It's all a theoretical question anyways. In the end the policy for this will be decided by US laws. While US legislation can be fairly dysfunctional, the probability that a majority of Senators or Representatives would be willing to put "I stopped Mars exploration" on their resumes is virtually nil.
Here's a thought. If they succeed, they could only stop the U.S. and possibly the E.U if a similar movement were to begin there. It is extremely unlikely there is a scenario where China would abandon their plans to send Taikonauts to the Moon and Mars. So, a situation that could be "bad" in protectionist eyes, (i.e., the U.S., whom they could influence, sends humans to Mars) could be "worse" if China sends humans to Mars (whom they cannot influence).From what I can see, a protectionist view that fails to find avenues for human exploration, comes down to the question of whether you want to have a voice or not. Trying to shut down folks who are probably already looking to handle exploration with great care and would work with you to examine all the issues is not looking like a good move to me.
Quote from: DigitalMan on 11/21/2020 05:08 amHere's a thought. If they succeed, they could only stop the U.S. and possibly the E.U if a similar movement were to begin there. It is extremely unlikely there is a scenario where China would abandon their plans to send Taikonauts to the Moon and Mars. So, a situation that could be "bad" in protectionist eyes, (i.e., the U.S., whom they could influence, sends humans to Mars) could be "worse" if China sends humans to Mars (whom they cannot influence).From what I can see, a protectionist view that fails to find avenues for human exploration, comes down to the question of whether you want to have a voice or not. Trying to shut down folks who are probably already looking to handle exploration with great care and would work with you to examine all the issues is not looking like a good move to me.China has much to gain by encouraging this sort of myopic agitprop.
Quote from: RotoSequence on 11/21/2020 05:29 amQuote from: DigitalMan on 11/21/2020 05:08 amHere's a thought. If they succeed, they could only stop the U.S. and possibly the E.U if a similar movement were to begin there. It is extremely unlikely there is a scenario where China would abandon their plans to send Taikonauts to the Moon and Mars. So, a situation that could be "bad" in protectionist eyes, (i.e., the U.S., whom they could influence, sends humans to Mars) could be "worse" if China sends humans to Mars (whom they cannot influence).From what I can see, a protectionist view that fails to find avenues for human exploration, comes down to the question of whether you want to have a voice or not. Trying to shut down folks who are probably already looking to handle exploration with great care and would work with you to examine all the issues is not looking like a good move to me.China has much to gain by encouraging this sort of myopic agitprop.Why don't you go into some detail then. I'm encouraging people to talk to each other, find ways to make it work.
Quote from: DigitalMan on 11/21/2020 05:35 amQuote from: RotoSequence on 11/21/2020 05:29 amQuote from: DigitalMan on 11/21/2020 05:08 amHere's a thought. If they succeed, they could only stop the U.S. and possibly the E.U if a similar movement were to begin there. It is extremely unlikely there is a scenario where China would abandon their plans to send Taikonauts to the Moon and Mars. So, a situation that could be "bad" in protectionist eyes, (i.e., the U.S., whom they could influence, sends humans to Mars) could be "worse" if China sends humans to Mars (whom they cannot influence).From what I can see, a protectionist view that fails to find avenues for human exploration, comes down to the question of whether you want to have a voice or not. Trying to shut down folks who are probably already looking to handle exploration with great care and would work with you to examine all the issues is not looking like a good move to me.China has much to gain by encouraging this sort of myopic agitprop.Why don't you go into some detail then. I'm encouraging people to talk to each other, find ways to make it work.China has every incentive to disingenuously support these “planetary protection” movements, thus delaying the current US led colonisation efforts and buying them time to catch up to US space dominance. Then they will have a more dominant hand to play once the inevitable scramble for resources is eventually unleashed.
I think it is inevitable that the Space Expansionists will have their way. Human civilization is built on colonization, exploitation and competition for resources. We don't really care what species we extinguish on the way. Humans are causing a mass extinction event right now Holecene extinction.Humans like to think we are clever, but ultimately we do the same thing as yeast : turn resources into biomass and waste. We use our "cleverness" to further the basic biological imperative: create more humans. And we are very good at that.Of course, we dress it up with ideas about religion or politics, and justify our actions by saying "we are the good guys, and we have to beat the bad guys". The vast majority of humans live in a delusional anthropocentric bubble, naturally any attempt to puncture the illusion provokes hostility.So carry on humans, colonize the galaxy, fill it with more humans. Everything else be damned. Yeast would do the same.
