Quote from: Chrochne on 05/02/2016 08:46 amI do not understand so much optimism (from critics) here after the chinese new negative results....Scientists are interested in finding the truth about Nature. As such people involved in R&D understand that nullification of prior wrong results is something to be happy about, as it clears the fog of ignorance. A researcher explores several roads to a possible destination. When a discovery shows that one is in the wrong road, that is something to be celebrated. It would be foolish to persist on the wrong road leading to a precipice. The sooner that one returns to the correct road the better.Quote from: Chrochne on 05/02/2016 08:46 amI do not understand so much optimism (from critics) ...I at least hope they will end with their harsh language towards the people that try...I have not used name calling towards people, I only address the technical issues. Look at your own writing: you are the one referring to people that are optimistic upon seeing Yang's latest result as "critics". You don't need to use names to refer to people that embrace Yang's new results, but if you want to use a word, you should lead by example: you could refer to them as "scientists", or "objective people", or"people that seek the truth in Nature" instead of calling them "critics".
I do not understand so much optimism (from critics) here after the chinese new negative results....
I do not understand so much optimism (from critics) ...I at least hope they will end with their harsh language towards the people that try...
Dear NSF forum:Just to stick my oar in briefly: this is just to point out that the new Chinese data are consistent with MiHsC. Assuming these values: P=220W, Q=1531 (as in your wiki table) and cavity dimensions as before, MiHsC predicts 0.28 mN of thrust. Their sensitivity was quoted as 3 mN so this is below detection threshold.Regards, Mike
Quote from: MikeMcCulloch on 05/02/2016 08:26 amDear NSF forum:Just to stick my oar in briefly: this is just to point out that the new Chinese data are consistent with MiHsC. Assuming these values: P=220W, Q=1531 (as in your wiki table) and cavity dimensions as before, MiHsC predicts 0.28 mN of thrust. Their sensitivity was quoted as 3 mN so this is below detection threshold.Regards, MikeThank you for posting this I would appreciate it if you would refresh my mind, since I sincerely forgot. I just quickly went over your latest article featured in MIT's Technology Review, and I don't see the name of the experimenters in the table (just letters) but I did not see a Q=1,500.Does this mean that you had previously not considered any of Yang's results to compare with your theoretical predictions?Or did you previously include Yang's previous results, with Yang claiming 1 mN/kW and were you showing in your table that your theory was off by orders of magnitude from predicting Yang's previous results?Concerning the dimensions and the Q you are using to arrive at these estimates, please observe:1) the dimensions you are using were estimated by me after a lot of work, going over Yang's prior papers, her tables and equations, and using my exact solution for the mode shapes in the truncated cone. My estimated dimensions were heavily criticized: at one point early in time a DIY builder made a truncated cone with very different dimensions based on early estimates that I considered to be very wrong. There was a lot of controversy regarding the cone angle. I don't think I ever got much acceptance on my dimensional estimates. However I put those dimensions on the table because my assessment was that the dimensions that others were arguing for had a much weaker basis, and my estimate had a much stronger basis. People arguing for other dimensions did not perform any mode shape calculations nor were they addressing the proper equations governing mode shape and frequency for a truncated cone.2) similarly there was a lot of controversy on what was the quality of resonance Q in Yang's experiments. I was the one that insisted on using Q=1531, because this was the only experimental value shown in her prior report. Several people (including TheTraveller) did not approve this estimate: they thought that Yang's Q must have been closer to 100,000 than to 1,500. In her latest results (2016) Yang provides no quality of resonance Q information.
