Author Topic: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion  (Read 120309 times)

Offline FutureSpaceTourist

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #60 on: 07/31/2024 07:45 pm »
https://twitter.com/russianspaceweb/status/1818667538575745300

Quote
After brisk rate of 8 launches in the first 5 months of 2024, there was not a single Russian orbital launch attempt in the past 2 months, putting Roskosmos on track for a record-low space activities this century as war and sanctions choke the economy: https://russianspaceweb.com/2024.html

Offline zubenelgenubi

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #61 on: 08/02/2024 02:03 am »
Other than the August 15 Progress MS-28 launch and the September 11 Soyuz MS-26 launch, are there any other Russian orbital launches (even if only rumored) in the near future?
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Offline Alter Sachse

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #62 on: 08/02/2024 12:10 pm »
Other than the August 15 Progress MS-28 launch and the September 11 Soyuz MS-26 launch, are there any other Russian orbital launches (even if only rumored) in the near future?
Bion is postponed to 2025.
A Glonass may be launched.
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Offline Alter Sachse

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #63 on: 08/22/2024 04:22 pm »
The next crews

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Offline zubenelgenubi

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #64 on: 08/30/2024 05:39 pm »
Is this promised service via a satellite constellation currently under development?
https://hightech.plus/2024/05/23/na-vseh-rossiiskih-samoletah-i-v-poezdah-rzhd-k-2028-godu-poyavitsya-wi-fi
Google translate:
Quote
May 23 at 11:52

Russian Minister of Digital Development, Communications and Mass Media Maksut Shadayev said that by 2028, internet on board aircraft will be ubiquitous. This will be possible thanks to the creation of a Russian satellite constellation, an alternative to Starlink. All long-distance Russian Railways trains will also be connected to satellite internet, and the connection in them will be constant, and not just at large stations. It is planned that the first working satellites for this constellation will be launched into orbit in 2026, and by 2030 their number will increase to 737.

"When we launch (the satellite) constellation. In 2028, I think," the minister said, answering a relevant question on the sidelines of the Digital Industry of Industrial Russia (CIPR-2024) conference. As a representative of the Ministry of Digital Development reported, the introduction of Wi-Fi on board Russian aircraft is connected with the implementation of a satellite Internet project by the company Bureau 1440.
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Offline russianhalo117

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #65 on: 08/31/2024 02:15 am »
Is this promised service via a satellite constellation currently under development?
https://hightech.plus/2024/05/23/na-vseh-rossiiskih-samoletah-i-v-poezdah-rzhd-k-2028-godu-poyavitsya-wi-fi
Google translate:
Quote
May 23 at 11:52

Russian Minister of Digital Development, Communications and Mass Media Maksut Shadayev said that by 2028, internet on board aircraft will be ubiquitous. This will be possible thanks to the creation of a Russian satellite constellation, an alternative to Starlink. All long-distance Russian Railways trains will also be connected to satellite internet, and the connection in them will be constant, and not just at large stations. It is planned that the first working satellites for this constellation will be launched into orbit in 2026, and by 2030 their number will increase to 737.

"When we launch (the satellite) constellation. In 2028, I think," the minister said, answering a relevant question on the sidelines of the Digital Industry of Industrial Russia (CIPR-2024) conference. As a representative of the Ministry of Digital Development reported, the introduction of Wi-Fi on board Russian aircraft is connected with the implementation of a satellite Internet project by the company Bureau 1440.
The Bureau 1440's Rassvet programme:
Bureau 1440 [Rassvet] 12 launches annually with 15 sats per launch from NET 2026 to NLT 2035:
NET 2026-NLT 2035 (xxx:xx:xx:xx.xxx) – Bureau 1440 [Rassvet]: L01-01 (001), L01-02 (002), L01-03 (003), L01-04 (004), L01-05 (005), L01-06 (006), L01-07 (007), L01-08 (008), L01-09 (009), L01-10 (010), L01-11 (011), L01-12 (012), L01-13 (013), L01-14 (014), L01-15 (015)– Soyuz-2-1b/Fregat-M (x15000-xxx/xxx-xxx) – Vostochniy, 1S
« Last Edit: 08/31/2024 02:19 am by russianhalo117 »

Offline SMS

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #66 on: 09/26/2024 01:12 pm »
Time for another long awaited update (WIP):
Remarks

