I have to wonder if the slow down in flight rate and time since the last flight are due to the major changes they've made in the BE-3.
My "thought process" is that if they were unhappy with the progress that was being made, they are not asset limited...and the assets would 1) either be committed to fix the progress issue that they were concerned with...or if the thought was that the assets committed were being spent badly causing the lack of progress...people would be going out the door and new people coming into it
They got their USAF contract which is one of the key goals I think thaat they had...no one is leaving (of any significance) and assets are constant...so...in my thought process since no change is happening...they are steady as she goes.
Quote from: TripleSeven on 11/28/2018 04:11 pmMy "thought process" is that if they were unhappy with the progress that was being made, they are not asset limited...and the assets would 1) either be committed to fix the progress issue that they were concerned with...or if the thought was that the assets committed were being spent badly causing the lack of progress...people would be going out the door and new people coming into itThey just lost a VP of Advanced Development, who was also their former President. That could be innocuous, or it could be a sign.What are the "assets" you are alluding to, and in what way are you thinking they are not "asset limited"?QuoteThey got their USAF contract which is one of the key goals I think thaat they had...no one is leaving (of any significance) and assets are constant...so...in my thought process since no change is happening...they are steady as she goes.See above. Though not bringing on enough people could be a problem too. Do they have enough people to execute their current programs?
First - BO and JB are clearly not where they want to be. They have goals, they want to reach them. This is where they want to be, not here.Second - BO and JB are two separate things. JB has Amazon stock. Value of this stock seems unlimited as for aerospace development founds. But we should be aware that Amazon stock is not asset of BO and JB wealth is not asset of BO. BO has clearly limited assets - as much as Bezos is willing to invest give them.So we can argue that:1 - JB isn't committed enough, he should support BO with bigger amount of money2 - BO isn't spending money effectively and effects compared to "invested"[1] capital are not satisfying.3 - BO is trying to pull of too many things at once, or we have not enough knowledge to judge things...I would also mention that their suborbital rocket is human rated, if it was not, then it would probably be flying long time ago.[1] - it's not real investment since there clearly is no wish to get money returned in profits
Another possiblity, the one I believe is that 4) BO is proceeding at or faster than the pace they want to go and Jeff B. Is ok with that...
Another possiblity, the one I believe is that 4) BO is proceeding at or faster than the pace they want to go and Jeff B. Is ok with that.
Quote from: TripleSeven on 11/29/2018 09:48 amAnother possiblity, the one I believe is that 4) BO is proceeding at or faster than the pace they want to go and Jeff B. Is ok with that. In 2010 Blue said they would be flying people on NS in 2012. If they're going as fast as they want go, then how fast they want to go has been steadily slipping.
Quote from: Kryten on 11/29/2018 08:05 pmQuote from: TripleSeven on 11/29/2018 09:48 amAnother possiblity, the one I believe is that 4) BO is proceeding at or faster than the pace they want to go and Jeff B. Is ok with that. In 2010 Blue said they would be flying people on NS in 2012. If they're going as fast as they want go, then how fast they want to go has been steadily slipping.That's the question I've been asking all these weeks.Why has Blue Origin been putting off on their goals for so long (such as flying people aboard New Shepard or the inaugural New Glenn flight)?
Quote from: ZachS09 on 11/29/2018 08:25 pmQuote from: Kryten on 11/29/2018 08:05 pmQuote from: TripleSeven on 11/29/2018 09:48 amAnother possiblity, the one I believe is that 4) BO is proceeding at or faster than the pace they want to go and Jeff B. Is ok with that. In 2010 Blue said they would be flying people on NS in 2012. If they're going as fast as they want go, then how fast they want to go has been steadily slipping.That's the question I've been asking all these weeks.Why has Blue Origin been putting off on their goals for so long (such as flying people aboard New Shepard or the inaugural New Glenn flight)?Why has NASA been putting off their legally-mandated requirements to fly people on SLS/Orion by 2016? How about SpaceX and Boeing in Commercial Crew? How about Virgin Galactic and SS2?Flying people to space is hard. It takes lots of money and lots of time, and you can't easily substitute one for the other. And even when you do get where you want to be, it doesn't always work right, as a couple astronauts found out a few weeks ago.
I think this is well understood and accepted by almost everyone. I think the point is that it doesn't square with "proceeding at or faster than the pace they want to go."
Apparently the window starts tomorrow for the next New Shepard launch. Is this one going to be crewed? Or at least with the same capsule they’ll put people in?
Blue Origin @blueorigin We are targeting the next launch of #NewShepard tomorrow at 8:30 am CST / 14:30 UTC. Mission will take a cabin full of @NASA-sponsored payloads into space. Follow the launch live at http://www.BlueOrigin.com and check out the payloads flying with us http://bit.ly/2QD1KSS #NS10