Total Members Voted: 161
Voting closed: 03/28/2017 03:32 am
I'd probably pick 2019 for Dragon and 2021 for Orion.
The word seems to be out of the bag that SLS EM-1 will have crew. I have to think this delays EM-1 into late 2019, if not 2020 (or beyond). I think the SpaceX crewed lunary flyby is now a good bit more likely to happen first.
Quote from: rockets4life97 on 05/08/2017 03:18 pmThe word seems to be out of the bag that SLS EM-1 will have crew. I have to think this delays EM-1 into late 2019, if not 2020 (or beyond). I think the SpaceX crewed lunary flyby is now a good bit more likely to happen first.Isn't it just as likely that Space X will move later as well.
Quote from: Star One on 05/08/2017 05:16 pmQuote from: rockets4life97 on 05/08/2017 03:18 pmThe word seems to be out of the bag that SLS EM-1 will have crew. I have to think this delays EM-1 into late 2019, if not 2020 (or beyond). I think the SpaceX crewed lunary flyby is now a good bit more likely to happen first.Isn't it just as likely that Space X will move later as well.For sure, the SpaceX date will slip. But they aren't facing a major mission redesign. FH and Dragon 2 look to be in track from their debut in Q4 of this year. Getting those two flying is the major prerequisite for the lunar flyby and they look much closer to me than SLS.
....How many additional Lunar flights might SpaceX have before 2023?4? -> 1 a year?
How many would NASA purchase a ride on? Astronaut training flights for cis-Lunar travel?
One thing is for sure, SpaceX has a much better chance of circumnavigating the moon with a crewed vehicle before NASA does.
Quote from: TaurusLittrow on 05/13/2017 12:55 pmOne thing is for sure, SpaceX has a much better chance of circumnavigating the moon with a crewed vehicle before NASA does.Not really. They are late by 50+ years.
Does this get changed to dearMoon vs EM-1?