Quote from: MikeMcCulloch on 05/02/2016 08:26 amDear NSF forum:Just to stick my oar in briefly: this is just to point out that the new Chinese data are consistent with MiHsC. Assuming these values: P=220W, Q=1531 (as in your wiki table) and cavity dimensions as before, MiHsC predicts 0.28 mN of thrust. Their sensitivity was quoted as 3 mN so this is below detection threshold.Regards, MikeHi Mike, Thank you for posting this I would appreciate it if you would refresh my mind, since I sincerely forgot. I just quickly went over your latest article featured in MIT's Technology Review, and I don't see the name of the experimenters in the table (just letters) but I did not see a Q=1,531. (See attachment below)http://arxiv.org/abs/1604.03449Does this mean that you had previously not considered any of Yang's results to compare with your theoretical predictions?Or did you previously include Yang's previous results, with Yang claiming 1 mN/kW and were you showing in your table that your theory was off by orders of magnitude from predicting Yang's previous results?Or had you compared your theory to Yang's results using a Q much larger than 1,531? If so what Q did you use in your comparisons and where did it come from?Concerning the dimensions and the Q you are using to arrive at these estimates, please observe:1) the dimensions you are using were estimated by me after a lot of work, going over Yang's prior papers, her tables and equations, and using my exact solution for the mode shapes in the truncated cone. My estimated dimensions were heavily criticized: at one point early in time a DIY builder made a truncated cone with very different dimensions based on early estimates that I considered to be very wrong. There was a lot of controversy regarding the cone angle. I don't think I ever got much acceptance on my dimensional estimates. However I put those dimensions on the table because my assessment was that the dimensions that others were arguing for had a much weaker basis, and my estimate had a much stronger basis. People arguing for other dimensions did not perform any mode shape calculations nor were they addressing the proper equations governing mode shape and frequency for a truncated cone.2) similarly there was a lot of controversy on what was the quality of resonance Q in Yang's experiments. I was the one that insisted on using Q=1531, because this was the only experimental value shown in her prior report. Several people (including TheTraveller) did not approve this estimate: they thought that Yang's Q must have been closer to 100,000 than to 1,531. They argued that the Q=1,531 was just one case and that it was not representative of the Q for her high thrust results. In her latest results (2016) Yang provides no quality of resonance Q information.Looking back over the fact that Yang used a connecting waveguide, just like Tajmar, I would not be surprised at Yang having a low Q because of overcoupling. However, please take into account that TheTraveller strongly objected to Q=1,531 and actually wrote that Yang was "very clever" in getting a very high Q closer to 100,000 and that "Roger was very clever" and that Yang was a loyal disciple of Roger that would not have such a low Q.
...On a blog last year I compared the Chinese results initially using a high Q in my calculations (32,000 - 50,000). My source on those values was NSF. Then, someone on the forum discovered that the Chinese were using a different definition of Q to all the other experiments and so their 'real' Q was unknown. So, I could not use the Chinese results for my paper (see my paper, 2nd paragraph).Regarding the new Chinese results I naturally went to the emdrive wiki table and found your estimate of Q (1531). Obviously, to be useful as a test, the new result's Q needs to be known. I'll email Dr Yang (I did last year too, but received no reply).
Indeed, using Q=1531, I would be unable to predict her now-falsified earlier result, but her results are now more in line with others and with MiHsC. I wonder why her results were so different before: an artifact? (I see you also suspect an artifact).
It was my first reaction as well, however once some of the papers content began to appear, I realized their experiment had set a very high goal...3 mN minimum reolution/accuracy and a little over 200 watts RF. This is far above other tests. My own test observations were about 0.1 mN at about 900 watts. Granted, it was with a low Q device, not tuned for perfect resonance.That being said, 3 mN is a robust force to measure at 220W. Wish their torsion wire test stand could resolve 100 μN, they might have observed something. Note per the emdrive.wiki page, they were claiming 160 and 170 mN last time. Probably why they felt 3 mN was sufficient to validate.
And at least one of them seems to be bad news (at least for people like me that would like if this was true). That is, Yang basically recanted her own previously astounding results.
Quote from: tchernik on 05/02/2016 03:35 pmAnd at least one of them seems to be bad news (at least for people like me that would like if this was true). That is, Yang basically recanted her own previously astounding results.Actually this is good news. As an outlier, Yang's results were always suspect. It's good that she has recanted. Does anyone else find it odd that no exact frustum dimensions are shared and there are zero real images of the build?
