Author Topic: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…  (Read 4513 times)

Offline Skye

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We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« on: 03/18/2025 11:56 am »
…what about a modernised version? Similar payload, but with full reuse, potentially. Most of it can be already found in existing hardware.

Essentially, Methalox F-1-class Booster, similar to S-IC (S-ID?), but kero swapped out for methane, plus using modernised engines in the same thrust class as F-1. Stage iOS equipped with reuse hardware e.g: legs and Gridfins

“S-IIB” second stage, still hydrolox, but using J-2X engines. Similar reentry and landing profile to original F9 US proposal, but it flips over with the help of drogue chutes in the lower atmosphere and uses the centre J-2X (centre one would have a shortened nozzle) to land propulsively.

“S-IVC” S3. Same as S-IIB but scaled down to S-IVB scale. Maybe a J-2T-esque upgrade in future upgrades for better performance?

Lunar lander could just be Blue Moon or NG’s ALPACA proposal.

CSM would just be Orion, or something similar.

Obviously, NASA won’t got for it any time soon, because of SLS and the threat of only being able to do science, but I don’t care about that in this scenario. Is it feasible at all?
“Now it is clear that anyone working with rocket fuels is outstandingly mad. I don’t mean garden-variety crazy or a merely raving lunatic. I mean a record-shattering exponent of far-out insanity.” - John D. Clark

Offline laszlo

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #1 on: 03/18/2025 01:23 pm »
…what about a modernised version? Similar payload, but with full reuse, potentially. Most of it can be already found in existing hardware.

Essentially, Methalox F-1-class Booster, similar to S-IC (S-ID?), but kero swapped out for methane, plus using modernised engines in the same thrust class as F-1. Stage iOS equipped with reuse hardware e.g: legs and Gridfins

“S-IIB” second stage, still hydrolox, but using J-2X engines. Similar reentry and landing profile to original F9 US proposal, but it flips over with the help of drogue chutes in the lower atmosphere and uses the centre J-2X (centre one would have a shortened nozzle) to land propulsively.

“S-IVC” S3. Same as S-IIB but scaled down to S-IVB scale. Maybe a J-2T-esque upgrade in future upgrades for better performance?

Lunar lander could just be Blue Moon or NG’s ALPACA proposal.

CSM would just be Orion, or something similar.

Obviously, NASA won’t got for it any time soon, because of SLS and the threat of only being able to do science, but I don’t care about that in this scenario. Is it feasible at all?

F1 class engines have too much thrust for a propulsive landing of an empty "S1-D"

Offline Skye

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #2 on: 03/18/2025 01:43 pm »
Fair enough. Does seem a bit overkill. Would probably be similar to if F9 did a ~5 engine landing burn. What about lots of RS-25-class Methalox engines, (sorta likes Superheavy) or maybe 4 outer F-1 class engines, but a few (say 3 or 4) RS-25-class engines in the centre?
« Last Edit: 03/18/2025 01:46 pm by Skye »
“Now it is clear that anyone working with rocket fuels is outstandingly mad. I don’t mean garden-variety crazy or a merely raving lunatic. I mean a record-shattering exponent of far-out insanity.” - John D. Clark

Offline Jim

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #3 on: 03/18/2025 01:46 pm »
Fair enough. Does seem a bit overkill. Would probably be similar to if F9 did a ~5 engine landing burn. What about lots of RS-25-class Methalox engines, or maybe 4 outer F-1 class engines, but a few (say 3 or 4) RS-25-class engines in the centre?

F-1 and J-2s don't throttle and hence can't land and have too high of thrust for a proper throttle range
« Last Edit: 03/18/2025 01:57 pm by Jim »

Offline Jim

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #4 on: 03/18/2025 01:54 pm »
…what about a modernised version? Similar payload, but with full reuse, potentially. Most of it can be already found in existing hardware.


With reuse, it is not the same.   Need to lengthen each stage for the additional propellant for boost backs and landing burns and for the additional structural mass for reuse.  Also need more thrust now for the higher mass.

