Author Topic: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6  (Read 677302 times)

Offline VSECOTSPE

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1760 on: 02/09/2026 06:32 am »
I think that the language in the House and the Senate reports are broad enough to expand HLS (and CLPS) to become what the President proposed in his request.

Again, it’s not a question of breadth.  It’s a question of whether the language directs the start of a new program.  Report language doesn’t do that in general.  This report language especially does not.  If it did, that commercial Moon/Mars cargo/crew amendment in the FY26 authorization bill would be unnecessary.

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As you know, these reports are essentially a response to the President's request... As you know, to fully understand the text in these reports, you need to read what was initially proposed in the President's request and how Congress reacted to that request (i.e., the President's budget request is part of the context that needs to be taken into account to fully understand what the reports are saying).

That’s not how bill or report language works.  It’s not how law works in general.  The legislative and executive are (or at least were) separate branches of government.  Unless the bill or report language explicitly references something the White House or NASA published (Provided $X,XXX billion to implement NASA’s Super-Duper Space Initiative as described in the President Budget Request), we cannot assume what Congress has or has not read or what Congress is or is not incorporating or referencing or otherwise reacting to in bill or report language.  To do so is to invite all sorts of mischief that could only be settled in the courts.

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and the way that I read them is that Congress left the door wide open to the President's proposals on commercial cargo and crew transportation to the Moon and Mars.

How you read report language and what it actually directs are two separate things.

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but that doesn't mean that commercial options can't be initiated in FY26, especially if it's done by expanding existing programs.

NASA can’t willy-nilly take a lunar lander program and turn it into a Mars lander program.  That’s nutty.  That report language doesn’t direct NASA to do so.  And if you think Cantwell would let that happen, I got some lunar real estate to sell you.

To be clear, I’d love to see prizes for big Mars landers or such.  But the authority and funding aren’t in place to make it happen.  And with this White House’s latest space policy priorities and Isaacman’s repeated statements, I doubt it would happen even if Congress provided the direction and budget.

FWIW...

Offline VSECOTSPE

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1761 on: 02/09/2026 07:26 am »
I think spacecow's argument is that moving from NRHO to LLO makes Starship HLS less of a long pole, because it improves the mass margins on Starship HLS enough that it removes a lot of development risk.  I tend to agree with that argument.

I agree it reduces schedule risk.  There’s fewer program elements to coordinate, if nothing else.  But I doubt it moves the schedule to the left.  All the tasks necessary to get Lunar Starship working and to the lunar surface with crew still have to be done, regardless of where the rendezvous is at or what the mass margins are. 

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Team SLS will not be sympathetic to this argument, of course.  But there's a non-trivial chance that SpaceX will simply present it as a fait accompli.

I think folks were hoping based on an old Musk tweet that SpaceX would present an all-Starship plan that would eliminate Orion/SLS/Gateway and keep Blue out of Artemis III (or some combination of those effects).  But that’s not what has happened or where Isaacman appears to be taking SpaceX’s input:

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NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman said Jan. 30 that the agency is prepared to support those efforts. “We are going to do everything we can to enable the acceleration plans that were submitted by both HLS providers,” he said in an interview with SpaceNews.

“We are willing to rethink a lot of our requirements in order to achieve the objective on time,” he said. “We are willing to make available any resources and expertise that we have in order to better set those missions up for success.”

Asked about the acceleration plans during a Jan. 17 news conference tied to the Artemis 2 rollout, Isaacman praised both companies’ proposals without providing details.

“These are both very good plans. I would say they both reduce technical risk from where we were before,” he said. He added that a key factor will be increased launch rates to demonstrate technologies such as in-space propellant transfer, which is critical for both the Blue Moon Mark 2 lander and SpaceX’s Starship.

“So, I’d say if we’re on track, we should be watching an awful lot of New Glenns and Starships launch in the years ahead.”

https://spacenews.com/blue-origin-halts-new-shepard-flights/

There’s no reference to a new architecture or the elimination of legacy architecture elements (Orion/SLS and Gateway) in Isaacman’s message.  There’s not even the downselect between SpaceX and Blue implied by Duffy’s claimed reopening of the HLS competition.  It’s just NASA willing to work with each contractor separately to accelerate their existing milestones.

FWIW...
« Last Edit: 02/09/2026 08:50 am by VSECOTSPE »

Offline VSECOTSPE

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1762 on: 02/09/2026 07:40 am »
We're getting to the point where even Republicans are starting to get frustrated by the wild gyrations of this administration, especially in the Senate. The trust is no longer there.