Quote from: su27k on 11/20/2020 03:56 amSeriously? Right of not only existing microbial life but future microbial life is not here to prevent colonization? How do you ensure the right of microbial life and keep Mars environment unchanged if you want to do colonization? I'd like to know.I agree with Zubrin here, this is absolutely an attempt to prevent humanity from leaving Earth all together and must be treated as such. Hopefully the decadal survey will crush this paper like a bug, I'll certainly be paying more attention to the survey meeting from now on, this is an existential threat not only to Mars colonization efforts but to humanity as a whole.They would take its existence into consideration, and ideally, try not to disrupt it as much as possible. That's really all they are talking about. They don't want the home of a microbal ecosystem to be strip-mined without its being studied first, and they argue that it's unethical to allow economic concerns to run rampant over scientific concerns. That's the entire point of the white paper. Zubrin is wrong, because his mindset is wrong. The argument that this dialogue is an "existential threat to Mars colonization" is wrong. Nobody is saying we should not establish colonies. Literally nowhere do they say we should not leave Earth. It is a strawman argument.
Seriously? Right of not only existing microbial life but future microbial life is not here to prevent colonization? How do you ensure the right of microbial life and keep Mars environment unchanged if you want to do colonization? I'd like to know.I agree with Zubrin here, this is absolutely an attempt to prevent humanity from leaving Earth all together and must be treated as such. Hopefully the decadal survey will crush this paper like a bug, I'll certainly be paying more attention to the survey meeting from now on, this is an existential threat not only to Mars colonization efforts but to humanity as a whole.
Since nobody seems to be actually reading this paper, here's some quotes:QuoteWe must actively work to prevent capitalist extraction on other worlds, respect and preserve their environmental systems, and acknowledge the sovereignty and interconnectivity of all life. The urgency of finding a second home on Mars in the shadow of looming environmental catastrophe on Earth is not only a questionable endeavor 2 but scientifically impossible with present technology, 3 and is often used as a justification for human exploration and to suggest that these ethical questions may be antiquated in the face of that reality.So yeah, your space habitat? Not going to happen because it needs "capitalist extraction on other worlds", which will be prevented. And "Nobody is saying we should not establish colonies"? What does the sentence "The urgency of finding a second home on Mars in the shadow of looming environmental catastrophe on Earth is not only a questionable endeavor 2 but scientifically impossible with present technology" looks like to you?
We must actively work to prevent capitalist extraction on other worlds, respect and preserve their environmental systems, and acknowledge the sovereignty and interconnectivity of all life. The urgency of finding a second home on Mars in the shadow of looming environmental catastrophe on Earth is not only a questionable endeavor 2 but scientifically impossible with present technology, 3 and is often used as a justification for human exploration and to suggest that these ethical questions may be antiquated in the face of that reality.
QuotePublic-Private Partnerships as a Colonial StructureSo yeah, no public-private partnership either because it's a colonial, we need to be anti-colonial so let's give cost-plus contracts to Boeing and LM, that's the way to go. Of course anybody with any knowledge about current state of space industry would realize by removing PPP this effectively kills any attempt at doing anything meaningful beyond LEOAlso I find it curious that this stands is exactly what Kendra Horn - the head of democrat controlled house space subcommittee - takes, coincidence? I think not.QuoteMoral Consideration of Extraterrestrial Microbial Life: There must be further discussion of what moral consideration microbial life on other worlds should have, beyond their scientific significance,as others have considered previously. 29 Considerations of “intelligence” or “non-intelligence” should not be used as the framework for this discussion. Not only do biological distinctions of intelligence have a racist history, they do not hold scientific merit.So we can't call microbes non-intelligent because it's racist, and if we treat microbes as intelligent then the treatment they receive can't just be "try not to disrupt it as much as possible", surely we'll have to treat them as equals, after all they're "intelligent" aliens, no?
Public-Private Partnerships as a Colonial Structure
Moral Consideration of Extraterrestrial Microbial Life: There must be further discussion of what moral consideration microbial life on other worlds should have, beyond their scientific significance,as others have considered previously. 29 Considerations of “intelligence” or “non-intelligence” should not be used as the framework for this discussion. Not only do biological distinctions of intelligence have a racist history, they do not hold scientific merit.
QuoteObligations to Potential Future Life: Even if there is no extant microbial life on Mars or beyond, we must consider the impacts of our actions on geologic timescales. A human presence on an astrobiologically significant world could disrupt evolutionary processes already in place. So basically we can't do anything in space, that asteroid you're trying to mine? Who knows what life form could evolve on it in 10 billion years. How do you prove to various government agencies and committees that there won't be life evolving on this asteroid until the end of the universe? Good luck with that, you think any investor is going to fund your mining expedition knowing you need to prove this?