And for what reason?  Apollo (Saturn V) was flags and footprints and not extended stays on the moon with larger crews with more instruments.

There is no need to bring back the Saturn V.  And NASA is not the one to do it anyways.  SLS will likely (>99%) be the last launch vehicle for NASA to manage and operate.

Offline DanClemmensen

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #5 on: 03/18/2025 02:06 pm »
Fair enough. Does seem a bit overkill. Would probably be similar to if F9 did a ~5 engine landing burn. What about lots of RS-25-class Methalox engines, or maybe 4 outer F-1 class engines, but a few (say 3 or 4) RS-25-class engines in the centre?
Lots of things are possible (i.e., to not violate the laws of physics or engineering), but why? After you get past physics and engineering, you get to economics. (In the real world, the economics usually drives the engineering).

Your proposals require new engine design, which is expensive in time and money. They also require building engine factories, which require more time and money. Engine cost benefits in a big way from economies of scale. Thus, there are large advantages to using multiple instances of the same engine, and that is what SpaceX has done with the Raptor.

Here is the evidence: you are looking for a "RS-25-class Methalox engine". A Raptor is exactly that. (Raptor has higher thrust). An RS-25 costs more than $100 million. The goal for Raptor is $250,000.   Due to economies of scale, 400 raptors are cheaper than a single RS-25. Even if a Raptor costs $1 million, you can still buy Raptors for three entire Starship Boosters for the cost of a single RS-25. You can buy raptors for twelve Boosters for the cost of the engines on an SLS core.




Online Hobbes-22

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #6 on: 03/18/2025 05:37 pm »
Your proposal seems to throw everything away except for the dimensions. What would make these dimensions any better than any of the modern designs being worked on now?

Offline sdsds

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #7 on: 03/18/2025 07:37 pm »
NASA is not authorized by law to do this. (Congress authorized NASA to create and fly a Shuttle-Derived heavy lift vehicle; this is not that.) So the first obstacle is not technological but sociological. Who would fund this?

Suppose someone began a grass-roots campaign to encourage efforts in this direction. What 'Figures Of Merit' would be used to show this approach is sound?

For reference on figures of merit, see page 16 here:
https://www.nasa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/525162main_heft_final_brief_508_20110309.pdf

Or suppose some wealthy individual were convinced this was the way to go. What would it look like? (Hint: there are currently more than one such wealthy individual.)

Or suppose some entrepreneur, constrained by available venture capital, were convinced this was the way to go. How would they start a company that could eventually do something like this? (Hint: there are currently more than one such entrepreneur.)
« Last Edit: 03/18/2025 07:38 pm by sdsds »
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Offline Paul451

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #8 on: 03/19/2025 08:50 pm »
The logic behind Shuttle-era "why don't they just bring back Saturn V" was the comparison with the cost/capacity/cadence of STS.

But today, even its self-proclaimed reasoning doesn't apply. Today, the comparison would be with SLS. But SLS already has superior rivals.

So now you are effectively asking, "Why don't we pay Boeing to redesign SLS, but without the 'Shuttle-derived' requirement?"

Offline spacenut

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #9 on: 03/19/2025 10:21 pm »
IF, big IF, the US decided back about 20 years ago to build the RD-180 Russian engines in the US.  They could have and had permission from Russia to do so.  They could have made a 9-10 RD-180 engine booster that was reusable.  This would have met or slightly exceeded Saturn V for a booster, and could have been reusable. 

Again using modern engines, upper stages could be built using BE-3U's from Blue Origin.  Making a reusable upper stage, maybe. 

The booster idea was discussed by NASA and others when they decided on using the solids and the SSME's in the Constellation program which morphed into the SLS. 

I have always thought not making the RD-180's in the US was a mistake.  We would still be using Atlas V's, and maybe evolved into the Atlas V Phase II program for launching Orion. 

Offline edzieba

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Offline Hug

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #11 on: 03/21/2025 12:20 pm »
New Glenn Block 3 is roughly speaking ORSC Concept RAC 2 come to life.

