In which case the North Koreans will be following the examples set by the Soviet Union, the United States, France, China, UK, India, Israel and Iran. Not bad company for the North Koreans to be with!!
According to unidentified U.S. intelligence officials, the Taepo Dong X is believedto be based on the former Soviet Navy SS-N-6 submarine launched ballistic missile thatNorth Korea may have possibly obtained from Russia between 1992 and 1998.According to this official, the Intelligence Community has “had hints of this for severalyears” but only within the last year were they able to confirm the Taepo Dong X’sexistence and its use of SS-N-6 technology to improve its range and accuracy.Officialsstated that there was no indication that the Russian government had sanctioned missilesales to the North Korean government in “at least five years.”An unnamed congressional source reportedly noted that the Russian Pacific Fleet, which deployed theSS-N-6,was“desperatelydisorganizedandunderfunded”duringtheperiodbetween1992and 1998, suggesting that North Korea might have obtained SS-N-6 technologyfrom theRussian Navy or the missile’s designer, the Makeyev Design Bureau, without theknowledge or approval of the Russian government.It is possible that North Korea developed another version of the Taepo Dong 2 withrelatively little advanced knowledge by U.S. intelligence agencies. The secretive natureof North Korea’s ballistic missile program is not without precedence - their August 1998Taepo Dong 1 launch came with little warning. If North Korea has developed a “TaepoDong X”, there are a number of factors that should be considered before assuming thatsome or all of the United States is now within range of this missile.Technical Considerations. The Taepo Dong 2, which most analysts believe isa two or three stage missile with clustered No Dong engines in the first stage and a NoDong second stage, has never been flight tested.Recent alleged intelligence reports are not clear if the Taepo Dong X consists of an untested Taepo Dong 2 mounted on top ofthe SS-N-6 or some other configuration. The SS-N-6, which entered service with theSoviet Navy in 1968, is assessed as having only a 3,000 km range
http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2009/03/113_40930.html NK Threatens War Over Satellite Shootdown
North Korea is currently being very feisty. Last week they implicitly threatened to shoot down commercial airliners flying through NK airspace, something they've allowed since the 90's, and which generated some useful revenue for them.It's hard to guess what they're thinking. And it's notable that Kim Jong Il has been very seldom in the news lately, although he did win their recent "election" with 100% of the vote.
It's not hard to guess what they're doing: it's called prelude to war. They are going hungry and need to deal with their soldiers: desperate measures.Their previous actions of flying a rocket over Japan are clearly provocations. This latest 'satellite launch' is clearly a cover for advanced ballistic missile development. They've also clearly developed nuclear weapons and tested them underground. No good will come of this.I doubt the DPRK has enough money to go around to fund a both a rocket program AND a satellite program. If we had seen them progressing towards a more benign program, we could dismiss all this, but I don't see it.
Plus there is that overwhelming retaliatory strike business that makes a nuke missile essentially useless in a military sense. Sleek and pretty, and perhaps a fair bully-threat to keep potential invaders at bay, but you can't ever use it. - Ed Kyle
1 and 2. stage drop off I would assume, but what about the fairing drop off?
The locations of the two "danger areas" suggest they're going to shoot it across Japan again.
Why the launch during daylight? More visability of the launch?
North Korea's can potentially expect a backup range safety system labeled "MIM-104C. Product of the USA" to activate.
Quote from: ostangenWhy the launch during daylight? More visability of the launch?Why not?
But then why not launch at night?
Quote from: iamlucky13 on 03/17/2009 08:39 amQuote from: ostangenWhy the launch during daylight? More visability of the launch?Why not?But then why not launch at night?
U.S. Navy ships capable of shooting down ballistic missiles are being moved to the Sea of Japan, a Navy spokesman said.The move came as North Korea was preparing for an expected rocket launch next month.Later Thursday, Japan announced it was ready to fire on the rocket if any part of it enters Japanese airspace.