Author Topic: Polaris Program (Dragon and Starship crewed missions led by Isaacman)  (Read 229666 times)

Offline Jim

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But with Isaacman as NASA administrator under a president who want to land Americans on Mars, he can just redirect NASA to help SpaceX instead.

no, he can't

Offline Jim

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  It's not unethical for the head of the FAA to fly on a Boeing airliner.  I think Polaris would happily fly on Blue Origin if they were flying.


not the same thing.  It would be an airline vs Boeing

Offline DistantTemple

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There may no longer be any reason for continuing Polaris Program. The program exists to help SpaceX developing technologies for their human Mars mission, this was necessary since NASA was not doing it. But with Isaacman as NASA administrator under a president who want to land Americans on Mars, he can just redirect NASA to help SpaceX instead.

Of course it's up to Isaacman, but that's part of the problem, he's going to be very busy leading NASA, I doubt he'll have time for Polaris. And even if he has time, it's ethically dubious for him to be the administrator of NASA while at the same time leading a private space program for one of NASA's contractors.

I don't agree that there is no more reason for Polaris.  I found the concept of private civilian astronauts to be very exciting.  That space is open to more people than just the professional astronaut class.  Fresh minds, fresh perspectives and feedback.  With Starship we need more civilians not fewer.  This should not be NASA only.  Dear Moon should still happen, doesn't have to be the same people.

Isaacman can take a leave of absence, hand off day to day operations.  And I don't think it's an ethical concern.  It's not unethical for the head of the FAA to fly on a Boeing airliner.  I think Polaris would happily fly on Blue Origin if they were flying.

Personally I think Isaacman should take a crew of 4 up to the ISS for a week while Administrator.  Not as a publicity stunt.  Take people to design the Starship interior, who need real world experience.  Or maybe they fly to the first orbital HLS demo to dock, go on board and try it out.
1) JA does not have to be on the flight. This is not self promotion, or an excuse for a thrill. I believe!
2) My pet idea about JA and these Polaris - etc - missions, that no one has really commented on, is that:
... JA is contemplating making a space business, somewhat like his Draken, but not fighter combat training! Instead compete astronaut training, including basic, and specialised roles.
WHEN Starship starts carrying astronauts, it will only be a year or two till a few hundred people fly in ONE YEAR, vastly exceeding the capacity of NASA facilities and personnel, and clearly far outside of their remit. No one else will be ready to capture the bulk of this market.
3) Therefore it is likely that Polaris will be only as JA says, delayed a bit. Maybe slightly refocussed, If I am right Polaris will fly additional potential future leaders, and instructors for his Astronauts International (or whatever). All 3 of his fellows on Polaris Dawn, fit this description.
4) These developments do not contradict his NASA Admin role.
We can always grow new new dendrites. Reach out and make connections and your world will burst with new insights. Then repose in consciousness.

Offline Norm38

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  It's not unethical for the head of the FAA to fly on a Boeing airliner.  I think Polaris would happily fly on Blue Origin if they were flying.

not the same thing.  It would be an airline vs Boeing

Okay, but it's not unethical for the head of the FAA to fly United after approving them for something, or for the CEO of United to fly on Boeing after placing an order for a hundred 777s.  And if this goes where it should then SpaceX is going to be the airline (spaceline?) and NASA won't be buying hardware.  It will be buying tickets and space in a cargo hold.  As a unique customer they can set requirements, and I sincerely hope Blue Origin catches up.
We need to get to the point where our NASA administrators can go tour our orbital facilities.  I do think we need hands on experience.

Offline thespacecow

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But with Isaacman as NASA administrator under a president who want to land Americans on Mars, he can just redirect NASA to help SpaceX instead.

no, he can't

Sure he can. No need to play with semantics, he can't just ask NASA to fund SpaceX directly, but he absolutely can make it happen with the right changes to programs and RFPs.

Online JSz

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I had a look at Jared Isaacman's Polaris Programme website (https://polarisprogram.com/) and I see that the information about the Solaris Programme consisting of three missions has disappeared! Previously there was yes, very briefly about the next two planned missions, but there was. Now nothing about these missions. Presumably this is linked to the latest appointment...