№ - UTC Date (Format: DDD:HH:MM:SS:MS) – Satellite(s) – Rocket/Upper stage – Cosmodrome (Site/Pad) - Remarks

2024

№ - UTC Date (Format: DDD:HH:MM:SS:MS) – Satellite(s) – Rocket/Upper stage – Cosmodrome (Site/Pad) - Remarks

04 - March 23 (083:3612:10.573) – Soyuz MS-25 (№756 (VE-21)) – Soyuz-2-1A (M15000-066) – Baikonur, 31/6

---
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Offline Alter Sachse

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #67 on: 09/26/2024 02:05 pm »
NK forum
04 - 23 марта - Союз МС-25 (№756) - Союз-2-1А - Байконур 31/6 - 15:36:10.573

Roscosmos
15:36:11

12:36:10:573 UTC
« Last Edit: 09/26/2024 02:12 pm by Alter Sachse »
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Offline Alter Sachse

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #68 on: 09/27/2024 07:34 am »
This was meant as a hint that the launch time in the lists
Plan of Russian space launches (part 2)
and
NSF threads about performed Russian space launches
are not correct.
(Soyuz MS 25)
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Offline russianhalo117

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #69 on: 10/24/2024 08:06 pm »

Ekspress-AMU5/AMU6 mission split
Quote
Ekspress-AMU5/AMU6 mission split

Plans to launch a pair of Ekspress AMU-5 and -AMU6 communications satellites on a single vehicle appeared in public documents around 2020. Both spacecraft were expected to be fully equipped with domestically produced components and intended for orbital positions 140 and 53 degrees East longitude respectively.

In 2022, the development of the pair was promised to start in 2023, and the joint launch was expected in 2027. However, during 2024, the mission first shifted to 2028 and, in October 2024, a presentation at the SATCOMRUS conference by Aleksei Volin, the Director General of the Kosmicheskaya Svyaz operator, listed their launch in January 2029. The same document also showed the launch of the additional Ekspress-AMU52 satellite in July 2029, into the same orbital position with Ekspress-AMU51 at 140 degrees East for specific coverage of the Russian Far East and Siberia.

Among explanations for "splitting" the Ekspress AMU-5 mission into the -AMU51 and -AMU52, could be the increase in mass of the satellites, associated with the switch to indigenous components, which could not be accommodated by the capabilities of the Angara-5 launch vehicle or a prognosis for a higher demand at this position not covered by an available satellite platform.

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #70 on: 10/25/2024 09:49 pm »
Navigation warnings have appeared for the launch of a Soyuz-2.1a or Soyuz-2.1b into polar orbit.

Impact area for the first-stage strap-on boosters in the southern part of the White Sea:

Quote
ПРИП АРХАНГЕЛЬСК 100
КАРТА 91306
ЮЖНАЯ ЧАСТЬ БЕЛОГО МОРЯ
1.   ПУСКИ РАКЕТНЫЕ
31 ОКТ ПО 05 НОЯБ 0700 ДО 0900
РАЙОНЕ ЗАПРЕТНОМ ДЛЯ ПЛАВАНИЯ
66-10.0С 037-10.0В
66-00.0C 038-20.0В
65-30.0С 038-30.0В
65-30.0С 037-30.0В
2. ОТМ ЭТОТ НР 051000 НОЯБ=
251100 МСК ГС-
НННН

Impact area for the payload fairing in the Barents Sea:
Quote
NAVAREA XX 158/24
BARENTS SEA.
CHART RUS 10100.
1. ROCKET LAUNCHING 0700 TO 0900 UTC
DAILY 31 OCT TO 05 NOV NAVIGATION
PROHIBITED IN TERRITORIAL WATERS
DANGEROUS OUTSIDE IN AREA BOUNDED BY:
70-56-00N 032-04-58E
70-10-00N 033-40-00E
69-54-00N 032-40-00E
70-08-00N 032-04-58E,
70-15-00N 031-50-00E
70-30-07N 031-50-00E
70-36-22N 031-43-18E.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 051000 UTC NOV 24.=
NNNN

No navigation warning yet for the core stage. This should appear soon.

Offline zubenelgenubi

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #71 on: 12/09/2024 07:10 pm »
Any news about Gagarin's Start Baikonur launch complex returning to service?