Yeah, without opening these controversial topics for debate here, I think Greenland and Minneapolis were turning points  The video on the Obamas and the continued lack of focus on campaign economic promises don’t help.  Domestically, I doubt Trump II will be able to get much new done unilaterally going forward, which is what putting Orion/SLS on a going out-of-business slope needed a lot of.  The Administration will increasingly need Congressional cooperation, and as Cruz demonstrated, Congress wasn't going to compromise much on Orion/SLS in the first place.

Wasted opportunity... FWIW...
« Last Edit: 02/09/2026 07:45 pm by VSECOTSPE »

Offline VSECOTSPE

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1763 on: 02/09/2026 08:33 am »
Actually I explicitly stated that this is not what I'm implying: "I never claimed this single event can 100% assure us that he'll follow the plan completely", what I said was: "it IS evidence that the plan still plays a part in his actions as NASA administrator." and I stand by this statement.

I don’t know how anyone can stand by a statement with double and triple negatives and that quotes themselves two different ways, but okay.

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Oh, and it's no longer just an invitation to a telecon now, as the Workforce Directive he just sent out to all of NASA on Jan 14th also comes from Project Athena.

I’m sorry but a feel-good H/R “directive” to “recognize, reward, and inspire” is about as useless as a telecon with journalists in terms of predicting where Isaacman is headed programmatically and technically.

Much more relevant is the fact that he’s repeating the testimony from his nomination hearings about waiting until after Artemis V+ to effect a transition off Orion/SLS.  See post #1759 above.
 
Also much more relevant is Isaacman’s memo on insourcing NASA’s core competencies.  That’s the opposite of outsourcing capabilities like lunar crew transport or Mars landings, and it wasn’t part of Athena:

https://nasawatch.com/ask-the-administrator/nasa-announces-a-new-directive-but-wont-let-you-read-it/

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@TheRadicalModerate already explained this. SLS/Orion not being the long pole and whether removing them can accelerate the lander are two separate issues, one does not lead to the other.

I replied to RadMod in post #1761 above.  There’s a difference between schedule risk and the actual schedule.  RadMod thought you were writing about Gateway, but the same applies to Orion/SLS.

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There _is_ more money, as I said Congress increased HLS funding beyond what is requested in PBR, for the explicit purpose of speed up the lander

Lander work, not changing the architecture, eliminating architecture elements, adding Mars landings, or any of the other goofy interpretations upthread.  Per post #1761, Isaacman is not headed in those directions after seeing the SpaceX and Blue acceleration plans.

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You stated: "NASA spending is limited to what’s in appropriations law.", but now you're saying NASA CAN create new program - with its associated spending - by making an op plan change request and get approval from Congress, which by definition is NOT "limited to what’s in appropriations law"

Op Plans have to be consistent with the account totals and transfer authorities provided in appropriations law.  Even then, large op plan changes of the kind being discussed here are severely frowned upon absent exigent circumstances like emergencies (think hurricane damage to NASA facilities and the like).

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BTW, as I said earlier, recent bill language doesn't even cover SLS/Orion, they are in the report instead. And many new programs are not in the bill language, for example HLS never appeared in the bill language, they were only mentioned in report.

These programs don’t need authorization in appropriation bill language because the congressional authority to proceed for these programs was provided in bill language in NASA authorization bills, 2010 for Orion/SLS and 2022 for HLS.

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they don't put individual programs in bill language any more, it's all in the report.

See directly above.

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No, he's wrong, and your comment says he's wrong.

Jim is still right.  At the end of the day, no matter what the White House or NASA Administrator do, Congress determines the disposition of the NASA budget.  Unless the President is willing to veto a spending bill on the basis of a NASA issue, which AFAIK has never happened in NASA’s 60+ year history, Congress controls the purse.

I agree that on an issue like determining when Orion/SLS get ramped down and when alternatives get ramped up, White House lobbying (strong-arming and horse-trading) and the programmatic and technical authority of the NASA Administrator can strongly influence or even box in Congress.  But Jim is still right — the final funding decisions are up to Congress.

FWIW...
« Last Edit: 02/09/2026 07:48 pm by VSECOTSPE »

Offline VSECOTSPE

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1764 on: 02/09/2026 08:36 am »
VSE also envisioned the Ares V launch vehicle, but never implemented it.

Minor correction to an otherwise very accurate post... VSE envisioned a need for heavy lift, but it did not envision Ares V in terms of that design or that name.

FWIW...

