Author Topic: Humanoid Robots for Moon and Mars  (Read 114513 times)

Offline Aussie_Space_Nut

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #40 on: 08/21/2021 02:00 am »
I’m not sure we are getting the full implications of DOJO/FSD as it applies to a humanoid robot.

If I were to drill a hole I would first select the drill. In just a few moments I would,
a) Select Size.
b) Select Geometry of Cutting Edges. (Flat Bottom, 118deg, etc.)
c) Are cutting edges sharp?
d) Are cutting edges chipped?
e) Are cutting edges true? (One edge longer than the other or at a different angle, IOW badly sharpened.)
f) Are the flutes tapered due to wear?
g) Is the drill bent?
h) And so on.
If it passed my inspection I would use it, if not I would sharpen it or discard it.
Hopefully I would get my hand drill and produce a good hole.

Now lets say I wish to use a CNC Milling Machine (Robot) to drill the hole.
I still need to do all of the above! But now I load it into the CNC with a few parameters, I have to set the following,
Must Have Parameters
1) Length overall
Optional Parameters
2) Diameter
3) Angle of cutting edges (118deg)
4) Length of flutes
5) Maximum pressure allowable to push the drill through the material
6) Maximum cutting time of tool
7) And so on
If we program the machine with these optional parameters in mind we can build in some “Artificial Intelligence”. For example perhaps in the past we have noticed this drill doing this task breaking at the 100 hours of cutting time mark. We can set the parameter to say 80 hours and hopefully never break a drill again. But does the CNC know the drill is blunt like we do? No. It is “Artificial Intelligence”. It’s not real. And of course this doesn’t take into account extremely unlikely scenarios that you have not accounted for in your parameters and program. Notice here that there are only a very few parameters.

Now lets say we instruct our Humanoid Robot to drill a hole. Using its FSD system, that has been “Trained” by the DOJO system, it selects a drill just like I would do! It SEES the drill. It examines the drill closely. It decides to use it as is, sharpen it first or discard it. DOJO has trained it on how to set up the drill. DOJO has trained it on how to use the drill. We need DOJO because this training results in hundreds/thousands/millions of parameters and scenarios. One of these parameters would be the pressure required to push the drill through the material. Our Humanoid Robot after drilling many holes senses the increased pressure required. Stops and examines the drill. “Sees” that the drill is blunt. Sharpens the drill and continues. But does the Humanoid Robot know the drill is blunt like we do? No. It is “Artificial Intelligence”.
DOJO comes into play by simulating/analyzing all of the different things that can happen when drilling a hole and developing a scenario for each.
FSD comes into play by selecting the correct scenario based on what it is “seeing” in real time.

OK. So hopefully our Humanoid Robot can now drill holes. All we need to do now is train it for all of the other tasks we want it to do! Who knows how many parameters and scenarios are required!

However if the Humanoid (FSD) Robot comes across a scenario that DOJO hasn’t allowed for it will stop. Even with this limitation I believe that Humanoid Robots will be very helpful on the Moon and Mars and given DOJOs ability to learn over time by examining an ever growing library of real world examples it will only get better over time.

Offline Aussie_Space_Nut

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #41 on: 08/21/2021 02:11 am »
Also I see no problem in making the Robot, drives/actuators/sensors/etc. It has all been done before. For me programming is the only issue and that appears to have been overcome by FSD/DOJO. Will have to wait and see though.

Offline QuantumG

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #42 on: 08/21/2021 03:49 am »
When you start with a clean sheet of paper it makes a *lot* more sense to make a structured environment for robots.

I believe we'll need vast amounts of robotics and automation on Mars, if our goal is to ever have a lot of people living there.

Humanoid robots are for Earth worms... right up until they ban them.

Human spaceflight is basically just LARPing now.

Offline Aussie_Space_Nut

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #43 on: 08/21/2021 04:41 am »
By Structured Environment I presume you mean something like a CNC Machine or a Robot Station on an assembly line. I agree that up to now this was massively easier than a Full Self Driving Car.

I agree that the Structured Environment approach will continue to be very attractive for many repetitive activities.

What I think has changed is DOJOs ability to both simulate activity and to analyze actual real world activity to come up with a massive range of scenarios/programs. FSD onboard the robot, whatever form it may be (humanoid, car, excavator, etc.), rapidly runs through a large range of those scenarios/programs and pics the best one in real time. This scenario/program selection is then monitored and changed in real time as required.

Making the machine is easy.

Controlling (programming) the machine is hard and gets harder as the complexity of the task increases.