Offline John_Marshall

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I had a look at Jared Isaacman's Polaris Programme website (https://polarisprogram.com/) and I see that the information about the Solaris Programme consisting of three missions has disappeared! Previously there was yes, very briefly about the next two planned missions, but there was. Now nothing about these missions. Presumably this is linked to the latest appointment...

It's still visible for me, but I can't click on the "Launching soon" button.

Online JSz

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Indeed. Yesterday, the "Polaris Dawn" tab was displayed under the main address of the website. Today, the main page is back, with brief information about the other two missions of the programme.

Online JSz

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There may no longer be any reason for continuing Polaris Program. The program exists to help SpaceX developing technologies for their human Mars mission, this was necessary since NASA was not doing it. But with Isaacman as NASA administrator under a president who want to land Americans on Mars, he can just redirect NASA to help SpaceX instead.

Have there been any media reports since December 2024, preferably from Mr Issacman himself, about the future of his Polaris Programme? The last related statement was dated 11 December:

"The future of the Polaris program is a little bit of a question mark at the moment. It may wind up on hold for a moment." (source: https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=55803.msg2647864#msg2647864)

Offline Reynold

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My prediction is that unlike Elon, Jared does not court controversy, so he will put the Polaris missions on hold until after he is out of the NASA administrator position.  It just gives fewer options for problematic headlines to wait on those missions, and if his goal is to advance human spaceflight, he is about to have a lot more options than personally doing a mission. 

In support, he has given some interviews on how intensive the training was for the previous two missions he did.  I suspect he does not intend to be a "caretaker" NASA Administrator and just continue the status quo, so he will be QUITE busy figuring out where NASA should go from here.  I doubt he would have time for months of training on another Polaris mission while he is administrator, his time will be better spent running NASA. 

Offline KWC

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If he does indeed postpone Polaris until he is out of office (he really should, although a part of me thinks it would be super cool for the NASA administrator to go to space...) that does mean that if Elon's timeline is for real, there is no way on (off?) Earth that Polaris III will be the first crewed starship launch. Makes me wonder what they will do.
So this is how other people put stuff at the bottom of their posts!

Online yg1968

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Isaacman will ask for a refund for Polaris (for services that have not yet been rendered) if he is confirmed:

Elon Musk’s Space Business Partner Is Poised to Take Over NASA:
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/elon-musk-jared-isaacman-nasa-spacex-business-partner-1235301236/

Quote from: the Rolling Stone article
According to Isaacman’s financial disclosure, his agreement with SpaceX for his Polaris Program, his private spaceflight program, is worth more than $50 million. The agreement is for “space flight services & strategic agreements.” [..]

In his ethics agreement, Isaacman promised that he would terminate his company’s contracts with SpaceX, and said that SpaceX would send a refund for services that had not been completed yet — meaning that his company could receive millions from SpaceX if he is confirmed.

The article isn't great but it has links to a couple of interesting recent disclosures:
https://extapps2.oge.gov/201/Presiden.nsf/PAS+Index/5717A2DE21B47AE885258C4E002C7F98/%24FILE/Isaacman%2C%20Jared%20T.%20%20final278.pdf

https://extapps2.oge.gov/201/Presiden.nsf/PAS+Index/0658F247A947547785258C4E002C8D96/%24FILE/Isaacman%2C%20Jared%20T.%20%20finalEA.pdf
« Last Edit: 03/24/2025 08:37 pm by yg1968 »

Offline cpushack

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Quote
meaning that his company could receive millions from SpaceX if he is confirmed.

yah thats 'reporting' these days

No the company is going to get a refund, because the contract is being terminated.

Offline Cheapchips

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With the news of Isaacman losing the NASA administrator nomination, let's hope that the Polaris Program is back on the table.

Given the anti science hell that's now likely to descend on NASA, I'd put the chance of the Hubble servicing mission happening as unlikely.
« Last Edit: 05/31/2025 10:28 pm by Cheapchips »

Offline cpushack

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With the news of Isaacman losing the NASA administrator nomination, let's hope that the Polaris Program is back on the table.

Given the anti science hell that's now likely to descend on NASA, I'd put the chance of the Hubble servicing mission happening as unlikely.

It’s cheaper for NASA to donate it and let private industry run it, so it’s still possible

Online yg1968

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Isaacman’s bold plan for NASA: Nuclear ships, seven-crew Dragons, accelerated Artemis:
https://twitter.com/SciGuySpace/status/1933270056323944908

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