Author Topic: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011  (Read 122572 times)

Offline NotGncDude

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #180 on: 12/26/2011 06:51 pm »
third stage engine anomaly, more likely burnout and explosion with LOX tank rupture can be seen in this video


Where did the "exploded" bit come from? Burn through is bad enough as it is, but it does not necessarily follow by an explosion.

Oh wait, it's ~2200 psi chamber pressure. Yeah I could see that being a pretty energetic burn through.

(here's a burn through at low pc)
« Last Edit: 12/26/2011 07:04 pm by input~2 »

Offline pm1823

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #181 on: 12/26/2011 07:37 pm »
If both lines were lowering its pressure, it seems very unlikely that it was a pipe blockage problem.

in theory
1. malfunction of helium pressurization system -> low inlet pressure -> bad working lower bound mode -> more chances for cavitations and instabilities -> ???? ->thrust drop -> emergency shutdown.
2. pressure drop in Ker line before injector head of chamber -> leak ->???? ->thrust drop -> emergency shutdown.
« Last Edit: 12/26/2011 07:52 pm by pm1823 »

Offline pargoo

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #182 on: 12/26/2011 09:41 pm »
     Does anybody have a decent launch pic?  I don't recollect ever seeing one for any Meridian mission, not that there have been that many.  I realize the shroud will only have the generic 'Plestetsk' logo, but it would still be a bit of a collectible.

Offline robertross

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #183 on: 12/27/2011 01:00 pm »
If both lines were lowering its pressure, it seems very unlikely that it was a pipe blockage problem.

in theory
1. malfunction of helium pressurization system -> low inlet pressure -> bad working lower bound mode -> more chances for cavitations and instabilities -> ???? ->thrust drop -> emergency shutdown.
2. pressure drop in Ker line before injector head of chamber -> leak ->???? ->thrust drop -> emergency shutdown.


An issue with the Helium Pressurization system seemed very likely when the comment was made on both LOX & Kerosene inlet pressures dropping. But of course if they knew that issue, they could have immediately said there was an issue with low He pressure, which they didn't (strangely enough).

So would there be pressure monitoring of both the Helium bottle/tank AND downstream of the pressure regulator? If the regulator locked up, or a filter screen plugged, it could have affected the propellant pressures.

Offline Nicolas PILLET

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Offline Antares

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #185 on: 12/28/2011 04:21 am »
So pressurization problem implies not unique to one chamber, i.e. it puts Reply #174 farther down the fault cascade than it would be if the problem were isolated to one chamber.
If I like something on NSF, it's probably because I know it to be accurate.  Every once in a while, it's just something I agree with.  Facts generally receive the former.

Offline input~2

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #186 on: 12/28/2011 08:17 am »
Another picture of a debris
(source in Chinese)

Offline litton4

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #187 on: 12/28/2011 12:17 pm »
Spectacular footage of the Meridian launch as seen from the cockpit of a Russian airplane :

This appears to show the shutdown of the third stage engine (about 1m25s into the clip).


If so, the stage looks rock stable until the shutdown (no spinning, etc.).

An interesting view of the launch.  It looks to be directly downrange on the flight azimuth!

 - Ed Kyle

Just saw this.

Could the "cutoff" simply be the vehicle passing across the terminator?

Later images seem to show the plume being flattened off, as the terminator moves across it?

Just a thought

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Offline FinalFrontier

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #188 on: 12/28/2011 12:31 pm »
If both lines were lowering its pressure, it seems very unlikely that it was a pipe blockage problem.

in theory
1. malfunction of helium pressurization system -> low inlet pressure -> bad working lower bound mode -> more chances for cavitations and instabilities -> ???? ->thrust drop -> emergency shutdown.
2. pressure drop in Ker line before injector head of chamber -> leak ->???? ->thrust drop -> emergency shutdown.



Yea but the issue that it doesn't appear that it did shutdown. It kept running despite the issue (whatever that was) which ultimately resulted in one or more chambers exploding (or suffering burn through) as we sort of  can see in the videos and pictures.

At least that's how it appears.
« Last Edit: 12/28/2011 12:40 pm by FinalFrontier »
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Offline Danderman

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #189 on: 12/28/2011 05:35 pm »
With the successful launch of a Soyuz 2-1a, the pressure on ISS has been relaxed a bit.

