Author Topic: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5  (Read 981515 times)

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #40 on: 08/28/2017 10:56 am »
Quote
SES switches SpaceX and Arianespace launches to mitigate cost of satellite failure
by Peter B. de Selding | Aug 28, 2017

PARIS — Satellite fleet operator SES, which this year has suffered both predictable satellite-launch delays and unpredictable satellite failures, on Aug. 28 said it would move a satellite from launch-service provider SpaceX to Arianespace to minimize revenue losses.
As a result, the SES-14 satellite will launch aboard an Ariane 5 ECA rocket early in Q1 of next year rather than a less-clear Q1 launch date offered by SpaceX. SpaceX instead will launch the heavier SES-12 satellite, up to now slated for an Ariane 5, on a Falcon 9 vehicle in Q1 2018.

[...]

https://www.spaceintelreport.com/ses-switches-spacex-arianespace-launches-mitigate-cost-satellite-failure/

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #41 on: 08/31/2017 03:40 pm »
[The Jakarta Post] Telkom to replace troubled satellite in August 2018
Quote
State-owned telecommunications company PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia (Telkom Indonesia) plans to launch its Telkom 4 satellite in a year’s time to replace the troubled Telkom 1.

“We have signed a contract to launch the Telkom 4 satellite. It will be launched from the United States in August 2018,” said PT Telkom president director Alex J. Sinaga during a press conference with Communications and Information Minister Rudiantara in Jakarta on Wednesday.

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #42 on: 09/01/2017 06:46 pm »
Does anyone know,
Which one of Spaceflight flights is the one with Space IL, and what is the chance for that to launch on time for the Xprize?

Guess they are still with SpaceX, maybe on the Spaceflight GTO rideshare?

[Space.com] Calling the Moon: Startup to Put Cellphone Tower on the Moon
Quote
PT Scientists has a launch contract for late 2018 with Space X as a secondary payload on the Falcon 9 rocket. Becker said the company believes it will be the first private entity to reach the surface of the moon, suggesting that none of the Google Lunar X Prize participants are likely to meet the December 2017 deadline for the competition. (PT Scientists itself withdrew from the Google Lunar X Prize earlier this year due to the time constraints of the competition.)

The Falcon 9 will carry the team's spacecraft, Alina, to the geostationary transfer orbit, a highly elliptical Earth orbit whose highest point is 26,000 miles (42,000 kilometers). From there, Alina will continue on its own to the moon.

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #43 on: 09/04/2017 09:38 pm »
Tweet from Jeff Foust:
Quote
Kacific announces that it’s selected SpaceX to launch its Boeing-built Kacific-1 broadband satellite on a Falcon 9 in 2019.

Quote
Kacific selects SpaceX to provide launch service

Kacific Broadband Satellites Group (Kacific) has selected SpaceX as the launch provider for its Kacific-1 satellite, which is being built by The Boeing Company.

Kacific-1 will be launched on a SpaceX Falcon 9, a two-stage orbit-class rocket designed from the ground-up for maximum reliability and reusability.

“SpaceX has a breadth of vision that appeals to us,” says Christian Patouraux, Kacific CEO. “The company is committed to changing the way people think about space and the possibilities it represents. Signing with SpaceX as our launch service provider is a major step towards delivering our own vision. We look forward to seeing Kacific-1 atop a Falcon 9 Rocket in 2019.”

“SpaceX is proud to partner with Kacific on the milestone launch of the company’s first satellite, Kacific-1.” said Gwynne Shotwell, President and COO of SpaceX. “We appreciate their confidence in our proven capabilities and look forward to delivering their satellite to orbit.”

In February 2017 Kacific placed an order with The Boeing Company for the Kacific-1 satellite. Based on the reliable 702 satellite platform, Kacific-1 is designed to deliver high speed broadband via 56 narrow Ka-band beams, with the most powerful signal level ever achieved in a commercial satellite in the South East Asia and Pacific regions.

About Kacific

The Kacific Broadband Satellites Group is a satellite operator developing a high-speed broadband offering for underserved, remote and rural markets with disseminated pockets of population. It addresses the gap in supply with specifically designed satellites using the latest multi-beam and high throughput space communications and ground technology transmitting over the Ka Band.

Using cost-effective technology and a lean business model Kacific aims to provide better broadband quality at significantly less than current retail prices, fostering greater internet usage and fuelling economic growth and improvements in service delivery across covered regions, with its first deployment focusing on South East Asia and the Pacific. 