Obligations to Potential Future Life: Even if there is no extant microbial life on Mars or beyond, we must consider the impacts of our actions on geologic timescales. A human presence on an astrobiologically significant world could disrupt evolutionary processes already in place.
QuotePreservation of Environments on Non-Habitable Worlds: Current plans for the Moon place in-situ resource utilization as a fundamental component of a long-term presence. Current policy does not adequately address questions relevant to preservation beyond sites of scientific value, and ignores questions of whether certain environments should be preserved for historical or environmental reasons, or even their intrinsic value. Aesthetics should also be considered."scientific concerns" you were saying? Nope, it goes way way beyond that, this is the ultimate NIMBY, again good luck getting anything done when you need to consider intrinsic aesthetics values of planetary bodies. Quote In addition, the Moon and other planetary bodies are sacred to some cultures. Is it possible for those beliefs to be respected if we engage in resource utilization on those worlds? Lunar exploration must be prepared to adjust its practices and plans if the answer is noSo yeah, that mining site on the Moon, you can't do it if some tribe says it's sacred ground for them.
Preservation of Environments on Non-Habitable Worlds: Current plans for the Moon place in-situ resource utilization as a fundamental component of a long-term presence. Current policy does not adequately address questions relevant to preservation beyond sites of scientific value, and ignores questions of whether certain environments should be preserved for historical or environmental reasons, or even their intrinsic value. Aesthetics should also be considered.
In addition, the Moon and other planetary bodies are sacred to some cultures. Is it possible for those beliefs to be respected if we engage in resource utilization on those worlds? Lunar exploration must be prepared to adjust its practices and plans if the answer is no
Quote from: Frogstar_Robot on 11/20/2020 04:54 pmSince practical colonization is still along way off, it's all a bit theoretical. But imagine we find a world that seems poised for life - it's similar to an early Earth, but has no signs of life at the microbe level. But we do detect areas with unusually high concentrations of organic compounds (perhaps in places analogous to hydrothermal vents). It may be in the process of creating life - which might take thousands or millions of years. Studying how life arises is one of the huge scientific questions. Would we reserve this new world to scientific research, or turn it over to colonists, or for exploitation by mining companies?In a more immediate timeframe, it would be interesting to see what happens if strong evidence for life is detected on Mars, or even evidence of past life. At the very least, we would want to carefully study the impact of introducing human activities into a potentially viable, independent ecosystem. It would be a shame, to put it mildly, to discover a second site of life outside the Earth, and then find we destroyed it with a careless human presence.If the Earth was in imminent threat of destruction, the balance might be different. Assuming we take care of the planet, it should be good for a few million years yet. We really don't need to rush to colonize other planets (or moons).Of course, planetary protection wouldn't apply to space based habitats, so expansion into space can still take place. We just need to be careful how we do it.This is a stupid argument, you can argue the same for places on Earth. If we remove humans from Australia or New Zealand, there may be new life forms arise from there too (in fact they already have some unique life forms), why don't we do that?Because we give human interests a far higher value than lower life forms, this is encoded in our laws and customs, this should be no different when it comes to other planets. We introduce human activities into potentially viable, independent ecosystem all the time here on Earth, nobody bats an eye about it.And one can very much argue human civilization on Earth is in imminent threat of destruction, I mean isn't this the argument behind climate change mitigation? You can't have it both ways (arguing there's no danger so we don't need to colonize, at the same time saying climate change is an existential threat). Besides, a Mars colony will take a long time to establish itself, we needed to start right now because if we wait until there is an imminent threat it would be way too late.And a space habitat doesn't get you out of this, since it needs resources, where do you get the material to build your space habitat? It has to come from planets or asteroids, then you're back to where you started, you need to change the environment on planets or asteroids (i.e. mining) in order to build your space habitat.Fundamentally, anything we do will change the environment, either on Earth or on other bodies in the solar system. The only way to preserve the environment is to do nothing, which is why Zubrin is correct when he says the goal of this paper is prevent us from leaving Earth all together.
Since practical colonization is still along way off, it's all a bit theoretical. But imagine we find a world that seems poised for life - it's similar to an early Earth, but has no signs of life at the microbe level. But we do detect areas with unusually high concentrations of organic compounds (perhaps in places analogous to hydrothermal vents). It may be in the process of creating life - which might take thousands or millions of years. Studying how life arises is one of the huge scientific questions. Would we reserve this new world to scientific research, or turn it over to colonists, or for exploitation by mining companies?In a more immediate timeframe, it would be interesting to see what happens if strong evidence for life is detected on Mars, or even evidence of past life. At the very least, we would want to carefully study the impact of introducing human activities into a potentially viable, independent ecosystem. It would be a shame, to put it mildly, to discover a second site of life outside the Earth, and then find we destroyed it with a careless human presence.If the Earth was in imminent threat of destruction, the balance might be different. Assuming we take care of the planet, it should be good for a few million years yet. We really don't need to rush to colonize other planets (or moons).Of course, planetary protection wouldn't apply to space based habitats, so expansion into space can still take place. We just need to be careful how we do it.
