NASASpaceFlight.com Forum
International Space Flight (ESA, Russia, China and others) => Chinese Launchers => Topic started by: mikezang on 12/03/2021 12:56 pm
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Three reasons for this prediction:
① There will be two launches rest of this year by leader of CZ-3B. (https://weibo.com/5616492130/L3l9zDHcK?from=page_1005055616492130_profile&wvr=6&mod=weibotime)
② There will a chance to watch launching between 29-31 December from Xichang by travel plan. (https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/6rORpZpIVTEGQQqZe7divg)
③ That was 100% launched CZ-3B from Xichang. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long_March_3B)
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This one could be for Chinasat-6D
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This launch is expected from Pad 2
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This one could be for Chinasat-6D
Gunter's Space Page (https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_lau/cz-3.htm) lists a potential CZ-3B launch from Xichang involving the Tiantong-1 04 satellite.
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https://weibo.com/2462097583/L75mjg3oJ (https://weibo.com/2462097583/L75mjg3oJ)
Xichang Satellite Launch Center 2021 final battle🚀🚀🚀
Make an appointment now [doge][doge][doge]
Not many places [Tan Shou][Tan Shou][Tan Shou]
Seize the opportunity [not easy][not easy][not easy]
Don’t miss the opportunity [Thinking][Thinking][Thinking]
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December 31 through January 5 (Beijing Time):
P4672/21 NOTAMN
Q) RJJJ/QXXXX/IV/NBO/E/000/999/2229N12642E029
A) RJJJ B) 2112301500 C) 2201041900
D) 1500/1900
E) DUE TO SPACEFLIGHT ACTIVITIES,THE FLIGHT SAFETY OF THE AIRCRAFT IN
FOLLOWING AREAS MAY BE AFFECTED ON DEC 30, 2021 - JAN 03, 2022.
DETAILS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
ON DEC 30, 2021 1500 - JAN 04, 2022 1900 (UTC)
DLY 1500-1900 (UTC)
AREA:
N222700E1271222-N224507E1261720-N222949E1261131-N221142E1270625,
FOUR-POINT CONNECTION RANGE.
VERTICAL ALTITUDE: SFC-UNL
RMK/ATC WILL NOT CLEAR IFR FLT THRU THIS AREA FOR THE FLIGHT SAFETY.
F) SFC G) UNL
CREATED: 21 Dec 2021 08:43:00
SOURCE: RJAAYNYX
Q3186/21 NOTAMN
Q) RJJJ/QARCH/IV/BO/E/000/999/3310N14118E999
A) RJJJ B) 2112301500 C) 2201041900
D) 1500/1900
E) ALTN RTE ARE ESTABLISHED DUE TO SPACEFLIGHT ACTIVITIES.
1.FLT PLANNED RTE IS REQ TO BE FILED AS FLW
(1)A582 : SAKON-A582-BISIG
ALTN RTE : SAKON-ALBAX-BISIG
(2)DIRECT RTE:TUNTO-NIMOX-MAGMA
ALTN RTE : TUNTO-ALBAX-MAGMA
2.SEE NOTAM RJAAYNYX P4672/21 (DOM RJJJ 7839/21)
F) SFC G) UNL
CREATED: 21 Dec 2021 08:45:00
SOURCE: RJAAYNYX
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https://weibo.com/6884222611/L7viIqLmJ (https://weibo.com/6884222611/L7viIqLmJ)
Share a clear set of exquisite photos of the Long March 3B rocket [Glutton]//At the No. 2 station of the Xichang Satellite Launch Center, there is a Long March 3B launch vehicle on the shelves! [Not simple] It is expected to launch on the 30th (night) of this month!
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A3273/21 NOTAMN
Q) ZPKM/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/2815N10201E006
A) ZPKM B) 2112301620 C) 2112301700
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED CENTERED AT N2815E10202
WITH RADIUS OF 10KM. VERTICAL LIMITS:GND-UNL. ALL ACFT ARE
FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA.
F) GND G) UNL
CREATED: 24 Dec 2021 06:52:00
SOURCE: ZBBBYNYX
A3274/21 NOTAMN
Q) ZPKM/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/2718N10808E026
A) ZPKM B) 2112301622 C) 2112301710
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED
BY:N272159E1083650-N273125E1074313-N271528E1073946-N270603E1083315,
BACK TO START. ALL ACFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE TEMPORARY
RESTRICTED AREA.