Kacific’s headquarters are in Singapore with main operations out of Vanuatu.

For more information, visit www.kacific.com


Kacific-1/JCSat-18 on Gunter's Space Page
Boeing press release for satellite order
Kacific press release for satellite order
SpaceNews story on satellite order
« Last Edit: 09/05/2017 02:37 pm by gongora »

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #44 on: 09/06/2017 09:50 pm »
SpaceX has added a number of new missions on their manifest page (http://www.spacex.com/missions):

* an Eutelsat
* SXM-7 for Sirius-XM
* SXM-8 for Sirius-XM
* an not named satellite from SSL
* a satellite for TELKOM INDONESIA (likely Telkom-4)

Added the SiriusXM flights to the manifest

Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #45 on: 09/07/2017 05:59 pm »
Saving a snapshot for future reference.  Someone should remind me to do this a couple times a year.
Discussion of the manifest, and updates. The best guess at the current manifest is in this post. 
Discussion of the table format should be done here: SpaceX Manifest Table Format Discussion
Prior thread: SpaceX Manifest Updates and Discussion Thread 4

Sites:
      C=Canaveral (UTC-4 EDT,UTC-5 EST)
            CCAFS SLC-40: Damaged by vehicle explosion (no launches until around October 2017, no earlier than September)
            KSC LC-39A: Active for F9, will need further work for FH and Commercial Crew
      V=Vandenberg (UTC-7 PDT,UTC-8 PST)
            SLC-4E: Active for F9
      B=Boca Chica (UTC-5 CDT,UTC-6 CST)
            Site preparation work underway

Daylight saving time starts second Sunday in March, ends first Sunday in November, time changes at 2:00 a.m. local time