Offline Namechange User

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #190 on: 12/28/2011 05:39 pm »
With the successful launch of a Soyuz 2-1a, the pressure on ISS has been relaxed a bit.

I disagree.  It is a systemic problem.  You have the Russians saying what they said about their workforce and their processes.  The fact that one made it, one did not, on top of an already rough year, etc just introduces an even greater uncertainty overall. 

Personally, I won't be sticking my head in the sand. 
Enjoying viewing the forum a little better now by filtering certain users.

Online Galactic Penguin SST

With the successful launch of a Soyuz 2-1a, the pressure on ISS has been relaxed a bit.

I disagree.  It is a systemic problem.  You have the Russians saying what they said about their workforce and their processes.  The fact that one made it, one did not, on top of an already rough year, etc just introduces an even greater uncertainty overall. 

Personally, I won't be sticking my head in the sand. 

Looks like Antares and OV are spot on.

http://www.novosti-kosmonavtiki.ru/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?p=861496#861496

Quote from:  NK forum member uzheStudent
It seems like the engine is not to blame. An abnormal function of the tank pressurization system is suspected.

http://www.novosti-kosmonavtiki.ru/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?p=861530#861530

Quote from:  NK forum member GRD
"How to explain abnormal pressure only in one chamber of the four by abnormal tank pressurization?"

"If you drive the turbopump in cavitation conditions, everything is possible."

"Pressurization was OK, but close to the lower margin. Pressure at the engine's feed was just 0.11 kgf/cm^2 more than the operating margin. This engine with old design of the inlet manifold, there were problems with that manifold's soldering. A firing test was failed once with this version. After that all engines in that run were scrutinized, and one got a chamber replaced. The manifold was redesigned after that test. Common sense's call was to cull away this engine, but CADB have given their clearance again, and everybody agreed with them due to number of reasons, and chief customers also signed it off."

http://www.novosti-kosmonavtiki.ru/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?p=861411#861411

Quote from:  NK forum member Ziplen
(commenting on Putin's opinion that quality checks should be more strict in the space industry)

I want to say that "it began when the space industry was transformed to self sufficiency and profit has become paramount". A design bureau can no longer plan any expenses for failed tests in its budget. No customer would ever agree to pay for such things. All difference should now be paid away from the profit of the bureau. And how much of that profit do we have? We have to pull the belt in on everything! At the same time, in addition to losses we suffer from accidents, we can "go negative" due to "nonfulfillment of a plan". Go try to disqualify any satellite/rocket/engine for your own expense, if you can't deny there's a sort of workaround for an issue.

When CPUs are produced, the percentage of culling is between 20% and 80%, and when it comes to rocketry, they demand 0% of rejected production and "triple nine" reliability...

They on top like to talk about quality, but they don't like to provide for the much desired quality and pay for it.
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Offline edkyle99

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #192 on: 12/29/2011 02:54 am »
Quote
They on top like to talk about quality, but they don't like to provide for the much desired quality and pay for it.

Reliability costs money, but let's not forget that Russia/Ukraine launch vehicles performed 31 successful orbital launches this year, 13 more than China, 14 more than the U.S., and 26 more than Europe.  Russia performed eight successful launches for ISS, even with its troubles this year.  One of its two launch centers, Baikonur, out-launched every other country in the world by itself in 2011. 

Russia still owns the most robust space launch infrastructure in the world.  It was pressed harder this year than it has been in awhile, partly for ISS.  Cracks showed at the edges, but it still got the job done. 

 - Ed Kyle
« Last Edit: 12/29/2011 02:58 am by edkyle99 »

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #193 on: 12/29/2011 05:27 am »
With the successful launch of a Soyuz 2-1a, the pressure on ISS has been relaxed a bit.
First time I read this, I thought you meant the LITERAL pressure!  :D I don't think they want even a slight decompression, there.

In all seriousness, until the first commercial crew vehicle docks at ISS, there will be pressure on Soyuz... It will be a linchpin until then (not that it won't be important afterward).
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Offline JWag

Has any official statement been released about the cause for this failure?

