Quote from: meekGee on 11/26/2022 11:20 amQuote from: Comga on 11/25/2022 04:46 pmQuote from: meekGee on 11/25/2022 08:40 amDid we just note the 1 launch/week milestone for 2022?That has been the case since the summer.SpaceX has actually exceeded launching every six days for the last ten or so missions before this most recent hiatus. edit: When the red line in the graph in this post exceeds 52 (wks/yr=365/7) the pace of the last ten flights exceeds one per week. Early enough in the year or long enough and it applies to the whole year. When it exceeds 61 (365/6) the pace surpasses a launch every six days.I know, I meant 52 in, so the yearly total has surpassed the 1/week benchmark even if two hurricanes and an earthquake hit tomorrow...I'm curious how they'll surpass that next year without another barge. More RTLS doesn't seem productive for Starlinks.Maybe using the brute method of launching more Starlinks in a longer payload fairing on the Falcon Heavy with RTLS of all three boosters. SpaceX will need to paved another pad at landing zone 1 or somewhere else on the Space Coast.Regardless SpaceX will need to consider additional down range landing platforms to keep up the launch cadence in case of maintenance or landing mishaps causing landing platform non-availability.
Quote from: Comga on 11/25/2022 04:46 pmQuote from: meekGee on 11/25/2022 08:40 amDid we just note the 1 launch/week milestone for 2022?That has been the case since the summer.SpaceX has actually exceeded launching every six days for the last ten or so missions before this most recent hiatus. edit: When the red line in the graph in this post exceeds 52 (wks/yr=365/7) the pace of the last ten flights exceeds one per week. Early enough in the year or long enough and it applies to the whole year. When it exceeds 61 (365/6) the pace surpasses a launch every six days.I know, I meant 52 in, so the yearly total has surpassed the 1/week benchmark even if two hurricanes and an earthquake hit tomorrow...I'm curious how they'll surpass that next year without another barge. More RTLS doesn't seem productive for Starlinks.
Quote from: meekGee on 11/25/2022 08:40 amDid we just note the 1 launch/week milestone for 2022?That has been the case since the summer.SpaceX has actually exceeded launching every six days for the last ten or so missions before this most recent hiatus. edit: When the red line in the graph in this post exceeds 52 (wks/yr=365/7) the pace of the last ten flights exceeds one per week. Early enough in the year or long enough and it applies to the whole year. When it exceeds 61 (365/6) the pace surpasses a launch every six days.
Did we just note the 1 launch/week milestone for 2022?
Maybe just send an ASDS a very short distance off shore
Quote from: Zed_Noir on 11/29/2022 12:15 amQuote from: meekGee on 11/26/2022 11:20 amQuote from: Comga on 11/25/2022 04:46 pmQuote from: meekGee on 11/25/2022 08:40 amDid we just note the 1 launch/week milestone for 2022?That has been the case since the summer.SpaceX has actually exceeded launching every six days for the last ten or so missions before this most recent hiatus. edit: When the red line in the graph in this post exceeds 52 (wks/yr=365/7) the pace of the last ten flights exceeds one per week. Early enough in the year or long enough and it applies to the whole year. When it exceeds 61 (365/6) the pace surpasses a launch every six days.I know, I meant 52 in, so the yearly total has surpassed the 1/week benchmark even if two hurricanes and an earthquake hit tomorrow...I'm curious how they'll surpass that next year without another barge. More RTLS doesn't seem productive for Starlinks.Maybe using the brute method of launching more Starlinks in a longer payload fairing on the Falcon Heavy with RTLS of all three boosters. SpaceX will need to paved another pad at landing zone 1 or somewhere else on the Space Coast.Regardless SpaceX will need to consider additional down range landing platforms to keep up the launch cadence in case of maintenance or landing mishaps causing landing platform non-availability.Maybe just send an ASDS a very short distance off shore
Quote from: realnouns on 11/29/2022 01:47 pmQuote from: Zed_Noir on 11/29/2022 12:15 amQuote from: meekGee on 11/26/2022 11:20 amQuote from: Comga on 11/25/2022 04:46 pmQuote from: meekGee on 11/25/2022 08:40 amDid we just note the 1 launch/week milestone for 2022?That has been the case since the summer.SpaceX has actually exceeded launching every six days for the last ten or so missions before this most recent hiatus. edit: When the red line in the graph in this post exceeds 52 (wks/yr=365/7) the pace of the last ten flights exceeds one per week. Early enough in the year or long enough and it applies to the whole year. When it exceeds 61 (365/6) the pace surpasses a launch every six days.I know, I meant 52 in, so the yearly total has surpassed the 1/week benchmark even if two hurricanes and an earthquake hit tomorrow...I'm curious how they'll surpass that next year without another barge. More RTLS doesn't seem productive for Starlinks.Maybe using the brute method of launching more Starlinks in a longer payload fairing on the Falcon Heavy with RTLS of all three boosters. SpaceX will need to paved another pad at landing zone 1 or somewhere else on the Space Coast.Regardless SpaceX will need to consider additional down range landing platforms to keep up the launch cadence in case of maintenance or landing mishaps causing landing platform non-availability.Maybe just send an ASDS a very short distance off shoreUsing an ASDS means that some other launch will have to wait for ASDS availability. The idea of recovering all three boosters of a Falcon Heavy at landing zone 1 is to allow some other launch to be able to land down range.