       Local        LV  Core   Ret- .                             .    Mass   .     Mis-
Est. Date,  Time/UTC.   S/N    urn  Payload(s)                    Orb  (kg)   Site sion
------------------- --- ------ ---  ----------------------------  ---  -----  -----  ----
2017-01-14  0954/-8F91029.1SIridium NEXT (Flight 1)PLR9600V-4E30
2017-02-19  0939/-5F91031.1LCRS 10LEO~10kC-39A31
2017-03-16  0200/-4F91030XEchostar 23GTO~5500C-39A32
2017-03-30  1827/-4F91021.2SSES-10GTO5282C-39A33
2017-05-01  0715/-4F91032LNROL-76LEO?C-39A34
2017-05-15  1921/-4F91034XInmarsat 5 F4GTO6086C-39A35
2017-06-03  1707/-4F91035LCRS 11LEO~10kC-39A36
2017-06-23  1510/-4F91029.2SBulgariaSat-1GTO3669C-39A37
2017-06-25  1325/-7F91036SIridium NEXT (Flight 2)PLR9600V-4E38
2017-07-05  1938/-4F91037XIntelsat 35eGTO6761C-39A39
2017-08-14  1231/-4F91039LCRS 12LEO~10kC-39A40
2017-08-24  1151/-7F91038SFORMOSAT-5SSO475V-4E41
2017-09-07  1000/-7F91040LAir Force X-37B OTV-5LEO5400C-39A42
------------------- --- ------ ---  ----------------------------  ---  -----  ----- ----
2017-10-04  0606/-7F91041SIridium NEXT (Flight 3)PLR9600V-4E43
2017-10F91031.2?SES-11/Echostar 105GTO5400C-39A44
2017-Q4F9.SKoreasat-5AGTO3500C .
2017-11-lateF9.SIridium NEXT (Flight 4)PLR9600V-4E.
2017-Q4F9.XHispasat 1F (30W-6)GTO6092C.
2017-Q4H.LLSFalcon Heavy Demo Flight..C-39A(50)
2017-12F9.LCRS 13LEO~10kC.
2017-12F9.SGovSat-1 (SES-16)GTO4000C.
2017-12F9..BangabandhuGTO~3500C.
2017-12F9..Paz & co-passengerSSO1400V-4E.
2018-Q1F9.SIridium NEXT (Flight 5)PLR9600V-4E.
2018F9..Spaceflight SSO-A (575km)SSO.V-4E.
2018F9.SEs'hail 2GTO~3kC.
2018-01-late or 02F9.LCRS 14LEO~10kC(55)
2018-02F9.?CCtCap DM1LEO.C-39A.
2018-H1H.LLSArabsat 6AGTO~6kC-39A.
2018-Q1F9.SSES-12GTO5300C.
2018-03-20F9..NASA (TESS)HEO325C .
2018-03-21F9..Iridium NEXT 6/GRACE-FOPLR~6kV-4E.
2018-03F9.?SAOCOM 1ASSO2800V-4E.
2018-04F9..CCiCap In-Flight Abort TestSUB.C.
2018-Q2F9.?Telstar 18 Vantage/Apstar-5CGTO>5400C.
2018-Q2F9.?Telstar 19 VantageGTO>5400C.
2018-04-30 (NET)H.LLSSTP-2 (US Air Force)MEO~8k?C-39A.
2018-05 (NET)F9..USAF GPS III A-2MEO3880C.
2018-Q2F9..Iridium NEXT (Flight 7)PLR9600V-4E.
2018-06F9.LCRS 15LEO~10kC.
2018-06F9..CCtCap DM2 (Crew)LEO.C-39A.
2018-06F9..Iridium NEXT (Flight 8)PLR9600V-4E.
2018F9.?PSN-6 and co-passengerGTO5000C.
2018-08F9..Telkom 4GTO.C(68)
2018-08F9.LCRS 16LEO~10kC.
2018-Q3F9..RADARSAT ConstellationSSO1400V-4E.
2018F9..OHB SARah 1SSO~2200V-4E.
2018-10F9.LCRS 17LEO~10kC.
2018-Q4F9..Spaceflight SSO-B (500km)SSO.V-4E(70)
2018-Q4F9..GiSat-1GTO~6kC/B.
2018-Q4F9..Spaceflight GTO (200x60k/km)GTO.C(70)
2018-12F9.LCRS 18LEO~10kC.
2019H.???SpaceX Crewed CircumlunarTLI~10k?C-39A.
2019F9..CRS 19-20LEO.C.
2019-02F9..USAF GPS IIIA-3MEO3880C.
2019F9..SAOCOM 1B and companionsSSO~3-4kV-4E.
2019F9..OHB SARah 2/3SSO~3600V-4E .
2019-H2F9..JCSAT-18/Kacific-1GTO~6k+C/B.
2019F9..SiriusXM SXM-7GTO.C(80)
2019-Q4F9..Spaceflight GTO(200x36k/km)GTO.C/B(70)
2020F9..Spaceflight SSO-C (500km SSO)SSO.V-4E(70)
2020F9..SiriusXM SXM-8GTO.C(80)
2020-2021H..ViaSat 3-Americas or 3-EMEAGTO6400C/B(69)
2021-04F9..SWOTLEO2000V-4E.
TBD (2019-2024)F9..Commercial Crew (6 flights)LEO.C-39A.
TBD (2020-2024)F9..CRS-2 (6+ flights)LEO.C.
Companies that appear to have contracts for unspecified payloads: Eutelsat, Inmarsat (x2?), Northrop Grumman, Bigelow

Return: L=Land,S=Sea,X=Expendable,N/A=Not Applicable
Launch Vehicle: F9=Falcon 9, H=Falcon Heavy, F=Falcon 9 or Heavy
Colors: Successful / Unsuccessful / Mars!!!! / Footnotes

L2 SpaceX CRS External Cargo
L2 Level SpaceX Falcon 9 Stage Watch / Public Core Spotting
SpaceX Launch Log (past launches) / Wikipedia Falcon Launches
Viewing flights from Vandenberg / Ben Cooper's Viewing Guide for Cape Canaveral
Upcoming SpaceX Talks / General Industry Talks
SpaceX Falcon Mission Simulations

NOTES:
(50) FH Demo - Serial Numbers: Center:1033  Side1:1023.2  Side2: 1025.2
(55) CRS-14 : EnduroSat One @ARRL
(68) Telkom 4 links Gunter
(69) Viasat 3 : one of first two Viasat 3 birds in mid-2019 or early-2020.  Also third Viasat 3 if it gets built?
  ViaSatellite 2/10/16 SpaceNews 2/10/2016 Gunter
(70) Spaceflight Industries : Upcoming Spaceflight Ind. schedule update
(80) Sirius SXM-7, SXM-8 : SSL Contract Press Release / Gunter

Possible future payloads:
Inmarsat 6 F1 SpaceNews mention / Airbus contract / Gunter / Space Intel mention

