SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5

[Comga]

Starlink launch date:

11 November ~15:00 UTC according to Stephen Clark
https://spaceflightnow.com/launch-schedule/

(A posted launch date!  After 88 days!  I feel so much better now.)

[gongora]

Nanoracks Books CubeSat Rideshare and Habitat Building Demonstration in Single SpaceX Falcon 9 Launch

November 18, 2019 – Washington DC – Nanoracks, the world’s leading commercial space station company, has booked a launch mission like no other, leveraging the recently announced SpaceX Rideshare program. Onboard a Falcon 9, targeting launch in late 2020, Nanoracks has booked deployment of eight small satellites as well as the Company’s first in-space Outpost-demonstration mission.

Discussion of this Nanoracks payload can occur in the Nanoracks thread.

I may start another thread in this section for tracking information about SpaceX rideshare payloads.

[soltasto]

HAWTHORNE, Calif. – November 24, 2019. Media accreditation is now open for a SpaceX Starlink mission from Space Launch Complex 40 (SLC-40) at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station in Florida. The launch is targeted for no earlier than December.

[Comga]

Graph of Falcon 9 & Heavy launches in the preceding twelve months
Plus 1 for CRS-19 today
Minus 1 for CRS-16  2018-12-05 a year ago today

edit: Wow.  This graph covers exactly one decade.

[gongora]

[Space News] Air Force projects increased launch activity for 2020

“It’ll probably end up between eight and 10.”...“We could see four or five Atlas launches and potentially two Delta Heavies for the NRO,” said Bongiovi. SpaceX has national security missions scheduled for 2020 as well, with as many as three by Falcon 9’s and the first Falcon Heavy national security mission.

So that should be 2-3 GPS launches on F9 and AFSPC-44 on FH for SpaceX USAF launches next year.

[soltasto]

Accreditation open for Starlink-3:

HAWTHORNE, Calif. – December 9, 2019. Media accreditation is now open for a SpaceX Starlink mission from Space Launch Complex 40 (SLC-40) at Cape Canaveral Air Force Station in Florida. The launch is targeted for no earlier than January.

[gongora]

Kepler Communications Selects SpaceX to Launch Two Batches of its Nanosatellite Constellation

DECEMBER 12TH

Kepler announced today that it has selected SpaceX as launch partner to deliver a portion of its first Low-Earth Orbit (LEO) satellite constellation into space onboard SpaceX’s reusable Falcon 9 launch vehicle.

Kepler has procured 400 kg of launch capacity from SpaceX for the deployment of multiple satellites. These spacecraft incorporate both a high-capacity Ku-band communications system and a narrowband payload, for both high-speed data transfers and for low-power direct-to-satellite IoT connectivity.       

This will be the first time the two companies are partnering for a LEO deployment, and it will be a historical event as it marks Kepler’s first use of SpaceX’s new SmallSat Rideshare Program, which will see the launch of multiple small spacecraft into sun-synchronous orbit (SSO).

“Kepler looks forward to working with SpaceX to fulfill part of our 2020 launch plans. With this agreement, we are deploying our next-generation constellation on schedule, which will let us serve the growing demand,” said Mina Mitry, CEO of Kepler Communications. “We chose SpaceX as a launch partner and support their SmallSat Rideshare Program which is certainly a one-of-its-kind, exceeding expectations in terms of pricing and accommodation.”

”SpaceX is honored Kepler chose our Falcon 9 rideshare program to launch a portion of its innovative nanosatellite constellation, which will help close global gaps in internet connectivity,” said Gwynne Shotwell, SpaceX’s President and Chief Operating Officer. “SpaceX is looking forward to delivering these important spacecraft to orbit for Kepler.”

Kepler’s LEO satellite constellation will be comprised of approximately 140 satellites. Planned to be deployed in three phases, from 2020 to 2023 and each with an incremental number of satellites launched, Kepler’s LEO constellation will grow to become a space data relay system to serve other constellations with high-speed data backhaul capabilities. Today, the company is focused on building the install base for Global Data ServiceTM, its pole-to-pole wideband connectivity service for mobile and fixed applications. EverywhereIOTTM, Kepler’s affordable solution for Internet of Things (IoT) devices, will enter user trials in the coming months.

[gongora]

This is just a snapshot of the current manifest.

Discussion of the manifest, and updates. The best guess at the current manifest is in this post. 

