.....Vulkan will fly only 1 time, but successfully, although the lander will crash...
Quote from: Blackhavvk on 01/01/2023 03:54 pm.....Vulkan will fly only 1 time, but successfully, although the lander will crash...What leads you to think the Peregrine lander will crash?PS: Belated welcome to the forum.
Quote from: AS_501 on 01/01/2023 04:25 pmQuote from: Blackhavvk on 01/01/2023 03:54 pm.....Vulkan will fly only 1 time, but successfully, although the lander will crash...What leads you to think the Peregrine lander will crash?PS: Belated welcome to the forum.A few reasons.1) Commercial space programs face more contingencies than state-owned ones, which gained a lot of experience from their accidents back in the 60s. It is naive to assume that all landing missions will be successful.2) The current rush and the relationship with the first flight of the new launch vehicle will create prerequisites for accidents.3) Competition with IM creates additional pressure.But this is just an assumption, of course I wish success to all lunar landers.PS Thx
Quote from: Blackhavvk on 01/01/2023 04:55 pmQuote from: AS_501 on 01/01/2023 04:25 pmQuote from: Blackhavvk on 01/01/2023 03:54 pm.....Vulkan will fly only 1 time, but successfully, although the lander will crash...What leads you to think the Peregrine lander will crash?PS: Belated welcome to the forum.A few reasons.1) Commercial space programs face more contingencies than state-owned ones, which gained a lot of experience from their accidents back in the 60s. It is naive to assume that all landing missions will be successful.2) The current rush and the relationship with the first flight of the new launch vehicle will create prerequisites for accidents.3) Competition with IM creates additional pressure.But this is just an assumption, of course I wish success to all lunar landers.PS ThxIn reference to your point, Israel's Beresheet was a privately-funded lander, but India's Chandrayaan-2 was state-owned.Back to the topic: I'd like to add 'Beresheet-1' and 'Chandrayaan-3' landings to 2023, but I don't know if either is planned for this year.
Ian: You're the second person to predict that Peregrine will crash. Do you guys know something I don't know?
Quote from: AS_501 on 01/02/2023 12:18 amIan: You're the second person to predict that Peregrine will crash. Do you guys know something I don't know? No, they don't, and neither do I. But I also predict that Peregrine will crash. But that is just because I'm a hardcore cynic.
US There will be almost 100 launches. Some accidents for small private rockets. Vulkan will fly only 1 time, but successfully, although the lander will crash. Starship will carry out a mission with a controversial outcome, which some will consider a success and some a failure. About 65 Falcons will be launched, all successful. CN No significant events. About 70 launches. Several failures with light carriers.RU Over 30 launches. MS-23 will fly empty, cosmonauts and astronaut will remain until MS-24. The MS-22 will return empty with no problem. Luna 25 will land successfully. There will be no launch of Angrara from Vostochny, it will be postponed to 2024. There will be at least 2 launches of A5 from Plesetsk. Soyuz 5 will not be launched and will be scheduled for a new launch site in Russia.EU Only 3 starts. The Ariane 6 will only have one test flight, the Vega won't be cleared until 2024.IN 7 launches. Chandrayan will land successfully, more delays on the manned program. SSLV successful.JP 3 launches. H-3 successful.IR, SK and NK All at least one successful launch. All at least one successful launch.
Asteroid passes close to Earth but doesn’t hit Earth