Total Members Voted: 75
Voting closed: 05/31/2023 04:15 am
None: Project will be abandoned for smaller, more-manageable, less over-sized version.
How many Falcon 9 boosters count under this definition? My guess would be the same as whatever that is.
I was having a discussion with someone today, and he was arguing that artificial gravity research facilities were probably not worth doing, because at the current Raptor production rate, SpaceX would likely have 1000 Starships operational by the early 2030s, and have performed dozens if not hundreds of landings on the Moon by then. I'm not sure what to say about that other than that I admire his optimism. What do you think? How many Starship tail numbers will SpaceX have operating at the same time on Dec 31st 2030? For sake of this poll:1- If a Starship has been used expendably, it doesn't count. 2- Any Starships that have retired or crashed before 2030 don't count either.3- Only Starships that have flown at least once, and are still in flying condition, with plans to fly again, count for purposes of this poll. Thoughts?~Jon
Another take on the thread question. What type of "Operational Service" will Space X be able to offer a customer by the end of 2030. That term implies quite a lot.President Reagan gave the STS Orbiter Vehicles the Operational Service" stamp of approval following STS-4. Four STS test flights, all on the same vehicle OV-102 Columbia. They disabled the seats, dropped the pressure suits for a "shirt sleeve" environment, all following a crewed first powered flight test that was STS-1. Imagine a crew of 2 on the IFT we saw fly out of Texas?Also, being your OWN customer helps. But you still have to satisfy safety, environmental, government. Governmental vs. modern industry.andSTS being partially reusable whilst SS/SH's entire stack is designed for reuse. STS-1 launched April 1981 STS-4, the fourth test flight launched June 1982. STS-5 launched a satellite Nov 1982 and proved her operational reusability during the STS-6 mission. OV-099 Challenger launched and proved her operational reusability during STS-7 June 1983 again deploying satellites. Columbia next flew November 1983 for STS-9 with a largest to date, 6 man crew including John Young's last spaceflight. thus proving operational reusability So thats 2 OVs proving reusability or "Operational Service" during that timeframe. The question is, how much does that apply to SS/SH? SS isnt saddled to crew like STS was. Though both enjoy a robust Booster stage. lol I don't think there will be a huge amount of operational Starships, but they should exist by then surely. HLS is an operational Starship isn't it? My guess, less than 10.