By creating a structured environment we reduce the complexity and make it easier to control (program) the machine.

What DOJO/FSD is trying to do is overcome the "programming/controlling complex tasks problem" by creating massive numbers of scenario/programs and switching between them in real time.

I think this guy explains it well, (The simulation side of things starts a 6:50 or thereabouts)


« Last Edit: 08/21/2021 04:51 am by Aussie_Space_Nut »

Offline Oersted

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #44 on: 08/21/2021 04:43 am »
Humanoid robots vs. non-humanoid robots, it is of course not "either-or", but "and". False dichotomy.

Offline JamesH65

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #45 on: 08/21/2021 09:30 am »
BTW, for those who don't follow Tesla, there're rumors before AI Day that Elon may unveil something like this, and Tesla may be working with with UCLA's Professor Dennis Hong, who specializes in Humanoids & Bipedal Robots and runs the Robotics & Mechanisms Laboratory (RoMeLa), you can see some of the lab's creations here. See this article (published before AI Day) for the possible Hong connection.

So don't assume Tesla is working on this starting from zero, they may be starting from the best we have and improving it.

I think some of the posts above might be missing this. Tesla won't have thought "Hey lets build a robot" then announced it the next day. Surely they will be fairly confident they have got some secret sauce here, and they will have been working on the idea in private for some time.

It might work, it might not, but they must be fairly confident they have something good. After all, Musk's companies are masters at taking something state of the art, and improving it massively (Rockets, cars, boring machines).

Offline sleepy-martian

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #46 on: 08/21/2021 10:01 am »
Elon doesn't dismiss the idea of using it for Mars:
https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1428951783615864835

But yeah, I agree its far off it it ends up happening. They might invest some resources and come to the "the wrong solution" conclusion

Offline Star One

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #47 on: 08/21/2021 10:26 am »
I’d of thought a robot more like Boston Dynamics Spot would actually be a more practical near term option. Rather than trying to get a humanoid robot working on Mars any time soon.

Offline DistantTemple

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #48 on: 08/21/2021 11:23 am »
Same Topic. Different aspect!
In the presentation, Tesla's ability to simulate situations was a key strength. This can be applied to Mars or eh Moon.
In the context of robots using implementations of the same system it should somewhat follow their current methods for training FSD cars, however it will be applied to dusting solar panels, plugging in cables connecting pipes, bulldozing regolith, etc. When stuck, the returned video etc can be used to improve the simulation, retrain the net, and send an upload back to mars, which will help improve that task for all robots of the same model. It wont, just be reposition 5cm to the right and retry the same procedure!
We can always grow new new dendrites. Reach out and make connections and your world will burst with new insights. Then repose in consciousness.

Offline DreamyPickle

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #49 on: 08/21/2021 11:56 am »
I think the humanoid form factor and complete autonomy are distractions, much like the idea of shipping 100 people to Mars in a single vehicle. What if SpaceX only delivers 10 people and 100 semi-autonomous hexapods to the Moon instead? Still insanely useful.

The relevance of robotics to spaceflight is extremely clear and space agencies have already invested lots of money in this area. The results are mostly slow and expensive science rovers. Most forms of ISRU would greatly benefit from robotics but so far SpaceX has not shown anything related to this field.

Tesla mass-producing robots capable of simple tasks is a very important piece of the puzzle.

What would be the minimum viable robot doing useful work a planetary surface? Much less than an autonomous humanoid.

Offline Aussie_Space_Nut

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #50 on: 08/21/2021 12:44 pm »
Same Topic. Different aspect!
In the presentation, Tesla's ability to simulate situations was a key strength. This can be applied to Mars or eh Moon.
In the context of robots using implementations of the same system it should somewhat follow their current methods for training FSD cars, however it will be applied to dusting solar panels, plugging in cables connecting pipes, bulldozing regolith, etc. When stuck, the returned video etc can be used to improve the simulation, retrain the net, and send an upload back to mars, which will help improve that task for all robots of the same model. It wont, just be reposition 5cm to the right and retry the same procedure!

Exactly!
Simulate a ridiculous amount of scenarios using DOJO Supercomputer.
Evaluate a ridiculous amount of real word activities using DOJO Supercomputer.
This will hopefully enable good planning and execution of tasks by the onboard robot FSD computer.
Tesla believe they have a clear path to do this in a reasonable time frame for cars.
They hope to use this methodology on all their future robots including the humanoid variety.

Offline Terra Incognita

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #51 on: 08/21/2021 03:14 pm »
A space / moon rated robot would need to be capable of operating in a vacuum and a very dusty environment. Essentially really robust with the same lubricant less joints like the Canada arm and parts that have none or have completely sealed volatiles. 

