By far the biggest risk of something like that is to electronics. The radiation dose of 20-50mSv or so isn't lethal, but melting electronics, upon which Mars would be especially dependent on, very likely would be.
I agree. It depends on how the risk is perceived.Jiggens et al. (2014) observed that the largest known CME, the 1959 “Carrington event” was unusually fast and took 17.5 hrs to each Earth. While unshielded astronauts would receive over 1.2 Sv in such an event, those behind 40 g/cm2 of shielding would receive only 0.1 Sv. Mars surface values were not calculated, but would probably be about half this dose.Do you have modelled numbers for a Mars surface dose?Jiggens, P., Chavy-Macdonald, M. A., Santin, G., Menicucci, A., Evans, H., and Hilgers, A. 2014. The magnitude and effects of extreme solar particle events. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate 4, A20, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2014017.
Quote from: Robotbeat on 06/20/2023 01:06 amBy far the biggest risk of something like that is to electronics. The radiation dose of 20-50mSv or so isn't lethal, but melting electronics, upon which Mars would be especially dependent on, very likely would be.I'd agree that this might be a bigger concern.I'm not so sure that it would be a huge issue on Mars though. The amount of energetic particles on the Martian surface is pretty low compared to in space during energetic solar particle events. And it's nothing compared to the Van Allen belts and the radiation belts of Jupiter. Very much can be done through clever engineering. Machines can be designed for the environment, humans cannot.
Quote from: LMT on 06/20/2023 04:47 amQuote from: Yggdrasill on 06/16/2023 04:37 am...you could have seven Starship placed close to one another. Then fill the center Starship all the way with water. You now have six Starships where one side blocks radiation with a (up to) 9 meter deep water column, and the other Starships would also help. No, shielding is needed above, and hulls don't help.The radiation is omnidirectional, so having shielding in any direction helps reduce radiation.The most interesting thing I came across while researching is the fact that it helps even having water shielding *below* you. Merely being in the vicinity of water and other light materials helps, because there is less scattered secondary radiation. You can see this in the graphs at 24:30 in the video. The radiation up to around 40 km above the surface is affected by the the surface material. I could have mentioned it in the video, but placing your habitat on top of a glacier could help substantially!And the hulls did help in your source, by 10%. And six ~200 ton Starships would help more.Quote from: LMT on 06/20/2023 04:47 amNote persistent Martian doses, on and below the surface. Paris et al. 2019. 20 mSv / year is the longstanding target limit.1 2 3Refs.Paris, A.J., Davies, E.T., Tognetti, L. and Zahniser, C., 2019. Prospective Lava Tubes at Hellas Planitia. Journal of the Washington Academy of Sciences, 105(3), pp.13-36.
Quote from: Yggdrasill on 06/16/2023 04:37 am...you could have seven Starship placed close to one another. Then fill the center Starship all the way with water. You now have six Starships where one side blocks radiation with a (up to) 9 meter deep water column, and the other Starships would also help. No, shielding is needed above, and hulls don't help.
...you could have seven Starship placed close to one another. Then fill the center Starship all the way with water. You now have six Starships where one side blocks radiation with a (up to) 9 meter deep water column, and the other Starships would also help.
Note persistent Martian doses, on and below the surface. Paris et al. 2019. 20 mSv / year is the longstanding target limit.1 2 3Refs.Paris, A.J., Davies, E.T., Tognetti, L. and Zahniser, C., 2019. Prospective Lava Tubes at Hellas Planitia. Journal of the Washington Academy of Sciences, 105(3), pp.13-36.
Rules like 20 mSv are subject to revision.
Rad hardening is what you do, things like adding in discharge paths, error correction, picking one transistor class over another and so on.
Space-grade CPUs: How do you send more computing power into space?Figuring out radiation was a huge "turning point in the history of space electronics."Jacek Krywko - 11/11/2019
...See voyager I & II for early examples that REALLY work, decades of functionality has already been done, what you can't do it take a Laptop you bought from your local Tech-Store, well you can, but it might not last....
In the Voyager program, as mentioned earlier, radiation was originally not considered to be a problem. Subsequently, Pioneer Jupiter flybys indicated the presence of strong radiation belts [understatement of the year], which led to an intensive program to harden the existing Mariner design.
Quote from: Twark_Main on 06/16/2023 03:14 amQuote from: Yggdrasill on 06/15/2023 05:01 amif all the cliffs are unstable, you can just ensure that the habitat is set up outside the expected landslide path, for a bit lower shielding effect, but still some shielding, if the cliffs are within view.In low gravity and atmosphere, the landslides can travel tens of kilometers. So your setback distance has to be at least that far.Doing the trigonometry, I don't think you'll be able to achieve any meaningful level of shielding this way.The actively degrading cliffs we have seen on Mars to date have all been in polar areas with instability driven by sublimation of dry ice. This is not going to be a global problem. Cliff dwelling on Earth are all in areas of structural stability. Why should these not exist on Mars? We already know that landscape degradation is very slow in most places on Mars.Photos from Setenil (Spain), a town of several thousand inhabited for centuries.
Quote from: Yggdrasill on 06/15/2023 05:01 amif all the cliffs are unstable, you can just ensure that the habitat is set up outside the expected landslide path, for a bit lower shielding effect, but still some shielding, if the cliffs are within view.In low gravity and atmosphere, the landslides can travel tens of kilometers. So your setback distance has to be at least that far.Doing the trigonometry, I don't think you'll be able to achieve any meaningful level of shielding this way.The actively degrading cliffs we have seen on Mars to date have all been in polar areas with instability driven by sublimation of dry ice. This is not going to be a global problem.
if all the cliffs are unstable, you can just ensure that the habitat is set up outside the expected landslide path, for a bit lower shielding effect, but still some shielding, if the cliffs are within view.