Edit/add:
I missed this last year; from Eric Berger:
After six decades, ‘Gagarin’s Start’ will meet its end as a launch pad [16 Oct 2023]
Agreement for funding from UAE fell through after Russia invaded Ukraine.
Quote
Russia and Kazakhstan have been searching for other potential investors in the project during the last two years but apparently have found no takers. So last month, according to the Russian state news service TASS, a commission of Russian and Kazakh officials decided to instead convert Gagarin's Start into a museum complex to preserve its historic heritage.
<snip>
The Soyuz 2 rocket already can launch from spaceports in the northern and eastern parts of Russia, at Plesetsk and Vostochny, respectively. And Russia is more interested in investing in those facilities since they are not leased from Kazakhstan.
Also, discussion of the war destroying Roskosmos' international launch market, severely throttling Soyuz-2 launch demand.
« Last Edit: 12/09/2024 07:21 pm by zubenelgenubi »
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Offline russianhalo117

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #72 on: 12/17/2024 07:18 pm »
RSW 2025
Quote
First quarter: A Soyuz-2.1a rocket to launch the Obzor-R remote-sensing satellite. In early 2024, the launch was expected in the second quarter of that year, but by August 2024, it was postponed until the fourth quarter of 2024 and by September 2024, it was postponed until the first quarter of 2025. The unboard payload for the first Obzor-R was delivered to RKTs Progress for final integration in April 2024, making it possible the shipment of the satellite to the launch site in December 2024 and its launch in the first quarter of 2025, according to RKTs Progress. However, unofficial sources said in the Fall of 2024, that the Kasatka-R radar payload had to be shipped back to its manufacturer, NII TP, for upgrades after failing tests, which was the main reason that pushed the mission from 2024 into 2025.
« Last Edit: 12/17/2024 07:19 pm by russianhalo117 »

Offline JSz

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #73 on: 12/31/2024 06:13 pm »
On a Russian forum  (https://forum-novosti--kosmonavtiki-ru.translate.goog/index.php?PHPSESSID=pu365b639lkedttgump92ln2v0&topic=15496.1280&_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=nui) I found this information:

Quote
https://www.roscosmos.ru/41108/

Starting in 2025, the duration of Soyuz MS spacecraft flights is planned to be increased from six to seven to nine months, which will save one spacecraft every two years.
(...)

In my country the Roscosmos website is blocked, so I cannot check this information with the source. Can anyone confirm it?
If so, the following launch changes would occur:

Soyuz MS-27: Apr 2025 -> no change
Soyuz MS-28: Nov 2025 -> Jan 2026
Soyuz MS-29: Mar 2026 -> Oct 2026
Soyuz MS-30: Oct 2026 -> Jul 2027
etc.

Offline JSz

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #74 on: 01/01/2025 02:49 pm »
I managed (thanks to SMS) to get to the blocked page, so I'm posting the original text regarding future Soyuz flights to the ISS:

Quote
Начиная с 2025 года длительности полётов кораблей «Союз МС» планируется увеличить с шести до семи-девяти месяцев, что позволит сэкономить по одному кораблю каждые два года.

Также в следующем году для поддержания надёжности функционирования МКС и гарантированного присутствия как минимум одного российского космонавта на российском сегменте и как минимум одного американского астронавта на американском сегменте станции будет подписано третье дополнение к договорённости между Роскосмосом и NASA по полётам интегрированных экипажей на МКС (перекрёстным полётам). Соглашением будут дополнительно предусмотрены два полёта астронавтов NASA на кораблях «Союз МС-28» и «Союз МС-29» в 2025 и 2026 годах, соответственно, и три полёта космонавтов Роскосмоса на кораблях Crew Dragon (ещё один дополнительный полет в 2025 году и по одному в 2026 и 2027 годах).

And translated into English by translator:

Quote
Starting from 2025, the flight duration of Soyuz MS spacecraft is planned to be increased from six to seven to nine months, which will save one spacecraft every two years.

Also next year, in order to maintain the reliability of the ISS operation and guarantee the presence of at least one Russian cosmonaut on the Russian segment and at least one American astronaut on the American segment of the station, a third addendum to the agreement between Roscosmos and NASA on integrated crew flights to the ISS (crossover flights) will be signed. The agreement will additionally provide for two flights of NASA astronauts on Soyuz MS-28 and Soyuz MS-29 in 2025 and 2026, respectively, and three flights of Roscosmos cosmonauts on Crew Dragon spacecraft (one additional flight in 2025 and one each in 2026 and 2027).