One of the barriers to making such robots is the cost of the one off unique components.  The potential to bring such costs down is mass manufacture, any robot that is rated for space would be and exceedingly robust robot if used in the relatively benign environment on Earth.

Offline daedalus1

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #52 on: 08/21/2021 03:33 pm »
A space / moon rated robot would need to be capable of operating in a vacuum and a very dusty environment. Essentially really robust with the same lubricant less joints like the Canada arm and parts that have none or have completely sealed volatiles. 

One of the barriers to making such robots is the cost of the one off unique components.  The potential to bring such costs down is mass manufacture, any robot that is rated for space would be and exceedingly robust robot if used in the relatively benign environment on Earth.

There's another route these days for reducing costs of unique components: 3D printing.

Offline Cabbage123

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #53 on: 08/22/2021 04:16 am »
Humanoid robots aren't going to be anywhere close to useful on Mars for a long time.

Boston Dynamics are the leader at the moment and, although the have made amazing progress, those robots still need a lot of hand holding to navigate the physical world.



Physically they are not ready and from an "intelligence" point of view, they are even further out in being able to plan even a simple task. Right now they are heavily scripted.

This isn't going to change quickly enough for them to be useful, at least at the beginning of any Mars venture.

As others have said, there are other robots that are far more reliable and useful, and they will need human supervision.

Human workers would ideally spend the vast majority of their time shielded underground, remotely controlling surface robots/drones/vehicles.

I would envision picking a location that is easily navigated by non-humanoid machines, and use them remotely to carry out as much work as you can. Time would be better spent on non-humanoid machine that have specialised appendages for common tasks, or which have more generalised appendages that could handle a variety of tools, but have them controlled by humans (in the same vein as the tele-surgery that can be performed now).

In the future, I have no doubt that we will have armies of thinking humanoid machines reliably and independently working alongside us, on Mars and Earth, but not nearly in the time frame that Elon is targeting humans to reach Mars.


Offline Aussie_Space_Nut

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #54 on: 08/22/2021 05:06 am »
People are generally saying it's a long way off etc.

So again I would like to humbly say that this is way bigger than you may think.

And again my humble apologies for not explaining this very well. This guy does a better job than me. Meat of the info starts at about the 4:14 mark.


Offline Aussie_Space_Nut

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #55 on: 08/22/2021 05:07 am »

Offline dolphin5588

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #56 on: 08/24/2021 02:22 am »
Humanoid robots aren't going to be anywhere close to useful on Mars for a long time.


I would envision picking a location that is easily navigated by non-humanoid machines, and use them remotely to carry out as much work as you can. Time would be better spent on non-humanoid machine that have specialised appendages for common tasks, or which have more generalised appendages that could handle a variety of tools, but have them controlled by humans (in the same vein as the tele-surgery that can be performed now).



Humanoid robots will have a specific purpose - testing the human experience of living and working in deep space and on the surface of Moon & Mars before actually sending humans on the mission. Humans will be able to use the very same tools their robotic counterparts were using in the 26 months prior to their arrival. Of course there will be massive robots as well, for mining, boring, construction, etc.

Offline beelsebob

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #57 on: 08/24/2021 05:45 am »
Humanoid robots are the right choice only in environments built for humans where it is hard to fit a specialised chassis.
Existing Earth buildings are built for humans. Mars is not. There is no good reason to use humanoid robots on Mars when you could use robots more suited to that environment.

Not really true.  Humans are that shape for a reason - it’s an efficient shape for doing general purpose tasks.  Human shaped (a more generally, animal shaped) robots will be useful anywhere where you want them to be able to solve a variety of problems, or problems they’ve not encountered before.

Want a robot to vacuum up stuff?  Sure, a roomba is a better design than a human.  Want a robot to travel to locations with roads?  A Tesla is a great design.  Want a robot to weld Starship barrels?  A robot arm and a turntable works well!  Want a robot that can do all of those things?  A humanoid is the design you want.

If you’re setting up a colony on another planet, I’m sure you’ll want many special purpose robots (eg ones that do mining, or produce Starship fuel).  However, you’ll also need ones that solve the problems you don’t know you’re going to have.  You can’t design special purpose robots for that because you don’t know the design goals.  Having a general purpose not that can fairly intelligently do the kinds of things as human can do is going to be pretty useful at that point.

Offline beelsebob

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #58 on: 08/24/2021 05:55 am »
I’m not sure we are getting the full implications of DOJO/FSD as it applies to a humanoid robot.