Offline VSECOTSPE

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1765 on: 02/09/2026 08:42 am »
I have a couple of questions if anyone knows the answer.  Right now Earth is getting hit with a major solar storm.  The predictions are for a good show of northern lights for much of the country tonight.  Am I safe in assuming that Artemis II wouldn't launch during such an event?

maybe this helps

https://www.nasa.gov/artemis-ii-press-kit/

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Solar Activity

Do not launch during severe or extreme solar activity resulting in increased density of solar energetic particles with the potential to damage electronic circuits and make radio communication with the launch vehicle difficult or impossible.

I’d just add that unmanned mission launches also get moved by solar activity.  For example, the ESCAPADE launch on New Glenn was scheduled at one point for November 12 last year but got shifted to November 13 due to “highly elevated space weather activity”.

FWIW...

Offline woods170

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1766 on: 02/09/2026 09:16 am »
SLS is in trouble

No offense Jim, but we've heard that dozens of times before in the past five years.

I'll believe SLS is in trouble once I see a signed executive order to kill the vehicle, followed by a Congressional Budget, signed into law by the president, that sets the SLS budget at zero dollars.

Not until that happens will I believe that SLS actually is in trouble.
« Last Edit: 02/09/2026 09:19 am by woods170 »

Offline VSECOTSPE

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1767 on: 02/09/2026 09:27 am »
The type of contracting (cost-plus) is a problem too. A fixed cost for a service/public private partnership option would provide for much better results.

No.  This is cargo cult thinking,  Contract type is a third order consideration, at best.

What’s most important is the competitive structure of the program.  The program manager has to be able to credibly threaten a contract with termination.  That usually means more than one performer — either head-to-head or leader/follower competition.  Or it means some other kind of alternative — we’ll just keep using the legacy system, rely on an international partner, etc.  If there is only one performer and the contract is important, then the contractor has the government over a barrel and practically every large contractor today will screw over the government to maximize revenue for shareholders, regardless of contract type.  (SpaceX may be the exception, but that will probably change if/when they go public later this year.)

Second most important is the requirements.  Long, complex, poorly written, poorly thought- out, multi-hundred page requirements documents will kill programs regardless of contract type.  They leave no room for contractor innovation and provide lots of excuses for contractor mischief.

See EELV.  Fixed price but ULA screwed over the Air Force for tens of billions in the absence of any competition after Boeing and LockMart consolidated.  When SpaceX broke into EELV, ULA changed its org and cost structure and began charging less, things it could have done years ago but did not pursue in the absence of a competitor.

See CCDev.  Boeing had a fixed price contract but they still asked for a received additional hundreds of millions because NASA leadership didn’t think SpaceX was a credible competitor.  Who knows if Starlines will ever be operational, but Boeing started writing off its overruns only after Crew Dragon became real.

See SMD.  They’ve got data on both fixed-price and cost-plus missions and don’t see fewer or lower magnitude overruns from either.

The magic sauce of COTS was head-to-head competition (including the termination and replacement of one contractor with another) and a two-page requirement document.  People think the fixed-price contracts and public-private cost sharing were key because those things have names.  But that’s cargo cult thinking.  They are not and a cost-plus contract with a solid competitive structure and simple, short requirements will be successful where a fixed-price contract with no competition and gigabytes of requirements will fail. 

Contractor lawyers and procurement personnel will always be better at gaming contracts of any type than their government counterparts because they’re (much) better paid.  The only way a government manager can defend themselves against this inherent imbalance is with a credible threat of termination and smart requirements that disincentivize and minimize opportunities for gaming contracts.

FWIW...

Offline VSECOTSPE

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1768 on: 02/09/2026 09:34 am »
SLS is in trouble

What have you heard, Jim?

Offline Jim

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1769 on: 02/09/2026 01:42 pm »
SLS is in trouble

What have you heard, Jim?


If Mars is off the table and SpaceX is all in on the moon, then Starship is going to be more than just a lander for Artemis.

Offline Proponent

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1770 on: 02/09/2026 02:46 pm »
SLS is in trouble

What have you heard, Jim?


If Mars is off the table and SpaceX is all in on the moon, then Starship is going to be more than just a lander for Artemis.

Are we talking "trouble" before Artemis V?

Why would the ultimate arbiter, namely Sen. Cruz, suddenly now be open to this, given that Orion/SLS has been so successful (at funnelling public money to the right places)?

Online yg1968

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1771 on: 02/09/2026 02:50 pm »
The type of contracting (cost-plus) is a problem too. A fixed cost for a service/public private partnership option would provide for much better results.