First stage with a cluster of ORSC hydrocarbon/lox engines (9 in this case) that shares that propulsion system with the DOD HLV (Vulcan).
High thrust hydrolox stage as the second stage.
Composite hydrolox third with a BE-7 (Centaur + RL-10 equivalent)

Additional learnings have come in the 15 years since then. Obviously most prominent, a cluster of first stage engines enables VTVL reuse. Commercial can develop systems on their own 2 feet roughly speaking.

Quote
but I don’t care about that in this scenario. Is it feasible at all?
My brother it is already happening if you believe Blue will succeed in the ~2030 timeframe.
« Last Edit: 03/21/2025 12:21 pm by Hug »

Offline spacenut

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #12 on: 03/22/2025 11:02 am »
Not just Blue, but just the SpaceX Superheavy booster is more powerful than a Saturn V first stage.  If NASA wanted to replicate Saturn V, then they could use a Superheavy booster from SpaceX, and upper stages made from BE-3U Blue Origin engines.  A cluster of 10-12 on a second stage, but also 2-3 on a 3rd Stage. 

I don't believe NASA should try to build their own rockets anymore since SpaceX and Blue Origin are building newer improved rockets as well as them being reusable. 

Offline InterestedEngineer

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #13 on: 03/22/2025 05:29 pm »
how is this an "advanced concept"?

this belongs on the homeless posts thread.


https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=53586.1040#lastPost

Offline Skye

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #14 on: 03/24/2025 01:18 pm »
Sorry for the late reply, there were some technical issues. Thanks for answering my question! I’ll go through the responses one by one.

F-1 and J-2s don't throttle and hence can't land and have too high of thrust for a proper throttle range

Hence the 2 or 3 RS-25-class engines clustered between the four outer F-1 class engines, though the J-2 is another issue. Maybe 1 or 2 BE-3s for propulsive landing instead of the centre engine?

With reuse, it is not the same.   Need to lengthen each stage for the additional propellant for boost backs and landing burns and for the additional structural mass for reuse.  Also need more thrust now for the higher mass.

And for what reason?  Apollo (Saturn V) was flags and footprints and not extended stays on the moon with larger crews with more instruments.

There is no need to bring back the Saturn V.  And NASA is not the one to do it anyways.  SLS will likely (>99%) be the last launch vehicle for NASA to manage and operate.

I suppose, though lengthening each stage could be feasible. Could NG’s second stage be considered for a beefier third stage? (With 1 or 2 BE-3s for landing). Saturn V could be used for more than flags and footprints, certainly in theory. After all, logically, a long-term exploration vehicle should have e more capacity than the Flags & Footprints one, and, thought the FR Saturn V likely wouldn’t achieve much more payload than the original (maybe more, due to modern cycle improvements E.G FFSC which could massively increase S1 Isp), but even if it’s less, it’d still be more than SLS (probably) as with only S-IC and S-II, Saturn V could get ~153 metric tones to LEO, and that’s a lotta margain over SLS’s 95t.

I agree, however that NASA likely wouldn’t construct it unless they had a huge budget increase. (US gov finds out there’s oil on the moon? /j)

Lots of things are possible (i.e., to not violate the laws of physics or engineering), but why? After you get past physics and engineering, you get to economics. (In the real world, the economics usually drives the engineering).

Your proposals require new engine design, which is expensive in time and money. They also require building engine factories, which require more time and money. Engine cost benefits in a big way from economies of scale. Thus, there are large advantages to using multiple instances of the same engine, and that is what SpaceX has done with the Raptor.

Here is the evidence: you are looking for a "RS-25-class Methalox engine". A Raptor is exactly that. (Raptor has higher thrust). An RS-25 costs more than $100 million. The goal for Raptor is $250,000.   Due to economies of scale, 400 raptors are cheaper than a single RS-25. Even if a Raptor costs $1 million, you can still buy Raptors for three entire Starship Boosters for the cost of a single RS-25. You can buy raptors for twelve Boosters for the cost of the engines on an SLS core.

Good point, though some money would be saved due to using J-2X, BE-3, Orion, and Blue Moon. All that would be new would be (most of) the first stage engines (we’ll use one Raptor or Raptor-esque instead of 2 or 3 RS-25 class engines, maybe 2 if needed) and the fuselages, fairings and flight computer.