If I were to drill a hole I would first select the drill. In just a few moments I would,
a) Select Size.
b) Select Geometry of Cutting Edges. (Flat Bottom, 118deg, etc.)
c) Are cutting edges sharp?
d) Are cutting edges chipped?
e) Are cutting edges true? (One edge longer than the other or at a different angle, IOW badly sharpened.)
f) Are the flutes tapered due to wear?
g) Is the drill bent?
h) And so on.
If it passed my inspection I would use it, if not I would sharpen it or discard it.
Hopefully I would get my hand drill and produce a good hole.

Now lets say I wish to use a CNC Milling Machine (Robot) to drill the hole.
I still need to do all of the above! But now I load it into the CNC with a few parameters, I have to set the following,
Must Have Parameters
1) Length overall
Optional Parameters
2) Diameter
3) Angle of cutting edges (118deg)
4) Length of flutes
5) Maximum pressure allowable to push the drill through the material
6) Maximum cutting time of tool
7) And so on
If we program the machine with these optional parameters in mind we can build in some “Artificial Intelligence”. For example perhaps in the past we have noticed this drill doing this task breaking at the 100 hours of cutting time mark. We can set the parameter to say 80 hours and hopefully never break a drill again. But does the CNC know the drill is blunt like we do? No. It is “Artificial Intelligence”. It’s not real. And of course this doesn’t take into account extremely unlikely scenarios that you have not accounted for in your parameters and program. Notice here that there are only a very few parameters.

Now lets say we instruct our Humanoid Robot to drill a hole. Using its FSD system, that has been “Trained” by the DOJO system, it selects a drill just like I would do! It SEES the drill. It examines the drill closely. It decides to use it as is, sharpen it first or discard it. DOJO has trained it on how to set up the drill. DOJO has trained it on how to use the drill. We need DOJO because this training results in hundreds/thousands/millions of parameters and scenarios. One of these parameters would be the pressure required to push the drill through the material. Our Humanoid Robot after drilling many holes senses the increased pressure required. Stops and examines the drill. “Sees” that the drill is blunt. Sharpens the drill and continues. But does the Humanoid Robot know the drill is blunt like we do? No. It is “Artificial Intelligence”.
DOJO comes into play by simulating/analyzing all of the different things that can happen when drilling a hole and developing a scenario for each.
FSD comes into play by selecting the correct scenario based on what it is “seeing” in real time.

OK. So hopefully our Humanoid Robot can now drill holes. All we need to do now is train it for all of the other tasks we want it to do! Who knows how many parameters and scenarios are required!

However if the Humanoid (FSD) Robot comes across a scenario that DOJO hasn’t allowed for it will stop. Even with this limitation I believe that Humanoid Robots will be very helpful on the Moon and Mars and given DOJOs ability to learn over time by examining an ever growing library of real world examples it will only get better over time.

Prove it.  That is to say - prove that the trained AI has no idea of these concepts.  I suspect that you’re right, but as of today, we have no idea what it is that creates the sensation of knowing a concept.  We know that human brains are made up of extremely complex networks of neutrons.  We know that those neutrons do fairly simple mathematical operations not dissimilar to those found in simulated neural networks.  As far as we know, you make a complex enough neural network, and “knowing concepts” just appears as an emergent behaviour.

My gut feeling is that there has to be more to consciousness than just a bunch of chemical and electrical goop firing signals around a complex network, but we don’t know that today, and you can’t easily say that these neural networks aren’t conscious (in the same way that you can’t easily say that I am).  You just take it on faith that I look and behave similarly enough to you that I must therefore be conscious.  Meanwhile, a self driving car doesn’t, so it isn’t.

Offline rakaydos

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Re: Tesla Bot for Moon and Mars
« Reply #59 on: 08/24/2021 12:30 pm »
Not really true.  Humans are that shape for a reason - it’s an efficient shape for doing general purpose tasks.  Human shaped (a more generally, animal shaped) robots will be useful anywhere where you want them to be able to solve a variety of problems, or problems they’ve not encountered before.
Humans are the shape we are because of the energy efficency of locking knees for our evolutionary role as persistance hunters. The fact that our balance and visual-tracking oriented brains and vestigial upper extremities were easy to repurpose to fire use when we discovered cooking (and later tool use) it secondary to humans evolving as the slenderman/zombie apocalypse to other animals.

Humans have "made do" with what we have, and called that "general purpose tasks," but that doesnt mean the human form is particularly great at it. Just that we have a million years learning what can and cannot be done with this form.

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