No.  This is cargo cult thinking,  Contract type is a third order consideration, at best.

What’s most important is the competitive structure of the program.  The program manager has to be able to credibly threaten a contract with termination.  That usually means more than one performer — either head-to-head or leader/follower competition.  Or it means some other kind of alternative — we’ll just keep using the legacy system, rely on an international partner, etc.  If there is only one performer and the contract is important, then the contractor has the government over a barrel and practically every large contractor today will screw over the government to maximize revenue for shareholders, regardless of contract type.  (SpaceX may be the exception, but that will probably change if/when they go public later this year.)

Second most important is the requirements.  Long, complex, poorly written, poorly thought- out, multi-hundred page requirements documents will kill programs regardless of contract type.  They leave no room for contractor innovation and provide lots of excuses for contractor mischief.

See EELV.  Fixed price but ULA screwed over the Air Force for tens of billions in the absence of any competition after Boeing and LockMart consolidated.  When SpaceX broke into EELV, ULA changed its org and cost structure and began charging less, things it could have done years ago but did not pursue in the absence of a competitor.

See CCDev.  Boeing had a fixed price contract but they still asked for a received additional hundreds of millions because NASA leadership didn’t think SpaceX was a credible competitor.  Who knows if Starlines will ever be operational, but Boeing started writing off its overruns only after Crew Dragon became real.

See SMD.  They’ve got data on both fixed-price and cost-plus missions and don’t see fewer or lower magnitude overruns from either.

The magic sauce of COTS was head-to-head competition (including the termination and replacement of one contractor with another) and a two-page requirement document.  People think the fixed-price contracts and public-private cost sharing were key because those things have names.  But that’s cargo cult thinking.  They are not and a cost-plus contract with a solid competitive structure and simple, short requirements will be successful where a fixed-price contract with no competition and gigabytes of requirements will fail. 

Contractor lawyers and procurement personnel will always be better at gaming contracts of any type than their government counterparts because they’re (much) better paid.  The only way a government manager can defend themselves against this inherent imbalance is with a credible threat of termination and smart requirements that disincentivize and minimize opportunities for gaming contracts.

FWIW...


We don't disagree on just about everything that you said. When I said "a service/public private partnership option would provide for much better results", it also entailed the other things that you said. The only thing that we disagree on is that I don't think that you get COTS like results unless you have fixed costs. So I think that fixed cost isn't third order; it's first order, along with the other things that you mentioned in your post. I agree that competition is very important which is why I was supportive of a second HLS lander and that I am also supportive of keeping Starliner.
« Last Edit: 02/09/2026 04:08 pm by yg1968 »

Offline saturnsky

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1772 on: 02/09/2026 03:01 pm »
No Mars,,,changes in direction at Tesla,,,now the Moon,,,,,can NASA afford to depend on Space X to provide a viable landing system....isnt their concept, refueling, multiple rendezvous, and a rocket that has yet to reach orbit, a gamble,,,,,re open the contract,,,allow Blue Origin far simpler rocket and lander concept to have a chance

Online yg1968

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1773 on: 02/09/2026 03:13 pm »
Again, it’s not a question of breadth.  It’s a question of whether the language directs the start of a new program.  Report language doesn’t do that in general.  This report language especially does not.  If it did, that commercial Moon/Mars cargo/crew amendment in the FY26 authorization bill would be unnecessary.

A lot of stuff in Authorization bills are unnecessary. Congress authorizers like to take credit for stuff that NASA is already doing. The NASA Authorization bill is for FY26 and the CJS appropriations bill for FY26 has already been enacted. I disagree that the language in the FY26 Reports isn't broad enough to start these programs. That is not how I read them and it is also not what they say either.

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That’s not how bill or report language works.  It’s not how law works in general.  The legislative and executive are (or at least were) separate branches of government.  Unless the bill or report language explicitly references something the White House or NASA published (Provided $X,XXX billion to implement NASA’s Super-Duper Space Initiative as described in the President Budget Request), we cannot assume what Congress has or has not read or what Congress is or is not incorporating or referencing or otherwise reacting to in bill or report language.  To do so is to invite all sorts of mischief that could only be settled in the courts.

I was talking about the reports, not the bill itself. The Reports aren't law and they often say that it funds a program up until the President's Budget request. So obviously the President's request matters when reading the Reports. The Reports and the President's request are all part of the context of a bill. None of them are binding, they are just context related to the CJS Appropriations bill.