Your proposal seems to throw everything away except for the dimensions. What would make these dimensions any better than any of the modern designs being worked on now?

I suppose so, I guess it would be a less ambitious version of Starship (possibly more tonnage to LEO, though!). Aside from that, idrk, it’s just a fun thought. Cheaper dev costs, too, potentially

NASA is not authorized by law to do this. (Congress authorized NASA to create and fly a Shuttle-Derived heavy lift vehicle; this is not that.) So the first obstacle is not technological but sociological. Who would fund this?

Suppose someone began a grass-roots campaign to encourage efforts in this direction. What 'Figures Of Merit' would be used to show this approach is sound?

For reference on figures of merit, see page 16 here:
https://www.nasa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2015/01/525162main_heft_final_brief_508_20110309.pdf

Or suppose some wealthy individual were convinced this was the way to go. What would it look like? (Hint: there are currently more than one such wealthy individual.)

Or suppose some entrepreneur, constrained by available venture capital, were convinced this was the way to go. How would they start a company that could eventually do something like this? (Hint: there are currently more than one such entrepreneur.)

I dunno. Since this isn’t a super realistic idea, we’ll assume this is an alternate reality where NASA has a high budget and could develop something non-shuttle-derived.

The logic behind Shuttle-era "why don't they just bring back Saturn V" was the comparison with the cost/capacity/cadence of STS.

But today, even its self-proclaimed reasoning doesn't apply. Today, the comparison would be with SLS. But SLS already has superior rivals.

So now you are effectively asking, "Why don't we pay Boeing to redesign SLS, but without the 'Shuttle-derived' requirement?"

Oh, not Boeing. Deeeeeefinitely not Boeing. Collab between BO, SX, NASA, AR, etc could work, considering where the hardware comes from. Blue Moon & BEs from BO, SX helps with FFSC F-1 class engines, & provides a raptor for S-ID, NASA holds it together like glue, AR does J-2X etc. It would essentially be SLS, but far lower dev costs, lower cost per launch, and much higher flight cadence. A decent amount of tech for it exists already.

IF, big IF, the US decided back about 20 years ago to build the RD-180 Russian engines in the US.  They could have and had permission from Russia to do so.  They could have made a 9-10 RD-180 engine booster that was reusable.  This would have met or slightly exceeded Saturn V for a booster, and could have been reusable. 

Again using modern engines, upper stages could be built using BE-3U's from Blue Origin.  Making a reusable upper stage, maybe. 

The booster idea was discussed by NASA and others when they decided on using the solids and the SSME's in the Constellation program which morphed into the SLS. 

I have always thought not making the RD-180's in the US was a mistake.  We would still be using Atlas V's, and maybe evolved into the Atlas V Phase II program for launching Orion. 

I agree, and Kerosene could be used if it had a cadence of let’s say once a week, which would allow cleaning time for the RD-180s if we went that route, though i think a methane lower stage would be superior.

New Glenn Block 3 is roughly speaking ORSC Concept RAC 2 come to life.

First stage with a cluster of ORSC hydrocarbon/lox engines (9 in this case) that shares that propulsion system with the DOD HLV (Vulcan).
High thrust hydrolox stage as the second stage.
Composite hydrolox third with a BE-7 (Centaur + RL-10 equivalent)

Additional learnings have come in the 15 years since then. Obviously most prominent, a cluster of first stage engines enables VTVL reuse. Commercial can develop systems on their own 2 feet roughly speaking.

Quote
but I don’t care about that in this scenario. Is it feasible at all?
My brother it is already happening if you believe Blue will succeed in the ~2030 timeframe.

NG Block 3? NG has blocks? (Do you mean New Armstrong or NG / Clipper?)

I hope BO will succeed, but based on their track record, I’ll believe it when I see it fly.