The first four posts in this thread are maintained
1 - Current manifest and some links
2 - Past launches
3 - Smoliarm's graphical manifest
4 - links

Discussion of the table format should be done here: SpaceX Manifest Table Format Discussion
Prior thread: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 4

Sites:
      C=Cape Canaveral Spaceport (KSC/CCAFS) (UTC-4 EDT,UTC-5 EST)
            CCAFS SLC-40: Active for Falcon 9
            KSC LC-39A: Active for Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy
      V=Vandenberg (UTC-7 PDT,UTC-8 PST)
            SLC-4E: Active for Falcon 9
      B=Boca Chica (UTC-5 CDT,UTC-6 CST)
            Site preparation work underway

U.S. daylight saving time starts second Sunday in March, ends first Sunday in November, time changes at 2:00 a.m. local time

Local	LV	Core	Ret-	.	.	Mass	.	Mis-
Est. Date,  Time/UTC	.	S/N	urn	Payload(s)	Orb	(kg)	Site	sion
------------------- .	---	------ .	---	----------------------------	--- .	-----	-----	----
2019-01-11  0731/-8	F9	1049.2	S	Iridium NEXT (Flight 8)	PLR	9600	V-4E	68
2019-02-21*2045/-5	F9	1048.3	S	Nusantara Satu/SpaceIL/GTO-1	GTO	4850	C-40	69
2019-03-02  0249/-5	F9	1051	S	CCtCap DM1	LEO	12k	C-39A	70
2019-04-11  1835/-4	H	NNN*	LSL	Arabsat 6A	GTO	6465	C-39A	(H2)
2019-05-04  0248/-4	F9	1056	S	CRS SpX-17	LEO	~10k	C-40	71
2019-05-23  2230/-4	F9	1049.3	S	Starlink v0.9	LEO	~14k	C-40	72
2019-06-12  0717/-7	F9	1051.2	L	RADARSAT Constellation	SSO	~5k?	V-4E	73
2019-06-25  0230/-4	H	RNR*	LSL	STP-2 (US Air Force)	MEO	3700	C-39A	(H3)
2019-07-25  1801/-4	F9	1056.2	L	CRS SpX-18	LEO	~10k	C-40	74
2019-08-06  1923/-4	F9	1047.3	X	AMOS-17	GTO	6.5k	C-40	75
2019-11-11  0956/-5	F9	1048.4	S	Starlink v1 Flight 1	LEO	~16k	C-40	76
2019-12-05  1229/-5	F9	1059	S	CRS SpX-19	LEO	~10k	C-40	77
2019-12-16*1910/-5	F9	1056.3	S	JCSAT-18/Kacific-1	GTO	6956	C-40	78
-------------------	---	------	---	----------------------------	---	-----	-----	----
2019-12 (NET)	F9	.	S	Starlink v1 Flight 2	LEO	.	C-40	79
2020-01	F9	1046.4	X	CCiCap In-Flight Abort Test	SUB	.	C-39A	N/A
2020	F9	.	S	Starlink v1 Flight 3	LEO	.	C-40	.
2020	F9	.	S	Starlink v1 Flight 4	LEO	.	C-40	.
2020-03	F9	.	.	SAOCOM 1B	SSO	~3-4k	C	.
2020-03	F9	.	.	CRS SpX-20	LEO	~10k	C	.
2020-Q1 (NET)	F9	1058	S	CCtCap DM2 (Crew)	LEO	.	C-39A	.
2020-03	F9	N	.	USAF GPS III-3	MEO	4400	C	.
2020	F9	.	S	Starlink v1 Flight 5	LEO	.	C-40	.
2020	F9	.	S	Starlink v1 Flight 6	LEO	.	C-40	.
2020-Q2	F9	R	.	Türksat 5A	GTO	3500	C	.
2020	F9	.	.	ANASIS-II	GTO	.	C	.
2020	F9	.	S	Starlink v1 Flight 7	LEO	.	C-40	.
2020	F9	.	S	Starlink v1 Flight 8	LEO	.	C-40	.
2020-mid	F9	.	.	SiriusXM SXM-7	GTO	>5400	C	.
2020	F9	N	S	CCtCap Crew-1	LEO	.	C-39A	.
2020-08	F9	.	.	CRS2 SpX-21	LEO	~10k	C	.
2020-Q3	F9	.	.	SiriusXM SXM-8	GTO	>5400	C	.
2020-Q3 (NET)	F9	.	.	USAF GPS III-4	MEO	4400	C	.
2020-Q4	F9	.	.	SpaceX SSO	SSO	.	V-4E	.
2020-Fall	H	N	.	AFSPC-44	GEO	.	C-39A	.
2020-11	F9	.	.	Sentinel-6A (Jason-CS)	LEO	1440	V-4E	.
2020-late	F9	.	.	SARah 1	SSO	~2200	V-4E	.
2020-late (NET)	F9	.	.	CRS2 SpX-22	LEO	~10k	C	.
2020 (NET)	F9	.	.	NationSat & co-passenger	GTO	?	C	(120)
2021	F9	.	.	USAF GPS III-5	MEO	4400	C
2021-Q1	F9	R	.	WorldView Legion flight 1	LEO	.	V	.
2021-Q1	F9	.	.	Türksat 5B	GTO	4500	C	.
2021-Spring	H	N	.	AFSPC-52	GTO	.	C-39A	.
2021-04	F9	R	.	IXPE	LEO	~300	C-39A	.
2021	F9	.	.	O3B mPOWER flight 1	MEO	~5k	C	(130)
2021	F9	.	.	USAF GPS III-6	MEO	4400	C	.
2021	F9	.	.	SARah 2/3	SSO	~3600	V-4E	.
2021-07	F9	.	.	DART	ESC	~500	V-4E	.
2021-09	F9	.	.	SWOT	LEO	2000	V-4E	.
2021-H2	F9	N	.	NROL-85	LEO	?	C	.
2021-H2	F9	N	.	NROL-87	SSO	?	V-4E	.
2021	F9	.	.	Intuitive Machines (+rideshare)	.	?	C-39A	.
2021	F9	.	.	O3B mPOWER flight 2	MEO	~7k	C	(130)
2022	F9	R	.	WorldView Legion flight 2	LEO	.	C	.
2022-Q1	F9	.	.	SpaceX SSO-2	SSO	.	V-4E	.
2022-07	F9	.	.	Korea Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter	?	678	C	(150)
2022-late	F9	.	.	Space Norway	HEO	4k	.	.
2022 (Very NET)	SS	.	.	Mars	TMI	.	?	.
2023-Q1	F9	.	.	SpaceX SSO-3	SSO	.	V-4E	.
2023 (NET)	SS	.	.	#dearMoon	TLI	.	?	.
TBD (2020-2024)	F9	.	.	Commercial Crew (5 flights)	LEO	.	C-39A	.
2020	F9	.	.	Starlink Deployment (up to 24)	LEO	.	C	.
2021+	.	.	.	Starlink Deployment (many)	LEO	.	C/V	.
2020+	F9	.	.	SSO Rideshares (several/year)	SSO	.	V	.
TBD (2021-2024)	F9	.	.	CRS-2 (4+ flights)	LEO	.	C	.
TBD (2021-2022)	H	.	.	one of the ViaSat 3 sats	GEO	6400	C-39A	.

