Poll

When will SpaceX launch IFT-4?

Before the end of April 2024
8 (3.9%)
May 2024
84 (41%)
June 2024
94 (45.9%)
3Q 2024
17 (8.3%)
4Q 2024 or later
0 (0%)
Never -- SpaceX gets permission from the FAA to proceed directly to operational flights w/o another test flight
0 (0%)
Never -- SpaceX doesn't fly another Starship/Superheavy
2 (1%)

Total Members Voted: 205

Voting closed: 03/21/2024 12:12 am


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Author Topic: SpaceX Starship IFT-4 : When will it launch?  (Read 42329 times)

Offline sdsds

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Re: SpaceX Starship IFT-4 : When will it launch?
« Reply #80 on: 06/06/2024 06:51 pm »
Quote from: sdsds on 03/16/2024 12:30 am
May 17, 2024. Or with 50% confidence, sometime between May 4, 2024 and Jun 8, 2024. Either way I went with 'May.'

Jun 6, 2024. Within the confidence interval but not the predicted month. Congrats to all those who pegged it in June!

Edit to add (in the wrong thread) Flight 5 predictions.

Aug 15, 2024. Or with 50% confidence, sometime between Aug 8, 2024 and Aug 21, 2024.

Once again based on totally fabricated assumptions and logic.
« Last Edit: 06/06/2024 07:12 pm by sdsds »
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Offline jongoff

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Re: SpaceX Starship IFT-4 : When will it launch?
« Reply #81 on: 06/07/2024 07:42 pm »
Should I create an #WenIFT-5 poll?
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Offline c4fusion

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Re: SpaceX Starship IFT-4 : When will it launch?
« Reply #82 on: 06/07/2024 09:23 pm »
Quote from: jongoff on 06/07/2024 07:42 pm
Should I create an #WenIFT-5 poll?

Yes please! But if you don’t mind, could you do it in 2 week chunks since this time it’s most likely even closer to next flight?

Btw was off by a month but don’t feel too bad about it since I believed it was closer to end of the month.
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