Not just Blue, but just the SpaceX Superheavy booster is more powerful than a Saturn V first stage.  If NASA wanted to replicate Saturn V, then they could use a Superheavy booster from SpaceX, and upper stages made from BE-3U Blue Origin engines.  A cluster of 10-12 on a second stage, but also 2-3 on a 3rd Stage. 

I don't believe NASA should try to build their own rockets anymore since SpaceX and Blue Origin are building newer improved rockets as well as them being reusable. 

Fair enough, though we’ll assume that in this alternate reality NASA can’t use full stages from other vehicles, only engines and landers, etc. and they are legally required to make their own vehicle.

how is this an "advanced concept"?

this belongs on the homeless posts thread.
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=53586.1040#lastPost

I don’t really know, I didn’t know where else to post it. Sorry! Maybe Heavy lift vehicles, but that might not fit since it’s not real.

Either way, thanks everyone for the feedback! This was a fun experiment to see if this can be done.  ;D
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Offline Jim

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #15 on: 03/24/2025 02:08 pm »

1. Hence the 2 or 3 RS-25-class engines clustered between the four outer F-1 class engines, though the J-2 is another issue. Maybe 1 or 2 BE-3s for propulsive landing instead of the centre engine?


2. I suppose, though lengthening each stage could be feasible. Could NG’s second stage be considered for a beefier third stage? (With 1 or 2 BE-3s for landing). Saturn V could be used for more than flags and footprints, certainly in theory. After all, logically, a long-term exploration vehicle should have e more capacity than the Flags & Footprints one, and,

3.  Good point, though some money would be saved due to using J-2X, BE-3, Orion, and Blue Moon. All that would be new would be (most of) the first stage engines (we’ll use one Raptor or Raptor-esque instead of 2 or 3 RS-25 class engines, maybe 2 if needed) and the fuselages, fairings and flight computer.


4.  Suppose someone began a grass-roots campaign to encourage efforts in this direction. What 'Figures Of Merit' would be used to show this approach is sound?

Or suppose some entrepreneur, constrained by available venture capital, were convinced this was the way to go. How would they start a company that could eventually do something like this? (Hint: there are currently more than one such entrepreneur.)

5. Oh, not Boeing. Deeeeeefinitely not Boeing. Collab between BO, SX, NASA, AR, etc could work, considering where the hardware comes from. Blue Moon & BEs from BO, SX helps with FFSC F-1 class engines, & provides a raptor for S-ID, NASA holds it together like glue, AR does J-2X etc. It would essentially be SLS, but far lower dev costs, lower cost per launch, and

6.cNot just Blue, but just the SpaceX Superheavy booster is more powerful than a Saturn V first stage.  If NASA wanted to replicate Saturn V, then they could use a Superheavy booster from SpaceX, and upper stages made from BE-3U Blue Origin engines.  A cluster of 10-12 on a second stage, but also 2-3 on a 3rd Stage. 

7. I don't believe NASA should try to build their own rockets anymore since SpaceX and Blue Origin are building newer improved rockets as well as them being reusable. 


1.  no, you are mixing fuels and complicating things.
2.  not really feasible.
3.  no savings using tanks, fairings and computers (woefully out dated).
4. nobody in their right mind would do this.
5.  why not Boeing?
6. Rockets aren't legos
7.  NASA has never built their own rockets.  Shuttle was reusable.

Offline Skye

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #16 on: 03/25/2025 07:54 am »
1.  no, you are mixing fuels and complicating things.
2.  not really feasible.
3.  no savings using tanks, fairings and computers (woefully out dated).
4. nobody in their right mind would do this.
5.  why not Boeing?
6. Rockets aren't legos
7.  NASA has never built their own rockets.  Shuttle was reusable.

1. RS-25 class being in the thrust range, but not necessarily using same propellant. It would also be MLox. Though a single Raptor (or Raptor-esque) engine would likely work better. Sorry for the confusion  :)

2. Oh, ok :(

3. Not reusing old tanks, computers, etc. I mean using new ones.

4. Honestly, I agree, unless some new tech comes along which magically makes it possible (no), not a super serious proposal, just a “What If?”

