial pressures to cut costs will probably get commercial launch 98% of the way to responsive launch. Once Starship and Nova are launching every day with full reuse they can probably tweak their processes to provide responsive launch too. The bottleneck to responsive launch is likely to be the FAA and the ranges, not things under launch company control.
There is neither a commercial market nor a scientific market for responsive launch.
Quote from: deltaV on 10/27/2024 10:31 pmQuote from: pilottim on 10/24/2024 08:08 pmThere is neither a commercial market nor a scientific market for responsive launch.Things that cost time almost always cost money too so commercial pressures to cut costs will probably get commercial launch 98% of the way to responsive launch. Once Starship and Nova are launching every day with full reuse they can probably tweak their processes to provide responsive launch too. The bottleneck to responsive launch is likely to be the FAA and the ranges, not things under launch company control.Rideshare is of no use if its going to wrong orbit. If trying rendezvous with suspicious satellite as Victus Haze mission will demostrate, an instantaneous launch would be ideal.
What is better than one Astra Spacecraft Engine? A dual Astra Spacecraft Engine test fire in our test chamber. This vacuum chamber is like a mini version of outer space on Earth, simulating the environments that these thrusters experience on orbit.
Astra has the worst record in the current US launch industry: 7 failures out of 9 attempts. Companies that can't do their job well are supposed to go bankrupt, not be bailed out by the government.
You leave out Astra's predecessor DARPA programmes where the company was partially the cause of cancellation.
Things that cost time almost always cost money too so commercial pressures to cut costs will probably get commercial launch 98% of the way to responsive launch. Once Starship and Nova are launching every day with full reuse they can probably tweak their processes to provide responsive launch too.
The bottleneck to responsive launch is likely to be the FAA and the ranges, not things under launch company control.
Quote from: brussell on 10/24/2024 03:01 amWhat are you talking about? What "government manager", "government side", and "government handholding"? This is ridiculous. Can people just show up here and make stuff up with no bearing in reality? This very thread listed the NASA contract R3 was developed under on the first page. People often make the mistake of analyzing R3 as something that was born out of the tech NewSpace ZIRP startup boom and makes no market sense because it is not reliable. I disagree with this framing. The requirements were made to meet some government goals. Rapid response, being cheap as possible, fits in a container, and only launching 25kg to orbit is terrible for the market but great for the government. Their mistake was assuming that there is a commercial market for what was really only of interest to the government. Rumor has it that, after SALVO ran out of funding, Chris Kemp camp out of the Ventions garage and would not leave until Adam London agreed to continue the program with him as the CEO and lots of private funding. Vance's book hinted at this but I don't know for sure if it happened. Personally I think R3 was a great comeback story, because space development programs cancelled by the government usually stays dead and not go to orbit. Time will tell if Astra gets another comeback story.
What are you talking about? What "government manager", "government side", and "government handholding"? This is ridiculous. Can people just show up here and make stuff up with no bearing in reality?
This is all very nice but it doesn't address the question of what you meant by "government manager", "government side", and "government handholding".
Do you mean the requirements? Because the government surely had zero input into the design and development.
Quote from: deltaV on 10/30/2024 03:40 pmAstra has the worst record in the current US launch industry: 7 failures out of 9 attempts. Companies that can't do their job well are supposed to go bankrupt, not be bailed out by the government.Astra's Rocket 3.3, its operational orbital launcher that started flying in 2021, succeeded two times in five attempts. Not great, but the same result as Firefly Alpha and SpaceX Falcon 1, companies that nonetheless receive(d) government funding. - Ed Kyle
Quote from: brussell on 11/05/2024 12:18 amThis is all very nice but it doesn't address the question of what you meant by "government manager", "government side", and "government handholding". Exactly what it says. Kemp likes to hide their past and siloed most of the company away, until they want to ask for a lease extension from the city council or another government contract, in which case Astra has been working on maturing NASA technology for over ten years, always has been. Quote from: brussell on 11/05/2024 12:18 amDo you mean the requirements? Because the government surely had zero input into the design and development.More than a purely commercial rocket, less than SLS.