Offline anik

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #195 on: 01/24/2012 04:32 pm »
Has any official statement been released about the cause for this failure?

No, the commission will conclude its work till January 31st.

Offline Antares

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #196 on: 01/25/2012 06:11 am »
Quote from:  NK forum member Ziplen
(commenting on Putin's opinion that quality checks should be more strict in the space industry)

I want to say that "it began when the space industry was transformed to self sufficiency and profit has become paramount". A design bureau can no longer plan any expenses for failed tests in its budget. No customer would ever agree to pay for such things. All difference should now be paid away from the profit of the bureau
....

They on top like to talk about quality, but they don't like to provide for the much desired quality and pay for it.

Wow.  This is a fundamental ignorance of risk management in a profit environment.  Tell the Russian space apparatchiks to call the Russian oil apparatchiks (or oligarchs if they haven't all been imprisoned).  Some industries know how to do this.  Even the American commercial launch industry (once?) knew how to do it.
If I like something on NSF, it's probably because I know it to be accurate.  Every once in a while, it's just something I agree with.  Facts generally receive the former.

Online Galactic Penguin SST

So another "welding problem" from the young welder eh?  ::)

http://www.lifenews.ru/news/80271

Google translation:

Quote
At the last stages of the investigation committee unanimously concluded that the cause of the fall, "Meridian" - the human factor.

The core committee included staff from the emergency investigation of the Academy named after Mozhaisky, 4th Central Research Institute for the Defense Ministry and other institutions head-space industry.

Experts Voronezh and Samara Space NGOs "Progress" is not included in the commission. They were admitted to the inquiry only as observers.

- A careful hearing by the commission members found that the satellite fell because of the disclosure of the combustion chamber, - the source of Life News Roskomose. - This was due to the imperfection of engine technology at the Voronezh factory. This type of engine was not invented so long ago, and have not considered spetsialistyk all possible extreme impacts.

In other words, when you start the climb and missile carrier revealed weld the combustion chamber. Because of this began to occur a loss of fuel, which caused the engine to stop already at a decent height.

Officially, the emergency commission completes its investigation on Monday. However, the organization has called the guilty - it's the Voronezh Mechanical Plant "Space". Specific perpetrators will not be named. The experts agreed that the fall of the satellite - the wines of the organization as a whole.

Recall at the Voronezh factory "Cosmos" made ​​liquid rocket engines RD-0110 RD-0210, RD-0211, RD 0212, RD-58.

Engines of this plant always considered the highest-quality and reliable in operation as long as in Russia, one after another did not happen five accidents during the launching.

Half an hour after the launch of "Meridian" has failed. The rocket, which was to bring the unit into the proper orbit, suddenly ceased to rise, had to retire when the third stage.

Run the "Meridian" was a failure for the same reason that had been lost four staff running up to it.

Astronomy & spaceflight geek penguin. In a relationship w/ Space Shuttle Discovery.

Online Galactic Penguin SST

A late bump here, but were there any "official statement" about the cause of the failure of the RD-0124 issued after the failure, given that its return-to-flight is now 3 days away? It's strange that I haven't seen one since the investigation has completed some time ago....
Astronomy & spaceflight geek penguin. In a relationship w/ Space Shuttle Discovery.

Offline Stan Black

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Re: FAILURE: Soyuz 2-1B - Meridian launch - December 23, 2011
« Reply #199 on: 03/08/2016 07:05 am »
Soyuz-2.1b ? All previous Meridian had been orbited by Soyuz-2.1a… Do you know the reason of he change ?

Rocket №78085168 was used to launch a GLONASS. There are contracts for fairings at the time for two Soyuz rockets for launch of GLONASS out of Baikonur; and a GLONASS-K flying with two GLONASS-M on a Proton rocket. That was before the switch to the current plan of launches out of Plesetsk.  It suggests that rocket №78075164 used for this Meridian, was also part of that original plan?

http://www.zakupkiold.gov.ru/Tender/ViewPurchase.aspx?PurchaseId=439504
http://sudact.ru/arbitral/doc/J3XZLnhhm4dh/
« Last Edit: 03/08/2016 01:07 pm by Stan Black »

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