5. I know starliner and airliners don’t necessarily represent Boeing’s entire engineering capability, but, if I were NASA or someone else similar, I’d rather the company that built my spacecraft could keep a plane door on.

6. I agree, though that’s not to say SH/S-II & S-IVB is impossible.

7. Yeah, always been contractors, but in this sense, “NASA-Built” means NASA-Designed. Again, sorry for confusion  :)

“Now it is clear that anyone working with rocket fuels is outstandingly mad. I don’t mean garden-variety crazy or a merely raving lunatic. I mean a record-shattering exponent of far-out insanity.” - John D. Clark

Offline Jim

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #17 on: 03/25/2025 11:31 am »

7. Yeah, always been contractors, but in this sense, “NASA-Built” means NASA-Designed. Again, sorry for confusion  :)



contractors designed too

Offline Skye

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #18 on: 03/25/2025 11:50 am »
True, true.
“Now it is clear that anyone working with rocket fuels is outstandingly mad. I don’t mean garden-variety crazy or a merely raving lunatic. I mean a record-shattering exponent of far-out insanity.” - John D. Clark

Offline Hug

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #19 on: 03/29/2025 09:21 pm »
NG Block 3? NG has blocks? (Do you mean New Armstrong or NG / Clipper?)

Specific names are irrelevant because downselects are yet to be made, but just know there is an upgrade path where New Glenn becomes a fair bit more capable.

Offline Skye

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #20 on: 03/31/2025 07:59 am »
Fair, though NG apparently can only do 20 or so tonnes to LEO w/ ASDS landing, and 25-30 expended. Ofc there is room for improvement, doubt they’ll get above 35t ASDS.  W/ an LH2 US, that’s maybe 14t to TLI (no calculation gang 💪). Not enough for either Orion or even Blue Moon.
“Now it is clear that anyone working with rocket fuels is outstandingly mad. I don’t mean garden-variety crazy or a merely raving lunatic. I mean a record-shattering exponent of far-out insanity.” - John D. Clark

Offline spacenut

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #21 on: 03/31/2025 11:22 am »
New Glenn is supposed to do about 40 tons to LEO as is.  If they upgrade from 7 booster engines to 9, it would improve.  Don't know if or when they will do this.  It is still not Saturn V which could do 140 tons to LEO not reusable.  Reusable Starship is supposed to do 150 ton payload to LEO when it gets operational.  SpaceX with Raptor version 3 would improve overall thrust.  Because of this they are supposed to have a tank stretch, then don't know how the Starship upper stage is to work out.   

Offline Skye

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #22 on: 03/31/2025 11:59 am »
Nope, apparently it’s more like ~20 ASDS, ~25-35 expended for NG. Apparently this is the case. Many people on the forum have listed it as that, and SX listed NG as 34t expendable. No doubt 9 engines and subcooling propellant would increase payload, but by how much? My bet is 45, max 50t expended, 30, max 35t ASDS. Apparently they have confirmed subcooling, but considering the extremely slow takeoff on its first launch, I dunno if it could even take off w/ subcooled prop. 9 engines is basically necessary for subcooled prop. Even then with all this, it’s probably max 20t to TLI. Expended. Again, it’s not enough for Orion (26.5t) or even Blue Moon. (21.4t). Unless they use in-orbit propellant refill, I doubt they could do it until New Armstrong, and at that point, they should just land the actual upper stage, assuming it’s similar to a scaled-up SS. Speaking of SS, it’s meant to do 100t to LEO reused with V2 (V3? Depends. Apparently V3 may just be an upgraded V2, with the stretched V3 we know actually being a V4) And V3* being capable of 150-200t (recently stated by Elon as 150, but previously stated as 200. Again, this links to the previous bracketed tangent of versions)

*V3, V4, whichever one is the really stretched one.
“Now it is clear that anyone working with rocket fuels is outstandingly mad. I don’t mean garden-variety crazy or a merely raving lunatic. I mean a record-shattering exponent of far-out insanity.” - John D. Clark

Offline spacenut

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #23 on: 03/31/2025 12:38 pm »
Starship/Superheavy is still in development.  I think they can reach their goals once Raptor vs 3 has all the bugs worked out.  They have blown up a couple pushing them to their limits.  Because Raptor 3 had increased thrust and power, it will require a tank stretch.  Using Raptor 3's on the upper stage will also require a tank stretch on the Starship upper stage.  Don't know how long this will take.  They also have to get the heat shielding worked out as well as in orbit refueling.  Making the upper stage expendable and only reusing the booster, this rocket can do about 200 tons to LEO.  I always thought this would be the way to go to get it working and then work on re-entry version. 