The company plans as many as eight Falcon 9 rocket launches in December, a tally that assumes the mission with ispace’s Hakuto-R moon lander is able to fly soon. SpaceX has two launches scheduled from Florida next week — one with the next batch of Starlink internet satellites and another with 40 spacecraft for OneWeb’s broadband constellation.It was not immediately clear what, if any, impact the Hakuto-R launch delay might have on other Falcon 9 missions scheduled for December.
New milestone:At this time there are FIVE launches on the manifest with dates and times!2022-11-12 11:06/-5 F9 1051-14 X Galaxy 31/32 GTO C-40 . .2022-11-16*19:22/-8 F9 . S Starlink 2-4 LEO ~16k V . .2022-11-17 6:33/-5 F9 . . Eutelsat 10B GTO . C-40 . .2022-11-21 16:15/-5 F9 . S CRS2 SpX-26 LEO . C-39A . 2022-11-22 4:17/-5 F9 . L HAKUTO-R TLI . C-40 . .(Most of these are from the Manifest but some data is taken from the mission threads.)
The next SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket will launch a batch of OneWeb satellites from pad 39A on December TBD around 5-6 p.m. EST. Sunset is 5:25 p.m. The first stage will land back at the Cape about eight minutes after launch. A Falcon 9 from pad 40 will launch the first HAKUTO-R lunar lander for iSpace on December TBD at 2-3 a.m. EST. The first stage will land back at the Cape about eight minutes after launch. A Falcon 9 will launch a pair of internet satellites for SES on December TBD, around 4 p.m. EDT. A Falcon 9 will launch the Transporter-6 smallsat rideshare mission on December TBD, in the daytime EST. Upcoming launches include more Starlink batches. A Falcon 9 will launch a batch of OneWeb internet satellites on January TBD. And a Falcon Heavy from pad 39A will launch the USSF-67 mission for the U.S. Space Force on January TBD.
Some of the December/January SpaceX manifest Launched in December:Dec 8 KSC LC-39A OneWeb Fl 15Scheduled for December:Dec 11 CCSFS SLC-40 HAKUTO-RDec 15 Vand SLC-4E SWOTDec 16 CCSFS SLC-40 O3b mPower 1 and 2NET Dec 17 KSC LC-39A Starlink 4-37Late Dec CCSFS SLC-40 Transporter-6Dec 29 Vand SLC-4E EROS C3 #1When are the FAA cutout days to prevent orbital launches from delaying holiday air travel?Scheduled for January:Jan 1st days? CCSFS SLC-40 Starlink 2-2~Jan 10 KSC LC-39A USSF-67Jan 18 CCSFS SLC-40 GPS III-6NET mid Jan? Vand SLC-4E Starlink 2-4NET mid Jan? Vand SLC-4E SDA Tracking Layer Tranche 0 Fl 1NET late Jan? KSC LC-39A SpX-27
Quote from: zubenelgenubi on 12/09/2022 09:33 amSome of the December/January SpaceX manifest Launched in December:Dec 8 KSC LC-39A OneWeb Fl 15Scheduled for December:Dec 11 CCSFS SLC-40 HAKUTO-RDec 15 Vand SLC-4E SWOTDec 16 CCSFS SLC-40 O3b mPower 1 and 2NET Dec 17 KSC LC-39A Starlink 4-37Late Dec CCSFS SLC-40 Transporter-6Dec 29 Vand SLC-4E EROS C3 #1When are the FAA cutout days to prevent orbital launches from delaying holiday air travel?Scheduled for January:Jan 1st days? CCSFS SLC-40 Starlink 2-2~Jan 10 KSC LC-39A USSF-67Jan 18 CCSFS SLC-40 GPS III-6NET mid Jan? Vand SLC-4E Starlink 2-4NET mid Jan? Vand SLC-4E SDA Tracking Layer Tranche 0 Fl 1NET late Jan? KSC LC-39A SpX-27What about ViaSat-3?
Quote from: GewoonLukas_ on 12/09/2022 09:47 amQuote from: zubenelgenubi on 12/09/2022 09:33 amSome of the December/January SpaceX manifest <snip >What about ViaSat-3?And Starlink 5-1, O3b mPower 3-4
Quote from: zubenelgenubi on 12/09/2022 09:33 amSome of the December/January SpaceX manifest <snip >What about ViaSat-3?
Some of the December/January SpaceX manifest <snip >
New milestone:At this time there are FIVE launches on the manifest with dates and times!2022-11-12 11:06/-5 F9 1051-14 X Galaxy 31/32 GTO C-40 . .2022-11-16*19:22/-8 F9 . S Starlink 2-4 LEO ~16k V . .2022-11-17 6:33/-5 F9 . . Eutelsat 10B GTO . C-40 . .2022-11-21 16:15/-5 F9 . S CRS2 SpX-26 LEO . C-39A . 2022-11-22 4:17/-5 F9 . L HAKUTO-R TLI . C-40 . .
[SWOT] Delayed to Fri Dec 16 at the same time. https://twitter.com/NASA/status/1603225428231069696
That makes for THREE launches scheduled for one day.
The commander of the Space Force's 1st Range Operations Squadron told me today his team could hypothetically support two launches about 20 minutes apart. That's about the time required to monitor one rocket until it goes over the horizon, then configure for the next launch.
Three for SpaceX plus one Electron from RocketLab and one CZ-11 from China makes five. Time for another launchapalooza! Hopefully this time it doesn't turn into another scrubapalooza. :-)
With Starlink Group 5 launches scheduled to start launching by the end of 2022, does that mean there's no more Starlink Group 4 launches? We've yet to see Starlinks 4-24, 4-28, 4-30, 4-32, and 4-33