Competitions for future payloads:
Air Force - EELV, First 5

L2 notes on manifest:

Recent Edits:
Sep 06 Added Sirius SXM-7, SXM-8.  Removed line items for Eutelsat and Inmarsat, added list at the end for customers with unspecified contracts.
Sep 04 Added Kacific-1/JCSat-18 in second half of 2019
Aug 31 Telkom 4 moved from June to August 2018
Aug 28 SES-14 switched to Ariane 5 launch.  SES-12 switched to F9 launch Q1-2018.
Aug 25 Moved Iridium Flight 3 to October 4.
Aug 23 Removed Spaceflight Industries GTO-1, SSO-D
Aug 22 GRACE-FO March 21, 2018.  CRS-14 late January 2018?, CRS-15 June 2018.
Aug 13 Moved CRS-13 to early December


All comments and updates are welcomed!  Thank you to all contributors!
« Last Edit: 09/07/2017 06:00 pm by gongora »

Offline AncientU

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #46 on: 09/07/2017 07:13 pm »
SpaceX has added a number of new missions on their manifest page (http://www.spacex.com/missions):

* an Eutelsat
* SXM-7 for Sirius-XM
* SXM-8 for Sirius-XM
* an not named satellite from SSL
* a satellite for TELKOM INDONESIA (likely Telkom-4)

Added the SiriusXM flights to the manifest

So, at least four GTOs recently added... possibly five, plus Kacific this week.
Must be making impression on the market that backlog is under control.
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Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #47 on: 09/07/2017 07:18 pm »
SpaceX has added a number of new missions on their manifest page (http://www.spacex.com/missions):

* an Eutelsat
* SXM-7 for Sirius-XM
* SXM-8 for Sirius-XM
* an not named satellite from SSL
* a satellite for TELKOM INDONESIA (likely Telkom-4)

Added the SiriusXM flights to the manifest

So, at least four GTOs recently added... possibly five, plus Kacific this week.
Must be making impression on the market that backlog is under control.

If the four or five you're referring too are the ones Skyrocket listed, only the Sirius flights are really new.

Offline AncientU

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #48 on: 09/07/2017 07:22 pm »
Aren't they additions to the manifest this year? 
New orders this year?
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Offline gongora

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #49 on: 09/07/2017 07:29 pm »
Aren't they additions to the manifest this year? 
New orders this year?

Telkom-4 is this year (we heard about it a few months ago).  PSN-6 (SSL) we've known about for over a year.  Eutelsat is one of those old contracts that's never been assigned a firm payload, speculation was it would be the Eutelsat Quantum satellite but apparently there is political pressure to launch that one on a European rocket since it has government funding.

edit: the Eutelsat contract was from early 2016 for either Quantum or something else...
SpaceNews article
« Last Edit: 09/07/2017 07:32 pm by gongora »

Offline Norm38

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #50 on: 09/08/2017 04:39 pm »
I guess it was good planning on SpaceX's part to not have another launch planned at the Cape for a month.

Offline Ragmar

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #51 on: 09/08/2017 05:04 pm »
Do we have any idea when the SXM-7 and SXM-8 launches were awarded to SpaceX or the potential value? Just a surprise to see these going on a Falcon 9 since previously they've only launched on a Zenit or Proton vehicle.

Offline jpo234

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #52 on: 09/08/2017 09:32 pm »


I guess it was good planning on SpaceX's part to not have another launch planned at the Cape for a month.

I know you meant it as a joke, but September is the peak of the hurricane season. Maybe this factored into the mission planning.
You want to be inspired by things. You want to wake up in the morning and think the future is going to be great. That's what being a spacefaring civilization is all about. It's about believing in the future and believing the future will be better than the past. And I can't think of anything more exciting than being out there among the stars.

Offline cscott

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #53 on: 09/09/2017 12:24 am »


I guess it was good planning on SpaceX's part to not have another launch planned at the Cape for a month.

I know you meant it as a joke, but September is the peak of the hurricane season. Maybe this factored into the mission planning.
It would be interesting to know what fraction of the critical path through September was allocated to: expected weather disruption (check!), Hawthorne/McGregor work (unaffected), or Cape work (likely to be delayed).