So from this year Soyuz launches are to take place not every 6 months as now, but every 7-9 months. So we have to wait for Roskosmos to give specific dates.

Offline John_Marshall

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #75 on: 01/01/2025 08:33 pm »
So from this year Soyuz launches are to take place not every 6 months as now, but every 7-9 months. So we have to wait for Roskosmos to give specific dates.

If we factor in MS-26 lasting just less than eight months (early September to late April) and assume a slow ramp-up of flight length, since this is a new thing, it might look something like this:
MS-27: early April to early December 2025 (8 months)
MS-28: late November 2025 to late July 2026 (8 months)
MS-29: mid July 2026 to late March 2027 (8.5 months)
MS-30: early March to mid November 2027 (8.5 months)
MS-31: early November 2027 to mid July 2028 (8.5 months)
MS-32: early July 2028 to late March 2029 (9 months)
MS-33: mid March 2029 to mid December 2029 (9 months)
MS-34: early December 2029 to early September 2030 (9 months)

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #76 on: 01/01/2025 08:49 pm »
So from this year Soyuz launches are to take place not every 6 months as now, but every 7-9 months. So we have to wait for Roskosmos to give specific dates.

If we factor in MS-26 lasting just less than eight months (early September to late April) and assume a slow ramp-up of flight length, since this is a new thing, it might look something like this:
MS-27: early April to early December 2025 (8 months)
MS-28: late November 2025 to late July 2026 (8 months)
MS-29: mid July 2026 to late March 2027 (8.5 months)
MS-30: early March to mid November 2027 (8.5 months)
MS-31: early November 2027 to mid July 2028 (8.5 months)
MS-32: early July 2028 to late March 2029 (9 months)
MS-33: mid March 2029 to mid December 2029 (9 months)
MS-34: early December 2029 to early September 2030 (9 months)
Please use the discussion thread for discussions that are not official information.
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=59573.0

Offline John_Marshall

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #77 on: 01/03/2025 05:41 pm »
Please use the discussion thread for discussions that are not official information.
https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=59573.0

Sorry. Mods, feel free to delete this post and move things as useful.

Online owais.usmani

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #78 on: 03/03/2025 02:23 pm »
Quote
Late March (xxx:xx:xx:xx.xxx) - TBD - Angara-A5/TBD - (7175x/x) – Plesetsk 35/1
June 08 (159:xx:xx:xx.xxx) - Kosmos [14F166] - Angara-A5/Briz-M (7175x/88803 (885xx)) – Plesetsk 35/1

I believe these 2 entries are duplicate, its the same launch.

Offline russianhalo117

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Re: Russian Launch Schedule - Discussion
« Reply #79 on: 03/03/2025 03:15 pm »
Quote
Late March (xxx:xx:xx:xx.xxx) - TBD - Angara-A5/TBD - (7175x/x) – Plesetsk 35/1
June 08 (159:xx:xx:xx.xxx) - Kosmos [14F166] - Angara-A5/Briz-M (7175x/88803 (885xx)) – Plesetsk 35/1

I believe these 2 entries are duplicate, its the same launch.
This appears to be based on inside info. No NOTAMs yet for a launch on that day as far as I can see. This launch first appeared in the schedule on the NK forum about two weeks ago and was then expected in the summer. That was based on a post on another Russian space forum, which literally said: "The first satellites of our new multi-satellite constellations have just gone into orbit. The next ones will fly in the summer months".  The author was referring to the launch of Kosmos-2581/2582/2583 on February 5, so this was interpreted as meaning that another such trio would go up in the summer. Angara-1.2 was not mentioned in the post, but was probably considered to be the most likely launch vehicle since the February 5 launch is said to have been the last of the Soyuz-2.1v.

Also note that in the same schedule the launch date for the next Angara-A5 mission has been updated from "unknown" to "late March". A two-week interval between Angara launches would be unprecedented.
The launch is either launch late March or end quarter. The informant didn't specify on NK to Salo et al as to the end of which quarter in 2025. The entry will be updated further as new information is received. Late March has been updated to NET Q1 or TBD 2025 per newer information provided via a PM.
« Last Edit: 03/03/2025 07:32 pm by russianhalo117 »

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