NOTES:
(H2) Arabsat 6A - Serial Numbers:  Side1:1052.1  Center:1055.1  Side2: 1053.1.  Center booster landed on ASDS and then fell over while being towed back to port.
(H3) STP-2 - Serial Numbers:  Side1:1052.2  Center:1057.1  Side2: 1053.2
(120) Intersputnik NationSat & co-passenger NET 2020
(130) 2 flights for O3B mPOWER in 2021
(150) Korea Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter : Post

Companies that appear to have launch contracts for unspecified payloads:
Eutelsat, Inmarsat, Bigelow

Date: *=Local date differs from UTC date  ~=Date has some uncertainty
Return: L=Land,S=Sea,X=Expendable,N/A=Not Applicable
Launch Vehicle: F9=Falcon 9, H=Falcon Heavy, F=Falcon 9 or Heavy, SS=Starship
Core: *=FH core numbers in footnotes, N=New, R=Reused
Mission: Blue number indicates additional information in footnotes.
Colors: Successful / Unsuccessful / Mars!!!! / Footnotes / Mission failure may not be SpaceX's fault


Rideshare payloads (which flight it's on may not be known yet)

Local	LV	.	.	Mass	.
Est. Date,  Time/UTC	.	Payload(s)	Orb	(kg)	Site
-------------------	--- .	----------------------------	--- .	-----	-----
2020-Q4	F9	Kepler (2 flights)	SSO?	.	.
2021	F9	Astranis 2020-Q4	GTO	.	.
2021	F9	ispace HAKUTO-R	.	.	.