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #54 on: 09/11/2017 07:16 pm »
Several articles in the Indonesian press saying they may want to move up the Telkom 4 launch a couple months in the wake of the Telkom 1 failure.  After looking at the SpaceX manifest for 2018 my first thought is "good luck with that".

https://inet.detik.com/telecommunication/d-3637096/buyarnya-rencana-satelit-telkom-4-di-17-agustus-2018
https://beritagar.id/artikel/berita/peluncuran-satelit-telkom-4-akan-dipercepat
http://www.indotelko.com/kanal?c=id&it=ssl-satelit-telkom-4

Offline cppetrie

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #55 on: 09/11/2017 07:24 pm »
Several articles in the Indonesian press saying they may want to move up the Telkom 4 launch a couple months in the wake of the Telkom 1 failure.  After looking at the SpaceX manifest for 2018 my first thought is "good luck with that".

https://inet.detik.com/telecommunication/d-3637096/buyarnya-rencana-satelit-telkom-4-di-17-agustus-2018
https://beritagar.id/artikel/berita/peluncuran-satelit-telkom-4-akan-dipercepat
http://www.indotelko.com/kanal?c=id&it=ssl-satelit-telkom-4
Switching to a flight-proven booster might help with that.

Offline Ragmar

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #56 on: 09/11/2017 07:38 pm »
Several articles in the Indonesian press saying they may want to move up the Telkom 4 launch a couple months in the wake of the Telkom 1 failure.  After looking at the SpaceX manifest for 2018 my first thought is "good luck with that".

https://inet.detik.com/telecommunication/d-3637096/buyarnya-rencana-satelit-telkom-4-di-17-agustus-2018
https://beritagar.id/artikel/berita/peluncuran-satelit-telkom-4-akan-dipercepat
http://www.indotelko.com/kanal?c=id&it=ssl-satelit-telkom-4
Switching to a flight-proven booster might help with that.

I thought they had already confirmed they were using a recovered booster?

Offline Ragmar

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #57 on: 09/11/2017 07:46 pm »
Looks like SAOCOM 1A is now June 2018.

Quote
This Italian-Argentine system will be complete when the two SAOCOM 1A and SAOCOM 1B satellites are launched, which will be put into orbit in June 2018 and at the beginning of 2019, respectively. Dr. Laura Frulla, principal investigator of the SAOCOM mission, stressed that "this international summit is very useful for the meeting of the institutions of the different countries".

http://www.losandes.com.ar/article/cumbre-en-buenos-aires-se-pueden-anticipar-catastrofes-naturales-con-informacion-satelital

Offline Lar

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #58 on: 09/11/2017 07:59 pm »
Several articles in the Indonesian press saying they may want to move up the Telkom 4 launch a couple months in the wake of the Telkom 1 failure.  After looking at the SpaceX manifest for 2018 my first thought is "good luck with that".

https://inet.detik.com/telecommunication/d-3637096/buyarnya-rencana-satelit-telkom-4-di-17-agustus-2018
https://beritagar.id/artikel/berita/peluncuran-satelit-telkom-4-akan-dipercepat
http://www.indotelko.com/kanal?c=id&it=ssl-satelit-telkom-4
Switching to a flight-proven booster might help with that.

I thought they had already confirmed they were using a recovered booster?
Maybe if they take a block 3? LOL.
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Offline oldAtlas_Eguy

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Re: SpaceX Manifest Updates Thread 5
« Reply #59 on: 09/12/2017 05:02 pm »
Here is the math.

Using Blk 5's that have flown only in 2018, and that only BLk'5 will fly in 2018.

That each Blk 5 will be capable of 3 flights 1 as new and 2 as used without much refurbishment work. Mostly just inspections and tests, little or no hardware swap-out.

That the initial quarter of 2018 (2018 Q1) launches 4 new Blk'5. The build rate of 1st stages remains at 4 per quarter. The build rate of US starting in 2018 is increased each quarter until reaching a build rate of 12 per quarter by 2018 Q4.

Then by EOY 2018 there will have been 32 launches, with 67% of then in the last quarter being used. This used to total rate will become steady state such that a total of 48 launches is possible in 2019.

This is without requiring more manufacturing floor space.

By decreasing the 1st stage build rate to 3/quarter and increasing the US build rate to 16/quarter. By increasing the re-flight rate for each booster by 1 to 1 new and 3 used flights for a total of 4, enables a total number of launches per year of 64 also without the need for more floor space. The used to total flights rate will then be 75%.
« Last Edit: 09/12/2017 05:07 pm by oldAtlas_Eguy »

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