Quote from: MikeMcCulloch on 05/02/2016 02:49 pmIndeed, using Q=1531, I would be unable to predict her now-falsified earlier result, but her results are now more in line with others and with MiHsC. I wonder why her results were so different before: an artifact? (I see you also suspect an artifact).(snip)This is what it would take to verify EM Drive thrust (short of experimenting in space):1) Torsional pendulum2) Using power provided by batteries self-integrated in the moving platform3) Vacuum chamberTests that don't fulfill all 3 requirements above will just be adding to the noise that has been criticized by Prof. Baez, by Prof. Carroll and others.For the EM Drive to be accepted we need experimenters to address all 3 items above. (*)They have been known for a long time: radiation pressure has been a problem to measure (unless one uses vacuum chambers) since the 19th century. It has been known for 50 year of Aerospace R&D that micro-thrusters should be tested in torsional pendulums. The problems with Lorentz forces due to cables and thermal expansion, and conservation of energy for electromagnetic propellant-less thrusters have also been known for a long time.___________(*) Not a comment on DIY problems. I am only interested in the subject of this thread EM Drive Developments - related to space flight application. I am only interested on whether the EM Drive can be used for spaceflight applications. To address spaceflight applications all 3 considerations need to be met.
Quote from: Rodal on 05/02/2016 03:02 pmQuote from: MikeMcCulloch on 05/02/2016 02:49 pmIndeed, using Q=1531, I would be unable to predict her now-falsified earlier result, but her results are now more in line with others and with MiHsC. I wonder why her results were so different before: an artifact? (I see you also suspect an artifact).(snip)This is what it would take to verify EM Drive thrust (short of experimenting in space):1) Torsional pendulum2) Using power provided by batteries self-integrated in the moving platform3) Vacuum chamberTests that don't fulfill all 3 requirements above will just be adding to the noise that has been criticized by Prof. Baez, by Prof. Carroll and others.For the EM Drive to be accepted we need experimenters to address all 3 items above. (*)They have been known for a long time: radiation pressure has been a problem to measure (unless one uses vacuum chambers) since the 19th century. It has been known for 50 year of Aerospace R&D that micro-thrusters should be tested in torsional pendulums. The problems with Lorentz forces due to cables and thermal expansion, and conservation of energy for electromagnetic propellant-less thrusters have also been known for a long time.___________(*) Not a comment on DIY problems. I am only interested in the subject of this thread EM Drive Developments - related to space flight application. I am only interested on whether the EM Drive can be used for spaceflight applications. To address spaceflight applications all 3 considerations need to be met.I think we need to clarify for our readership, that you are referring to Space Qualification testing, which is normally done only after other ground based tests are conducted.We are now in an early TRL stage, or proof of concept if you will. It is far too early to insist on S-Level testing, nor is it correct to infer that ground level testing is not relevant.No DIY nor few universities have S-Level capabilities, yet universities continue to design and test cubesats for S-Level qualification testing elsewhere.So all of what you mention is relevant for S-Level tests, not for observational or proof of concept testing.