Possible future payloads:

Competitions for future payloads:
Air Force

Canceled payloads: ABS-8, AMOS-8, GiSat-1, PTScientists, Ovzon-3 / Bigelow Tourism to ISS

L2 notes on manifest:

Upcoming Mars Launch Windows: 2020-06, 2022-08, 2024-09, 2026-11, 2029-01

SpaceX Mission Paperwork / Raul's Map
Starlink Index Thread / Commercial Space Index Thread
L2 SpaceX CRS External Cargo
L2 Level SpaceX Falcon 9 Stage Watch / Public Core Spotting
SpaceX Launch Log (past launches) / Wikipedia Falcon Launches
Viewing flights from Vandenberg / Ben Cooper's Viewing Guide for Cape Canaveral / Viewing Flights from KSC/CCAFS
Upcoming SpaceX Talks / General Industry Talks
SpaceX Falcon Mission Simulations
SpaceX Eastern Range Landing Facilities
NSF Manifest Threads: U.S. / Russian / Arianespace / Japanese / Chinese / Indian / Rocket Lab / Consolidated

Recent Edits:
Nov 5  Moved SXM-7 to mid 2020, SXM-8 to Q3 2020
October 9  Added Intersputnik NationSat & co-passenger NET 2020.  Changed SAOCOM-1B from Vandenberg to Florida launch site.
September 10  Changed KPLO to July 2022
September 9  Added 2 flights for O3B mPOWER in 2021
August 26  Added secondary payload Astranis in Q4 2020
August 23  Removed Ovzon-3
August 20  Moved GPS III-3 to January 2020
August 5  Added 3 SSO rideshares from SpaceX
July 29  Removed Orbit Beyond
July 9  Removed PT Scientists
July 8  Added IXPE in 2021
July 3  Added Space Norway in late 2022
June 28  Moved AFSPC-52 to Spring 2021, AFSPC-44 to Fall 2020
June 8  Added Bigelow Tourism flights.  Unclear if these are options or firm contracts for up to 4 flights NET 2020.
May 31  Adding several lunar landers that may or may not have the contracts/funding in place yet: PTScientists, CLPS: Orbit Beyond, CLPS: Intuitive Machines.  I can always remove them later if they fall through.  Not sure if the CLPS missions will be solo payloads or rideshares, and if they would be primary payload on rideshares.
May 23  Added ANASIS-II NET Nov. 2019
May 11  Moved DART from 2021-06 to 2021-07
Apr 11  Adding DART
Mar 6  Moved STP-2 to April, CRS-19 to December.  Added Starlink Flight 1.
Feb 19  Adding NROL-85, NROL-87, AFSPC-44
Feb 8  Moved Viasat 3 to NET 2021.  Moved SARah 1 to late 2020.  Moved SARah 2/3 to 2021.
Jan 13  Moved Nusantara Satu from Feb. 13 to Feb. 17
Jan 2  Moved JCSAT-18/Kacific-1 from H2 to Q3 of 2019
Dec 15  Moved SAOCOM-1B to end of 2019 (NET)
Dec 7  Removing GiSat-1


All comments and updates are welcomed!  Thank you to all contributors!

[gongora]

SAT-MOD-20191217-00148

Planet Labs Inc. (“Planet”) respectfully requests authority to modify the authorization for
Planet’s SkySat Earth Exploration Satellite Service (“EESS”) system (FCC Call Sign S2862).

Specifically, Planet requests authority to:
● Modify the authorized orbital location for the SkySat-16 to SkySat-21 satellites to include
the inclination range 40° – 60° in addition to the currently authorized inclination range of
97.0° – 97.9°; and
● Modify the operational orbital altitude for SkySat-3 to include 400 km.

...

SkySat-16 through SkySat-18 are intended to be launched as secondary payloads in April
2020 on a Falcon 9 launch vehicle, and SkySat-19 through SkySat-21 are intended to be
launched as secondary payloads in June 2020 on a subsequent Falcon 9 launch vehicle. The six
SkySats are expected to be deployed into a 190 km x 380 km elliptical orbit.

[almightycat]

This is definitely Starlink rideshare, right?

[gongora]

Yes.

[Alexphysics]

Looks like another Starlink launch for January. This is getting crazy. https://twitter.com/sciguyspace/status/1207795226649206786

[smoliarm]

Here is how this crazy interesting year would look like on the graph - attached is updated launch schedule chart for Q4 2019 - Q3 2020.

Regular disclaimer:
*** most of the "dates" are wild guesses;
*** even the launch order some time is just a guess too;
*** predictions are NOT the goal of this graph, no predicting attempts whatsoever;
*** the purpose is to visualize launch cadence and look for possible range schedule conflicts.

It is likely I missed some schedule updates, so corrections are welcome.
Particularly, any info on pad assignments (SLC-40 vs LC-39A) is greatly appreciated.

Anyway, 2020 looks like busy year for SpaceX and ULA
Good luck to both teams !!

