I would like to see how people expect development to go so I was wondering about polls forWhich (integrated) flight of Starship will be the first to be fully orbital?Flight 11Flight 12Flight 13Flight 14Flight 15Maybe also flight 10, 16, later, or never for completeness of options.Which (integrated) flight will be the first where Starship (2nd stage) is recovered?Flight 12Flight 13Flight 14Flight 15Flight 16Flight 17Maybe also flight 11 or earlier, 18, later, or never for completeness of options.Which (integrated) flight will be the first where Starship (2nd stage) is reused?Flight 13Flight 14Flight 15Flight 16Flight 17Flight 18Flight 19Flight 20Maybe also flight 12 or earlier, 21, later, or never for completeness of options.Which (integrated) Starship flight will be the first where ship to ship refueling is attempted?However maybe requesting 4 such polls is a bit much to ask? So, instead, maybe just comment with 4 numbers for the 4 questions and add any caveats, explanations, and expected dates if you wish?Egorbit, 12, Sept 25Recover, 13, Nov 25Reuse, 16, Feb 26Refuel, 19, June 26This might seem very optimistic and doesn't leave much room for slippage and still be able to make some attempt at 2026 Mars window. Most are saying window will be missed so presumably majority of answers will have higher flight numbers or later dates, but how much higher/later?If mods want to move to poll section, or create polls suggested instead, or whatever you think best is fine with me.
About 60% chance they launch SOMETHING to Mars. Might not make it.
what you wrote makes absolutely no sense at all
Quote from: xvel on 06/14/2025 11:49 pmwhat you wrote makes absolutely no sense at allUbj pna lbh fnl fhpu n guvat? :-)
Can I add a catch-all question?Will the first Mars flight happen in 2026 and use reusable tankers?0 - Won't happen in 20261- No2 - Yes