Ideally, a program should be initiated in an Authorization bill but that is often not how it works anymore. There is so few authorization bills now that a lot of programs are just started through the appropriations process.

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How you read report language and what it actually directs are two separate things.

It isn't. You read the reports as being meaningless. They are not meaningless. They are trying to accomplish something which the CJS Appropriations bill is also trying to do.

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NASA can’t willy-nilly take a lunar lander program and turn it into a Mars lander program.  That’s nutty.  That report language doesn’t direct NASA to do so.  And if you think Cantwell would let that happen, I got some lunar real estate to sell you.

Eric Berger confirmed that there is funding for CMPS in the FY26 Budget. You read the reports to be meaningless, they are not meaningless.
« Last Edit: 02/09/2026 04:06 pm by yg1968 »

Online yg1968

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1774 on: 02/09/2026 03:28 pm »
No Mars,,,changes in direction at Tesla,,,now the Moon,,,,,can NASA afford to depend on Space X to provide a viable landing system....isnt their concept, refueling, multiple rendezvous, and a rocket that has yet to reach orbit, a gamble,,,,,re open the contract,,,allow Blue Origin far simpler rocket and lander concept to have a chance

The contract has already been opened for both companies in order to accelerate the timeline for Artemis III. In the case of Blue, it seems that they have proposed a 1.5 alternative option (a combination of their Mark 1 and Mark 2 Blue Moon lander) that does not require refueling. In SpaceX's case, it seems that they are accelerating things by dropping their Mars plans in the short term (5 to 7 years).

Online yg1968

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1775 on: 02/09/2026 05:26 pm »
That report language does not authorize or fund a Mars cargo program.  It doesn’t say start a program to deliver cargo to Mars.  It’s just says NASA should accelerate the development of certain capabilities.   Language to start a program is found in bill language and looks something like “Provided $XXXM to demonstrate the delivery of human-scale cargo to the surface of Mars and procure follow-on deliveries.”  Without explicit bill language like that, the lawyers at HQ won’t let the program go forward. 

I ran into a similar issue regarding the language to start NASA’s prize program.  We had signed bill language — law — that we thought authorized the program, but there was some snafu in the wording.  The HQ lawyers wouldn’t sign off, and we had to wait a year — another appropriations cycle to get the right language in the next bill — before starting the program.  It was the lawyers’ fault that they didn’t catch the issue in earlier review cycles.  (In a fit of anger over their incompetence, I literally threw a pen at them over this.)  But that didn’t change the outcome, which ended up taking the momentum out of the program.  It never really recovered.

Thanks for the interesting information on the prize program but the CJS appropriations bills for FY26 only provides for a very high level of appropriations for exploration as a whole, not for specific programs (see the quote below). It doesn't say how much each program gets. The specific amounts for each program are sometimes in the Reports/Explanatory Statements but sometimes not. Often the only place that they appear is in the President's budget request. 

Quote from: pages 91 and 92 of the CJS Appropriations bill
12 EXPLORATION
13 For necessary expenses, not otherwise provided for,
14 in the conduct and support of exploration research and
15 development activities, including research, development,
16 operations, support, and services; maintenance and repair,
17 facility planning and design; space flight, spacecraft con
18 trol, and communications activities; program manage
19 ment; personnel and related costs, including uniforms or
20 allowances therefor, as authorized by sections 5901 and
21 5902 of title 5, United States Code; travel expenses; pur
22 chase and hire of passenger motor vehicles; and purchase,
23 lease, charter, maintenance, and operation of mission and
24 administrative aircraft, $7,783,000,000, to remain avail
25 able until September 30, 2027: Provided, That the Na

1 tional Aeronautics and Space Administration shall provide
2 to the Committees on Appropriations of the House of Rep
3 resentatives and the Senate, concurrent with the annual
4 budget submission, a 5-year budget profile for an inte
5 grated system that includes the Space Launch System, the
6 Orion Multi-Purpose Crew Vehicle, Human Landing Sys
7 tem, and associated ground systems.

https://docs.house.gov/billsthisweek/20260105/CDS92500.PDF
« Last Edit: 02/09/2026 05:37 pm by yg1968 »

Offline VSECOTSPE

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1776 on: 02/09/2026 07:07 pm »
If Mars is off the table and SpaceX is all in on the moon, then Starship is going to be more than just a lander for Artemis.

Gotcha.  Thought maybe you had inside info on the hydrogen leaks.

Agree that if Starship works, the logical conclusion is that Orion/SLS gets swept aside by Starship at some point in the future.