New Glenn needs some work too.  It's engines have more mass than the Raptor engines for about the same thrust.  I do think they are going to need 9 on the first stage.  The upper stage may need 3 BE-3U's to get the most mass to orbit.  New Glenn is a big rocket, but to me somewhat under powered right now.  Upgrades should solve this.  New Glenn, if it can get 40-50 tons to orbit with reusable first stage could provide a robust LEO and Cis-lunar program.  Add a fuel depot for the upper stage and you can get a lot to the moon.   

I'm hoping both will be operational within a year.   Also hoping they cancel SLS and Orion, and use Blue Origin to do a lunar program eventually getting into lunar mining.  The using Starship for a Mars program.  Use the $5 billion or so from SLS/Orion cancellation and split about $2 billion each between the two and have a great space exploration program.  Then take the $1 billion left over and help the upstart companies to get rockets developed to have competition, by having a commercial/NASA partnership.  Make the companies spend about equal the money given to them by NASA to jumpstart their rocket development.  Then develop in space technologies to use on the moon and Mars. 
« Last Edit: 03/31/2025 12:47 pm by spacenut »

Offline Skye

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #24 on: 03/31/2025 01:00 pm »
I agree with your first paragraph  :)

NG absolutely needs work, I agree, though I doubt it could ever do 40-50t to LEO with ASDS. I think that expended is feasible, but I reckon max 30-35t ASDS. BE-4 actually has less thrust and Isp than R3, and is larger and heavier. Basically, it’s inferior in essentially every way. But I doubt SX would sell them Raptors, and let’s not even go there. I agree with needing 9 engines (and subcooling!) on NG, but I doubt it needs 3 BE-3Us on the upper stage. Overall, NG is suitable for sub-20t payloads to TLI, but isn’t realistically capable of much more.

Personally, I also hope (and honestly think) they’ll both be operational by Q2 ‘26. (SS being operational as in Starlink launches. Maybe some customer payloads by then? NG the seams, but with primary payloads for a but being NASA & Kuiper launches). I also hope that they’ll cancel SLS, (and, on an unrelated note, Stupidarliner) and divert the funding, though I think most of it [the $4b] should go to SX, and only a little to BO, as SS is just a more capable vehicle for all purposes, and BM could work as only a backup / rescue lander. I also agree that the $1b should go to new companies, because it’d be so nice & helpful. Stoke, RKLB, Relativity, Astra, Firefly, etc. Could really use that money. Maybe even a bigger share  depending on how SX and BO do?
“Now it is clear that anyone working with rocket fuels is outstandingly mad. I don’t mean garden-variety crazy or a merely raving lunatic. I mean a record-shattering exponent of far-out insanity.” - John D. Clark

Offline laszlo

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #25 on: 03/31/2025 08:30 pm »
This all strikes me a little like the nostalgia for Model Ts and DC-3s. The older, overbuilt for simpler requirements contender always looks good while its replacement is being debugged. Superficially, the narrative is that Saturn 5 took 8 crews to the moon while Starship still can't get to orbit and is actually doing worse now that it was earlier on.

Maybe once spaceflight gets cheap enough there will be re-enactors building replicas of the Saturn 5 and flying them to the moon in Julys whose year ends in 9.

Offline Roy_H

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Re: We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…
« Reply #26 on: 04/09/2025 05:11 pm »
We Can’t Rebuild Saturn V, But…

Looks like you are proposing an inferior version of Starship. Just wait for Starship to become fully operational.
"If we don't achieve re-usability, I will consider SpaceX to be a failure." - Elon Musk
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