Preventing unrestrained capitalistic extraction of resources does not mean that there can be no extraction of resources. You are deliberately misconstruing what is said in the white paper.
Quote from: Frogstar_Robot on 11/21/2020 11:05 amI think it is inevitable that the Space Expansionists will have their way. Human civilization is built on colonization, exploitation and competition for resources. We don't really care what species we extinguish on the way. Humans are causing a mass extinction event right now Holecene extinction.Humans like to think we are clever, but ultimately we do the same thing as yeast : turn resources into biomass and waste. We use our "cleverness" to further the basic biological imperative: create more humans. And we are very good at that.Of course, we dress it up with ideas about religion or politics, and justify our actions by saying "we are the good guys, and we have to beat the bad guys". The vast majority of humans live in a delusional anthropocentric bubble, naturally any attempt to puncture the illusion provokes hostility.So carry on humans, colonize the galaxy, fill it with more humans. Everything else be damned. Yeast would do the same.To quote Robert Zubrin, your argument above can rightly be characterised as anti-human.
Quote from: whitelancer64 on 11/20/2020 04:22 pmQuote from: su27k on 11/20/2020 03:56 amSeriously? Right of not only existing microbial life but future microbial life is not here to prevent colonization? How do you ensure the right of microbial life and keep Mars environment unchanged if you want to do colonization? I'd like to know.I agree with Zubrin here, this is absolutely an attempt to prevent humanity from leaving Earth all together and must be treated as such. Hopefully the decadal survey will crush this paper like a bug, I'll certainly be paying more attention to the survey meeting from now on, this is an existential threat not only to Mars colonization efforts but to humanity as a whole.They would take its existence into consideration, and ideally, try not to disrupt it as much as possible. That's really all they are talking about. They don't want the home of a microbal ecosystem to be strip-mined without its being studied first, and they argue that it's unethical to allow economic concerns to run rampant over scientific concerns. That's the entire point of the white paper. Zubrin is wrong, because his mindset is wrong. The argument that this dialogue is an "existential threat to Mars colonization" is wrong. Nobody is saying we should not establish colonies. Literally nowhere do they say we should not leave Earth. It is a strawman argument.this is misleading statement. Zubrin is from 90s generation and had witnessed how "nobody" killed planetary efforts and how misleading "nowhere they said" rhetoric had killed killed human space exploration altogether.There is one important part "humanitarians" will never understand.Everything we use see and understand is the result of continuous and, I really want to put an emphasize at, not interrupted efforts. Nothing comes from nowhere and "zero sum" which is the basic axiom in all this BS is the fact only in the retards' minds.(History knows plenty of interrupted and consequently forgotten developments.)Spaceships over 50 years will be much better and reach "voyager" only if we start and continue non stop from now.
Quote from: whitelancer64 on 11/20/2020 04:22 pmQuote from: su27k on 11/20/2020 03:56 amSeriously? Right of not only existing microbial life but future microbial life is not here to prevent colonization? How do you ensure the right of microbial life and keep Mars environment unchanged if you want to do colonization? I'd like to know.I agree with Zubrin here, this is absolutely an attempt to prevent humanity from leaving Earth all together and must be treated as such. Hopefully the decadal survey will crush this paper like a bug, I'll certainly be paying more attention to the survey meeting from now on, this is an existential threat not only to Mars colonization efforts but to humanity as a whole.They would take its existence into consideration, and ideally, try not to disrupt it as much as possible. That's really all they are talking about. They don't want the home of a microbal ecosystem to be strip-mined without its being studied first, and they argue that it's unethical to allow economic concerns to run rampant over scientific concerns. That's the entire point of the white paper. Zubrin is wrong, because his mindset is wrong. The argument that this dialogue is an "existential threat to Mars colonization" is wrong. Nobody is saying we should not establish colonies. Literally nowhere do they say we should not leave Earth. It is a strawman argument.No, that is not at all what the paper is talking about, did you even read it? It goes well beyond scientific rationale for preserving microbes: QuoteMoral Consideration of Extraterrestrial Microbial Life: There must be further discussion of what moral consideration microbial life on other worlds should have, beyond their scientific significance, as others have considered previously.I mean just read the damn thing before you say we're wrong.