VERTICAL LIMITS:GND-UNL.
F) GND G) UNL
CREATED: 24 Dec 2021 06:52:00
SOURCE: ZBBBYNYX
A3275/21 NOTAMN
Q) ZXXX/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/2603N11412E016
A) ZGZU ZSHA B) 2112301624 C) 2112301715
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED BY: N260808E1142921-N261444E1140013-N255857E1135553-N255223E1142456, BACK TO START. ALL ACFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA. VERTICAL LIMITS: GND-UNL.
F) GND G) UNL
CREATED: 24 Dec 2021 06:53:00
SOURCE: ZBBBYNYX
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还有一发“长三乙”!一周后西昌见 (https://mbd.baidu.com/newspage/data/dtlandingwise?nid=dt_5206992963560332071)
There is also a "CZ-3B"! See you in Xichang in a week
On the evening of December 23, "CZ-7A Y3" successfully carried out the "Shiyan 12" 01 and 02 double-star launch missions, which was a perfect ending for the Wenchang launch site space launch mission! However, don’t forget that the Xichang launch site, which is also the Xichang Satellite Launch Center, has another mission in preparation. That is the last launch of the “CZ-3B” this year, which is also the final battle at the Xichang launch site. See you in a week!
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2n stage debris:
P4762/21 - DUE TO SPACEFLIGHT ACTIVITIES,THE FLIGHT SAFETY OF THE AIRCRAFT IN
FOLLOWING AREAS MAY BE AFFECTED ON DEC 30, 2021.
DETAILS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
ON DEC 30, 2021 1635-1815 (UTC)
AREA:
N222742E1270946-N224551E1261445-N223030E1260856-N221224E1270352,
FOUR-POINT CONNECTION RANGE.
VERTICAL ALTITUDE: SFC-UNL
RMK/ATC WILL NOT CLEAR IFR FLT THRU THIS AREA FOR THE FLIGHT SAFETY. SFC - UNL,
30 DEC 16:35 2021 UNTIL 30 DEC 18:15 2021. CREATED: 24 DEC 09:56 2021
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Moved up to Dec 29:
A3303/21 NOTAMN
Q) ZPKM/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/2815N10202E006
A) ZPKM B) 2112291620 C) 2112291700
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED CENTERED AT N2815E10202 WITH RADIUS OF 10KM. VERTICAL LIMITS: GND-UNL. ALL ACFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA.
F) GND G) UNL
CREATED: 27 Dec 2021 16:32:00
SOURCE: ZBBBYNYX
A3305/21 NOTAMN
Q) ZPKM/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/2718N10808E026
A) ZPKM B) 2112291622 C) 2112291710
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED BY: N272159E1083650-N273125E1074313-N271528E1073946-N270603E1083315, BACK TO START. ALL ACFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA. VERTICAL LIMITS: SFC-UNL.
F) SFC G) UNL
CREATED: 27 Dec 2021 16:36:00
SOURCE: ZBBBYNYX
A3307/21 NOTAMN
Q) ZXXX/QRTCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/2603N11412E016
A) ZGZU ZSHA B) 2112291624 C) 2112291715
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED BY: N260808E1142921-N261444E1140013-N255857E1135553-N255223E1142456, BACK TO START. ALL ACFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA. VERTICAL LIMITS: SFC-UNL.
F) SFC G) UNL
CREATED: 27 Dec 2021 16:38:00
SOURCE: ZBBBYNYX
P4771/21 NOTAMN
Q) RJJJ/QXXXX/IV/NBO/E/000/999/2229N12639E029
A) RJJJ B) 2112291635 C) 2112291815
E) DUE TO SPACEFLIGHT ACTIVITIES,THE FLIGHT SAFETY OF THE AIRCRAFT IN
FOLLOWING AREAS MAY BE AFFECTED ON DEC 29, 2021.
DETAILS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
ON DEC 29, 2021 1635-1815 (UTC)
AREA:
N222742E1270946-N224551E1261445-N223030E1260856-N221224E1270352,
FOUR-POINT CONNECTION RANGE.