The most interesting thing I came across while researching is the fact that it helps even having water shielding *below* you. Merely being in the vicinity of water and other light materials helps, because there is less scattered secondary radiation. You can see this in the graphs at 24:30 in the video. The radiation up to around 40 km above the surface is affected by the the surface material. I could have mentioned it in the video, but placing your habitat on top of a glacier could help substantially!
Quote from: Dalhousie on 06/20/2023 12:48 amI agree. It depends on how the risk is perceived.Jiggens et al. (2014) observed that the largest known CME, the 1959 “Carrington event” was unusually fast and took 17.5 hrs to each Earth. While unshielded astronauts would receive over 1.2 Sv in such an event, those behind 40 g/cm2 of shielding would receive only 0.1 Sv. Mars surface values were not calculated, but would probably be about half this dose.Do you have modelled numbers for a Mars surface dose?Jiggens, P., Chavy-Macdonald, M. A., Santin, G., Menicucci, A., Evans, H., and Hilgers, A. 2014. The magnitude and effects of extreme solar particle events. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate 4, A20, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2014017.Here: https://www.irpa.net/members/TS10a.2.pdfI did have it in the sources page at the end of the video, but it sort of ends up behind the suggested videos. For the future I guess I could use two slides, and leave the top half blank. Probably better. (Note that I don't use almost any figures directly from any source. I have made some assumptions of my own.)
Quote from: Yggdrasill on 06/20/2023 12:29 pmQuote from: Dalhousie on 06/20/2023 12:48 amI agree. It depends on how the risk is perceived.Jiggens et al. (2014) observed that the largest known CME, the 1959 “Carrington event” was unusually fast and took 17.5 hrs to each Earth. While unshielded astronauts would receive over 1.2 Sv in such an event, those behind 40 g/cm2 of shielding would receive only 0.1 Sv. Mars surface values were not calculated, but would probably be about half this dose.Do you have modelled numbers for a Mars surface dose?Jiggens, P., Chavy-Macdonald, M. A., Santin, G., Menicucci, A., Evans, H., and Hilgers, A. 2014. The magnitude and effects of extreme solar particle events. Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate 4, A20, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1051/swsc/2014017.Here: https://www.irpa.net/members/TS10a.2.pdfI did have it in the sources page at the end of the video, but it sort of ends up behind the suggested videos. For the future I guess I could use two slides, and leave the top half blank. Probably better. (Note that I don't use almost any figures directly from any source. I have made some assumptions of my own.)Most helpful, thank you. Unfortunately the full citation at the end of your video is covered by ads for additional videos. Could you give this please (via PM is OK).
Quote from: Yggdrasill on 06/20/2023 10:28 amThe most interesting thing I came across while researching is the fact that it helps even having water shielding *below* you. Merely being in the vicinity of water and other light materials helps, because there is less scattered secondary radiation. You can see this in the graphs at 24:30 in the video. The radiation up to around 40 km above the surface is affected by the the surface material. I could have mentioned it in the video, but placing your habitat on top of a glacier could help substantially!Yes, when I read the (excellent) paper that graph comes from, I immediately though of paving Mars roads with polyethylene-stabilized regolith "concrete." Binder and extra shielding for vehicles driving on top!
The numbers tell a different story.Site elevation, not water content, has the main surface effect. Down on Hellas Planitia, annual surface dose is ~ 125 mSv/yr. 1 2Compare with "icy" Arabia Terra, higher up, Fig. 6. What do we see?Even on Hellas Planitia, overhead shielding would be paramount. -- How deep are lava tubes, btw?
...we don't have the full picture of what we are actually measuring; effects from atmospheric shielding, or effects from water content.
Actually, when I look a bit closer at the source, I believe the data isn't usable for this purpose.In the way elevation data and radiation data has been merged, I believe we are mostly seeing the elevation data. (And yes, elevation is strongly correlated with elevation!) I believe the MARIE data is much lower resolution than the elevation data, maybe even to an extent that a very similar map could be produced by multiplying elevation data with a single value for the average radiation level. I would like to see a map of only the radiation measurements, not merged with elevation data, just to get an idea of what detail, if any, it is possible to discern. Though I haven't been able to find such a map. (Anyone know if such a map exists?)Another aspect is that most of the secondary radiation generated by GCRs striking the surface wouldn't reach MARIE. The atmospheric shielding attenuates the secondary radiation to almost nothing, as can be seen in figure 6. At an altitude of 80 km, the difference in radiation is only 12%, while on the surface, the difference is around 45%. Measuring a small variation with poor resolution would make it very difficult to distinguish any detail from noise.
My biggest concern is the idea that we *have to* live underground if we go to Mars. If it is treated as a necessity, it imposes huge restrictions on any mission going to Mars. As well as any future base or settlement.
I believe the MARIE data is much lower resolution than the elevation data... I would like to see a map of only the radiation measurements, not merged with elevation data, just to get an idea of what detail, if any, it is possible to discern. Though I haven't been able to find such a map. (Anyone know if such a map exists?)
MARIE was just measuring the isotropic radiation seen in orbit (MARIE wasn't even pointed at the surface), and not at a very high time resolution, so such a map wouldn't show much of anything. The maps you see are made by taking the average dose in orbit and modulating it with a model of atmospheric absorption.You can find the raw MARIE data here: https://pds-ppi.igpp.ucla.edu/search/?filter=ODMA&title=Mars%20Odyssey%20Data%20Holdings