Poll

Will New Glenn be the commercial rocket that can achieve 50 launches in the shortest time first?

Yes
4 (13.3%)
No
22 (73.3%)
Maybe
4 (13.3%)

Total Members Voted: 30

Voting closed: 02/24/2025 08:55 pm


Author Topic: Will New Glenn be the commercial rocket that can achieve 50 launches, fastest?  (Read 10663 times)

Offline Tywin

Will New Glenn be able to surpass the record currently held by Rocket Lab's Electron?
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Offline jongoff

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I doubt it, given its scale, and complexity. I think Stoke's Nova, or Rocket Lab's Neutron are more likely.

~Jon

Offline Tywin

I doubt it, given its scale, and complexity. I think Stoke's Nova, or Rocket Lab's Neutron are more likely.

~Jon


I think so, is going to be very close between NG and Electron...
« Last Edit: 01/16/2025 11:45 pm by Tywin »
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Offline deltaV

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I voted "yes" because I believe NG will surpass Electron's record. I'm not sure if someone else, e.g. Nova or Starship, will beat NG's record (edit: possibly before NG gets to 50 flights so NG may not make a record).
« Last Edit: 01/17/2025 01:39 am by deltaV »

Offline jongoff

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I doubt it, given its scale, and complexity. I think Stoke's Nova, or Rocket Lab's Neutron are more likely.

~Jon


I think so, is going to be very close between NG and Electron...

I'll believe it when I see it. I'm glad Blue has finally found the Ferrociter button, but it remains to be seen if they can set and maintain a good pace going forward. Especially if it takes them a while to dial in first-stage recovery and reuse. Blue is changing, but we're almost a decade in on New Shephard, which is fully reusable, simpler, smaller, and only has one engine, and we're still at less than 30 flights total.

~Jon

Online FutureSpaceTourist

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Blue is changing, but we're almost a decade in on New Shephard, which is fully reusable, simpler, smaller, and only has one engine, and we're still at less than 30 flights total.

A true statement, but I'm in a contrarian mood this morning ... that could be evidence that Blue just hasn't prioritised New Shepard, rather than being indicative of what Blue could do? Also I suspect NS was - maybe still is - 'infected' with original company culture, which I think NG now isn't. So I'm voting yes to make this discussion more interesting :)

« Last Edit: 01/17/2025 10:43 am by FutureSpaceTourist »

Offline Hyperborealis

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To continue FST's train of thought, I notice SpaceX people have been hired by BO. If you think that hiring old space people has affected BO, then you are bound to think that hiring new space people has affected them too. SpaceX has been around a long enough time that its culture is influencing its competitors from within. Old new space. ^-^

Offline AmigaClone

I voted a solid "Maybe" since how fast BONG is able to launch 50 times will depend on how fast BO can get the first stage to being reusable and having the payloads to justify a launch.

Offline Tywin

Ok, game ON!!

Lets see, if New Glenn can win the Electron record...
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The Turtle continues at a steady pace ...

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