Quote from: Rodal on 05/02/2016 03:02 pmQuote from: MikeMcCulloch on 05/02/2016 02:49 pmIndeed, using Q=1531, I would be unable to predict her now-falsified earlier result, but her results are now more in line with others and with MiHsC. I wonder why her results were so different before: an artifact? (I see you also suspect an artifact).(snip)This is what it would take to verify EM Drive thrust (short of experimenting in space):1) Torsional pendulum2) Using power provided by batteries self-integrated in the moving platform3) Vacuum chamberTests that don't fulfill all 3 requirements above will just be adding to the noise that has been criticized by Prof. Baez, by Prof. Carroll and others.For the EM Drive to be accepted we need experimenters to address all 3 items above. (*)They have been known for a long time: radiation pressure has been a problem to measure (unless one uses vacuum chambers) since the 19th century. It has been known for 50 year of Aerospace R&D that micro-thrusters should be tested in torsional pendulums. The problems with Lorentz forces due to cables and thermal expansion, and conservation of energy for electromagnetic propellant-less thrusters have also been known for a long time.___________(*) Not a comment on DIY problems. I am only interested in the subject of this thread EM Drive Developments - related to space flight application. I am only interested on whether the EM Drive can be used for spaceflight applications. To address spaceflight applications all 3 considerations need to be met.I think we need to clarify for our readership, that you are referring to Space Qualification testing, which is normally done only after other ground based tests are conducted.We are now in an early TRL stage, or proof of concept if you will. It is far too early to insist on S-Level testing, nor is it correct to infer that ground level testing is not relevant.No DIY nor few universities have S-Level capabilities, yet universities continue to design and test cubesats for S-Level qualification testing elsewhere.So all of what you mention is relevant for S-Level tests, not for observational or proof of concept testing.A good paper to help the readership understand the difference between Engineering Units and Spaceflight Units and some of the S-Level tests that labs do is here: http://digitalcommons.calpoly.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1491&context=thesesNot this one describes only shock & vibration testing. Chances are this is a powered test with umbilicals and not in a vacuum.
Quote from: rfmwguy on 05/02/2016 03:55 pmIt was my first reaction as well, however once some of the papers content began to appear, I realized their experiment had set a very high goal...3 mN minimum reolution/accuracy and a little over 200 watts RF. This is far above other tests. My own test observations were about 0.1 mN at about 900 watts. Granted, it was with a low Q device, not tuned for perfect resonance.That being said, 3 mN is a robust force to measure at 220W. Wish their torsion wire test stand could resolve 100 μN, they might have observed something. Note per the emdrive.wiki page, they were claiming 160 and 170 mN last time. Probably why they felt 3 mN was sufficient to validate.No, not 3 mN, please read their report and posts from TellMeAgain, look at what they measured in 20 tests with batteries, 0.7mN (80%) @ 220Watts = 3.18 mN/kW (the force is 0.7 mN (80%)!!!! ):As all readers can see from the plot, she actually measured less than 0.7 mN.You appear to me misinterpreting the meaning of her statistical analysis !!! .You are confusing measured force in an experiment with confidence estimates given uncertainty.
...I couldn't agree more Dave. Small shop testing has it's limits with testing, budgets and cannot be expected to do level testing in vacuum unless funded to be able to do so. All of the builders here have pushed their test beds and drive designs far past where we were even 6 months ago. Back to work for me.Shell
Quote from: Rodal on 05/02/2016 04:03 pmQuote from: rfmwguy on 05/02/2016 03:55 pmIt was my first reaction as well, however once some of the papers content began to appear, I realized their experiment had set a very high goal...3 mN minimum reolution/accuracy and a little over 200 watts RF. This is far above other tests. My own test observations were about 0.1 mN at about 900 watts. Granted, it was with a low Q device, not tuned for perfect resonance.That being said, 3 mN is a robust force to measure at 220W. Wish their torsion wire test stand could resolve 100 μN, they might have observed something. Note per the emdrive.wiki page, they were claiming 160 and 170 mN last time. Probably why they felt 3 mN was sufficient to validate.No, not 3 mN, please read their report and posts from TellMeAgain, look at what they measured in 20 tests with batteries, 0.7mN (80%) @ 220Watts = 3.18 mN/kW (the force is 0.7 mN (80%)!!!! ):As all readers can see from the plot, she actually measured less than 0.7 mN.You appear to me misinterpreting the meaning of her statistical analysis !!! .You are confusing measured force in an experiment with confidence estimates given uncertainty.It is to her credit that Yang has disclosed these new experiments. The 20 experimental results shown in the graph don't look to me like convincing argument for any force. I don't see a need for fitting a curve to these data. If all 20 force measurements are averaged the result is -74 microNewtons. If the outliers are thrown out first (any force measurement greater than .4 mN or less than -.4 mN) the average becomes -30 microNewtons. While these calculations are just estimates themselves they do show a trend approaching zero.