Poll

When will Starship's Flight 10 launch?

June 2025 -- damn the torpedoes, full steam ahead
7 (12.7%)
July 2025 -- modest tweaks kind of like last time
36 (65.5%)
Aug 2025
9 (16.4%)
Sep 2025
2 (3.6%)
4Q 2025
1 (1.8%)
2026 or Later
0 (0%)
Never -- Elon throws in the towel or something else
0 (0%)

Total Members Voted: 55

Voting closed: 06/05/2025 04:52 pm


Author Topic: #WenFlight10?  (Read 20128 times)

Online jongoff

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Re: #WenFlight10?
« Reply #20 on: 06/20/2025 10:58 pm »
I change my vote from july to september.  :-\

If I were to reopen the poll, I think I would go with September as well.

~Jon

Online jongoff

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Re: #WenFlight10?
« Reply #21 on: 06/20/2025 11:00 pm »
What do you guys say:

1- Should I leave the poll as-is and say that "unexpected events should always be part of your calculus when estimating launch dates?"

2- Should I reopen the poll for a week, and enable people to change their votes?
3- Should I start a new poll "WenFlight10_PostS36Kablooey" or something like that to leave the original votes alone, but provide people a chance to update things?

~Jon

Offline sdsds

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Re: #WenFlight10?
« Reply #22 on: 06/20/2025 11:13 pm »
[...] leave the poll as-is and say that "unexpected events should always be part of your calculus when estimating launch dates?"
[...]
[...] Should I start a new poll "WenFlight10_PostS36Kablooey"

Yes and yes.
— 𝐬𝐝𝐒𝐝𝐬 —

Online Robotbeat

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Re: #WenFlight10?
« Reply #23 on: 06/21/2025 12:08 am »
Agreed.
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Offline stormhelm

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Re: #WenFlight10?
« Reply #24 on: 06/21/2025 01:01 am »
Launch date irrelevant for now until setback resolved..

Online Robotbeat

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Re: #WenFlight10?
« Reply #25 on: 06/21/2025 01:22 am »
Launch date irrelevant for now until setback resolved..
it’s a pretty poor sports bettor who can’t make a bet when there’s any element of ambiguity or chance.
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Online jongoff

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Re: #WenFlight10?
« Reply #26 on: 06/21/2025 02:19 am »
Launch date irrelevant for now until setback resolved..
it’s a pretty poor sports bettor who can’t make a bet when there’s any element of ambiguity or chance.

Yeah, I've usually done my launch polls within a few days of the most recent launch attempt for precisely that reason.

Online jongoff

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Re: #WenFlight10?
« Reply #27 on: 06/21/2025 02:35 am »
Ok, new poll is live here: https://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=63107.0

I'm going to have it up for 5 days. We may have some info by then, but once again trying to force people to share what they're thinking now before we have all of the data (when it's no longer as fun or interesting).

~Jon

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