Author Topic: New Rockets Time for First Launches  (Read 3465 times)

Offline spacenut

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New Rockets Time for First Launches
« on: 05/24/2017 05:54 pm »
When will the estimated time be for the first launches of the following rockets:

SLS
Mini-ITS
ITS
New Glenn

I know Falcon Heavy is sometime in the late summer or early fall if there are no more delays.

Offline envy887

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Re: New Rockets Time for First Launches
« Reply #1 on: 05/24/2017 06:04 pm »
When will the estimated time be for the first launches of the following rockets:

SLS
Mini-ITS
ITS
New Glenn

I know Falcon Heavy is sometime in the late summer or early fall if there are no more delays.

FH is NET "late summer". I think October is more likely.

SLS is sometime unspecified in 2019, I'd say likely Q3 or later.

New Glenn is also sometime 2019, IIRC that is just for test flights. I'm thinking 2020 is more likely.

"Mini-ITS" is a figment of the collective NSF imagination/wishful thinking.  IMO nothing ITS related will launch before Q3 2019. No full vehicle using ITS technology before late 2021.

The most recent date mentioned for ITS was 2020 in Elon time. Which is NET 2023 in real time.

Offline AncientU

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Re: New Rockets Time for First Launches
« Reply #2 on: 05/24/2017 06:08 pm »
When will the estimated time be for the first launches of the following rockets:

SLS
Mini-ITS
ITS
New Glenn

I know Falcon Heavy is sometime in the late summer or early fall if there are no more delays.

FH is NET "late summer". I think October is more likely.

SLS is sometime unspecified in 2019, I'd say likely Q3 or later.

New Glenn is also sometime 2019, IIRC that is just for test flights. I'm thinking 2020 is more likely.

"Mini-ITS" is a figment of the collective NSF imagination/wishful thinking.  IMO nothing ITS related will launch before Q3 2019. No full vehicle using ITS technology before late 2021.

The most recent date mentioned for ITS was 2020 in Elon time. Which is NET 2023 in real time.


FH NET October 2017
SLS NET November 2019
NG NET 2020 (guestimate)

Bolded: Don't be so certain...
« Last Edit: 05/24/2017 06:10 pm by AncientU »
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Offline spacenut

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Re: New Rockets Time for First Launches
« Reply #3 on: 05/24/2017 06:20 pm »
If and when they get all the costs involved, a Mini-ITS flying from the Cape at 39A or B at under 12 million lbs thrust would be a less costly option than a full blown ITS, and still get the job of going to Mars done.  Side benefits would be less costly launch of multiple satellites and/or things NASA wants to do in space.  Especially if Mini-ITS is fully reusable and can get at least 100 tons to LEO. 

Thanks for the time frames. 
« Last Edit: 05/24/2017 06:21 pm by spacenut »

Offline Lar

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Re: New Rockets Time for First Launches
« Reply #4 on: 05/25/2017 03:31 am »
It might be interesting to also speculate about the *last* launches of various launchers but that's a different thread.

(note: if something never launches it doesn't have a last launch by definition :) )
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Offline Dante80

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Re: New Rockets Time for First Launches
« Reply #5 on: 05/25/2017 11:08 am »
FH - Q1 2018
SLS - Q4 2019
NG - Q3 2020
Vulcan - Q4 2020
mITS - Q2 2022
ITS - 2027
« Last Edit: 05/25/2017 11:10 am by Dante80 »

Online Vahe231991

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Re: New Rockets Time for First Launches
« Reply #6 on: 02/07/2022 03:21 pm »
FH - Q1 2018
SLS - Q4 2019
NG - Q3 2020
Vulcan - Q4 2020
mITS - Q2 2022
ITS - 2027
The Falcon Heavy made its first flight on February 6, 2018. The first flight of the SLS is scheduled for this year, while the launch of the New Glenn is scheduled for Q4 2022. The ITS design evolved into the Big Falcon Rocket design in September 2017 before being renamed Starship in 2018, and the first flight of the Starship is planned for this year.

 

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