But politics isn’t logical.  Since Cruz’s reconciliation bill extended Orion/SLS to Artemis V, and Isaacman/Trump II just rolled over instead of sticking to termination after Artemis III, I think the odds that Artemis will be stuck with Orion/SLS for the foreseeable future have gone up.  I think the Orion/SLS mafia will just keep lobbying Congress for further extensions and Congress will put them in annual appropriations.  Whoever got Cruz’s ear showed the way.  While Isaacman has and will pay visionary lip service to a transition sometime after Artemis V, the new Trump II  policy is focused on Artemis III by 2028 and any actual transition decision or start will have to wait until after January 2029.  Who knows what things will look like then and whether the politics of Orion/SLS can be overcome.

The analogy is not perfect, but I think this may be the AMTRAK-ification of Artemis and NASA.  While the rest of the space sector moves onto resuable LVs — sorta like how the vast majority of long-distance US passenger transport moved from rail to airlines and highways decades ago — NASA will be stuck with one Artemis mission every couple years because Orion/SLS satisfies certain local, political needs across the nation.

My 2 cents... FWIW.

Offline VSECOTSPE

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1777 on: 02/09/2026 07:37 pm »
That is not how I read them... The Reports aren’t law... None of them are binding...

You can read report language however you want, but it doesn’t provide legal authority to proceed with a new program.  That has to be in bill language, whether authorization or appropriations,

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and they often say that it funds a program up until the President's Budget request.
big

Adding funding to an existing, already authorized program is not the same as providing authority to proceed with a new program.

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You read the reports as being meaningless. They are not meaningless.

For what you’re trying to do here — start a new program to demonstrate big Mars landers or transport cargo to Mars — report language is meaningless.  It doesn’t provide the legal authority to proceed that NASA needs.

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Eric Berger confirmed that there is funding for CMPS in the FY26 Budget. You read the reports to be meaningless, they are not meaningless.

[start NASA HQ attorney voice] What “CMPS” are you talking about?  There’s no “CMPS” acronym or associated program title in the President’s Budget Request.  Or in NASA’s FY26 appropriations.  Or even in report language.  Back in the Shuttle days, we had a Commercial Materials Processing in Space program.  Is that what you’re talking about?  No?  Big Mars landers?  Big Mars cargo?  What big Mars landers?  What cargo?  The President’s new space policy says to prepare for Mars, we have to gets astros back on the Moon by 2028.  It says nothing about CMPS or Mars landers or Mars cargo.  Stop wasting my time and get out of my office, kid. [end NASA HQ attorney voice]

I know what you mean by CMPS.  But just because some space cadets on an Internet forum have a common understanding doesn’t mean that the people responsible for writing and interpreting the law (of which there is actually none in this case) necessary to implement such a program share that understanding,

Thanks for the interesting information on the prize program but the CJS appropriations bills for FY26 only provides for a very high level of appropriations for exploration as a whole, not for specific programs (see the quote below). It doesn't say how much each program gets. The specific amounts for each program are sometimes in the Reports/Explanatory Statements but sometimes not. Often the only place that they appear is in the President's budget request.

Again, additional appropriations for an existing program is not the same thing as authorization to proceed with a new program.

FWIW...
« Last Edit: 02/09/2026 07:40 pm by VSECOTSPE »

Offline woods170

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1778 on: 02/09/2026 08:12 pm »
SLS is in trouble

What have you heard, Jim?


If Mars is off the table and SpaceX is all in on the moon, then Starship is going to be more than just a lander for Artemis.

Not until after Artemis V at least, which would not put "SLS in trouble" for at least another seven years. SLS is in trouble once U.S. Congress zeroes out the budget for SLS. IMO that won't happen in the next five years. But I would love to be proven wrong.

Online DanClemmensen

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Re: NASA's Artemis Program Updates and Discussion Thread 6
« Reply #1779 on: 02/09/2026 08:19 pm »
If Mars is off the table and SpaceX is all in on the moon, then Starship is going to be more than just a lander for Artemis.
Not until after Artemis V at least, which would not put "SLS in trouble" for at least another seven years. SLS is in trouble once U.S. Congress zeroes out the budget for SLS. IMO that won't happen in the next five years. But I would love to be proven wrong.
I think "all in" implies that SpaceX will be sending its own non-NASA missions to the moon when it is feasible. This could easily be before Artemis IV. If a non-NASA crewed landing occurs with no SLS/Orion it becomes really hard to justify SLS/Orion at all. The exact timing of SLS/Orion cancellation is hard to predict in this case.

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