Moral Consideration of Extraterrestrial Microbial Life: There must be further discussion of what moral consideration microbial life on other worlds should have, beyond their scientific significance, as others have considered previously.
Quote from: whitelancer64 on 11/23/2020 03:11 pmPreventing unrestrained capitalistic extraction of resources does not mean that there can be no extraction of resources. You are deliberately misconstruing what is said in the white paper. No, you're the one deliberately obscuring the intent of the paper. These people are enemies of space exploration and want to completely restrict it the same way nuclear power was restricted into a practical impossibility.If you don't see this you're either complicit or delusional.
Quote from: su27k on 11/21/2020 01:52 amSince nobody seems to be actually reading this paper, here's some quotes:QuoteWe must actively work to prevent capitalist extraction on other worlds, respect and preserve their environmental systems, and acknowledge the sovereignty and interconnectivity of all life. The urgency of finding a second home on Mars in the shadow of looming environmental catastrophe on Earth is not only a questionable endeavor 2 but scientifically impossible with present technology, 3 and is often used as a justification for human exploration and to suggest that these ethical questions may be antiquated in the face of that reality.So yeah, your space habitat? Not going to happen because it needs "capitalist extraction on other worlds", which will be prevented. And "Nobody is saying we should not establish colonies"? What does the sentence "The urgency of finding a second home on Mars in the shadow of looming environmental catastrophe on Earth is not only a questionable endeavor 2 but scientifically impossible with present technology" looks like to you?Preventing unrestrained capitalistic extraction of resources does not mean that there can be no extraction of resources. You are deliberately misconstruing what is said in the white paper.
Similarly, they did not say we should not establish any colonies, only that in their opinion it's not possible with current technology.
QuoteQuoteMoral Consideration of Extraterrestrial Microbial Life: There must be further discussion of what moral consideration microbial life on other worlds should have, beyond their scientific significance,as others have considered previously. 29 Considerations of “intelligence” or “non-intelligence” should not be used as the framework for this discussion. Not only do biological distinctions of intelligence have a racist history, they do not hold scientific merit.So we can't call microbes non-intelligent because it's racist, and if we treat microbes as intelligent then the treatment they receive can't just be "try not to disrupt it as much as possible", surely we'll have to treat them as equals, after all they're "intelligent" aliens, no?You are misconstruing what is said, once again. The paper is saying that deciding whether or not life is "intelligent" as a criteria for whether or not it should be preserved is not a firm practice, as is evident from our past history, all we would need do is not consider the natives "intelligent" and then kill them off and exploit resources without restraint.
QuoteMoral Consideration of Extraterrestrial Microbial Life: There must be further discussion of what moral consideration microbial life on other worlds should have, beyond their scientific significance,as others have considered previously. 29 Considerations of “intelligence” or “non-intelligence” should not be used as the framework for this discussion. Not only do biological distinctions of intelligence have a racist history, they do not hold scientific merit.So we can't call microbes non-intelligent because it's racist, and if we treat microbes as intelligent then the treatment they receive can't just be "try not to disrupt it as much as possible", surely we'll have to treat them as equals, after all they're "intelligent" aliens, no?
QuoteQuoteObligations to Potential Future Life: Even if there is no extant microbial life on Mars or beyond, we must consider the impacts of our actions on geologic timescales. A human presence on an astrobiologically significant world could disrupt evolutionary processes already in place. So basically we can't do anything in space, that asteroid you're trying to mine? Who knows what life form could evolve on it in 10 billion years. How do you prove to various government agencies and committees that there won't be life evolving on this asteroid until the end of the universe? Good luck with that, you think any investor is going to fund your mining expedition knowing you need to prove this?Once again, no, that is not the conclusion. You are deliberately misrepresenting what is being said.
QuoteQuote In addition, the Moon and other planetary bodies are sacred to some cultures. Is it possible for those beliefs to be respected if we engage in resource utilization on those worlds? Lunar exploration must be prepared to adjust its practices and plans if the answer is noSo yeah, that mining site on the Moon, you can't do it if some tribe says it's sacred ground for them.Yet again, that's not what they are saying. Taking the beliefs of others into consideration does not mean that you cannot do anything. It means getting the people who hold those beliefs involved right away in the design process, working with them rather than against them.
Quote In addition, the Moon and other planetary bodies are sacred to some cultures. Is it possible for those beliefs to be respected if we engage in resource utilization on those worlds? Lunar exploration must be prepared to adjust its practices and plans if the answer is noSo yeah, that mining site on the Moon, you can't do it if some tribe says it's sacred ground for them.