They'll be opening brew pubs on Mars before that certainty would budge... and then it would be to complain about the availability of Bud Light.
Quote from: AncientU on 01/02/2018 12:20 pmThey'll be opening brew pubs on Mars before that certainty would budge... and then it would be to complain about the availability of Bud Light.Many a successful business plan has been spoken in jest. Consider...Ingredients (water, Barley, Hops) untouched by any Earth pollution. Made by people who take pride in their work. On Mars, 10gals of home brew (and a pleasant evening of oblivion for the staff of "Musk Villas") . On Earth 66 pints of "Authentic, Made on Mars Micro Brew" at $200+* a pint. *Allowing for targeted shipping cost levels and a modest profit.
Quote from: Jim on 12/30/2017 09:31 pmQuote from: AncientU on 12/30/2017 09:19 pmQuote from: Jim on 12/30/2017 09:04 pmneitherFor one who is so certain about everything, that's a bit non-committal.Hang it out there, Jim.No, I am certain that neither of them will go to Mars in my lifetime.You were also certain that Obama would be one-term president.
Quote from: AncientU on 12/30/2017 09:19 pmQuote from: Jim on 12/30/2017 09:04 pmneitherFor one who is so certain about everything, that's a bit non-committal.Hang it out there, Jim.No, I am certain that neither of them will go to Mars in my lifetime.
Quote from: Jim on 12/30/2017 09:04 pmneitherFor one who is so certain about everything, that's a bit non-committal.Hang it out there, Jim.
neither
The result of Obama's second term was Trump.
The biggest risk is not taking any risk... In a world that changing really quickly, the only strategy that is guaranteed to fail is not taking risks.
Going back to the original post in this thread, which talked about the risks SpaceX took to achieve reusability, I kind of see it the opposite. Musk's analogy: It's like there's a pallet with $ millions in cash falling through the sky. Why wouldn't they try to catch that?
And now that SpaceX has shown it works, I think any company that isn't designing their next rocket for reusability is taking a huge risk.
But looking at SpaceX's business decisions in general, it's fair to say that they're very comfortable taking risks, and that's typical for this new group of billionaire entrepreneurs, as evidenced by Mark Zuckerberg's famous quote:Quote from: Mark ZuckerbergThe biggest risk is not taking any risk... In a world that changing really quickly, the only strategy that is guaranteed to fail is not taking risks.