[smoliarm]

SpaceX placed bid to launch third Turkish satellite, Turksat 6A (Turkey's first domestic-built satellite):

SPACEX IN BID TO LAUNCH FIRST TURKISH-BUILT SATELLITE

Türksat General Manager Şen also emphasized that ... SpaceX is a candidate to launch Turkey's first nationally-built satellite. He noted that the Turkish satellite operator currently has two missions to launch satellites with SpaceX, with the 5A satellite planning to be launched next year.

https://www.dailysabah.com/technology/2019/05/09/new-generation-satellite-turksat-5a-to-be-in-orbit-in-q2-of-2020

Also, the article says on launch of Turksat 5A:

The Türksat 5A will be launched from the launch pad in Florida, the U.S., in the second quarter of 2020 if everything goes as planned, Türksat General Manager Cenk Şen said on the sidelines of the 2019 Satellite Conference in Washington.

[FutureSpaceTourist]

https://twitter.com/spaceflightnow/status/1208422531033686016

SpaceX teams across the United States are readying for what the company’s chief operating officer predicts will be a record number of launches in 2020.

The first two of up to 38 SpaceX launches next year are scheduled for Jan. 3 and Jan. 11.

FULL STORY: spaceflightnow.com/2019/12/20/spa…

Article quotes Gwynne:

“I think in 2020 we’ll do more, and that’s because of Starlink,” she said in a roundtable discussion with reporters earlier this month. “I think we will have 14 or 15 non-Starlink launches, and then we’ll fly Starlink as often as we can.

“I need second stages to be built a little bit faster, but we would probably shoot for 35 to 38 missions next year,” Shotwell said.

[catdlr]

Launch Alert
4:58 PM Dec 22, 2019


                             LAUNCH ALERT

                              Brian Webb
                  [email protected]
                        www.spacearchive.info


                               2019 December 22 (Sunday) 16:41 PST
----------------------------------------------------------------------

                   VANDENBERG AFB LAUNCH SCHEDULE

         All launch dates and times are subject to change.

                     Launch
                   Time/Window
  Date              (PST/PDT)               Vehicle          Pad/Silo
--------        -----------------        -------------       --------

MAR             Unknown                  Falcon 9            SLC-4E
Vehicle will launch the SmallSat Rideshare Mission 1

OCT             Unknown                  Falcon 9            SLC-4E
Vehicle will launch the SmallSat Rideshare Mission 9

NOV             Unknown                  Falcon 9            SLC-4E
Vehicle will launch the Sentinel 6A (Jason-CS) satellite

DEC             Unknown                  Falcon 9            SLC-4E
Vehicle will launch the SmallSat Rideshare Mission 11


The above schedule is a composite of unclassified information
approved for public release from government, industry, and other
sources. It represents the Editor's best effort to produce a schedule,
but may disagree with other sources. Details on military launches are
withheld until they are approved for public release. For official
information regarding Vandenberg AFB activities, go to
http://www.vandenberg.af.mil
.

All launch dates and times are given in Pacific Time using a 24-hour
format similar to military time (midnight = 00:00, 1:00 p.m. = 13:00,
11:00 p.m. = 23:00, etc.).

The dates and times in this schedule may not agree with those on other
online launch schedules, including the official Vandenberg AFB
schedule because different sources were used, the information was
interpreted differently, and the schedules were updated at different
times.

NET: No earlier than

TBD: To be determined

PDT: Pacific Daylight Time

PST: Pacific Standard Time

SLC: Space Launch Complex

----------------------------------------------------------------------


Copyright 2019, Brian Webb. All rights reserved. No portion of this
newsletter may be used without identifying Launch Alert as the
source and providing a functioning hyperlink or text that point to

[scr00chy]

Pretty sure there won't be an F9 launch from VAFB in March. That rideshare will fly with SAOCOM 1B from Florida.

[Zed_Noir]

Pretty sure there won't be an F9 launch from VAFB in March. That rideshare will fly with SAOCOM 1B from Florida.

Really don't see SX reactivating their pad at VAFB for a few weeks in March than shut it down until October. Better to reactivated when there is at least a launch every 6 weeks or so at the end of 2020.

[Chris Bergin]

Right then! 2020 preview from Michael Baylor:

https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2019/12/spacex-record-breaking-2020-manifest/

Starlink gets a mention or two

https://twitter.com/NASASpaceflight/status/1210685615873961984

[smoliarm]

here is a snapshot for launch year 2019
and
somewhat updated but still speculative launch schedule for 2020 (Holiday Edition)

Happy New Year!