VERTICAL ALTITUDE: SFC-UNL
RMK/ATC WILL NOT CLEAR IFR FLT THRU THIS AREA FOR THE FLIGHT SAFETY.
F) SFC G) UNL
CREATED: 28 Dec 2021 00:34:00
SOURCE: RJAAYNYX
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Insiders seems to be hinting at this being finally the long reported ChinaSat 6D.
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Launch vehicle in recent minutes:
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Liftoff confirmed per social media reports.
T-0 reported to be 16:43:03 UTC.
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https://twitter.com/cosmic_penguin/status/1476241476031897606?s=21
https://twitter.com/cosmic_penguin/status/1476243270430724096?s=21
https://twitter.com/cosmic_penguin/status/1476245206135500802?s=21
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It is Communication technology test satellite No. 9 launched.
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CZ-3B s/n Y84 was used for this launch.
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This is apparently the 100th launch from Xichang’s pad #2 which started service with the 1st Long March 2E launch in July 1990.
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Some pre-launch images published by CASC in their release of the successful launch. The interesting thing is that in the press release they mention the 48 CASC launches in 2021, a help to establish the correct figure.
https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lGRpRuyyyan3ohPzzp0l7g (https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lGRpRuyyyan3ohPzzp0l7g)
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CAST’s communication and navigation satellites department (https://m.weibo.cn/u/2645044133) is the one that built the payload.
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This is apparently the 100th launch from Xichang’s pad #2 which started service with the 1st Long March 2E launch in July 1990.
I was about to mention that. My list has 7 CZ-2E, 16 CZ-3A, 61 CZ-3B, and 16 CZ-3C launched from Pad 2.
CAST’s communication and navigation satellites department (https://m.weibo.cn/u/2645044133) is the one that built the payload.
TJSW-1 and TJSW-4 were also built by CAST. Could this be the third in their series of GEO SIGNIT satellites?
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G2 or G3 variant?
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Some pre-launch images published by CASC in their release of the successful launch. The interesting thing is that in the press release they mention the 48 CASC launches in 2021, a help to establish the correct figure.
https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lGRpRuyyyan3ohPzzp0l7g (https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lGRpRuyyyan3ohPzzp0l7g)
Sadly, the FOBS launch is not in the list :-)
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Some pre-launch images published by CASC in their release of the successful launch. The interesting thing is that in the press release they mention the 48 CASC launches in 2021, a help to establish the correct figure.
https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lGRpRuyyyan3ohPzzp0l7g (https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/lGRpRuyyyan3ohPzzp0l7g)
Sadly, the FOBS launch is not in the list :-)
I haven't had time to review the list yet, but I expected this to be the case.
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So TJS-9 was launched before TJS-8?
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2021-135A/50574 in 168 x 35820 km x 27.09°
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Launch video from CCTV channel 13:
https://tv.cctv.com/2021/12/30/VIDEck35ZVkBkSkpuWEpOYET211230.shtml (https://tv.cctv.com/2021/12/30/VIDEck35ZVkBkSkpuWEpOYET211230.shtml)
also:
https://tv.cctv.com/2021/12/30/VIDEGE8Ei74JGRZcUOl8AdCB211230.shtml (https://tv.cctv.com/2021/12/30/VIDEGE8Ei74JGRZcUOl8AdCB211230.shtml)
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So TJS-9 was launched before TJS-8?
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=54523.0
If this was really a TJSW, then possibly number 8.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1W9-xf2zTrs
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G2 or G3 variant?
改进Ⅲ型 = Improved type Ⅲ
G3 Fairing 4200F
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Now in GEO at 136.5° E
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Stable at 137.3°E at epoch January 7, 22:16 UTC
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Obj. 50575 TJS-9 CZ-3B R/B decay prediction: September 16, 2022 UTC 03h02mn ± 33h
https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1568638282350608389
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Update: obj. 50575 TJS-9 CZ-3B R/B decay prediction: September 15, 2022 UTC 15h05mn ± 21h
https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1569257804841762817
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Update: obj. 50575 TJS-9 CZ-3B R/B decay prediction: September 15, 2022 UTC 10h07mn ± 8h
https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1569958956126150656
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Update: obj. 50575 TJS-9 CZ-3B R/B decay prediction: September 15, 2022 UTC 08h34mn ± 3h
https://twitter.com/jremis/status/1570148897535791104