I did read there first proposal, and it did break physics (not even talking about there business case). Hope this times they spend more time in the question of can it actually work, than they did before.Until someone serious tells me, he checked there numbers, I will not even have a look.
They proposed to use space mirrors to enlighten solar cells on earth to prolong production time, and wanted to be paid for it. Taking the size of the mirrors, the size of the ground target, and the radiation expansion there was no way that this would produce any meaningful energy.
I think it's the requirement of the thread to show maths to how it would be possible. An answer to my earlier comment would be a start.
Transfer to Mercury:With this Ac, the transfer from Earth to Mercury (with no C3 from launch) takes 7 years, plus 180 days to move into orbit (Fig. 3). This does not include the use of any planet flybys.
Quote from: volker2020 on 04/07/2025 09:33 amThey proposed to use space mirrors to enlighten solar cells on earth to prolong production time, and wanted to be paid for it. Taking the size of the mirrors, the size of the ground target, and the radiation expansion there was no way that this would produce any meaningful energy.care to show some math so some of us can learn what the problem is?
Quote from: InterestedEngineer on 04/07/2025 04:33 pmQuote from: volker2020 on 04/07/2025 09:33 amThey proposed to use space mirrors to enlighten solar cells on earth to prolong production time, and wanted to be paid for it. Taking the size of the mirrors, the size of the ground target, and the radiation expansion there was no way that this would produce any meaningful energy.care to show some math so some of us can learn what the problem is?The 600 km altitude means they can make a bright spot no smaller than 5 km in diameter, with an area of about 20 km2. Their market claims to be giving solar farms an extra 30 minutes of light at dawn and dusk. If they have (optimistically) a 1 km2 mirror, that means 5% extra production for 4% of the time, or a 0.2% increase in a solar farm's production.
Quote from: Twark_Main on 04/08/2025 07:20 amQuote from: InterestedEngineer on 04/07/2025 04:33 pmQuote from: volker2020 on 04/07/2025 09:33 amThey proposed to use space mirrors to enlighten solar cells on earth to prolong production time, and wanted to be paid for it. Taking the size of the mirrors, the size of the ground target, and the radiation expansion there was no way that this would produce any meaningful energy.care to show some math so some of us can learn what the problem is?The 600 km altitude means they can make a bright spot no smaller than 5 km in diameter, with an area of about 20 km2. Their market claims to be giving solar farms an extra 30 minutes of light at dawn and dusk. If they have (optimistically) a 1 km2 mirror, that means 5% extra production for 4% of the time, or a 0.2% increase in a solar farm's production.Their current mirror is 10 by 10m (but should not matter that much), but they plan to have over 600 of them (as a "virtual parabola" like terrestrial solar thermal installations). So if 10 hit the solar farm at a time it is 2% increase and if 50 hit it at a time it is 10% increase.
I suspect it makes commercial sense if it can increase the solar farm effective duty cycle by a singe digit percentage
Nope. Bad math. You said the collectors are 10m x 10m, but I was assuming 1,000m x 1,000m.
When evaluating economic feasibility we should be assuming SSaaS is a full-blown whole-company pivot, not just a supplemental source of side-revenue. That's why it's relevant to the immediate topic at hand.
Quote from: Twark_Main on 04/09/2025 04:14 amNope. Bad math. You said the collectors are 10m x 10m, but I was assuming 1,000m x 1,000m.In my (admittedly primitive) understanding of optics is that if you use a flat mirror, making it larger just increases the diameter of the spot on the ground, but at any given point the delivered photons aren't increased. I think you're assuming a curved mirror, but that's not what Reflect is building. All they do is sheets of Mylar on a light weight frame, as in a classical solar sail.If they used 1000x1000 they could serve gigantic solar farms on the ground, but most installations are not that big. Even with 10x10 it is several km. iirc in one of the interviews Nowack mentioned ~5km diameter as their target which likely already requires a very good mirror to minimize spreading.QuoteWhen evaluating economic feasibility we should be assuming SSaaS is a full-blown whole-company pivot, not just a supplemental source of side-revenue. That's why it's relevant to the immediate topic at hand.Yes maybe we can just talk about solar sailing ...
Quote from: Twark_Main on 04/09/2025 04:14 amNope. Bad math. You said the collectors are 10m x 10m, but I was assuming 1,000m x 1,000m.In my (admittedly primitive) understanding of optics is that if you use a flat mirror, making it larger just increases the diameter of the spot on the ground, but at any given point the delivered photons aren't increased. I think you're assuming a curved mirror, but that's not what Reflect is building. All they do is sheets of Mylar on a light weight frame, as in a classical solar sail.
If they used 1000x1000 they could serve gigantic solar farms on the ground, but most installations are not that big. Even with 10x10 it is several km. iirc in one of the interviews Nowack mentioned ~5km diameter as their target which likely already requires a very good mirror to minimize spreading.
Quote from: Twark_Main on 04/09/2025 04:14 amWhen evaluating economic feasibility we should be assuming SSaaS is a full-blown whole-company pivot, not just a supplemental source of side-revenue. That's why it's relevant to the immediate topic at hand.Yes maybe we can just talk about solar sailing ...