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SpaceX Starship Program / Re: SpaceX/Elon Making 10,000 Starships a Year?
« Last post by Starship Trooper on Today at 07:57 pm »I was basing on 10x10, thinking there are already 5 concrete launch pads that we know of, they'll build some in CA sooner rather than later, so in the decade view, 10. Maybe slightly less, but definitely more than 5.The launch infrastructure can handle on the order of 100/day at absolute full tilt
Mostly agree with your comment other than the above, not sure where that number came from, and see many reasons to doubt it. In this decade I see 5 launch towers; SB x 2, KSC x3. Twenty launches per day per tower seems extremely unlikely.
Even assuming the towers are so robust they do not require any inspection or refurbishment between launches, the consumables flow seems impossible. Yes, air separation for LOX is to be done on site, yes, methane is to be piped in and condensed on site. But thousands of tonnes of each produced per hour? Not with any infrastructure plan yet revealed.
Heck, at 20 launches per tower per day, I imagine even keeping the water deluge system topped up would be a problem. Yes the water is recovered and recycled, but not 100%.
10 per day, one every 2.5 hours, for launch-catch-postFlight-stack-fuel... Mmmmaybe. This assumes independent catch towers and next ship ready to go and staged before the current ship launches.
Ok, building out Vandenberg would help. I still see the management of liquid methane supply to be most problematic for all 3 locations. Trucking it in is not sustainable for a very high launch cadence. Either you need to pipe in methane gas and condense it on site or cryo-pipe in liquid methane from the nearest LNG port or condensation plant. Getting either option permitted and built out at any of the locations would not be quick or easy.

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